clean air for europe revision of the necd tfiam, 17-19 may 2006, roma eduard dame dg env,unit c5

European Commission: DG Environment

Clean Air for Europe

Revision of the NECD

TFIAM, 17-19 May 2006, Roma

Eduard Dame

DG ENV,Unit C5


New Unit C5 (1)

Energy &Environment

Mission: Connect and integrate energy and environment policies Deliver projections, scenario’s, CBA’s on atmospheric

emissions for IA’s related to legislative proposals and communications

Responsible for the implementation and the revision of the National Emission Ceilings Directive


New Unit C5

Head of Unit ff: Matti Vainio

Staff members (in alphabetical order): Scott Brockett Eduard Dame Jacques Delsalle Erik Tang Stefaan Vergote Andre Zuber ?, ?, ?

Secretary: Sarah Asmanis de Schacht


Thematic Strategy on Air Pollution

Single directive for ambient air quality legislation

Revision of the National Emission Ceilings Directive

Integrating air quality into other policy area’s: Energy Smaller combustion plants VOC emissions at fuel stations Transport Aviation Shipping Agriculture


Thematic Strategy on Air Pollution

Objective:

Costs: 7.1 bnEuro/year


Air Quality Directive

Legislative proposal attached to TS: Simplification of air quality legislation Strengthening implementation Modernising monitoring and reporting Control of human exposure to PM2.5

Proposal now under discussion in Council and EP.

Possibly political agreement at Environment

Council of June 2006.


Political context of NECD-revision (1)

TS on Air Pollution states: NECD-proposal will be based on same level of ambition

as TS Detailed IA is needed Integrated approach to nitrogen management will be

respected Ceilings for PM will be considered Simplified implementation and reporting provisions will

be considered


Political context (2)

Council Conclusions of 9 March 2006: Welcomes a proposal as soon as possible Experiences and difficulties faced by the MS during

implementation should be taken into account Proposal should be based on a mix of national,

Community and international measures

EP has not finalized their opinion yet: Hearing at 11 May 2006 Environment Commission votes at 12 June 2006 The Plenary votes at 4 July 2006


Articles 9 – 10 of NECD

Review in 2004 and 2008 Take on board all elements of article 9 Evaluation of emission ceilings for the EU as a whole CBA - Least possible uncertainty Modification of the NEC’s and/or interim environmental

objectives Proposals for further emission reduction as well


The work to be done ……..


Work plan

Realistically, directive proposal in summer 2007 Some studies are still ongoing Modelling work to start after new baseline has been

developed – September 2006 NECPI Working Group meets 6 times in 2006 and 2

times in 2007. Regular Feedback from NECPI to CAFE SG


Ongoing studies / contracts

Integrated assessment modelling to revise the NECD (IIASA)

Cost-Benefit Analysis (AEA Technology) Energy modelling PRIMES (NTUA) Estimation of emissions of PM2.5 in EU-25 (TNO) Integrated measures to reduce NH3 emissions (Alterra) Preparation of TREMOVE and policy scenario’s

(CU Leuven and AU Thessaloniki) Baseline ship emissions (Entec, Met.NO and IIASA) City Delta III project (JRC/IES) Optimal control area’s & flexibility within the NECD

(TNO)


NEC-PI meetings

Input of Member States and stakeholders channeled through NEC-PI

3 meetings held

10 Nov 2005, 1 Feb 2006 and 15 March 2006

5 more meetings to go

13 July 2006, 3-4 Oct 2006, 14 Dec 2006, Feb 2007 and May 2007


Outcome 2th Meeting (1 Feb 2006)

1. Agreement on work plan

2. Information from models

3. Update of energy baseline

4. Methodological issues

- 5 meteorological years

- baseline & compliance with NECD

- Gap closure methodology


Outcome 3th Meeting (15 March 2006)

Agricultural baseline Treatment of Transport in IAM Cost-effectiveness and BAT-approaches 2020 target year for emission ceilings (role of interim

year 2015 still under discussion) No ceiling for methane (first waits for results from

CLTRAP TF on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution)

Discussion on MTFR Discussion on sensitivity cases


CAFE Steering Group 2 May 2006

NECD-Baseline development

Although the results of PRIMES (2005) match the national NEC-projections for Europe as a whole, some certain differences remain for certain countries

Some inconsistencies between national UNFCCC- and NEC-projections



NECD-Baseline development (2)

Both projections are likely to exceed in 2020 – at EU level – the targets agreed for the first Kyoto commitment period (2008 – 2012)

Air pollutant (baseline emissions) are sensitive towards the stringency of the GHG/CO2-target




The Commission intends to use the national projections. Further bilateral projections until 13 July 2006.

No national projections? Then the national baseline will be based on PRIMES.

Any projection for the period 2012 -2020 will be uncertain. Additional information of 4th National Communication could be helpful.




National agricultural emissions are consitent with the updated projections made by the CAPRI model for the CAP midterm review. Ammonia emissions are lower than in TS.


Agenda 4th Meeting (13 July 2006)

Results of new baseline comparison with previous TS baseline

Discussion of City Delta approximation


Agenda 5th Meeting (3/4 Oct 2006)

1. NEC implementation issues- Member State experience- recognising uncertainty in the NECD- sectoral ceilings- contingent ceilings (link to EU measures)- relative ceilings

2. Trading and the results from ongoing study on optimal control areas

3. Discussion on non-technical measures


Agenda 6th Meeting (14 Dec 2006)

1. IAM results – reproduce Thematic Strategies objectives

2. Ships scenario analysis

3. Some sensivity scenario

4. Discuss/revise required sensitivity cases


Agenda 7th and 8th Meeting

7th meeting (Feb 2007) Sensitivity cases Non-technical measures

8th Meeting Final meeting of NECPI Agenda to be confirmed later Focusing on final advice of the Group to the

Commission


Revision of EMEP/Corinair Guidebook

Revision funded by European Commission Close cooperation between DG ENV- EEA and

CLTRAP bodies Draft work plan to be presented at TFEIP in June 2006 Final approval by EB December 2008 Further maintenance by EEA Legal base by comitology


Conclusions TS AIR

Thematic Strategy Council Conclusions of 9 March 2006 European Parliament will vote beginning of July Both focus on the need for more source-related more Community

legislation

Air Quality Directive: Legislative proposal under discussion in Council and Parliament.

Probably a political agreement end of June

Revision NECD: The work for the revision of the NECD is planned and on track. All pieces of the jig-saw puzzle to be ready in spring 2007.

clean air for europe revision of the necd tfiam, 17-19 may 2006, roma eduard dame dg env,unit c5

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