case study: is ldi right for you? - conferences.pionline.com€¦ · 1 year june 30, 2009 market...
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Speakers:
Bradley D. Jacob, Director of Marketing and Client Services,
Ryan Labs Asset Management
Ralf Ruediger Roeske, CPA, CGMA, MBA, MS, Senior
Director Finance/Treasury, MAHLE Industries Group
Case study: Is LDI right for you?Learn how MAHLE Inc. applied a custom LDI strategy
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LDI Philosophy
• Identify the risk capacity and risk tolerance of each individual plan
sponsor
• Quantify the risk management characteristics of various fixed income
strategies
• Reduce surplus volatility within risk capacity threshold of each plan
sponsor
• Hedge tail risk with beta portfolio, take risk in growth portfolio
• Actively manage fixed income in a total return framework
• Glide path monitoring via Custom Liability Index
• Rebalance assets to achieve surplus volatility goals
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MAHLE North AmericaCompany Overview
$3.6 billion USD in annual sales
More than 16,000 employees
About 30 locations
Products – Tier 1 supplier for
automotive products such as
engine components, filter
systems, thermal systems, etc.
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MAHLE North AmericaStatus of Pension Plan in 2009
The US Pension Plan assets
were structured in a Total
Return Strategy
The fixed income portfolio was structured to both dampen
volatility and achieve strong returns over the long run
New Alternative The investment advisor of
MAHLE recommended to
restructure the fixed
income portfolio to better
align assets with
liabilities of the Pension
Plan
Move the fixed income assets
to a liability hedging strategy
and away from a total return
approach
Search The investment advisor performed a search for a custom
fixed income manager to structure the assets in a way to
better match the movements of the MAHLE US Pension
Liabilities
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MAHLE North AmericaStatus of Pension Plan in 2009
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Plan Performance2nd Quarter
2009
YTD
20091 Year
June 30, 2009
Market ValueAllocation Target
`MAHLE US Plan 10.9% 7.8% -9.5% $85 m USD
Policy Index 9.5% 6.1% -5.7%
Market Performance2nd Quarter
2009
YTD
20091 Year
S&P 500 Index 15.93% 3.16% -26.21%
MSCI EAFE (Net) Index 25.43% 7.95% -31.35%
Barclays Agg Bond Index 1.79% 1.91% 6.06%
CS High Yield Index 20.24% 27.21% -5.00%
Emerging Markets Debt Index 14.96% 21.56% -0.67%
30% Equity
70% Fixed Income
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Liability Driven Investment (LDI) Manager Search Scope and Overview in 2009
The investment advisor performed
a search for liability driven
investment (LDI) managers on
behalf of MAHLE
The target allocation to LDI was
approximately $56 million USD or
70% of assets
Six firms were considered for this
search. The firms were invited to
participate in submitting data on
their LDI portfolio management
capabilities
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Liability Driven Investment (LDI) Manager Search Selection Criteria in 2009
Criteria / Firms Firm 1 Firm 2 Firm 3 Firm 4 Firm 5 Firm 6
`Location USA USA USA USA USA USA
Total Assets under Management Billion Billion Billion Billion Billion Billion
Long Duration Assets under Management Billion Billion Billion Billion Billion Billion
Parent Company Name`
Primary Investment Style
Core Fixed
Income +
Treasury
Futures
Core Fixed
Income +
Treasury Strips
Combination of
3 Institutional
Mutual Funds
Custom
Liability
Matching
Strategy
Custom
Liability
Matching
Strategy
Long Credit +
Treasury Strips
Liability Matching Sophistication Moderate Moderate Moderate High High Moderate
Active Management Sophistication Moderate Moderate High Moderate Moderate High
Proposed Investment VehicleCommingled
Trust??? Mutual Funds
Separate
Accounts
Separate
Accounts
Collective
Investment
Fund
Asset/Liability Analysis Sophistication Moderate Moderate Low High High Low
Reported Fee for $56 million USD $$ bps Declined $$$ bps $$ bps $$ bps $$ bps
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Liability Driven Investment (LDI) Manager Search Findings in 2009
Asset under Management All firms responding to search had a sufficient level of assets under
management
Primary Investment Style Each firm was asked to submit its proposed investment strategy for
mapping a custom bond portfolio structurally matched to MAHLE’s Defined
Benefit Plan liabilities. Two primary investment styles were represented
among the six firms:
Core Bonds + Duration Extension Pros: Cons:
Combines the firm’s core bond portfolio
with some form of long treasury
exposure, either through futures, strips or
a mutual fund vehicle
Access to firm’s active
management through the core
bond portfolio
Although long treasuries allow for an
overall duration match, the core of
the portfolio is not structured to
match Plan liabilities
Custom Liability Matching Strategy Pros: Cons:
The firm builds a portfolio of fixed income
securities who’s future cash flows closely
match the future liabilities of the Plan
Entire portfolio is built from the
ground up to match liabilities of
the Plan
Big name bonds managers are not
represented in custom providers
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Liability Driven Investment (LDI) Manager Search Findings in 2009 – continued
Liability Matching Sophistication Firms providing the most efficient liability hedge were favored
Custom Liability Matching Strategies tend
to best hedge Plan liabilities, but Core
Bonds + Duration Extension is viewed as
a step in the right direction
Ultimately, a firm with moderate
level of liability matching
sophistication would only be
selected if access to big name
active bond managers was
desired
Firms were found providing custom
strategies best accomplished the
goal of a liability hedge while still
resulting in satisfactory active
management abilities
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Identifying the Appropriate Solution
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Initial Asset Allocation
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April 2009 Liability Term Structure
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Core Bonds vs MAHLE Liabilities
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Strategy Summary
Correlation of Assets to Liabilities
0% 100%
0% 100%
50%
73%
0% 100%86%
• The analysis looked at a number of metrics, one important metric being
correlation
• The correlation of the assets to the liabilities increases 36% when
moving to a structure match strategy
Current Strategy
Long Corporate Strategy
Structure Match Strategy
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Current Strategy Surplus Volatility Analysis
• Above shows funding ratio change over 15 years of 12-month iterations
• The two standard-deviation dollar funding volatility of the current
strategy is $15.2 million dollars
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Proposed Strategy Surplus Volatility Analysis
• Above shows funding ratio change over 15 years of 12-month iterations
• The two standard-deviation dollar funding volatility of the current strategy
is $10.6 million dollars
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Implementation
vs
Custom Liability Index
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MAHLE Implementation: Structure Match vs Liabilities
• The implemented structure match strategy hedges the liabilities across
the curve
• A greater duration hedge results in a larger interest rate hedge
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MAHLE Assets vs Liability Index By Sector
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MAHLE Assets vs Liability Index By Rating
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MAHLE LDI Process
1. Worked with MAHLE to identify what their goals of the LDI strategy were:
– Reduce interest rate risk
– Reduce surplus volatility
– Relative to PPA liabilities
2. Prepared Pension Diagnostic to quantify the risk management
characteristics of various fixed income strategies and their ability to
reduce these risks
3. Worked with MAHLE to review the pros and cons of each strategy
4. Determined a customized bond portfolio managed against the term
structure of liabilities was the most appropriate solution
5. Created Custom Liability Index in accordance with the Pension
Protection Act
6. Measure and monitor success of portfolio, updating the Diagnostic
annually21
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Disclosures
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Investment results may vary. No assurance can be given that the investment objective will be achieved, and an investor may lose
money. The Barclays Aggregate Index is comprised of domestic investment grade fixed income securities with maturities of 1 to 30
years. Pursuant to the rules of the Index, the Index’s portfolio must (i) have at least one year to final maturity, (ii) have at least $100
million par amount outstanding, (iii) be fixed rate, (iv) be U.S. Dollar denominated and non-convertible, (v) and be publicly issued.
Indexes are unmanaged and are not subject to transaction charges or expenses. An investor may not invest directly in an index.
The term “modified duration” is derived from the duration of any security or series of securities and provides a measure of the risk
with which the sensitivity of bonds or bond portfolios to interest rate changes can be estimated. A 1% increase (or decrease) in the
interest rate accordingly produces a percentage fall (or rise) in the price in proportion to the modified duration. For example, assume
that the modified duration of a bond portfolio is 4.5 years and the theoretical YTW is 5.3%. If the interest rate drops by 1% to 4.3%,
the portfolio price increases by approximately 4.5%.
This information is being presented as a means of demonstrating Ryan Labs’ investment approach. RLAM makes no representation
as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or mathematical calculations contained herein. Certain information contained
herein concerning economic and financial market trends and/or performance is based on or derived from information provided by
independent third party sources. RLAM believes that the sources from which such information has been obtained are reliable;
however, it cannot guarantee the accuracy of such information and has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of
such information or the assumptions on which such information is based.
In addition, RLAM has made certain assumptions which it has not independently verified and the results of which may vary
significantly. The projections or other information generated by this analysis regarding the likelihood of various investment
outcomes are hypothetical in nature, future results may vary significantly from the projections and are not guarantees of future
results. Results may vary with each use and over time. The views expressed in this material are as of the date(s) indicated and
subject to change without notice. RLAM has no duty or obligation to update the information contained herein.