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California Solar Initiative (CSI) Research, Development,
Demonstration, and Deployment Program Grant # 2
Demonstration
Supported by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), managed by Itron, Inc, and hosted at the
University of California, San Diego Campus
February 16, 2012
Agenda
• Opening Remarks (ITRON) • Grant Objectives (Nancy Miller) • About Viridity, About E3(Rick Schaal, Eric Cutter) • Introductions and Acknowledgments, Project Overview (Nancy Miller) • Policy Context for Managing Distributed Energy Resources (Eric Cutter) • UCSD Campus Resources Overview (Priya Sreedharan) • UCSD Baseline and Historical Operations (Priya Sreedharan) • Master Controller Overview (Chuck Richter) • VPower Demonstration (Chuck Richter) • UCSD Optimization Strategies (Chuck Richter) • Project Discoveries (Nancy Miller) • Next Steps • Questions
2/16/2011 2 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
Working with the California Independent System Operator (CAISO), San Diego Gas and Electric (SDG&E) and our host site, the University of California San Diego (UCSD), one of the most advanced microgrids in the state, Viridity Energy and Energy+Environmental Economics (E3), have merged their respective expertise to:
• Analyze and demonstrate how load can serve as a flexible resource to integrate high penetration solar
• Demonstrate that the barriers to deployment of solar resources can be overcome through providing appropriate incentives for real-time management and optimization of distributed energy resources.
• Provide economic, reliability and market price benefits to California ratepayers that accompany increased deployment of solar resources
CSI Grant Overview
2/16/2011 3 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
© 2011 Viridity Energy Inc. All Rights Reserved 4
© 2011 Viridity Energy Inc. All Rights Reserved
Key Company Facts
Founded in 2008 by well known industry executives
Unparalleled Solutions
Patent pending software platform optimizes and integrates energy assets such as controllable loads, cogeneration, renewables, and energy storage systems
Integrated energy management from Demand Response to Dynamic Load Management and Microgrids
Network Operating Center supports customer participation in wholesale power markets
Viridity Energy - Recognized Leader in Smart Grid Technology
Recipient of multiple industry awards and grants
Experienced Team: • Experienced utility and power market
executives • Technology innovators • Regulatory policy and affairs experts
Types of Clients
Utilities
Commercial
Data Centers Military
Industrial
Institutional
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 4
Intelligence Moving to The Edge of the Grid: Real-Time Generation + Dynamic load
Source: iTeres
WindFarm
Offices
Central Power Plant
Storage
Industrial Plant
Generators
Isolated Microgrids
HousesSolar Panels
Storage
Storage
Generators
Storage
The Grid is a Single Machine Global proliferation of distributed energy resources: • Solar • Electric vehicles • Distributed generation • Smart buildings
Power Grid will evolve from centralized command and control to distributed interconnected systems that are:
• Inter-coordinated • Self-scheduling • Self-healing
Viridity Energy enables the seamless integration of distributed resources, smart loads and microgrids as Virtual Power into real time power grid operations
5 © 2011 Viridity Energy Inc. All Rights Reserved
Major Trend #1:
Major Trend #2:
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
About E3
E3’s expertise in 8 key practice areas has placed us at the center of energy planning, policy and markets in California and the West.
6
Emerging Technology Strategy
Energy Markets and Financial Analysis
Transmission Planning and Pricing
Energy and Climate Policy
Cost of Service and Rate Design
International Electricity Policy and Planning
Energy Efficiency and Distributed Resources
Resource Planning and Procurement
Project Overview
• Expand the model of UCSD campus resources
• Propose strategies for the integration of high penetration PV solar systems
• Propose tariffs and incentives for Distributed Energy Resources (DER) technologies and Load Management Strategies
• Establish Baseline performance for UCSD DER operation under current rates and incentives
• Refine and test proposals with VPower™ in simulation and realtime mode
• Provide a robust cost-benefit analysis of the DER management strategies
• Provide an transparent analysis tool for public use as a part of the final report
Additional project information can be found at: http://www.calsolarresearch.ca.gov/Funded-Projects/solicitation2-viridity.html
2/16/2011 7 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
POLICY CONTEXT FOR MANAGEMENT OF DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES
CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 8 2/16/2011
California’s Renewable Energy Challenges
2/16/2011 9 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
Managing RPS costs with “smart”, cost-effective interconnection and management of distributed energy resources (DER)
1) Increase Interconnection Potential for Distributed PV
2/16/2011 10 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
Management of distributed energy resources can potentially interconnect PV at 3 X today’s levels
Graph shows “raw” PV solar potential based on minimum substation loading
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
2020
DG
Cap
acity
(MW
)
Ground > 10 MWGround < 10 MWCommercial RoofsResidential Roofs
Relative substation interconnection potential
“Raw” PV potential based on substation loading
2) Provide Low/No Carbon Flexible Resource
2/16/2011 11 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
• There is an identified need for flexible resources to integrate renewables.
• BUT, there is excess capacity based on planning reserve margin
Can distributed energy resources displace fossil generation as an economic and flexible resource?
Fossil
Storage
3) Meet System Need for Flexibility
2/16/2011 12 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
1 15 33 51 68 85 106 130 154 178 202 226 250 274 298 322 3460
100K
200K
300K
400K
Days in a Year
Selected Daily Revenue Benefits
RegulationLoad FollowingSpinning Reserves
Non-Spinning ReservesEnergy Price Arbitrage
Battery dispatched primarily to provide regulation, load following and spinning reserve
Energy dispatch limited to a few high priced hours in the summer
• 50 MW, 4 Hour Bulk Battery
• California 2020 RPS Compliant Scenario
• Modeled with PLEXOS and EPRI/E3 Energy Storage Valuation Tool
Energy storage is dispatched for flexibility… not energy. Shouldn’t we harness the flexibility in distributed resources?
Annual Revenues
System Capacity
Regulation
Load Following
Energy
Illustrative Flexible Load Potential in California
2/16/2011 13 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
College Industrial
MW
Pumps Fans DrivesCoolingInterior LightingVentilationHeatingAir CompressorsOffice EquipmentMotorsMiscellaneous
CAISO LTPP Estimated Need for Flexible
Resources
LTPP: Long Term Procurement Planning
Distributed, flexible resources and loads can provide a significant portion of our anticipated need for flexible capacity
UCSD microgrid
With a daily population of over 45,000, UC San Diego is the size and complexity of a small city.
11 million sq. ft. of buildings, $250M/yr of building growth
UC San Diego operates a 42 MW microgrid
UC San Diego grid imports 2007
Self generate ~ 90% of annual demand •30 MW natural gas Cogen plant •2.8 MW of Fuel Cells in operation
•1.2 MW of Solar PV installed, additional 2 MW planned
•Twice the energy density of commercial buildings
Central plant resources
• The central plant is rich with dispatchable resources • Two 13 MW natural gas
generators • One 3 MW steam generator • Three Steam driven chillers
(~ 10,000 tons capacity) • Eight electric driven chillers
(~ 7800 tons capacity) • 3.8 million gal thermal storage
tank • Backup diesel generation
• >1 MW of solar PV • ~ 1.4 MW of DR-ready reducible
building load • Visibility at the building level
Chilled water tank at UCSD campus
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 16
Simple illustration of cogeneration
• Let’s review the concept of ‘cogeneration’ or ‘combined heat and power’
systems • Electricity generated and can be used onsite and/or exported to the grid • Heat is recovered used for various purposes
Source: EPA Combined Heat and Power Partnership website. http://www.epa.gov/chp/basic/index.html
Gas turbine/engine with heat recovery
UCSD’s cogeneration system
• The UCSD cogeneration system has the following
• Natural gas turbine generates electricity for onsite use & steam
• Steam is used to generate hot water, more electricity (steam turbine) and chilled water (steam-driven chillers)
• Cogeneration offsets imported electricity, boiler fuel use for generating hot water & chilled water, and electricity consumption required to generate chilled water
Steam chiller at UCSD campus
Cogeneration is a core component of UCSD’s microgrid
Flexibility of the UCSD resources
• UCSD resources can shift load, reduce load and move load between gas and electricity fuels • Natural gas generators produce electricity and steam;
once on, can go up/down ~ 6 MW • Tank can deliver significant portion of campus chilled water
needs and can be variably charged/discharged • Steam from generators can be used to generate hot water,
chilled water and additional electricity in varying amounts • Building load can be reduced ~ 1.4 MW for DR events
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 19
UCSD online energy dashboard
Source: http://energy.ucsd.edu/campus/campus.php
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 20
Renewables integration with VPower
• Hypothetical load following scenario using UCSD actual data for 6/7/2011 • Generators are ramped up and down within their acceptable
operating range throughout the day
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
MW
Hour
ImportsGenerators' output with load followingCampus total consumptionNormal generators' output
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 21
Review of baselining effort
• Overall goals for baselining • Understanding thermal & electrical campus needs • Quantify efficiencies & understand operating strategies • Identify opportunities for operational improvement • Validate / calibrate VPower to ensure tool generates plausible
operational strategies
• Key questions • How do the campus needs vary by hour, season, month? • What are the overall system efficiencies (CHP, steam utilization)
and equipment-level efficiencies (chillers, generators, etc.)? • What are the regular modes of operation of each system? • How much capacity is available for changing operations?
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 23
UCSD data resources
• Baselining data obtained from multiple sources: • MSCADA system: 15-minute power data • Johnson Control Metasys System: thermal storage tank data • ‘BOP’ System: steam data for boilers, generators • ‘Efftrack’ chiller diagnostic system: chiller data • Daily central plant logs: gas usage • UCSD expert knowledge (i.e., John Dilliott, Energy Manager) • Solar data from Prof. Jan Kleissl
• Future: disparate data sources will be integrated into a campus-wide data historian
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 24
Analytical framework
Inputs Outputs
Nat gas
Diesel
Import kW
Solar PV
Boilers
NG gens
Backup gens
Steam
Steam
KW
St gen
HX’s
Stm chs
Elec chs
Aux eqp
KW
HW
CHW
Heating
Cooling
Non CUP HVAC
Lighting
Plug loads
Water heating
TES
Baseline data gives input / output relationships, equipment efficiency, capacity factors, seasonal and diurnal patterns of usage, historical costs.
Import + gen
Central Utility Plant End Use
Methodology steps
• Collect data • Electrical data: Imports, central plant generators, chillers, auxiliary, solar • Thermal data: Chillers, boilers (partial), campus hot water & chilled water
needs, thermal storage tank operation, generator fuel • Up to 3 years of data collected
• Assemble data • To understand system level operation: generate data sets with consistent
time stamps to understand inputs/ outputs across the energy flow diagram • Quantifying individual operating efficiencies and capacities: all individual
equipment data can be used
• Visualize and analyze data • Daily, monthly, yearly summaries of main loads • Calculate equipment level efficiencies • Calculate system level efficiency (overall inputs to outputs) • Forecast campus needs based on binning analysis
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 26
Overview of campus needs: timeseries across entire data set
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
2008
-120
08-2
2008
-320
08-4
2008
-520
08-6
2008
-720
08-8
2008
-920
08-1
020
08-1
120
08-1
220
09-1
2009
-220
09-3
2009
-420
09-5
2009
-620
09-7
2009
-820
09-9
2009
-10
2009
-11
2009
-12
2010
-120
10-2
2010
-320
10-4
2010
-520
10-6
2010
-720
10-8
2010
-920
10-1
020
10-1
120
10-1
220
11-1
2011
-220
11-3
2011
-420
11-5
2011
-620
11-7
2011
-820
11-9
2011
-10
2011
-11
MW
h
MM
Btu ―
Gen 1 & 2 gas input in MMBtu Hot Water Demand in MMBtuChilled Water Demand in MMBtu Campus Total Consumption Net CUP in MWhChiller Consumption in MWh Output of Gen 1 & 2 in MWh
Seasonal dependence of CHW, HTW w/ base requirements; generation satisfies much of total campus needs
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 28
Overview of campus needs: comparison of monthly totals
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2008-2 2009-2 2010-2 2011-2 2008-8 2009-8 2010-8 2011-8
MW
h - -
-
MM
Btu
Monthly Total Values Gen 1 & 2 Gas input in MMBtu Hot Water Demand in MMBtu Chilled Water Demand in MMBtu
Campus Total Consumption in MWh Output of Gen 1 & 2 in MWh Chiller Consumption in MWh
* Chiller data only available in latter part of 2011
Significant onsite generation across months/years; Little change over 3 years; significant baseload CHW, HTW
February August 2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 29
Flexibility in providing campus hot water and chilled water
Campus needs can be met amply through existing resources and there is flexibility to meet the need through different combinations
Steam
Elec
Steam & Elec
Steam & TES
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 40005
25
45
65
85
105
125
145
165
185
205
225
Hours
MM
Btu/
hr
Histogram of CHW Demand
Nameplate Capacity Values
Boiler 2 Boiler 3
Boiler 4
Calculated Maximum
Potential Cogen Output
All Boilers
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4505
25
45
65
85
105
125
145
165
185
205
225
Hours
Histogram of HTW Demand
Nameplate Capacity Values
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 30
Overall system efficiency
0
50%
100%
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Ove
rall
Effic
ienc
y
MM
Btu
Gen 1&2 elec out in MMbtu STG MMbtu out CHW from Steam ChillerHTW from Gen's GEN GAS USE Overall CHP Efficiency useful out/ in
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
MW
- -
-
MM
Btu/
hr ―
Hour
Generator fuel input in MMBtu/hr Hot Water Demand in MMBtu/hr
Chilled Water Demand in MMBtu/hr Campus Total Consumption Net Chillers in MW
Chiller Consumption in MW Campus Plant Generation in MW
Solar in MW Imports in MW
Actual operations: June 7, 2011
Load shifting from thermal storage lowers electrical chiller consumption
Thermal and electrical needs vary over the day but contain significant baseload components (high load factor).
Solar PV output ~ 1 MW 2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 32
Binning analysis to forecast loads
• Analyzed chilled water, hot water, campus power requirements over 3 years
• Preliminary insights: • Significant baseload across all hours • Seasonal dependence exists but relatively tempered • Weekday vs. weekend operation variability small • Variability across years exists but not growth related
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 33
Snapshot: variation across months
05
1015202530354045
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24Cam
pus T
otal
Con
sum
ptio
n (M
W)
Hour
February: Weekdays
90th PercentileMedian10th Percentile
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Chill
ed W
ater
Loa
d (M
MBt
u/hr
)
Hour
February: Weekdays
90th PercentileMedian10th Percentile
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Chill
ed W
ater
Loa
d (M
MBt
u/hr
)
Hour
September: Weekdays 90th PercentileMedian10th Percentile
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 34
Overall observations
• Majority of operating rules and efficiencies have been validated
• Loads have significant baseload component; variability due to hour, season, year
• Flexibility in resources to meet loads confirmed
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 35
Preliminary business analysis
• How might a microgrid maximize its revenues and reduce costs? • Should it run cogen to maximum capacity? • How should storage be utilized? • How should resources be scheduled including loading order of
heat recovery systems?
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 37
Scenarios analyzed
• What is the value of controllable UCSD assets in support of high penetration PV and lowering campus costs?
• Spreadsheet model developed to analyze the following scenarios using real UCSD load data • Scenario 1: full import • Scenario 2: full import + thermal storage tank • Scenario 3: cogen (natural gas generators, steam chillers, hot
water heat exchanger, steam generator) • Conducted sensitivities on 1 vs. 2 generator, steam gen
• Scenario 4: cogen + thermal storage tank • Conducted sensitivities on steam gen
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 38
Methodology
• Spreadsheet model developed to analyze the cases using real UCSD load data from June-Oct 2011 • Consistent with campus thermal and elec needs • Loading order consistent with UCSD operations • Efficiencies & capacities from baseline effort used
Results of preliminary business analysis:
Estimated energy costs between June 1 and October 31 2011 for the idealized scenarios $Millions Electrical Gas Total SavingsFull import 6.8$ 1.3$ 8.1$ 0%Full import and thermal storage 6.7$ 1.3$ 8.0$ 1%Cogeneration 1.0$ 5.3$ 6.3$ 22%Cogeneration & thermal storage 0.8$ 5.3$ 6.1$ 25%
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 39
Breakdown by month and energy/demand charges
• Demand charges significant component of elec charges in both summer/ winter
• More significant cost component in the cogeneration cases
• Savings from load shifting weighted towards energy savings
$-
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
$1.6
Total electric Demand Gas Total electric Demand Gas
July October
Cost
s ($M
illio
ns)
Full import
Full import and thermal storage
Cogeneration
Cogeneration and thermal storage
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 40
Insights and opportunities for further optimization
• Preliminary scenario analysis suggests general operating strategy saves campus $
• Baseline and preliminary analysis suggest opportunities for enhancement • Tank operation, staging of equipment
• Limitations • Analysis performs limited number of sensitivities that assumes
an operating scenario (rather than solving for it) • Assumes perfect foresight of campus needs • To manage the complexity of the problem space, a realtime
optimization tool is beneficial --- > VPower
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 41
Microgrid controller
• Making load elastic/controllable/price-responsive is facilitated through decentralized ‘microgrid’ control.
• Improving microgrid control: • can help with transmission congestion constraints • can improve load participation in DR programs or energy markets (in some
cases through load control which looks a virtual generator to the wholesale market)
• can improve grid utilization through the integration of distributed energy generation, including intermittent renewables
• Typical microgrid control: • includes real-time monitoring and control of resources (SCADA) • advanced analytics to perform load flow analysis and optimization • interaction with the electric power markets
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 43
Distributed resources need to be combined and optimized The resources appear to the system operator as a “virtual generator” that is integrated into the regional dispatch
Microgrids include a “central nervous system” that directs the operations of distributed resources
Microgrid Master Controller
Distributed Generation
Controllable Loads
Distributed Storage
The Microgrid Master Controller regulates the power distribution infrastructure within the microgrid footprint
Distributed Resources 2/16/2011 44 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
UCSD Master Controller
CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 45 2/16/2011
Data Acquisition, Storage and
Control (PI ™)
Master Controller
Resource Optimization (VPower™ )
Power Analytics (Paladin ™)
CA ISO Realtime and Day Ahead Pricing Info
Distributed Resources
Weather, including
cloud cover temperature,
etc
Setpoints can include things like generation MWs, HVAC controls for buildings, battery charging and discharging levels, chiller controls, etc.
Facility Manager
Master Controller: VPower Optimization
• VPower resource models include • Electric (including renewables like solar) and steam generators • Chillers and heat exchangers • Electric and thermal storage devices • Fixed and interruptible load
• VPower study cases are prepared with • Resource parameters and efficiency rates • Period-by-period operator-entered over-rides (if desired) • Electrical and thermal (hot/chilled water) requirements • RT or DA electric energy price data from CAISO • Weather forecasts
• Economically optimized cases schedule the resource output (MMBTU and MW) to minimize costs subject or maximize revenues while meeting thermal and energy requirements.
• Each day, multiple cases can be prepared to investigate the impact of various inputs, scenarios, etc.
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 46
Master Controller: VPower Optimization
• The Master Controller handles the data exchange between VPower and Paladin.
• It passes VPower’s economically optimized schedules to Paladin where they are checked for reliability.
• Paladin models the electric network in detail, and determines if the feeder and equipment energy flows are within their appropriate ratings.
• Paladin notifies VPower if any schedule modifications are needed for microgrid reliability, including optimization constraints to be included.
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 47
Steam Header GT1 COGEN-Elec
GT1 COGEN-Steam
GT2 COGEN-Elec
GT2 COGEN-Steam
THERMAL/FUEL
Gas Turbine 1
Gas Turbine 2
THERMAL (exhaust heat)
THERMAL/FUEL THERMAL (exhaust heat)
Steam Turbine ST1
Steam Turbine
Boiler
Boiler
THERMAL/FUEL
THERMAL (STEAM)
WC-1 Steam Chiller
WC-2 Steam Chiller
WC-8 Steam Chiller
TES Stratefied Cold W
ater Tank
Chiller 9
Chiller 6
Chiller 3
Chiller 7
Chiller 5
Chiller 2
Chiller 1 ELECTRIC
Spent Cold Water
STEAM HOT WATER
CAMPUS WATER SUPPLY
RETURN
STEAM
STEAM
STEAM
STEAM
GEN DIESEL 4kV 1
THERMAL FUEL
GEN DIESEL 4kV 2
GEN DIESEL 4kV 3
GEN DIESEL 1
GEN DIESEL 2
Fuel Cell 1
EV Rapid Charge Station - Public
EV Slow Charge Station -Public
EV Rapid Charge Station - UCSD
EV Slow Charge Station - UCSD
EV Rapid Charge Station - Buses
EV Slow Charge Station - Buses
PV-1 XFMR-336
SUN/CLOUD COVER
PV-2 Campus Services
PV-3 Price Center
PV-4 Gilman Parking
PV-5 Powell Lab
PV-6 Hopkins Parking
PV-7 School of Management
PV-1MW Energy Storage 7.6MWH
Integrated PV Storage-Battery
Integrated PV Storage - Solar
Comfort Index Johnson Control
(JCI Unitary)
UCSD Hot
Water System
SUN/CLOUD COVER
Trade Street Warehouse PV
Supply Contract •MW •Price
Market Forecasts •Energy Price •Regulation Price •Spinning Price •G&T_Rates
Forecasts •Load MWs •Hot Water •Cold Water
OFF-CAMPUS UCSD MAIN CAMPUS
THERMAL/FUEL
6KGPM Max
Hot Water
Strategy
UCSD Cold
Water System
Campus Hot water requirements per period
HX
Steam Header 1
Steam Header 2
Fixed discharge schedule. This can be over-ridden by data from Paladin.
Chilled water requirements per period, Given TES discharge
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 48
VPower Model of UCSD Resources
Dispatchable Virtual Generation
Detailed microgrid model
Inelastic Consumption
Controllable Consumption
Generation resources
High level microgrid model
External perspective (Energy market or utility)
~ Dispatchable virtual generator
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 49
Optimization Strategies and Next Steps
• Short term: tuning VPower models • Detailed comparison between baseline data and VPower results
• Cases: supply from grid; grid+elec from GTs; grid+GT including steam; add-in TES tank, etc. for peak days, typical days, etc.
• Mid term: When tuning is complete, use VPower to assess UCSD microgrid impact and opportunities
• Post analysis of operations (what would have been the best schedule?) • Analyzing operational rules or control actions
• Best periods for interrupting load? • Best time to charge thermal electrical storage tank • Suggested Electric Vehicle charging schedules • When to shift electric and thermal usage to reduce costs, or maximize revenues
• Determination of the value of supply contracts • Analyzing tariff changes or potential DR agreements/programs
• Mid to Longer Term: Further involve UCSD operations staff using the Master Controller • Review predicted results with actual results • Monitor data collected in central repository and verify efficiencies • Support energy market opportunities and benefits
2/16/2011 53 CSI Grant #2 Mid-
Project Demonstration
Project Discoveries
2/16/2011 55 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
Data Gathering and Preparation Takes Time
Real-time Controls
Good working relationship with the end user is important
Model Complexity
Security – Physical and Cyber
Interoperability between systems
Demand Charges
Firm
Distributed Firm & Flexible Resources
2/16/2011 57 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
Flex
Smart Grid
< 5 min 20 min 1 hr 1 day 1 year
Distribution
System
Customer • Improve power quality • Reduce trips/faults
• Reduce frequency and duration of outages
• Reduce load & generation forecast error
• Provide • Fast ramp (MW/min) • Load following • Load for overgeneration
• Prevent Islanding • Prevent reverse flow • Reduce Volt/VAR fluctuation • Manage uncertain interactions
• Decrease O&M
• Provide frequency regulation
• Provide firm/predictable resource
• Increased equipment life
• Bill reduction • Risk reduction (financial) • Demonstrate physical
assurance • Reduce interconnection cost
• Provide firm/predictable resource for:
• system peak load (RA/ NQC)
• N-1 contingencies (NERC)
Focus on flexibility and capacity value of distributed resources
Address Tariff, Market and Regulatory Barriers
2/16/2011 58 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
Tariff Barriers
Market Barriers
Regulatory Barriers
Low resolution metering and billing determinants
Rate complexity and uncertainty
Demand and stand-by charges
Complexity of settlement process
Infrastructure requirements
Limited capacity payment options
Net energy metering
Interconnection process Customer
Utility
CPUC
ISO Baseline calculation
Dual participation / double payment
Limited incentives of dynamic pricing
Limited access to wholesale markets
Limited capacity payment options
Limited payments for dispatchability
Address some (but not all) barriers to interconnection of distributed resoruces
Innovative Business Models
• Two-part rates • Demand Subscription • Firm Service Level
• Scheduled Load
• Provide load schedule • Allow re-schedule by
utility/ISO
• Incentives for flexibility/dispatchability
• Load Participation
2/10/2011 59 ©2011 Viridity Energy Inc. Proprietary and Confidential All Rights Reserved
• Allows greater flexibility in designing incentives and recovering fixed revenue requirement
• Provide generation/load
balancing
• Emphasis on high value benefits that are not currently captured.
Incentives Reason
Dynamic Pricing and Load Participation are not sufficient for renewable integration or grid support
Cost-Benefit Analysis Tool
2/16/2011 60 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration
Web Based Demonstration Model
http://www.ethree.com/public_projects/energy_storage_cost_effectiveness_
evaluation.php
http://goo.gl/kYNpv
(Will be available February 17, 2012)
APPENDIX SLIDES: BASELINING AND PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 65
Resources VPower will optimize
Inputs
Outputs
Nat gas
Diesel
Import kW
Solar PV
Boilers
NG gens
Backup gens
Steam
Steam
KW
St gen
HX’s
Stm chs
Elec chs
Aux eqp
KW
HW
CHW
Heating
Cooling
Non CUP HVAC
Lighting
Plug loads
Water heating
TES Import + gen
Central Utility Plant End Use Denotes resources for which schedules will be optimized by VPower
Note: VPower also models JCI interruptible load & hot water strategy.
Services that VPower will treat as constant: CUP CHW, CUP HW, kW net CUP electric chillers 2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 66
Data collected and analysis completed
• Daily data • Greensheet (dating back 2005) • Imports, hours of op, CUP gen,
gen gas use, some chiller kW
• Hourly data • Chilled water & hot water to
campus (dating back 2007)
• 15 minute interval data • MSCADA: Imports, CUP gen • JCI system: TES • BOP: steam data for boilers,
generators
• Solar data • 15 minute inverter & meter
data dating back 2009
• Historical price info • Gen & delivery prices dating
back 2009 (CAISO day-ahead, NGI; ALTOU, EG and GTNC tariffs)
• Efftrack • Chiller data obtained • Nameplate capacity and
efficiency info • Historical data dating back to
June 2011
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 67
Snapshot: hourly/15 min analysis
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
5/22
/201
1
5/23
/201
1
5/24
/201
1
5/25
/201
1
5/26
/201
1
5/27
/201
1
5/28
/201
1
5/29
/201
1
5/30
/201
1
5/31
/201
1
6/1/
2011
6/2/
2011
6/3/
2011
6/4/
2011
MW
h
CUP Generation ImportsCampus Total Consumption Solar Production (right axis)CUP Plant Consumption
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 68
Actual operations chilled water system: June 7, 2011
-4000
-2000
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Tons
Hour
TES Discharge Electric Chiller OutputSteam Chiller output TES ChargeCampus chilled water supply Campus chilled water demand
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 69
Equipment level metrics (3)
• Thermal storage tank was analyzed: charge, discharge times, rates, losses generated
Quantity 10th % Median 90th % Daily discharge - ton-hr 6,401 16,250 24,504 Charge start time (hr starting) 21 23 1 Charge duration (hr) 8 10 13
Discharge start time (hr starting) 8 9 12 Discharge duration (hr) 10 14 16 Flow rate (gpm) 663 2,491 4,958 Delta T (deg F) 11 13 14 Overall tank efficiency over measurement period Charge ton-hr 6,751,512 Discharge ton-hr 6,454,207 Losses 4.4%
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 71
Summary of UCSD solar PV output
Max. Solar Meter Output (kW)
2009 2010 2011Birch Aquarium BIRC_1608 9/8/2009 49.2 95% 46.7 44.6 47.0 45.1 Campus Services Complex - Buildings A to E & Trade Shops CSC_1604 9/17/2009 258.4 97% 249.7 249.7 258.9 261.8 Campus Services Complex - Fleet Services Building FLSV_1361 Pre-2009 28.7 96% 27.5 24.4 24.4 24.4 East Campus Central Util ities Plant ECUP_1287 Pre-2009 28.7 96% 27.4 24.5 24.4 24.5 Engineering Building Unit 2 EBU_1362 and EBU_1363 Pre-2009 80.4 95% 76.5 66.6 66.6 66.5 Gilman Parking Structure GILM_1364 Pre-2009 195.0 99% 192.9 138.1 137.8 135.3 Hopkins Parking Structure* HOPK_1365 Pre-2009 338.0 99% 334.3 370.8 373.8 370.8 Price Centers, Buildings 1 to 4* PRIC_1409 Pre-2009 206.6 96% 199.3 199.4 200.8 219.4
Total 1,185.0 1,154.3 855.6 1,075.6 1,071.9 *Solar Meter Output from July 1, 2010 to June 30, 2011 was only provided as a daily average (kWh).
Rated Power (kW AC)
Total Rated Power (kW DC)
First Day of OutputIDSolar Meter Location
Inverter Efficiency
Annual Energy (kWh) Operating Hours Capacity Factor (%)
2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 201116,471 68,389 65,890 2,751 8,756 8,754 12.8% 16.7% 16.1%
87,132 399,739 415,048 2,928 8,760 8,760 11.9% 18.3% 19.0%
50,805 47,928 45,293 8,759 8,759 8,008 21.1% 19.9% 20.6%44,458 47,745 50,470 8,172 8,759 8,759 19.8% 19.9% 21.0%
127,833 122,500 116,428 8,760 8,760 8,760 19.1% 18.3% 17.4%220,738 206,717 202,387 8,759 8,510 7,854 13.1% 12.6% 13.4%536,719 504,082 524,575 8,759 8,759 8,753 18.3% 17.2% 17.9%281,352 292,998 338,367 8,760 8,760 8,760 16.1% 16.8% 19.4%
1,365,409 1,690,041 1,742,042 8,760 8,760 8,760 13.5% 16.7% 17.2%
Birch AquariumCampus Services Complex - Buildings A to E & Trade ShopsCampus Services Complex - Fleet Services BuildingEast Campus Central Util ities PlantEngineering Building Unit 2Gilman Parking StructureHopkins Parking Structure*Price Centers, Buildings 1 to 4*
Total
Solar Meter Location
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 73
Day type influence
05
1015202530354045
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24Cam
pus T
otal
Con
sum
ptio
n (M
W)
Hour
September: Weekdays
90th PercentileMedian10th Percentile
05
1015202530354045
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24Cam
pus T
otal
Con
sum
ptio
n (M
W)
Hour
September: Weekdays with Weekends
90th PercentileMedian10th Percentile
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Chill
ed W
ater
Loa
d (M
MBt
u/hr
)
Hour
September: Weekdays
90th PercentileMedian10th Percentile
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Chill
ed W
ater
Loa
d (M
MBt
u/hr
)
Hour
September: Weekdays with Weekends
90th PercentileMedian10th Percentile
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 74
Year to year differences of campus power consumption: January look
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 75
Year to year differences of campus chilled water needs: February look
0.7
0.9
1.1
%
%
%
%
%
0
20
40
60
80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Chill
ed W
ater
Loa
d (M
MBt
u/hr
))
Hour
February: Weekdays
2008 - Median 2009 - Median 2010 - Median 2011 - Median
2/16/2011 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration 76
Project Team Contact Information
Name E-mail Phone
Eric Cutter [email protected] (415) 391-5100
Laura Manz [email protected] (858) 354-8333
Nancy Miller [email protected] (206) 718-0490
Snuller Price [email protected] (415) 391-5100
Chuck Richter [email protected] (425) 765-4349
Rick Schaal [email protected] (484) 534-3819
Priya Sreedharan [email protected] (415) 391-5100
2/16/2011 77 CSI Grant #2 Mid-Project Demonstration