chart book and financial market update (4.21.14)

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Weekly Chart Book April 21, 2014 Global ClientsGlobal Portfolios disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.

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Take a look at this week’s Chart Book from Accuvest Global Advisors with updates on the following: Global Financial Conditions Global Equity Markets Interest Rates and Fixed Income The Economy Major Currencies Commodities Investor Sentiment Accuvest Global Advisors is a California based RIA and sub-advisor of the AdvisorShares Accuvest Global Opportunities ETF (ACCU) and the AdvisorShares Accuvest Global Long Short ETF (AGLS).

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Page 1: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

Weekly Chart BookApril 21, 2014

Global Clients…Global Portfolios

disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.

Page 2: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

Financial Conditions

Page 3: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

4

Developed Markets

Page 4: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

5

Emerging Markets

Page 5: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

6

US Financial Conditions vs. 52 weeks & 2000-2007 Period

Page 6: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

7

The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)

Page 7: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

8

AAII Bullishness Index - % Bullish

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9

StateStreet Investor Confidence Index

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Page 9: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

10

Global Financial Stress Index (Higher = More Stress)

Page 10: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

11

Citi Macro Risk Index

Page 11: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

12

SHIBOR (Shanghai Interbank Overnight Lending Rate)

Page 12: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

13

S&P 500 & Advance-Decline Index

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14

S&P 500 – This Week

Page 14: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

15

10 Year UST Yields – This Week

Page 15: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

16

Gold Price – This Week

Page 16: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

Fixed Income & Credit

Page 17: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

18

US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)

Page 18: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

19

UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve

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Page 19: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

20

U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield

Page 20: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

21

U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield

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Page 21: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

22

Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)

Page 22: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

23

Investment Grade Bond Prices

Page 23: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

24

Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)

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Page 24: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

25

High Yield Bond Prices

Page 25: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

26

High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)

Page 26: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

27

Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated)

Page 27: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

28

Emerging Market Bond Spreads

Page 28: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

Global Equities

Page 29: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

30

World Equity Indices

Page 30: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

31

MSCI All Country World Index

Page 31: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

32

S&P 500 Index

Page 32: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

33

MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index

Page 33: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

34

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

Page 34: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

35

Equity Risk Premiums by Country

Page 35: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

36

Sector Performance by Region (YTD)

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Page 36: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

The Economy

Page 37: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

38

Last week’s Economic Calendar

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Page 38: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

39

Next week’s Economic Calendar

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Page 39: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

40

Economic Surprise Monitor (Deviations from Expectations)

Page 40: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

41

6 Month Outlook for Increase Capital Expenditures

Page 41: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

42

NFIB Small Business Actual Capital Expenditures

Page 42: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

43

Fed’s Total Credit Market Borrowing and Lending

Page 43: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

44

US Auto Sales Total (Annualized SA)

Page 44: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

Currencies & Commodities

Page 45: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

46

World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)

Page 46: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

47

World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q2 2014)

Page 47: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

48

Carry Trades vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Carry Returns)

Page 48: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

49

US Dollar Index

Page 49: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

50

Euro €

Page 50: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

51

Japanese Yen ¥

Page 51: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

52

Chinese Renminbi

Page 52: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

53

Mexican Peso

Page 53: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

54

Russian Ruble

Page 54: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

55

Indian Rupee

Page 55: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

56

Brazilian Real

Page 56: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

57

Global Commodity Prices

Page 57: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

58

Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years

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Page 58: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

59

Gold Prices – 5 Years

Page 59: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

60

Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years

Page 60: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

Investment Themes & Value

Page 61: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

62

Industry - Valuations

Page 62: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

63

Technology

Page 63: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

64

U.S. Financials Services

Page 64: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

65

Energy Exploration & Production

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66

WTI – Brent Crude Oil Spread

Page 66: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

67

Goldcorp

Page 67: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

68

Yamana

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Page 68: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

69

Gold to Gold Miners Ratio

Page 69: Chart Book and Financial Market Update (4.21.14)

70

High Yield Bonds