cds -final1

Upload: mehmudda

Post on 06-Apr-2018

249 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    1/57

    Currency Futures

    National Stock Exchange of India Limited

    1

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    2/57

    2

    Why Currency Risk emerged ???

    The last few years have seen extreme volatility in USDINR and G3 currencies

    Correlation to equities and oil has been high

    Corporate selling of USD contributed significantly to volatility.

    Not only spot, forwards have also been very volatile.

    Initiatives towards stricter Accounting principles.

    Translates to

    Need for a sound Risk Management Policy

    Analyzing the profit and loss profile and balance sheet exposures

    Strict definition of treasury role

    Dynamic review of applicability and execution of the risk management policy

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    3/57

    3

    Factors affect trading decisions

    Macro economic views

    Monetary Policy

    RBI intervention

    Supply and demand of forex

    Economical and political scenario

    Data announcements

    USD sentiment

    Performance of equity markets

    Performance of other Asian

    currencies

    Performance of key commodities

    affecting trade

    Policy announcements affecting

    flows trade or capital

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    4/57

    4

    Foreign exchange markets

    Products

    Spot

    Forwards

    Outright forwards = Spot + Forwards (Points)

    Market participants

    Market makers

    Hedgers, arbitrageurs, speculators

    Banks, institutions, corporate entities, individuals

    Regulators

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    5/57

    5

    Understanding Currency Quotes

    Concept of Base Currency & Quoted Currency

    USD / INR

    Base Currency / Quoted Currency

    First two letters of the code are the two letters of the Countrys code and the

    third letter represents initial of the Currency name of respective Country

    For example: USD - US represents United States and D represents Dollar

    Except EURO as it is the official currency of Euro Zone

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    6/57

    6

    Understanding Currency Quotes - 1

    Two way quotes

    Forex markets works on two way quotes

    Bid rate - rate at which the bank is ready to buy dollars

    Ask rate - rate at which the bank is ready to sell dollars

    The difference between the Bid and the Ask is called the Spread

    Quotation methods

    Direct method (European Method)

    Indirect method (American method)

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    7/57

    7

    Understanding Currency Quotes - 2

    Bid Ask

    USDINR 46.48/46.49

    Bid Ask

    Bank is ready to buy dollars, Bank is ready to sell dollars

    i.e. exporters will have at this rate, i.e. importers will have

    to sell at this rate to buy at this rate

    Note : In case of indirect quote, one must take care of Bid Ask rate.

    Also the difference between the Bid/Ask is Banks profit.

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    8/57

    8 8

    European Method(Direct)Exchange Rate expressed inlocal currency in terms of perunit of Foreign Currency.

    Bid Ask

    Banks buying rate Banks selling rate

    USD/INR 46.41 46.43

    USD/JPY 89.32 89.34

    EUR/USD 1.4000 1.4009

    GBP/USD 1.6193 1.6195

    AUD/USD 0.8989 0.8991

    NZD/USD 0.7066 0.7067

    American Method(Indirect)

    Exchange Rate expressed inforeign currency in terms ofper unit of Local currency.

    Understanding Currency Quotes - 3

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    9/57

    9 9

    Exchange rate movements European Method

    USD/INR

    46.50

    47.50

    This would mean that US dollar has appreciated against the rupee.

    That Rupee has depreciated against the dollar.

    E.g. - USD/INR current rate 46.50

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    10/57

    10

    Exchange rate movements American Method

    EUR/USD

    1.4100

    1.4500

    This would mean that EURO has appreciated against the Dollar.

    That US $ has depreciated against the Dollar.

    E.g.

    EURO/USD current rate

    1.4045

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    11/57

    11 11

    How does the exchange rate affect corporateentities?

    Cost of imports

    Realization on exports

    Capital goods imports

    Service contracts realizations

    Engineering contracts offshore

    Cost of capital equity / debt

    Interest costs

    Indirect exposures

    PROFITABILITY

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    12/57

    1212

    Usage of New Currency Futures Contract

    According to estimates by market players, around 20 per cent of the currencytrades in over the counter (OTC) market is done in non-dollar currency.

    Introduction of new currency pairs will help in improving the depth andbreadth of the currency market.

    Directional Views

    Hedging Existing Exposure

    Transparency in the Cross rates on the CDS platform will help the corporateto mitigate the curtail two-currency risk

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    13/57

    13

    Contract specification

    Category Description

    Trading Hours9:00 am to 5:00 pm(Monday to Friday on all business day)

    Contract Months 12 near calendar months

    Last Trading DayTwo business days prior to last business day of themonth (spot convention).

    Final Settlement Day Last working day of the month

    Settlement INR cash settled at RBI reference rate

    Holiday Calendar Mumbai-Interbank

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    14/57

    14

    Features of Currency Pairs

    USD-INR EUR-INR GBP-INR JPY-INR

    Quotation

    Rate of exchangebetween 1 USD

    and INR(USDINR)

    Rate of exchangebetween 1 EURO and

    INR (EUR-INR)

    Rate ofexchangebetween 1GBP and

    INR (GBP-INR)

    Rate of exchangebetween 100 JPYand INR (JPY-INR)

    Contract Size USD 1000 EURO 1000 GBP 1000 JPY 100000

    CalendarSpreadMargin

    Rs. 400 for aspread of 1

    month; Rs 500for a spreadof 2 months, Rs800 for a spread

    of 3 months

    Rs.700 for spreadof 1 monthRs.1000 for

    spread of 2months

    Rs.1500 forspread of 3

    months or more

    Rs.1500 forspread of 1

    monthRs.1800 for

    spread of 2months

    Rs.2000 forspread of 3months or

    more

    Rs.600 for spreadof 1 monthRs.1000 for

    spread of 2months

    Rs.1500 forspread of 3

    months or more

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    15/57

    15

    Position Limits

    USD-INR EURO-INR GBP-INR JPY-INR

    Client Level

    6% of theOpen Interestor

    USD 10 Millionwhichever ishigher

    6% of the OpenInterest or

    EUR 5 Millionwhichever ishigher

    6% of the OpenInterest or

    GBP 5 Millionwhichever ishigher

    6% of the OpenInterest or

    JPY 200 Millionwhichever ishigher

    Non-Bank TradingMember Level

    15% of theOpen Interestor USD 50Millionwhichever ishigher

    15% of theOpen Interest orEUR 25 Millionwhichever ishigher

    15% of theOpen Interest orGBP 25 Millionwhichever ishigher

    15% of theOpen Interest orJPY 1000 Millionwhichever ishigher

    Bank

    15% of theOpen Interestor USD 100Millionwhichever ishigher

    15% of theOpen Interest orEUR 50 Millionwhichever ishigher

    15% of theOpen Interest orGBP 50 Millionwhichever ishigher

    15% of theOpen Interest orJPY 2000 Millionwhichever ishigher

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    16/57

    1616

    Product specifications - Collaterals

    Margins / collaterals

    Based on previous day volatility.

    Released once trade is unwound or the contract matures.

    Forms of collaterals

    Cash, bank guarantees, fixed deposits, GOI bonds, approved equities /mutual fund units.

    Releasing collaterals

    Cash next day in the bank a/c, FD and BG same day.

    Approved securities to custodians on same day.

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    17/57

    1717

    Product specifications settlement

    Daily settlement Closing price of each contract last 30 minutes weighted average.

    T + 1.

    Through your clearing member.

    Paid or received in cash.

    Final settlement

    RBI fixing price at 12 noon on last trading day.

    Net settled in cash.

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    18/57

    1818

    Trade explanation 1

    Trade date (7 April):

    USDINR 27 April contract: 44.4000Current Spot rate: 44.2500

    Buy 100 April contracts: Value Rs. 44,40,000 (USD 1000 *100* 44.40)

    Hold contract to expiry: RBI fixing rate on 27 April 11 45.0000

    Futures return: Profit, Rupees 60,000 (45,00,000 44,40,000)

    Margins:

    Approx. 4.00%: Rs 1,77,600

    Funding @ 12%: Rs 1780 (if margins paid in cash)

    Net return: Rs. 58,220Margins (collateral) can be paid in FDs, Bank Guarantees, ApprovedSecurities

    Daily Mark to Market will be received / paid in Cash

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    19/57

    1919

    OTC and Currency futures

    OTC Market Currency Futures

    Pricetransparency

    Low; bilateral contractswith banks

    High; online real timescreen

    Liquidity Subject to credit limits Margins equate allparticipants

    Settlement Full notional, unlesscancelled

    Net settled in INR

    Credit Exposure Exposure to yourcounterparty (bank)

    Clearing corporationguarantees all trades

    Execution Only by AuthorizedDealer 700+ trading members,including banks

    Margins / MTM Nil Margins and MTM aremandatory

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    20/57

    20

    Hedging

    What is a hedge

    A position established in one market in an attempt

    to offset exposure to the price risk of an equal but

    opposite obligation in another market

    Why hedge

    Costs & Revenues in different currencies

    Time differences in costs and revenues

    Evaluating impact on net returns (profits)

    Risk management is important

    Not doing anything is also taking a RISK

    Understanding your risk profile and appetite to

    take risks, determines your risk management policy

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    21/57

    21

    Scenario 1

    Indian Co. sold a Raw Material to USA based Co. for 10,00,000 USD with an expected

    remittance in Eight month.

    When you enter into sell transaction of 10,00,000 USD/INR, Meaning you Sold 10,00,000

    USD by buying 4,79,80,000 INR.

    Sold 1000 contracts of December 2011 maturity on NSE

    On 28 December 2011, the contract will expire and the payment trade needs to be executed

    Sold USD 10,00,000 to a bank at RBI fixing rate on 28 December 2011.Banks may charge

    some spread over fixing rate

    Ensuring RBI fixing rate on Payment and Contract fixing, will help to crystallize the rate

    contracted on the exchange

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    22/57

    22

    If USD will be 49.00

    The above computation ignores Margin & Mark to Market Loss/Profit.

    Today

    Sell 1000 Contracts Dec,2011 47.98

    Expected Remittance = 1000*1000*47.98 4,79,80,000

    On 28 Dec ,2011

    RBI fixing rate 49.00

    Sold USD 10,00,000 to the bank = 10,00,000*49.00 4,90,00,000

    Loss on Dec,11 Contract = 1000*1000*(49.00 -47.98) 10,20,000

    Total INR Receipt = 4,90,00,000 - 10,20,000 4,79,80,000

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    23/57

    23

    If USD will be 46.00

    The above computation ignores Margin & Mark to Market Loss/Profit.

    Today

    Sell 1000 Contracts Dec,2011 47.98

    Expected Remittance = 1000*1000*47.98 4,79,80,000

    On 28 Dec ,2011

    RBI fixing rate 46.00

    Sold USD 10,00,000 to the bank = 10,00,000*46.00 4,60,00,000

    Profit on Dec,11 Contract = 1000*1000*(47.98 -46.00) 19,80,000

    Total INR Receipt = 4,60,00,000 + 19,80,000 4,79,80,000

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    24/57

    24

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    25/57

    CURRENCY OPTIONS

    25

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    26/57

    26

    An option is a contract which gives the right, but not the obligation, to buy

    or sell the underlying at a stated date and at a stated price

    Gives the rightto buy

    CALL

    Gives the rightto sell

    PUT

    Options

    European

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    27/57

    Definition of Options

    A Currency Option is a Financial Contract which gives the BUYER (Holder) theRIGHT, but not the Obligation, to exchange a specified amount of currency versusanother at a specified rate on, or up to, a specified date.

    The SELLER (or Writer) of the Currency Option contract has the OBLIGATIONto deliver the specified amount of currency at the specified rate on the specifieddate.

    Options offer Flexibility to not lock in rates.

    Benefits over Forwards

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    28/57

    Classification of Options

    Type

    Exercise style

    Settlement

    Underlying

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    29/57

    Call Options

    Buy

    Sell

    Long Call

    Right to buy theunderlying at strike

    price

    Short CallObligation to sell

    the underlying at

    strike price

    Benefit if theunderlying rises.

    Profits substantial

    Lose if the underlying issteady/ falling.

    Loss limited to Premium

    Lose if the underlying rises.Loss substantial

    Benefit if theunderlying is steady/

    falling. Profit limited to

    Premium

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    30/57

    Put Options

    Buy

    Sell

    Long PutRight to sell the

    underlying at strike

    price

    Short PutObligation to Buy

    the underlying at

    strike price

    Benefit if theunderlying falls. Profits

    substantial

    Lose if the underlying issteady/ rising.

    Loss limited to Premium

    Lose if the underlying falls.Loss substantial

    Benefit if theunderlying is steady/

    rising. Profit limited to

    Premium

    Cl ifi i f O i ( d)

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    31/57

    Classification of Options (contd)

    American

    Exercised any time prior to expiration

    European Generally exercised on expiration date

    Expiration date:Date after which the option has no value.

    Cl ifi ti f O ti ( td)

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    32/57

    Classification of Options (contd)

    Cash settled

    Settled by the difference between the strikeprice and the determined value of theunderlying.

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    33/57

    Relationship between underlying and option

    In the money

    At the money

    Out of the money

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    34/57

    Strikes - Call, an example

    USDINR strike for 1ST

    Month December Spot :

    46.50

    Strike Prices:OTM: Calls: 47.00, 47.50

    Strike price > SpotATM: Calls: 46.50

    Strike price = spotITM: Calls: 46.00, 45.50

    Strike price < spot

    47.50

    47.00

    46.50

    46.00

    45.50

    IN

    R

    pe

    r

    US

    D

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    35/57

    Strikes - Put, an example

    USDINR strike for 1st

    Month December Spot :

    46.50

    Strike Prices:ITM: Puts : 47.00, 47.50

    Strike price > SpotATM: Calls: 46.50

    Strike price = spotOTM: Puts : 46.00, 45.50

    Strike price < spot

    47.50

    47.00

    46.50

    46.00

    45.50

    IN

    R

    pe

    r

    US

    D

    C O ti

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    36/57

    Currency Options

    36

    Category Description

    Type of Option Premium Styled European Call and Put Options

    Trading Hours9:00 am to 5:00 pm

    (Monday to Friday on all business day)

    Permitted Lot Size One lot denotes $ 1000

    Contracts AvailableThree serial monthly contracts followed by three quarterlycontracts of the cycle March/June/September/December

    Last Trading Day Two business days prior to last business day of the month

    Final Settlement Day Last working day of the contract month (Excluding Saturdays)

    Settlement INR cash settled at RBI reference rate

    Holiday Calendar Mumbai-Interbank

    Benefits of Currency Options

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    37/57

    Benefits of Currency Options

    Allows you to buy protection from currency

    strengthening or weakening to hedge your FX risk Allows you to protect your downside without

    necessarily giving up upside

    Allows you to structure a set of bought and soldoptions to suit your risk profile and/or view

    Allows you to earn premium by writing options, albeitwith unlimited downside

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    38/57

    Have a underlying FX risk by way of

    Imports

    USD loans

    Exports

    Indirect imports (Billing in INR but linked to USD exchange rate)

    Service contract receivables/payables in foreign currency

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    39/57

    Option - an example

    $ 1 Mio : Notional or principal.

    Call : Right to buyunderlying.(Importer)

    45.30 : Spot rate on Dec 1, 2010

    45.50 : 29 Dec Futures.

    Rs.45.50 : Strike price(ATMF). Rs.0.50 : Option premium.

    Dec 29, 2010 : Expiration date(Outward date).

    Option an example (Cont)

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    40/57

    Option - an example (Cont)

    Of 1 Dec 2010 Buy 1 Mio Call Options : 1000*1000*0.50=5, 00,000 INR.

    Once Trade Gets Executed Margin reversed to Clients A/C

    Total Payment : 5, 00,000=5,00,000 INR

    Break Even : 45.5000+0.5000=46.0000

    On 29 Dec 2010 Spot : 47.00

    Payoff On exercise date 29.12.2010 :47.00-46.00=1.00 INR(1000*1000*1.00=10, 00,000 INR)

    Net Payoff On exercise date 29.12.2010 :10,00,000-5,00,000=10,00,000

    (Charges Excluding Brokerage and SEBI &Stamp Duty)

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    41/57

    How can an exportermanage risk of rate of USD receivable ?

    Sell the future

    Buy a $ Put

    Sell a $ Call

    Buy a $ Put spread

    Buy a $ Put and sell a $ Call

    Collar

    {Examples and payoffs of each strategy to be done in detail}

    For exporter : Sell Future

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    42/57

    For exporter : Sell Future

    View : Bearish on USD

    Strategy : Sell future

    Risk: Unlimited Reward : Unlimited

    Breakeven : Future price

    Profit, when: USD-INR goes down

    Max loss, when: USD-INR goes up

    Example: Sell 1 Future*

    USD/INR Spot Price (`) 46.46

    *Lot size1 Contract

    = 1000

    USD

    Future Price (`) 46.00

    Break Even (`) 46.00

    USD/ INR on

    expiry (`)Net Pay-off

    (`)

    45.00 100045.50 500

    46.00 0

    46.50 -500

    47.00 -1000

    -2200

    -1700

    -1200

    -700

    -200

    300

    800

    1300

    1800

    43.

    00

    43.

    50

    44.

    00

    44.

    50

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    48.

    00

    48.

    50

    49.

    00

    49.

    50

    50.

    00

    Net Pay-offProfit (`

    Loss (` )

    USD/INR

    For exporter : Buy Put

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    43/57

    For exporter : Buy Put

    View : Bearish on USD

    Strategy : Buy put option

    Risk: Limited to premium

    Reward : Unlimited

    Breakeven :Strike Price Premium

    Profit, when: USD-INR goes down andoption exercised

    Max loss, when: USD-INR goes up andoption not exercised

    Example: Buy 1 Put Option*

    USD/INR Spot Price (`) 46.46

    *Lot size

    1 Contract =

    1000 USD

    Strike Price (`) 46.00

    Premium (`) 0.20

    Break Even (`) 45.80

    USD/

    INR on

    expiry (`)

    Premium

    Pay-off(`)

    Exercis

    e Pay-

    off(`)

    Net

    Pay-off(`)

    45.00 -200 1000 800

    45.50 -200 500 300

    45.80 -200 200 0

    46.00 -200 0 -200

    46.50 -200 0 -200

    -900

    -600

    -300

    0

    300

    600

    900

    44.

    00

    44.

    50

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    Net Pay-offProfit (`

    Loss (` )

    USD/INR

    For exporter : Short Call

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    44/57

    For exporter : Short Call View : Very bearish on USD

    Strategy : Sell Call option

    Risk: Unlimited Reward : Limited to premium

    Breakeven :Strike Price + Premium

    Max Profits, when: USD-INR goesdown and option not exercised

    Loss, when: USD-INR goes up andoption exercised

    Example: Sell 1 Call Option*

    USD/INR Spot Price (`) 46.46

    *Lot size

    1 Contract

    = 1000

    USD

    Strike Price (`) 47.00

    Premium (`) 0.33

    Break Even (`) 47.33

    USD/

    INR on

    expiry (`)

    Premiu

    m Pay-

    off(`)

    Exercise

    Pay-off(`)

    Net Pay-

    off(`)

    46.50 330 0 33047.00 330 0 330

    47.33 330 -330 0

    48.00 330 -1000 -670

    48.50 330 -1500 -1170

    -900

    -600

    -300

    0

    300

    600

    900

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    48.

    00

    48.

    50

    49.

    00

    49.

    50

    50.

    00

    Net Pay-offProfit (`

    Loss (` )

    USD/INR

    For exporter : Put Spread

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    45/57

    For exporter : Put Spread View : Moderately Bearish on USD Strategy : Buy ITM Put and sell OTM Put option

    to reduce cost and breakeven of ITM Put Risk: Limited to net premium paid

    Reward : Limited to the difference between thetwo strikes minus net premium paid

    Breakeven :Strike price of long Put -Netpremium paid

    Max profit, when: USD-INR goes down and bothoptions exercised

    Max loss, when: USD-INR goes up and bothoptions unexercised

    Example: Buy 1 ITM Put Option and Sell 1 OTM Put

    Option*

    USD/INR Spot Price (`) 46.46

    *Lot size1 Contract

    = 1000

    USD

    Buy ITM Put Strike Price (`) 46.50

    Put Premium (`) 0.38

    Sell OTM Put Strike Price(`) 45.50

    Put Premium (`) 0.09

    Break Even (`) 46.21

    USD/

    INR on

    expiry

    (`)

    Pay-off

    from ITM

    Put

    purchased(`)

    Pay-off

    from

    OTM

    Put sold(`)

    Net

    Pay-off(`)

    45.00 1120 -410 710

    45.50 620 90 710

    46.00 120 90 210

    46.21 -90 90 0

    47.00 -380 90 -290

    47.50 -380 90 -290

    -1500

    -1000

    -500

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    43.

    00

    43.

    50

    44.

    00

    44.

    50

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    48.

    00

    48.

    50

    49.

    00

    49.

    50

    50.

    00

    Pay-off from Put purchased

    Pay-off from Put sold

    Net Pay-off

    Loss (` )

    Profit (`

    USD/INR

    For exporter : Buy Put Sell Call

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    46/57

    For exporter : Buy Put, Sell Call

    View : Bearish on USD Strategy : Buy Put and sell Call option to

    reduce cost and breakeven of Put

    Risk: Unlimited Reward : Unlimited Breakeven :Strike price of long Put -Net

    premium paid Max profit, when: USD-INR goes down and

    put option is exercised

    Max loss, when: USD-INR goes up and calloptions is exercised

    Example: Buy 1 Put Option and Sell 1 Call Option*

    USD/INR Spot Price (`) 46.46

    *Lot size1 Contract

    = 1000

    USD

    Buy Put Strike Price (`) 46.00

    Put Premium (`) 0.25

    Sell Call Strike Price(`) 47.50

    Call Premium (`) 0.12

    Break Even (`) 45.87

    USD/

    INR on

    expiry

    (`)

    Pay-off

    from Put

    purchase

    d (`)

    Pay-off

    from

    Call sold

    (`)

    Net

    Pay-off(`)

    44.50 1250 120 1370

    45.00 750 120 870

    45.87 -120 120 0

    46.50 -250 120 -130

    48.00 -250 -380 -630

    48.50 -250 -880 -1130

    -1000

    -700

    -400

    -100

    200

    500

    800

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    48.

    00

    48.

    50

    Pay off from Put purchased

    Pay-off from Call sold

    Net Pay-off

    Profit `

    Loss (` )

    USD/INR

    For exporter : Collar

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    47/57

    For exporter : Collar View : Conservatively bearish

    Strategy : Sell Future, buy Call to insuredownside, sell Put option to partly finance

    Call Risk: Limited

    Reward : Limited

    Breakeven :Purchase price of futures Netpremium paid

    Max profit, when: USD-INR goes down andput option exercised

    Max loss, when: USD-INR goes up and calloption exercised

    USD/

    INR on

    expiry (`)

    Pay-off

    from

    Futures

    sold (`)

    Pay-off

    from Call

    purchase

    d (`)

    Pay-

    off

    from

    Put

    sold

    (`)

    Net

    Pay-off

    (`)

    44.50 2500 -80 -460 1960

    45.00 2000 -80 40 1960

    46.50 500 -80 40 460

    46.96 40 -80 40 0

    47.50 -500 -80 40 -54048.00 -1000 -80 40 -1040

    48.50 -1500 420 40 -1040

    Example: Sell 1 Future and 1 put Option Contract

    and Buy 1 Call Option Contract*

    USD/INR Future Price (`) 47.00

    *Lot size

    1 Contract =

    1000 USD

    Put Strike Price (`) 45.00

    Put Premium (`) 0.04

    Call Strike Price (`) 48.00

    Call Premium (`) 0.08

    Breakeven (`) 46.96-2200

    -1700

    -1200

    -700

    -200

    300

    800

    1300

    1800

    43.

    00

    43.

    50

    44.

    00

    44.

    50

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    48.

    00

    48.

    50

    49.

    00

    49.

    50

    50.

    00

    Pay-off from Future sold

    Pay-off from Call purchased

    Pay-off from Put soldNet Pay-off

    Profit (`

    Loss (` )

    USD/INR

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    48/57

    How can an importermanage risk of rate of USD payable ?

    Buy the future

    Buy a $ Call

    Sell a $ Put

    Buy a $ Call spread

    Buy a $ Call and sell a $ Put

    Collar

    {Examples and payoffs of each strategy to be done in detail}

    For importer : Buy Future

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    49/57

    For importer : Buy Future View : Bullish on USD

    Strategy : Buy future

    Risk: Unlimited Reward : Unlimited

    Breakeven : Future price

    Profit, when: USD-INR goes up

    Max loss, when: USD-INR goes down

    Example: Buy 1 Future*

    USD/INR Spot Price (`) 46.46

    *Lot size

    1 Contract

    = 1000

    USD

    Future Price (`) 46.00

    Break Even (`) 46.00

    USD/ INR on

    expiry (`)Net Pay-off

    (`)

    45.00 -1000

    45.50 -500

    46.00 0

    46.50 500

    47.00 1000

    -2200

    -1700

    -1200

    -700

    -200

    300

    800

    1300

    1800

    43.

    00

    43.

    50

    44.

    00

    44.

    50

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    48.

    00

    48.

    50

    49.

    00

    49.

    50

    50.

    00

    Net Pay-offProfit (`

    Loss (` )

    USD/INR

    For importer : Long Call

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    50/57

    For importer : Long Call

    View : Very bullish on USD Strategy : Buy call option

    Risk: Limited to premium Reward : Unlimited Breakeven :Strike price + Premium Profit, when: USD/INR goes up and

    option exercised Loss, when: USD/INR does not go up

    and option expires unexercised

    Example: Buy 1 Call Option*

    USD/INR Spot Price (`) 46.46

    *Lot size

    1 Contract

    = 1000

    USD

    Strike Price (`) 47.00

    Premium (`) 0.33

    Break Even (`) 47.33

    USD/ INR

    on expiry (`)

    Premium

    Pay-off(`)

    Exercise

    Pay-off(`)

    Net Pay-

    off(`)

    46.50 -330 0 -330

    47.00 -330 0 -330

    47.33 -330 330 0

    48.00 -330 1000 670

    48.50 -330 1500 1170

    -900

    -600

    -300

    0

    300

    600

    900

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    48.

    00

    48.

    50

    49.

    00

    49.

    50

    50.

    00

    Net Pay-offProfit (`

    Loss (` )

    USD/INR

    For importer : Short Put

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    51/57

    For importer : Short Put

    View : Bullish on USD

    Strategy : Sell put option

    Risk: Unlimited Reward : Limited to premium

    Breakeven :Strike price Premium

    Profit, when: USD-INR does not godown and option expires unexercised

    Loss, when: USD-INR goes down andoption exercised

    Example: Sell 1 Put Option*

    USD/INR Spot Price (`) 46.46

    *Lot size

    1 Contract

    = 1000

    USD

    Strike Price (`) 46.00

    Premium (`) 0.20

    Break Even (`) 45.80

    USD/

    INR on

    expiry (`)

    Premiu

    m Pay-

    off(`)

    Exercise

    Pay-off(`)

    Net Pay-

    off(`)

    45.00 200 -1000 -800

    45.50 200 -500 -300

    45.80 200 -200 0

    46.00 200 0 200

    46.50 200 0 200

    -900

    -600

    -300

    0

    300

    600

    900

    44.

    00

    44.

    50

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    Net Pay-offProfit (`

    Loss (` )

    USD/INR

    For importer : Call Spread

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    52/57

    For importer : Call Spread View : Moderately bullish on USD

    Strategy : Buying ITM Call and selling OTMcall thereby reducing cost and breakeven of

    ITM call

    Risk: Limited to net premium paid

    Reward : Limited to the difference betweenthe two strikes minus net premium paid

    Breakeven :Strike price of purchased call +

    Net premium paid Max profit, when: both options exercised

    Max loss, when: both options unexercised

    Example: Buy 1 ITM Call Option and Sell 1 OTM

    Call Option *

    USD/INR Spot Price (`) 46.46*Lot size

    1 Contract

    = 1000

    USD

    ITM Call Strike Price (`) 46.00

    Call Premium (`) 0.88

    OTM Call Strike Price(`) 47.00

    Call Premium (`) 0.33

    Break Even (`) 46.55

    USD/

    INR on

    expiry (`)

    Pay-off

    from ITM

    Call

    purchased(`)

    Pay-off

    from OTM

    Call sold (`)

    Net

    Pay-

    off(`)

    44.50 -880 330 -550

    45.50 -880 330 -550

    46.55 -330 330 0

    47.50 620 -170 450

    48.50 1620 -1170 450

    49.00 2120 -1670 450

    -1500

    -1000

    -500

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    43.

    00

    43.

    50

    44.

    00

    44.

    50

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    48.

    00

    48.

    50

    49.

    00

    49.

    50

    50.

    00

    Pay-off from ITM Call purchased

    Pay-off from OTM Call sold

    Net Pay-off

    Loss (` )

    Profit (`

    USD/INR

    For importer : Buy Call, Sell Put

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    53/57

    For importer : Buy Call, Sell Put View : Bullish on USD Strategy : Buy Call and sell Put option to

    reduce cost and breakeven of Call

    Risk: Unlimited Reward : Unlimited Breakeven :Strike price of long Call + Net

    premium paid Max profit, when: USD-INR goes up and call

    option is exercised

    Max loss, when: USD-INR goes down and putoptions is exercised

    Example: Buy 1 Call Option and Sell 1 Put Option*

    USD/INR Spot Price (`) 46.46

    *Lot size

    1 Contract

    = 1000

    USD

    Buy Call Strike Price (`) 47.00

    Call Premium (`) 0.33

    Sell Put Strike Price(`) 45.50

    Put Premium (`) 0.09

    Break Even (`) 47.24

    USD/

    INR on

    expiry

    (`)

    Pay-off

    from Call

    purchased

    (`)

    Pay-off

    from Put

    sold (`)

    Net

    Pay-off(`)

    45.00 -330 -410 -740

    46.00 -330 90 -240

    47.00 -330 90 -240

    47.24 -90 90 0

    47.50 170 90 26048.00 670 90 760

    -1000

    -700

    -400

    -100

    200

    500

    800

    44.

    50

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    48.

    00

    Pay-off from Call purchased

    Pay off from Put sold

    Net Pay-off

    Profit (`

    Loss (` )

    USD/INR

    For importer : Collar

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    54/57

    For importer : Collar View : Conservatively bullish

    Strategy : Buy futures, buy put to insuredownside, sell call option to partly finance

    put Risk: Limited

    Reward : Limited

    Breakeven :Purchase price of futuresCall premium + Put premium

    Max profit, when: USD-INR goes up and

    call option exercised Max loss, when: USD-INR goes down

    and put option exercised

    USD/ INR

    on expiry

    (`)

    Pay-off

    from

    Futures

    purchased

    (`)

    Pay-off

    from Put

    purchased

    (`)

    Pay-off

    from

    Call

    sold (`)

    Net

    Pay-off

    (`)

    45.00 -2000 800 80 -1120

    45.50 -1500 300 80 -1120

    47.12 120 -200 80 0

    47.50 500 -200 80 380

    48.00 1000 -200 80 880

    48.50 1500 -200 -420 880

    Example: Buy 1 Future and 1Put Option Contract

    and Sell 1 Call Option Contract*

    USD/INR Future Price (`) 47.00

    *Lot size

    1 Contract =

    1000 USD

    Put Strike Price (`) 46.00

    Put Premium (`) 0.20

    Call Strike Price (`) 48.00

    Call Premium (`) 0.08

    Breakeven (`) 47.12

    -1500

    -1000

    -500

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    43.

    00

    43.

    50

    44.

    00

    44.

    50

    45.

    00

    45.

    50

    46.

    00

    46.

    50

    47.

    00

    47.

    50

    48.

    00

    48.

    50

    49.

    00

    49.

    50

    50.

    00

    Pay-off from Future purchased

    Pay-off from Put purchased

    Pay-off from Call sold

    Net Pay-offProfit (`

    Loss (` )

    USD/INR

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    55/57

    55

    Why National Stock Exchange

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    56/57

    5656

    Pioneer of online trading in India

    Access to investors from over 150,000 terminals, 1400 locations

    NSCCL first Clearing Corporation in India; first to provide settlement

    guarantee, rated CCR - AAA by CRISIL

    NSDLFirst depository dematerialization

    3rd largest exchange - cash market

    Largest exchange in the world - stock futures

    One of the top global derivatives exchanges

    First in India to introduce DMA (Direct Market Access)

    First in the world to setup and operate STP central HUB

    Innovation, invention and world class infrastructure

    First to launchCurrency Derivatives.

    Why National Stock Exchange

  • 8/2/2019 CDS -Final1

    57/57

    5757