cbsnytpoll iowa main 120611

8/3/2019 CBSNYTPoll Iowa Main 120611

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CBS News/New York Times PollFor release: Tuesday December 6, 2011

6:30 PM EST

The Iowa Caucuses: Four Weeks to GoNovember 30- December 5, 2011

Though Iowas Republican caucuses have often hinged on socially conservative issues,this year in Iowa - as in the nation - its the economy that dominates. Caucus-goers tellthe CBS News/New York Times poll theyre seeking someone who can turn it aroundand has new ideas to do so.

Iowas caucus goers are not backing the candidates they most think share their values theyre backing the one they think is most prepared for the presidency, and right nowthats overwhelmingly Newt Gingrich. Buoyed by that sentiment, he enjoys a sizable leadover Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, who are virtually tied for second place in this poll.

Gingrich leads among caucus goers with 31%, followed by Romney (17%) and Paul(16%). Tea Party supporters and evangelical voters back the former House Speaker.Romney leads among moderates.

Ron Pauls strong suits are tax reform, promoting conservative principles, and sharingvoters values. Romney is seen as able to do a good job dealing with the economy.

The Race for the Nomination

The poll finds Newt Gingrich with a double-digit lead over Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. HermanCains departure is not a large factor he had already declined in Iowa before he withdrew fromthe race Saturday but Gingrich benefits from his withdrawal. Paul benefits somewhat; Romneydoes not. Although one-third of caucus goers say they did back Herman Cain at one time in thepast, the preference vote measured with Cain in the mix had him at just 7%. Most of theinterviewing for this poll was conducted before Cain left the race; caucus-goers were asked theircandidate preference in questions including and excluding Herman Cain.

Iowa Caucus-goers: Choice for Nominee(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

Without Cain With CainNewt Gingrich 31% 28%Mitt Romney 17 18Ron Paul 16 14Rick Perry 11 10Michele Bachmann 9 4Rick Santorum 4 4Jon Huntsman 1 1Herman Cain n/a 7

There is still room for movement in the race; 34% say their minds are made up, but 66% saythey could still change their minds.

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Candidate Qualities

Newt Gingrich leads the rest of the Republican candidates on many key attributes especiallythose that reflect leadership and presidential readiness. He is seen as most prepared for the jobof president, best able to handle an international crisis and most qualified to be commander-in-chief.

Gingrich and Romney are viewed as the most electable candidates: 31% say Gingrich has thebest chance of defeating President Obama, while almost as many, 29%, think Romney has thebest chance.

Which Candidate Is?(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

Most Prepared Best Handle Most Qualified to be Best Chance toto be President Intl crisis Commander-in-Chief Beat Obama

Gingrich 43% 44% 40% 31%Romney 20 16 19 29Paul 11 10 11 6Perry 8 7 8 9

Gingrich also does well on the two issues most important to Iowa caucus goers the economyand the federal budget deficit. Gingrich ties Romney, who has touted his business experienceand ability to create jobs in his campaign, on dealing with the economy.

Even though Gingrich has been criticized by some for his recent statements on illegalimmigration, 21% of Iowa caucus goers think he is the best candidate to handle that issue.About as many 20% - think Perry would handle illegal immigration best.

Which Candidate Will Do the Best Job On?(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

Illegal

Economy Budget Deficit Health Care Immigration Tax ReformRomney 22% 17% 15% 13% 12%Gingrich 21 25 24 21 17Paul 15 19 15 15 21Perry 13 10 7 20 11

In this election, economic issues (71%) trump social issues (14%) among Republican caucus-goers. Even among most white evangelicals a Republican voter group that traditionallyfactors social issues more prominently in their voting decisions - economic issues matter more.

Which Candidate Views Will Matter More in Your Vote?(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

All White EvangelicalsEconomic issues 71% 55%Social issues 14 25Both equally (volunteered) 13 18

And in one area, Romney runs a real deficit compared to his competitors. He has beencriticized for changing his position on some issues over the years; just 40% of Iowa caucus-goers think he says what he believes most of the time. More than half 53% - think he says

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what people want to hear the highest of any candidate. Four years ago, 56% of IowasRepublican caucus-goers thought Romney mostly said what he believed.

Do You Think?(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

Says What Believes What People Want to HearPaul 81% 13Bachmann 63% 27Gingrich 63% 30Perry 56% 37Santorum 48% 24Romney 40% 53Huntsman 33% 23

Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann are tied for the top spot as the candidates who most sharethese voters values, and as the candidates who will best promote conservative principles.

Iowa caucus-goers think Newt Gingrich best understands their needs and problems, but justone in 10 choose him as the candidate who most shares their values.

Which Candidate ?(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)Shares Your Understands your Promote ConservativeValues Needs & Problems Principles

Bachmann 19% 11% 21%Paul 18 16 20Romney 16 13 10Gingrich 11 24 18Santorum 10 5 7Perry 10 10 10Huntsman 1 1 *(*) denotes less than 0.5%

Electability

When it comes to which is more important a candidate who agrees with you on the issues orone who has a good chance to win the presidency in 2012 Republican caucus-goers aredivided: 51% say agreement on the issues is most important, while 48% pick winning in 2012.

Whats More Important in Your Vote A Candidate Who?(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

Agrees on the issues 51%Will win in 2012 48

Those who say that electability next November is most important to them go for Gingrich by alarge margin, with Romney coming in second. But among those who say its more importanttheir candidate agrees with them on the issues, Ron Paul has a slight edge over Gingrich, withRomney coming in third.

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Iowa Caucus-goers: Choice for Nominee Among(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)All Win in 2012 Agree on IssuesCaucus Goers Most Important Most Important

Gingrich 31% 43% 21%Romney 17 20 15Paul 16 8 23Perry 10 10 11Bachmann 9 8 10Santorum 4 2 5Huntsman 1 1 1

What They Want in a Candidate

Four in 5 caucus-goers want a candidate who will come up with new ideas to solve the countrysproblems, and two in 3 want one who is flexible about changing a position when necessary.

Whats More Important in Your Vote A Candidate Who?(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

Has new ideas 82%Will continue Republican policies 10

Flexible when necessary 64%Sticks to positions 32

In this poll, Iowa caucus-goers say they are willing to back a candidate that may not necessarilyagree with them on some issues. Most say they would vote for a candidate who does not sharetheir views on immigration, or who holds views less conservative than their own.

Willing to Vote for a Candidate Who.?(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

Yes NoHas views that are less conservative than yours 78% 19Does not share your views on immigration 62% 33Has changed his/her position on abortion 58% 32

Nearly six in ten caucus goers say they are willing to back a candidate who has changed his orher position on abortion, but this number drops among Tea Party supporters and evangelicals.

Willing to Vote for a Candidate Who.?(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

White Evangelicals Tea PartyYes No Yes No

Has views that are less conservative than yours 80% 18 78% 19Does not share your views on immigration 64% 33 62% 32Has changed his/her position on abortion 44% 41 53% 35

Personal Life

A candidates personal life does matter to Republican caucus-goers; seven in 10 say thatshould be factored in along with his or her political record. Just three in 10 think only the

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political record matters. Evangelicals are particularly likely to say a candidates personal lifematters: 78% do so.

Republican Candidates Should be Judged On(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

All White EvangelicalsPolitical record and personal life 69% 78%Political record only 29 21

And while now-former candidate Herman Cains support has dropped precipitously asallegations of past sexual misconduct surfaced over the past two months, Iowa front-runnerNewt Gingrichs support doesnt seem to be suffering from a personal history that includes threemarriages and two extra-marital affairs. While Gingrich leads handily among caucus-goers forwhom only the political record is important, he also leads among those who factor in acandidates personal life.

Iowa Caucus-goers: Choice for Nominee AmongAll Record & Personal Only RecordCaucus Goers Life Important Is Important

Gingrich 31% 27% 39%Romney 17 18 17Paul 16 19 10Perry 11 10 12Bachmann 9 9 7Santorum 4 5 1Huntsman 1 1 1

Other Considerations

A candidates religious beliefs are important to just over half of caucus-goers (and 80% ofevangelicals).

Important a Candidate Share your Religious Beliefs(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

All White EvangelicalsVery 17% 28%Somewhat 38 52Not very 19 10Not all 26 9

There are two candidates in the race who are Mormon, and most caucus-goers say they arewilling to vote for a candidate who is Mormon. A majority (although a smaller percentage) alsosay most people they know would vote for a Mormon for president. Views are similar among

evangelicals.

Vote for a Mormon for President(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

All White EvangelicalsWould vote for a Mormon 85% 77%Most people you know would vote for a Mormon 67% 65%

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Neither Gingrich nor Romney has spent the most time in Iowa, which is famous for rewardingretail politics leading up to the caucus but many voters say that only matters somewhat.

Importance of a Candidate Spending a Lot of Time in Iowa(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)Very important 14%Somewhat important 46Not too important 27Not at all important 13

Enthusiasm for Candidates

Newt Gingrich generates the most enthusiasm among caucus-goers; 43% say they wouldenthusiastically support him if he is the Republican nominee. 34% would enthusiasticallysupport Romney, and 31% say the same for Paul.

Enthusiasm if He/She Became Nominee Next Year(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

Gingrich Paul Romney Bachmann PerryWould enthusiastically support 43% 31% 34% 34% 30%Would support with reservations 29 31 29 25 31Would support only because nominee 13 21 23 22 20Would not support 12 15 13 18 16

Views of the Candidates

Newt Gingrich is viewed the most positively of the candidates: 55% of caucus-goers have afavorable opinion of him, while just 16% view him unfavorably.

Mitt Romney (43%), Michele Bachmann (42%), and Ron Paul (39%) are all also viewed morepositively than negatively, though Romney had a much higher favorable rating (57%) among

caucus-goers at this point in the 2008 campaign than he does this time around.

Caucus-goers are more divided in their opinions of both Herman Cain, who suspended hiscampaign over the weekend, and Rick Perry about a third approve and disapprove of each.

Caucus-goers are largely undecided about Rick Santorum and Jon Huntsman. Of those who dohave an opinion, Santorum is viewed more favorably, and Huntsman is viewed moreunfavorably.

Views of the Candidates(Among Republican Caucus-Goers)

Favorable Not favorable Undecided/dont know

Gingrich 55% 16 28Romney 43% 33 24Bachmann 42% 30 28Paul 39% 28 33Perry 35% 33 33Cain 35% 38 27Santorum 31% 13 57Huntsman 11% 22 67

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Attention to the Campaign

True to their reputation, Iowa caucus-goers are tuned in to the presidential race. 54% arepaying a lot of attention to the presidential campaign, and another 41% are paying someattention. In 2007, more were paying a lot of attention but there were contests among boththe Democrats and Republicans that year.

42% of caucus-goers say that compared to past presidential elections, they are moreenthusiastic about voting in the 2012.

_____________________________________________________________________

CBS News and The New York Times conducted telephone interviews November 30-December 5, 2011 with 642registered voters who said they would definitely or probably attend the Republican caucus in Iowa. The error due tosampling could be four points for caucus-goers.

The sample was drawn from two sources: the state of Iowas registered voter list, and an RDD sample of cell phoneinterviews.

Results were weighted by probabilities of selection and by demographic characteristics to reflect the eligible caucus-

goers on the Iowa voter list.


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CBS News/New York Times Iowa Poll

The Iowa Caucuses: Four Weeks to Go

November 29 December 4, 2011

q1-q4 SEPARATE RELEASE

q5 How likely is it that you will attend the Republican Iowa Presidential caucuses on

January 3? Will you definitely attend, probably attend, probably not attend, or definitely

not attend?

IOWA VOTERS REGISTERED IOWA

AS REPUBLICANS REPUBLICAN

OR INDEPENDENTS GOERS

% %

Definitely 15 49

Probably 16 51

Probably not 28 0

Definitely not 40 0

DK/NA 1 0

q6 How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2012 presidential campaign--a lot,

some, not much, or no attention so far?

* IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS *

%

A lot 54

Some 41

Not much 4

None at all 1

Don't know/No answer 0

q7 Compared to past Presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm

about voting in the 2012 Presidential election next year -- are you more enthusiastic than

usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?

More 42Less 15

Same 43


q8 If the Iowa Republican Presidential caucuses were held today, which candidate would you

support - Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry,

Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?

Newt Gingrich 28

Mitt Romney 18

Ron Paul 14

Rick Perry 10

Herman Cain 7

Michele Bachmann 4

Rick Santorum 4

Jon Huntsman 1

Someone Else (Vol.) 1

Undecided (Vol.) 10

No/No one 1

DK/NA 2


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q9 Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?


%

Mind made up 34

Too early to say for sure 66

DK/NA 0

q10 Would you describe your support for (Selected Candidate) as strongly favoring (SelectedCandidate), or do you like him/her but with reservations, or do you support (Selected

Candidate) because you dislike the other candidates?

*IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS*

Total Gingrich Romney

Voters Voters Voters

% % %

Strongly favor 46 47 39

Like but with reservations 45 42 51

Dislike other candidates 8 10 10

Don't know/No answer 1 1 0

q11 Who would be your second choice - Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon

Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, Or Rick Santorum?

Mitt Romney 18 31 --

Newt Gingrich 16 -- 27

Ron Paul 15 17 14

Rick Perry 13 15 18

Michele Bachmann 10 7 7

Herman Cain 7 9 11

Rick Santorum 7 11 5

Jon Huntsman 3 2 5

Someone Else 1 0 0

Undecided (Vol.) 4 3 4

No/No one 2 3 2

DK/NA 4 2 7

q12 If the Iowa Republican Presidential caucuses were held today and THESE were the

candidates - Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt

Romney, and Rick Santorum - which candidate would you support?

Gingrich 31

Romney 17

Paul 16

Perry 11

Bachmann 9

Santorum 4

Huntsman 1

Someone else (vol.) 1

Undecided (Vol.) 6

No/No one 2

DK/NA 2

q13 Is your opinion of Michele Bachmann favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you

heard enough about Michele Bachmann yet to have an opinion?

Favorable 42

Not favorable 30

Undecided 18

Haven't heard enough 10


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q14 Is your opinion of Herman Cain favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you

heard enough about Herman Cain yet to have an opinion?


%

Favorable 35

Not favorable 38

Undecided 21

Haven't heard enough 6Refused 0

q15 How about Newt Gingrich?

(IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, not favorable, undecided, or

haven't you heard enough about Newt Gingrich yet to have an opinion?)

Favorable 55

Not favorable 16

Undecided 17


Refused 1

q16 How about Jon Huntsman?

(IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Jon Huntsman favorable, not favorable, undecided, or

haven't you heard enough about Jon Huntsman yet to have an opinion?)

Favorable 11

Not favorable 22

Undecided 13


Refused 0

q17 How about Ron Paul?

(IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Ron Paul favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't

you heard enough about Ron Paul yet to have an opinion?)

Favorable 39Not favorable 28

Undecided 21


Refused 0

q18 How about Rick Perry?

(IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, not favorable, undecided, or

haven't you heard enough about Rick Perry yet to have an opinion?)

Favorable 35

Not favorable 33

Undecided 22


q19 How about Mitt Romney?

(IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, not favorable, undecided, or

haven't you heard enough about Mitt Romney yet to have an opinion?)

Favorable 43

Not favorable 33

Undecided 18



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q20 How about Rick Santorum?

(IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, not favorable, undecided, or

haven't you heard enough about Rick Santorum yet to have an opinion?)


%

Favorable 31

Not favorable 13

Undecided 16Haven't heard enough 41

Refused 0


q25 Was there ever a time when you supported Herman Cain for the Republican nomination for

president, or not?

Yes 36

No 62

DK/NA 2

q26 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think most

understands the needs and problems of people like you -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain,

Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?

Gingrich 24

Paul 16

Romney 13

Bachmann 11

Cain 10

Perry 10

Santorum 5

Huntsman 1

All of them (vol.) 1

None of them (vol.) 3

DK/NA 6

q27 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think has the best

chance of defeating Barack Obama in the general election in November -- Michele Bachmann,

Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick

Santorum?

Gingrich 31

Romney 29

Perry 9

Paul 6

Cain 5

Bachmann 3

Huntsman 1

Santorum 1



DK/NA 8


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q28 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think is best

prepared for the job of President of the United States - - Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain,

Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?


%

Gingrich 43

Romney 20

Paul 11Perry 8

Cain 3

Bachmann 2

Santorum 2

Huntsman 1



DK/NA 6

q29 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think most

represents the values you try to live by -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich,

Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?

Bachmann 19

Paul 18

Romney 16

Gingrich 11

Perry 10

Santorum 10

Cain 6

Huntsman 1



DK/NA 6

q30 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think will do the

most to promote conservative principles -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich,Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?

Bachmann 21

Paul 20

Gingrich 18

Perry 10

Romney 10

Santorum 7

Cain 4

Huntsman 0



DK/NA 9


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q31 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you trust most to

handle an international crisis -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon

Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?


%

Gingrich 44

Romney 16

Paul 10Perry 7

Bachmann 3

Cain 3

Santorum 3

Huntsman 2



DK/NA 8

q34 If Michele Bachmann became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you

enthusiastically support her, support her but with reservations, support her only because

she is the Republican Party nominee, or not support her?

Enthusiastically support 34

Support with reservations 25

Support only because nominee 22

Not support 18


q35 If Herman Cain became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you

enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because

he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?




Not support 23Don't know/No answer 2

q36 If Newt Gingrich became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you






Not support 12


q37 If Jon Huntsman became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you






Not support 18



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q38 If Ron Paul became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you




%



Support only because nominee 21Not support 15


q39 If Rick Perry became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you






Not support 16


q40 If Mitt Romney became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you






Not support 13


q41 If Rick Santorum became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you






Not support 15


q42 Do you think the candidates for the Republican nomination for President should be

judged on both their political record and their personal life, or should they be judged

only on their political record?

Both 69

Only political record 29

DK/NA 2


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q43 Which of the following matters more to you in deciding which Republican presidential

candidate to support - the candidate's views on economic issues or the candidate's views on

social issues?


%

Economic 71

Social 14

Both equally (Vol.) 13Neither (Vol.) 0

DK/NA 2

q44 Thinking about the Republican party's nominee for President in 2012, if you had to

choose, which is more important to you -- having a Republican nominee who agrees with your

positions on most issues, or having a nominee with the best chance of defeating Barack

Obama in 2012?

Agrees with issues 51

Win in 2012 48


q45 Thinking about the Republican nomination for president, is it more important that the

nominee be someone who has new ideas about dealing with the country's problems, or more

important that the nominee be someone who will continue the past policies of the Republican

party?

New ideas 82

Continue past policies 10

Both (vol.) 4

Neither (vol.) 1


q46 Would you rather have a Republican nominee for president who takes a position and

sticks with it, or someone who is flexible about changing a position if they think that's

necessary?

Sticks to a position 32

Flexible about changing 64

DK/NA 4

q47 Would you be willing or not willing to vote for a candidate for the Republican

nomination who does not share your views on immigration?

Willing 62

Not willing 33



nomination who has views that are less conservative than yours if you thought that

candidate had a good chance to win the presidency in November 2012?

Willing 78

Not willing 19



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nomination who has changed his or her position on the issue of abortion?


%

Willing 58

Not willing 32


q50 Thinking about your vote for president next year, how important is it that a candidate

shares your religious beliefs - is it very important, somewhat important, not very

important, not at all important?

Very important 17

Somewhat important 38

Not very important 19

Not at all important 26

DK/NA 0

q52 Would you prefer the Republican nominee for President be someone whose experience has

been mostly in politics and government, or someone whose experience has been mostly in the

business or private sector, or doesn't it matter to you?

Mostly politics and gvrnmt 17

Mostly business and private 34

Doesn't matter 48


q55 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think is most

qualified to be Commander-in-Chief -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon


Gingrich 40

Romney 19

Paul 11

Perry 8Cain 4

Santorum 3

Bachmann 2

Huntsman 2



DK/NA 8


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reform the federal tax system -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon



%

Paul 21

Gingrich 17

Cain 14Romney 12

Perry 11

Bachmann 7

Huntsman 2

Santorum 2



DK/NA 7

q57 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you trust most to deal

with the economy and unemployment -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon


Romney 22

Gingrich 21

Paul 15

Perry 13

Cain 10

Bachmann 4

Santorum 3

Huntsman 1



DK/NA 8


handle the federal budget deficit -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, JonHuntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?

Gingrich 25

Paul 19

Romney 17

Perry 10

Cain 9

Bachmann 5

Santorum 3

Huntsman 1



DK/NA 7


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with health care -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul,

Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?


%

Gingrich 24

Romney 15

Paul 15Bachmann 13

Perry 7

Cain 5

Santorum 4

Huntsman 1



DK/NA 11


with the issue of illegal immigration -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon


Gingrich 21

Perry 20

Paul 15

Romney 13

Bachmann 7

Santorum 4

Cain 3

Huntsman 1



DK/NA 12

q63 Do you think Michele Bachmann says what she believes most of the time, or does she say

what she thinks people want to hear?

What she believes 63

What she thinks people wan 27

DK/NA 10

q64 Do you think Herman Cain says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he

thinks people want to hear?

What he believes 60

What he thinks people want 31

DK/NA 9

q65 Do you think Newt Gingrich says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what

he thinks people want to hear?

What he believes 63


DK/NA 7


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q66 Do you think Jon Huntsman says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what



%

What he believes 33


DK/NA 44

q67 Do you think Ron Paul says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he


What he believes 81


DK/NA 6

q68 Do you think Rick Perry says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he


What he believes 56


DK/NA 7

q69 Do you think Mitt Romney says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he


What he believes 40


DK/NA 7

q70 Do you think Rick Santorum says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what


What he believes 48


DK/NA 28

q71 Do you think most people you know would vote for a presidential candidate who is

Mormon, or not?

Yes 67

No 19

DK/NA 14

q72 How about you? Would you vote for a presidential candidate who is Mormon, or not?

Yes 85

No 12

DK/NA 3



20/22

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q80 In deciding which candidate to support in the caucuses in January, how important is it

to you that the candidate has spent a lot of time in Iowa -- is that very important,

somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important?


%

Very important 14

Somewhat important 46

Not too important 27Not at all important 13

DK/NA 0

q81 How concerned are you that in the next 12 months you or someone else in your household

might be out of work and looking for a job -- very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not

concerned at all?

Very concerned 19

Somewhat concerned 32

Not at all concerned 49

q82 How would you rate the financial situation in your household these days? Is it very

good, fairly good, fairly bad, or very bad?

Very good 20

Fairly good 68

Fairly bad 8

Very bad 2

DK/NA 2

q83 Have you ever attended an Iowa Presidential caucus in the past, or will this be your

first time attending?

Attended in past 65

First time voter 34

DK/NA 1

q84 Did you attend the Iowa Republican Caucus in 2008?

IF YES: Did you support Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson, John McCain, Ron Paul

or someone else?

Yes, Huckabee 27

Yes, Romney 13

Yes, McCain 12

Yes, Paul 8

Yes, Thompson 6

Yes, Someone else 4

Yes, Won't say/ can't reca 2

No, Didn't attend 27

DK/NA 1

q85 So far, have you watched or listened to any of the recent debates among the Republican

candidates running for president, or not?

Yes 71

No 29

DK/NA 0


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q86 During this presidential campaign, have you attended any campaign events or seen any of

the Presidential candidates in person, or haven't you?


%

Yes 27

No 73

q87 During this presidential campaign, have you personally organized or hosted a campaignevent for a Presidential candidate, or haven't you?

IF YES, Was that event at your home or somewhere else?

Yes, at home 1

Yes, somewhere else 9

No 89


q88 Have you been contacted by any of the Republican candidates' presidential campaigns

through direct mail, email, by phone, in person by a campaign worker, or by meeting the

candidate in person, or haven't you been contacted?

Yes 78

No 22

q89 Have you been contacted by Michele Bachmann's campaign?

Yes 67

No 30

DK/NA 3

q90 (Have you been contacted by) Herman Cain's campaign?

Yes 54

No 42

DK/NA 4

q91 (Have you been contacted by) Newt Gingrich's campaign?

Yes 38

No 59

DK/NA 3

q92 (Have you been contacted by) Jon Huntsman's campaign?

Yes 12

No 85

DK/NA 3

q93 (Have you been contacted by) Ron Paul's campaign?

Yes 77

No 21

DK/NA 2


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q94 (Have you been contacted by) Rick Perry's campaign?


%

Yes 69

No 28

DK/NA 3

q95 (Have you been contacted by) Mitt Romney's campaign?

Yes 60

No 36

DK/NA 4

q96 (Have you been contacted by) Rick Santorum's campaign?

Yes 36

No 59

DK/NA 5

Unweighted Weighted

Iowa Republican Caucus-Goers: 642 583

cbsnytpoll iowa main 120611

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