christ op he choo market update [condo]_ca_los angeles_90067

Upload: christophe-choo

Post on 10-Apr-2018

220 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/8/2019 Christ Op He Choo Market Update [Condo]_CA_LOS ANGELES_90067

    1/10

    Current prices for condominiums, townhomes, TICs on the mark

    Trends in priciCurrent levels of supply and dema

    Value metri

    LOS ANGELE

    900

    market updat

    Christophe Choo'

    Sunday October 24, 20

    Report for the week

    Christophe Choo Real Estate Gro

    www.ChristopheChoo.com - [email protected]

    Presented by Christophe Choo Real Estate Group - Locally Known. Globa

    (310)777-63

    Powered by Altos Research LLC Copyright 2005-2010. All Rights Reserved

    www.altosresearch.com

    http://www.altosresearch.com/http://www.altosresearch.com/
  • 8/8/2019 Christ Op He Choo Market Update [Condo]_CA_LOS ANGELES_90067

    2/10

    Christophe Choo | Christophe Choo Real Estate Group | (310)777-6342

    The median condominium price in

    LOS ANGELES this week is $465,000.

    The 1928 condos have been on the

    market for an average of 152 days.

    THIS WEEK

    Most Expensive Listing

    Least Expensive Listing

    Median List Price

    Average List Price

    Real-Time Market Profile Trend

    Total Inventory

    $ 465,000

    $ 625,589

    $ 19,000,000

    $ 60,000

    1928

    152Average Days on Market

    Asking Price per Square Foot $ 365

    256Absorbed This Week

    Percent of Properties with Price Reductions 40 %

    Percent Relisted (reset DOM) 9 %

    Percent Flip (price increased) 5 %

    City Overview LOS ANGELES

    Altos Research Value Statistics

    Market Action Index

    Median Number of Bedrooms

    Median Number of Bathrooms

    Median Size (sq ft)

    Median Age

    1,269

    2.0

    2.0

    23

    18Cold! Buyer's Market

    Altos Research calculates the Market Action Index which measures available supplyrelative to the current level of demand. Index value above 30 indicates conditions favorthe seller. See the section below for full details.

    With inventory and days-on-market

    basically unchanged and the MarketAction Index increasing, the market

    isn't sending strong directional signal

    for the near-term outlook.

    To get a tightly targeted understanding

    of properties on the market, we break

    each locale into quartiles. Each quartile

    is 25% of the condos listed.

    QUARTILES

    Characteristics per Quartile

    Last Month's Trend Last Quarter's Trend

    Trend Key

    No Clear Monthly/Quarterly Trend

    Bed BathMed. SqftMed.Age Inven. New

    Ab-sorbedMedian PriceQuartile

    Avg.DoM

    *Metric "Absorbed this Week" covers properties sold and those taken off the market for other reasons.Since sales sometimes take months to close, it is impossible to discern in real-time exactly which propertiessold.

    Most expensive 25% of condos1,883 2.0 2.5 18 482 15 50$ 849,5001 167

    Upper-middle 25% of condos1,420 2.0 2.0 21 482 14 55$ 543,5002 134

    Lower-middle 25% of condos1,108 2.0 2.0 27 482 22 80$ 379,0003 155

    Least expensive 25% of condos860 1.0 1.0 35 482 30 71$ 220,0004 156

    We'll refer to the quartiles in the trend

    graphs below.

    2Christophe Choo's Market Update for LOS ANGELES

  • 8/8/2019 Christ Op He Choo Market Update [Condo]_CA_LOS ANGELES_90067

    3/10

    Christophe Choo | Christophe Choo Real Estate Group | (310)777-6342

    PRICE

    The market seems to have paused

    around this plateau. The Market Action

    Index is a good leading indicator for the

    durability of this trend.

    QUARTILE PRICES

    Price weakness is evident almost across

    the board. Quartiles 2, 3, and 4 have

    been in price decline in recent weeks,

    with Quartile 1 remaining basically flat

    Look to the Market Action Index as a

    leading indicator of the bottom of the

    market.

    Often, we find insights by watching

    pricing trends within the quartile

    segments.

    Christophe Choo's Market Update for LOS ANGELES

  • 8/8/2019 Christ Op He Choo Market Update [Condo]_CA_LOS ANGELES_90067

    4/10

    Christophe Choo | Christophe Choo Real Estate Group | (310)777-6342

    The market plateau is seen across the

    price and value. The price per square

    foot and median list price have both

    been reasonably stagnant. Watch the

    Market Action Index for persistent

    changes as a leading indicator beforethe market moves from these levels.

    PRICE AND VALUE

    INVENTORY

    Inventory has been relatively steady

    around these levels in recent weeks.

    4Christophe Choo's Market Update for LOS ANGELES

  • 8/8/2019 Christ Op He Choo Market Update [Condo]_CA_LOS ANGELES_90067

    5/10

    Christophe Choo | Christophe Choo Real Estate Group | (310)777-6342

    The condo market in LOS ANGELES is

    currently quite strongly in the Buyer's

    zone (below 30). The 90-day Market

    Action Index stands at 18. With several

    months of inventory available at the

    current sales rate, buyers should find

    ample choice.

    The market has shown some evidence o

    slowing recently. Both prices and

    inventory levels are relatively

    unchanged in recent weeks. Watch the

    Market Action Index for changes as itcan be a leading indicator for price

    changes.

    The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates the balance between supply and demand using astatistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.

    An MAI value greater than 30 typically indicates a Seller's Market (a.k.a. "Hot Market")because demand is high enough to quickly gobble up available supply. A hot market willtypically cause prices to rise. MAI values below 30 indicate a "Buyer's Market" (a.k.a. "ColdMarket") where the inventory of already-listed homes is sufficient to last several months atthe current rate of sales. A cold market will typically cause prices to fall.

    MARKET ACTION INDEXProperty prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can becharacterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the indexfalls into the Buyers Market zone for a long period, prices are likely in for a downwardcorrection.

    Not surprisingly given the overall

    Market Action Index, all quartiles are in

    the Buyer's Market zone with several

    months of inventory given the current

    rate of demand for homes in the

    quartile. Watch the quartile for change

    before the overall market shifts. Often

    one end of the market (e.g. the low end)

    will improve and signal a strengtheningmarket before the whole group changes

    The quartiles can help you answer the question, "How hot is the market for homes in my pricerange?"

    MARKET ACTION QUARTILES

    Christophe Choo's Market Update for LOS ANGELES

  • 8/8/2019 Christ Op He Choo Market Update [Condo]_CA_LOS ANGELES_90067

    6/10

    Christophe Choo | Christophe Choo Real Estate Group | (310)777-6342

    DAYS ON MARKET (DOM)

    The properties have been on the

    market for an average of 138 days. Half

    of the listings have come newly on the

    market in the past 98 or so days.

    DOM PER QUARTILE

    It is not uncommon for the higher

    priced homes in an area to take longer

    to sell than those in the lower

    quartiles.

    6Christophe Choo's Market Update for LOS ANGELES

  • 8/8/2019 Christ Op He Choo Market Update [Condo]_CA_LOS ANGELES_90067

    7/10

    Christophe Choo | Christophe Choo Real Estate Group | (310)777-6342

    90067Neighborhood DetailLOS ANGELES

    Most Expensive Listing

    Least Expensive Listing

    Median List Price

    Average List Price

    Real-Time Market Profile Trend

    Total Inventory

    $ 1,195,000

    $ 1,751,220

    $ 14,300,000

    $ 270,000

    83

    171Average Days on Market

    Asking Price per Square Foot $ 616

    5Absorbed This Week

    The median condominium price in

    LOS ANGELES 90067 this week is

    $1,195,000.

    THIS WEEK

    Median Number of Bedrooms

    Median Number of Bathrooms

    Median Size (sq ft)

    Median Age

    1,767

    2.0

    2.4

    35

    Altos Research Value StatisticsMarket Action Index 16Cold! Buyer's Market

    With inventory trending up but days-

    on-market and the Market Action Inde

    essentially flat recently, conditions

    don't seem to have strong up or downpull.

    PRICE

    We continue to see prices in this zip

    code bouncing around this plateau.

    Look for a persistent up-shift in the

    Market Action Index before we seeprices move from these levels.

    Christophe Choo's Market Update for LOS ANGELES

  • 8/8/2019 Christ Op He Choo Market Update [Condo]_CA_LOS ANGELES_90067

    8/10

    Christophe Choo | Christophe Choo Real Estate Group | (310)777-6342

    PRICE PER QUARTILE

    In the quartile market segments, we see

    price for this zip code in general with

    price stagnation in recent weeks.

    Quartile 4 is down, while the rest of the

    market is basically flat. Look to the

    Market Action Index to determine if thiplateau is the stage for a prolonged

    price decline.

    QUARTILESharacteristics per QuartileBed BathMed. Sqft

    Med.Age Inven. New

    Ab-sorbedMedian PriceQuartile

    Avg.DoM

    Most expensive 25% of condos3,214 3.0 3.5 0 20 0 0$ 3,350,0001 203

    Upper-middle 25% of condos2,357 2.0 2.5 30 21 0 0$ 1,495,0002 175

    Lower-middle 25% of condos1,580 2.0 2.0 30 21 1 2$ 798,0003 148

    Least expensive 25% of condos1,018 2.0 2.0 44 21 1 3$ 465,0004 161

    INVENTORYInventory has been climbing lately.

    Note that rising inventory alone does

    not signal a weakening market. Look to

    the Market Action Index and Days on

    Market trends to gauge whether buyer

    interest is keeping up with available

    supply.

    Christophe Choo's Market Update for LOS ANGELES

  • 8/8/2019 Christ Op He Choo Market Update [Condo]_CA_LOS ANGELES_90067

    9/10

    Christophe Choo | Christophe Choo Real Estate Group | (310)777-6342

    The LOS ANGELES 90067 is quite

    strongly in the Buyer's Market zone.

    The 90-day Market Action Index stands

    at 16. With several months of inventory

    available at the current sales rate,

    buyers should find ample choice.

    MARKET ACTION INDEX

    MARKET ACTION QUARTILES

    Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the

    Buyer's Market zone with several

    months of inventory given the current

    levels of demand. Watch the quartiles

    for changes before the overall market

    shifts.

    DAYS ON MARKETThe properties have been on the marke

    for an average of 171 days. Half of the

    listings have come newly on the market

    in the past 126 or so days. Watch the 90

    day DOM trend for signals of a changin

    market.

    Christophe Choo's Market Update for LOS ANGELES

  • 8/8/2019 Christ Op He Choo Market Update [Condo]_CA_LOS ANGELES_90067

    10/10

    Christophe Choo | Christophe Choo Real Estate Group | (310)777-6342

    DAYS ON MARKET

    It is not uncommon for the higher

    priced properties in an area (Quartiles

    1 and 2) to take longer to sell than

    those in the lower quartiles.

    About Altos Research CorporationAltos Research Corp. reports real-time analysis of the residential real estate market in local markets acrossthe country. All information contained herein is based on properties currently listed for sale and availablepublicly. When evaluating a particular property, make sure you use comparable sales data in addition tothe market trend information available in this report. The data presented in this report is accurate to thebest of our knowledge, but cannot be guaranteed as such. Use this report as one input in the real estatedecision making process, but do not rely on it for accuracy. Nothing in this report or any other Altos

    Research publication is a recommendation to buy or to sell real estate. We recommend you work with alicensed real estate agent or broker.

    Altos Research LLC Copyright 2005-2010. All Rights Reserved www.altosresearch.com

    1Christophe Choo's Market Update for LOS ANGELES

    http://www.altosresearch.com/http://www.altosresearch.com/