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CHAPTER 16
International Trade
1
Slides prepared by Bruno Fullone, George Brown College
Copyright © 2010 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited.
PART 6: INTERNATIONAL
ECONOMICS
• Learning Objective 16.1: Some key facts about Canada’s international trade
• Learning Objective 16.2 : About specialization, comparative advantage, and international trade
• Learning Objective 16.3 About supply and demand analysis of exports and imports
• Learning Objective 16.4 : About trade barriers and their negative effects on nations’ economic well-being
• Learning Objective 16.5 : The usual arguments against free trade
• Learning Objective 16.6: The role played by free- trade zones and the World Trade Organization (WTO) in promoting international trade
2 Chapter 16
In This Chapter You Will Learn
LO16.1.1 3
Other
National
Economies
Canadian
Economy
Goods & Services
Capital & Labour
Info & Technology
Money
Figure 16-1 International Linkages
16.1 Canada and International Linkages
LO16.1 4
• Volume
– Exports are about 35% of Canadian GDP
– Imports are about 33% of Canadian GDP
Canada and World Trade
5 LO16.1
16.1 Global Perspective
6 LO16.1
Figure 16-2 Canadian Trade as
Percentage of GDP
LO16.1 7
• Dependence
– Canada almost entirely dependent on other countries for bananas, cocoa, coffee, spices, tea, raw silk, tin, and natural rubber
– Many Canadian industries rely on sales abroad: agricultural products, computers, chemicals, aircraft, automobiles, etc.
Canada and World Trade
LO16.1 8
• Trade Patterns
• A trade surplus occurs when exports exceed imports. Canada had a trade surplus in goods in 2008:
• A trade deficit occurs when imports exceed exports. Canada had a trade deficit in services in 2008
• Canada imports some of the same categories of goods that it exports, called intraindustry trade
• Canada’s export and import trade is mainly with other industrially advanced nations
Canada and World Trade
9 LO16.1
Table 16-1 Principal Canadian
Exports and Imports of Goods, 2008
10 LO16.1
Table 16-2 Canadian Exports and
Imports of Goods by Area, 2008
LO16.1 11
• Transportation Technology
• Communications Technology
• General Decline in Tariffs
Rapid Trade Growth
• Germany, the United States, China, and Japan had combined exports of $3.6 trillion in 2006
• Along with Germany, other western European nations such as France, Britain, and Italy are major exporters
• Southeast Asian countries of South Korea, Taiwan, and Singapore have combined exports which exceed those of France, Britain, or Italy
• China with its reintegration of Hong Kong, has quickly emerged as a major international trader
12 LO16.1
Participants in International Trade
13
16.2 Global Perspective
LO16.2 14
Why do nations trade?
• The distribution of resources is uneven
• Efficient production requires different technologies or resource combinations
• Products are differentiated as to quality & other non-price attributes
The Economic Basis for Trade
LO16.2 15
• labour-intensive goods
• land-intensive goods
• capital-intensive goods
The Economic Basis for Trade
LO16.2 16
The Basic Principle
• Specialization according to comparative advantage reduces costs
• This is true even if a nation has an absolute advantage
Specialization and
Comparative Advantage
LO16.2 17
Two isolated nations (Canada and Brazil)
1. Constant Costs
– straight-line production possibilities curves
2. Different Costs
– different technology & resources
3. Canada has absolute advantage in both steel and soybeans
Specialization and
Comparative Advantage
LO16.2 18
So
yb
ean
s (
ton
nes)
5 8 10 15 20
Canada Brazil
5 10 15 18 20 25 30
Steel (tonnes)
So
yb
ean
s (
ton
nes)
A
30
25
20
15
12
10
5
0
18 steel
12 soybeans
30
25
20
15
10
4
0
B
8 steel
4 soybeans
Steel (tonnes)
Production Possibilities Curve
Figure 16-3
LO16.2 19
Opportunity Cost Table
Country 1 Steel Cost 1 Soybean Cost
Canada 1 soybean 1 steel
Brazil 2 soybeans .5 steel
Who has the comparative advantage
in steel?
Specialization Based on
Comparative Advantage
LO16.2 20
Opportunity Cost Table
Country 1 Steel Cost 1 Soybean Cost
Canada 1 soybean 1 steel
Brazil 2 soybeans .5 steel
Who has the comparative advantage in soy?
Specialization Based on
Comparative Advantage
LO16.2 21
So
yb
ean
s (
ton
nes)
5 8 10 15 20
Canada Brazil
5 10 15 18 20 25 30
Steel (tonnes)
So
yb
ean
s (
ton
nes)
A
30
25
20
15
12
10
5
0
30
25
20
15
10
4
0
B
Steel (tonnes)
Production Possibilities Curve –
after specialization, Figure 16-3
30 steel
0 soybeans 0 steel
20 soybeans
LO16.2 22
• What will the terms of trade be?
• Many possibilities
• For trade to be mutually beneficial the terms of trade must be between each nation’s opportunity costs
Terms of Trade
LO16.2 23
Country 1 Steel Cost 1 Soybean Cost
Canada 1 soybean 1 steel
Brazil 2 soybeans .5 steel
Opportunity Cost Table
for example:
• 1 steel for 1.5 soybeans
• gains from trade can be illustrated with
trading possibilities line
Terms of Trade
LO16.2 24
Figure 15-4 45
40
35
30
25
20
15
12
10
5
0
30
25
20
15
10
4
0
5 10 15 18 20 25 30 5 8 10 15 20
A
B
Canada Brazil
So
yb
ean
s (
ton
ne
s)
So
yb
ean
s (
ton
ne
s)
Steel (tonnes) Steel (tonnes)
1.5 soy
for 1
steel
Trading
possibilities
line
Trading
possibilities
line
.67
steel for
1 soy
Trading Possibilities Lines and the Gain from Trade
LO16.2 25
Canada Brazil
steel soybeans steel soybeans
Outputs before
specialization 18 12 8 4
Outputs after
specialization
Amounts exported (-
) & imported (+)
Outputs available
after trade
Gains from
specialization &
trade
30 0 0 20
-10 +15 +10 -15
20 15 10 5
2 3 2 1
Table 16-3: Comparative Advantages & the Gain from Trade
LO16.2 26
• Improved Options
• Added Output
Gains from Specialization
and Trade
So
yb
ea
ns
(To
nn
es)
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
35
40
45
5 10 15 20 25 30
Steel (Tonnes)
So
yb
ea
ns
(To
nn
es)
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
35
40
45
5 10 15 20
Steel (Tonnes)
(a) Canada (b) Brazil
12
18 8
4
A
B
A’
B’
C
C’
W
c
w w’
Trading Possibilities Line
Trading Possibilities Line
27 LO16.2
Economic Basis for Trade
LO16.2 28
A more realistic model:
• increasing opportunity costs
• less than complete specialization
Trade with Increasing Costs
LO16.2 29
• Through free trade based on the principle of comparative advantage, the world economy can achieve a more efficient allocation of resources & a higher level of material well-being than without free trade
• Side benefits:
– promotion of competition, deterrence of monopoly
– linking of national interests, reduction of national animosities
The Case for Free Trade Restated
LO16.3 30
• When world prices increase relative to domestic prices, domestic exports will increase, resulting in an upward sloping export supply curve
• When world prices decrease relative to domestic prices, domestic imports will increase, resulting in a downward sloping import demand curve
16.3 Supply & Demand Analysis
of Exports and Imports
LO16.3 31
Cdn. domestic aluminum market Cdn. export supply and
import demand
100 50
Sd
Dd
100 50 75 125 150
If the world price
exceeds the Cdn.
price by 25 cents....
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
$1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
$1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
Canadian Export Supply and Import
Demand, Figure 16-5
LO16.3 32
100 50
Sd
Dd
100 50 75 125 150
EXPORTS = 50 SURPLUS = 50
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
Cdn. domestic aluminum market Cdn. export supply and
import demand
$1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
$1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
If the world price
goes further up....
Canadian Export Supply and Import
Demand, Figure 16-5
LO16.3 33
100 50
Sd
Dd
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
100 50 75 125 150
Cdn.
export
supply
SURPLUS = 100 EXPORTS = 100
Cdn. domestic aluminum market Cdn. export supply and
import demand
$1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
$1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
If world prices
fall below $1.25....
Canadian Export Supply and Import
Demand, Figure 16-5
LO16.3 34
100 50
Sd
Dd
100 50 75 125 150
Cdn.
export
supply
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
Cdn. domestic aluminum market Cdn. export supply and
import demand
$1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
$1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
SHORTAGE = 50 IMPORTS = 50
Canadian Export Supply and Import
Demand, Figure 16-5
LO16.3 35
100 50
Sd
Dd
100 50 75 125 150
SHORTAGE = 100
Cdn.
import
demand
Cdn.
export
supply
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
Cdn. domestic aluminum market Cdn. export supply and
import demand
$1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
$1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
IMPORTS = 100
Canadian Export Supply and Import
Demand, Figure 16-5
LO16.3 36
U.S. domestic aluminum market U.S. export supply and
import demand
$1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
.50
100 50
$1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
.50
Sd
Dd
100 50 75 125 150
SURPLUS = 50
SURPLUS = 100
U.S.
export
supply
EXPORTS = 50
EXPORTS = 100
SHORTAGE = 50 IMPORTS = 50
SHORTAGE = 100 IMPORTS = 100
U.S.
import
demand P
ric
e (
pe
r k
g. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
) U.S. Export Supply and Import Demand
Figure 16-6
LO16.3 37
1.25
1.125
1.00
Pri
ce
(p
er
kg
. C
dn
. d
oll
ars
)
Cdn.
export
supply
Cdn.
import
demand
U.S.
export
supply
U.S.
import
demand
e
World price is where:
U.S. export supply
=Cdn. import demand
25
Equilibrium World Price, Exports &
Imports, Figure 16-7
LO16.3 38
• International equilibrium occurs when one nation’s demand curve intersects another nation’s export supply curve
• Americans will pay more for aluminum with trade than without it
• Americans are willing to export aluminum to Canada because they can gain from the trade (to import other goods)
• Canadian pay less for aluminum with trade. Canadian gain from the trade
Equilibrium World Price, Exports
& Imports, Two-Nation Model
LO16.4 39
• Tariffs
– Revenue tariffs
– Protective tariffs
• Nontariff Barriers (NTB)
• Import Quotas
• Voluntary Export Restrictions (VER)
16.4 Trade Barriers
LO16.4 40
price
quantity
supply
demand
pD
pW
a q d
Domestic Market
imports
open to world
markets:
• quantity
demanded
increases
to d
• quantity
supplied
decreases
to a
• imports are
d-a
The Economic Effects of a Protective
Tariff or an Import Quota, Figure 16-8
Copyright © 2010 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Chapter 15.4 41
price
quantity
supply
demand
pD
pW
a q d
pT
b c
Domestic Market
tariff
effects of a
tariff:
• price rises to
pT
• quantity
supplied
increases to
b
• quantity
demanded
decreases to
c
• imports are
c-b
imports
The Economic Effects of a Protective Tariff
or an Import Quota, Figure 16-8
LO16.4 42
price
quantity
supply
demand
pD
pW
a q d
pT
b c
Domestic Market
tariff revenue
= (c-b)X(pT-pW)
=imports X tariff
imports
The Economic Effects of a Protective Tariff
or an Import Quota, Figure 16-8
LO16.4 43
Direct Effects:
• Decline in consumption
• Increased domestic production
• Decline in imports
• Tariff revenue
Indirect Effects:
• expansion of inefficient industries at the expense of relatively efficient ones
Economic Impact of Tariffs
LO16.4 44
• the same as a tariff, without the tariff revenue for the government
• foreign firms reap the benefit of higher prices
Economic Impact of Quotas
LO16.4 45
• Consumer costs – price of imported product goes up
– some consumers shift purchases from imports to higher-priced domestic goods
– prices of domestic goods rise
• gains to protected industries & workers come at the expense of much greater losses for the entire economy
Net Costs of Tariffs and Quotas
LO16.5 46
• Self-Sufficiency Argument
• Diversification for Stability Argument
• Infant-Industry Argument
• Counter-arguments:
• which industries?
• how long?
• other methods which are better
• Strategic Trade Policy
16.5 The Case for Protection:
A Critical Review
LO16.5 47
• Protection Against Dumping Argument
– Driving Out Competitors
– Price Discrimination
• Increased Domestic Employment Argument
– job creation from imports
– fallacy of composition
– possibility of retaliation
– long-run feedbacks
• Cheap Foreign Labour Argument
The Case for Protection:
A Critical Review
LO16.5 48
Summing Up
• the arguments for protection are not convincing
• there is compelling historical evidence that free trade has led to prosperity & protectionism has led to the opposite
The Case for Protection:
A Critical Review
LO16.6 49
• High tariffs a contributing cause of the Great Depression
• Reciprocal Trade Agreements
– most-favoured-nation clauses
16.6 Multilateral Trade Agreements
and Free-Trade Zones
LO16.6 50
• First signed in 1947
– equal, non-discriminatory trade treatment for all member nations
– reduction of tariffs by multilateral negotiation
– elimination of import quotas
• Eight rounds of negotiations
– Uruguay Round took effect in 1995
General Agreement on Tariffs
and Trade (GATT)
LO16.6 51
• successor to the GATT
• 151 member organization
• oversees trade agreements
• rules on trade disputes
• forum for further rounds of negotiations
– Doha Round launched in 2001
World Trade Organization (WTO)
LO16.6 52
• Trade liberalizations implemented by 2005:
– tariff reductions
– new rules for trade in services
– reductions in agricultural subsidies
– new protections for intellectual property
– phasing out quotas on textiles & apparel, & replacing them with tariffs
World Trade Organization (WTO)
LO16.6 53
• GATT & WTO have been positive forces for liberalized trade
• WTO is highly controversial
– concerns about environment, labour
World Trade Organization (WTO)
LO16.6 54
• free-trade zones, trade blocs
• EU initiated in 1958 as the Common Market
• Expanded to 27 countries in 2007
• nearly all internal tariffs & import quotas abolished
• common system of tariffs on non-EU goods
• liberalized movements of capital & labour
within the EU
• common internal economic policies
The European Union (EU)
LO16.6 55
• effects mixed: – Canada benefits from increasing prosperity in
EU market
– but trade barriers make it difficult to compete with EU companies
• the Euro Zone established in early 2000s – ends the inconvenience & expense of
exchanging currencies
The European Union (EU)
LO16.6 56
• Canada, Mexico, United States formed a trade bloc in 1993 – greatly reduced tariffs
– tariffs will be eliminated by 2008
• concerns about job losses not realized
• standard of living has been enhanced in all three countries
North American Free
Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
The Last Word: Fair Trade Products
• In economic terms, the purpose of the fair-trade movement is to redistribute more of the total gains from international trade directly to low-income producers and workers by increasing the demand for fair-trade imports.
• Fair Trade Standards guarantee the producers higher-than-market prices if they agree to pay their workers higher-than-market wages.
• Economists agree that some of the efforts of fair-trade advocates have succeeded in channelling sizable purchases away from otherwise identical substitutes and
toward fair-trade goods.
Chapter 16 58
16.1 Canada & International Linkages
16.2 The Economic Basis for Trade
16.3 Supply & Demand Analysis of
Exports & Imports
16.4 Trade Barriers
16.5 The Case for Protection: A Critical Review
16.6 Multilateral Trade Agreements &
Free-Trade Zones
Chapter 16 Summary