cat 11 future trends briefing students 2
TRANSCRIPT
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Future TrendsProjects Competition 2011
Meet the Futurists Session 2
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RECAP
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Inspiredby:
FPS: Future Problem Solving
The aim of Future Problem Solving is essentially to developcritical, creative and futuristic thinking skills. It challengesstudents to apply their imagination and thinking skills to
some of the significant issues facing both the world of today,and the future, equipping them with the skills and visionneeded to anticipate, comprehend and solve problemsassociated with these issues, helping them to have a positiveimpact in the society of the future. FPSP Australia
But there are critical differences between FPS and FutureTrends, which will be explained in the next few slides ofthebriefing.
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Working
Principles of
Cat 11: Future Trends
While divergent thinking is highly encouraged,
students must also be able to take on an evaluative
function, hence a balance between originality and
research is advocated.
Focus on both process (documented research) +
product (creatively-applied research).
creative activity is made possible by a critical assessment of the existing body ofknowledge K.P. Mohanan, 1997.
ideational flow must also be criticallycensored G. J. W. Smith, 2005.
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6-Step Future Trends Process
1 Identify Potential Problems
2 Identify Fundamental Problem3 Identify Potential Solutions
4 Select Best Solution
5 Design Action Plan
6 Evaluate Action Plan
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Projects Competition Prelims
Requirements for Students
Students will be presented with a
scenario set in the future
Complete Steps 1 2, with research,
in online portfolio.
Presentation:
Present Steps 1 2:
Select 5 most significant potentialproblems substantiated with current
and future trend research.
Present Fundamental Problem and
rationale.
6-Step Future Trends Process
1 Identify Potential Problems2 Identify Fundamental Problem
3 Identify Potential Solutions
4 Select Best Solution
5 Design Action Plan
6 Evaluate Action Plan
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STEP 1 IDENTIFY POTENTIALPROBLEMS
1. Brainstorm at least 15 potential problems
2. Perform research on the 15 potential problems
- Discard poorest 5
3. Phrase 10 best potential problems clearly
- Use FPSP approach
4. Update online portfolio
- Portfolio should be aesthetically pleasing, easy to navigate, easy toread. Each piece of research should be evaluated and summarised.Hyperlink evaluation of research to problem.
5. Select best 5 for presentation
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Categories
Business and commerce
Transportation
Social relationships
Environment
Education
Technology
Recreation
Government & Politics
Ethics and religion
Arts and aesthetics
Physical health
Basic Needs Defense
Economics
Law & Justice
Communication
Miscellaneous
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Good example:The widespread use of the WristLink device may
lead to a general decline in the communication
skills of the young generation.
Poor example:Whatproblem can the widespread use of the
WristLink device cause?
Writing Problems
You should write all problems as sentences, not as questions.
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Good example:
If forgetful owners like Geoff lose their WristLink, their
security maybe in peril.
Poor example:
If forgetful owners like Geoff lose their WristLink,
their security willbe in peril.
Writing Problems
You should also use words like may, might, could.
Never use definites like will!
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Writing Problems
Make sure you say exactly:
WHAT the problem is
Explain WHY it is a problem
HOW it relates to the future scene
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How do I write out the
PROBLEMSin FPSP?
The always available nature of WristLinkChat1 may lead to the development of a
generation of people who are unable to
communicate with others face-to-face2 due to
over-reliance on WristLink Chat3.
1. WHAT the problem is
2. Why it is a problem3. How the problem
relates to the future scene
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How do I write out the
PROBLEMSin Future Trends?
The always available nature of WristLink
Chat1 may lead to the development of a
generation of people who are unable to
communicate with others face-to-face2 due toover-reliance on WristLink Chat3. Research by
Bright Moonface (2005) states that social
distancing occurs even when social media
becomes more widespread, and this is likely to
be more pronounced in the years to come.
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STEP 2 IDENTIFY FUNDAMENTALPROBLEM
1. The Fundamental Problem should not simply be
one of the 10 potential problems identified, but
rather a rephrasing and amalgamation ofthemost significant problems.
2. Consider the impact of the problem, the
influence on the topic, and whether the FP allows
you to be imaginative.3. Express it in the form of a question
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A Sample Fundamental Problem
The Future Scene states that many problems with
the WristLink stem from the personal information
available on the Internet1.
In what ways might we2 minimise3 the potential for
abuse of personal information on the Internet allover the world4 so that our privacy is not impinged
upon5 in 2048 and beyond6?
1. Condition
3. KVP
5. Purpose6. Parameters
4. Stem2. Question Words
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Lets revisit the rubrics
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Resources (or how/where to find information this is not an
exhaustive list and should not be treated as such)
Best method: Always do a targeted search, e.g. teenage depression,stress from academia (as opposed to generic searches like mentalhealth). While current research can strengthen your argument, it willalways be better if you have evidence that current research can beextrapolated into the future.
Other potentially useful resources:
World Future Society http://www.wfs.org
Global Futurist - http://www.globalfuturist.com/
Future Takes (past magazine issues) -http://www.futuretakes.org/Magazine-Issues.html
Open Culture http://www.openculture.com
and the wealth of online resources available athttp://library.wiki.hci.edu.sg/Online+Resources