campaigns and elections
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Campaigns and Elections. Elections in America. Presidential elections: held every 4 years on the first Tuesday in November Congressional elections: held every two years on the first Tuesday in November. Elections in America. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Campaigns and Elections
Elections in America
• Presidential elections: held every 4 years on the first Tuesday in November
• Congressional elections: held every two years on the first Tuesday in November
Elections in America
• The Constitution gives states control over elections in within their borders
• Localities typically administer elections
• Elections are overseen by state regulators
Types of Elections
Types of Elections
• Three types of elections:– Primary– General– Runoff
Types of Elections
• Primaries– Parties choose the candidates who will run in the
general elections– States can also hold caucuses, in which members
meet and vote in the open
Types of Elections
• General elections– Determine who gets to hold office– Typically draws the most voters
• Runoff elections– If a candidate does not win a majority in the
general election, some states hold a runoff between the two highest vote-getters
Types of Elections
• Referenda– 24 states allow citizens to vote on law directly
through holding a referendum– Held at the same time as an election
Criteria for Winning
• Majority vote: to win, the candidate must receive at least 50% of the votes, plus one
• Plurality vote (aka first-past-the-post): the candidate with the greatest number of votes wins
Electoral Districts
Electoral Districts
• Congressional and state legislative districts are typically drawn every 10 years in a process known as redistricting– Most districts are gerrymandered to serve a
particular group’s interest
Electoral Districts
• Gerrymandering– Packing: ramming many voters of one party into a
district to dilute their votes in other districts– Cracking: tearing up dense pockets of party voters
to dilute their votes in that district– Stacking: merging two districts of the same party
to force incumbents to run against each other
Chapter Warm Up
• One person , one vote• Spilt ticket• Rhetoric, narrative, ideology• Proportional representation• cracking, stacking and packing• Butterfly ballot• Smoke filled rooms• Legal gerrymandering• Styles of campaigns
Electoral Districts
The Campaign Narrative
• The formula: What is the problem? Who are the villains? Who are the victims? Who are the heroes? What is the common sense solution?
• Republican narrative: heroes, villains, victims, common sense solutions.
• Democratic narrative: heroes, villains, victims, common sense solutions.
Electoral Districts
• Congressional districts should be contiguous, compact, and consistent with existing political subdivisions
• Race can no longer be the deciding criterion
Ballots
• Ballots can take many forms, and each state makes its own.
• Some differences among states are:– Party line voting– Electors, not the candidates’ names, listed first– Party affiliations not listed– Voting machines, paper ballots, punch cards, or
touch screens
Electoral College
• Because the average citizen was not trusted to make the right decision in voting for president, the Founders created the Electoral College system.
• Even today, citizens do not vote for president, but rather for electors.
Electoral College
• Each state has a number of electors equal to its number of U.S. Representatives and Senators
• All states but Maine, Massachusetts and Nebraska allocate all electors to the popular vote winner
Distribution of Electoral Votes in the 2008 Election
WHO ARE AMERICANS?
Chapter 10
WHO SUPPORTED OBAMA IN 2008?
WHO ARE AMERICANS?
Who Supported Obama in 2008?
Election Results by State Population
SOURCE: Mark Newman, “Maps of the 2008 US presidential election results,” www.personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/2008/ (accessed 7/8/10).
John McCain (R)
Barack Obama (D)
WHO ARE AMERICANS?
Who Supported Obama in 2008?
Election Results by State Electoral College Votes
SOURCE: Mark Newman, “Maps of the 2008 US presidential election results,” www.personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/2008/ (accessed 7/8/10).
Demographics as Destiny?
Electoral College
• The electors vote at their respective state capitols the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December.
• If no candidate has a majority of the electoral votes, the House decides the result, with each state getting one vote.
American Campaign Techniques Conquer the World
Election Campaigns
• Campaigns: efforts by political candidates and their supporters to win the backing of donors, political activists, and voters in their quest for political office.
Election Campaigns
• The first step is to allow candidates to start raising money and accepting donations.
• Two methods:– form an exploratory committee– file papers announcing candidacy
Election Campaigns
• Staffing
Election Campaigns
• Primaries– Personality clash: candidates’ policies are roughly
the same– Ideological struggle: candidates’ policies differ
dramatically
The 2008 Primaries
Presidential Elections
• Parties select their presidential candidates by delegates sent from each state– GOP: winner-takes-all– DEM: proportional to state vote share
• Most states hold primaries, but some hold caucuses
Presidential Elections
• The primary season is earlier each election
• States seek to be influential by voting early
• Some states with late primaries are debating abandoning them
Presidential Elections
• Early conventions selected the candidates themselves– Primaries and caucuses were non-binding– Deals were cut in “smoke-filled rooms”– Party leaders wanted to determine candidates
Presidential Elections
• Contemporary party conventions– Ratify the decisions made in primaries– Enact any new rules for future delegate selection– Draft party platforms– Present candidates and the party platforms to
voters
The General Election
General Election Campaign
• Labor-intensive v. media-intensive campaigns– Labor-driven campaigns
• Volunteers campaigning door-to-door
– Media-intensive campaigns• Goal is to get media attention• Few volunteers, lots of fundraising
The Age of the Talk Show Campaign
General Election Campaign
• Free Media v. Paid Media– Free media: coverage by the press and visits to
talk shows• Reach wide audiences• Can be unpredictable
– Paid media: advertisements purchased by campaigns
• Expensive• Message is controlled
Average House and Senate Campaign Expenditures, 1980–2008
Campaigns & Political Equality
• Labor-intensive campaigns allow those at the bottom of the SES to have some influence on a campaign
• As campaigns become more paid media-intensive, candidates must focus on voters capable of donating large sums
How Voters Decide
• Three main factors– Partisan loyalty– Issues and policy concerns– Candidate characteristics
Influence Campaigns and ElectionsBefore You Cast Your Vote
How Voters Decide
• Most voters who identify with a party vote for that party’s presidential candidate
Consumer Confidence and Presidential Elections
How Voters Decide
• Issues are only relevant if candidates take differing stances on key issues– A healthy economic can greatly help incumbents,
especially presidents
How Voters Decide
• Candidate Characteristics– Voters tend to prefer candidates who they see as
having characteristics similar to their own
Federal Campaign Finance Regulation
Figures for 2010
Averages
Presidential Averages 2000 v 2008
Historical Pattern
Sources of Campaign Funds
Public Funding
Top Donors to 527 Committees, 2008
Implications for Democracy
Public Opinion Poll
Which electoral system do you believe is best?
a) A plurality system
b) A proportional representation system
Public Opinion Poll
Do you believe it is appropriate to use race and ethnicity as criteria for drawing legislative district boundaries?
a) Yes
b) No
Public Opinion Poll
Do you believe the Democratic and Republican Parties should adopt a national primary to select their party’s presidential nominees?
a) Yes
b) No
Public Opinion Poll
Do you think presidential candidate appearances on talk shows contribute to a more informed electorate?
a) Yes
b) No
Public Opinion Poll
Do you believe the Internet has made electoral campaigns more democratic, less democratic, or has had no effect?
a) More democratic
b) Less democratic
c) No effect
Public Opinion Poll
Do you believe American political campaigns help voters make decisions, or do they produce more confusion than enlightenment?
a) Help voters make decisions
b) Produce more confusion
Public Opinion Poll
Do you support or oppose laws requiring voters to produce photo identification at the polls?
a) Strongly oppose
b) Oppose
c) Support
d) Strongly support
Public Opinion Poll
Do you believe there should be limits on the amount of money candidates can spend on campaigns?
a) Yes
b) No
Public Opinion Poll
Do you believe there should be limits on the amount of money individuals can contribute to campaigns?
a) Yes
b) No
Chapter 10: Campaigns and Elections
• Quizzes
• Flashcards
• Outlines
• Exercises
wwnorton.com/wtp8e
Spot Review Warm Up
• Prospective, retrospective voting• Narrative• Earned media• Momentum• Contextual factors• Importance of independent and swing voters• Early primaries/caucus - why?• 527’s (501’s)• Super PAC
Following this slide, you will find additional images, figures, and tables from the textbook.
The 2008 Presidential Election Season
The Convention
Electing the President: Steps in the Process
The Electoral College
The General Election Campaign and High-Tech Politics
The General Election Campaign and High-Tech Politics
The 2008 and 2010 Elections
The 2010 Elections
The 2010 Elections