calibration for historical crop et estimates · 2017. 10. 17. · bigggg per problem with scs bc...
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CALIBRATION FOR CALIBRATION FOR HISTORICAL CROP ET HISTORICAL CROP ET
ESTIMATESESTIMATESIntroduction and IssuesIntroduction and Issues
Thomas W. Ley, PhD, PE
Evapotranspiration WorkshopMarch 12 2010March 12, 2010
Ft Collins CO
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Why Calibration?
Most historical consumptive use
y
panalyses based on long evaluation period
Long periods of record available at many NOAA Coop Observer network (ma /min/p ecip) stations(max/min/precip) stations
Simple temperature-based methodsLi it d i d f d t l t i Limited period of record at electronic weather stations (20 years or less)
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Why Calibration?
Published studies have generally
y
g yshown the simpler temperature-based ET estimation methods are i t i ll i id d inaccurate, especially in arid and semi-arid climatesLocal calib ation/ e ification is Local calibration/verification is strongly recommended to obtain more accurate historical crop ET estimatesaccurate historical crop ET estimates
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Approach
Compute calibration coefficients for some
pp
pspecific time interval during growing season (e.g., 10-days, monthly)
Measured Crop ETCalibration coeff. =
Crop ET by method being calibrated
In the absence of measured ET (i.e., lysimeter), use crop ET based on ASCE Std Ref-ET EqnStd Ref-ET Eqn
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Measured Crop ET
Lysimetry ASCE Std
p
Lysimetry ASCE Std Reference ET
Wind speedWind speed
Solar radiationSolar radiation
Wind directionWind direction
Air temperatureAir temperature
Relative humidityRelative humidity
RainfallRainfall
Solar radiationSolar radiation
Holly02 Holly02 CoAgMetCoAgMet Station Station
July 2005July 2005
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July 2005July 2005
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Approach
Compute average calibration
pp
p gcoefficient values for overlapping period of record Monthly time step
Minimum 5-7 years of overlapping d record
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Modified Blaney-CriddleMethod (TR 21)
u k (k ) (t x p) / 100
Method (TR-21)
u = kc (kt) (t x p) / 100u = monthly consumptive use (inches)u monthly consumptive use (inches)kt = climatic coefficient
= 0.173 * t - 0.314kc = crop growth stage coefficientt = mean monthly air temperature (°F)p = monthly percentage of annualp = monthly percentage of annual
daylight hours
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Modified Blaney-CriddleMethod Data required--mean monthly
Method Data required mean monthly
temperature 100’s of max/min/precip stations in 00 s o a / /p ec p stat o s
Colorado Developed for irrigation planning p g p g kt (t * p) / 100 not representative of
the impact of meteorological elements
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Extraterrestrial Radiation & Percent of Daylight as a Percentage of MaximumDaylight as a Percentage of Maximum
FM RA FM % Daylite CTR RA CTR % Day
100%
110%
70%
80%
90%
40%
50%
60%
20%
30%
40%
1/1 2/1 3/1 4/1 5/1 6/1 7/1 8/1 9/1 10/1 11/1 12/1
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Modified Blaney-CriddleMethod Crop factor, kc , is not a crop
Method Crop factor, kc , is not a crop
coefficient in the same sense as the reference ET-crop coefficient approach
Contains a meteorological component location bias values not geographically transferable
(ASCE Manual 70, 1990; USDA-NRCS, 1993)
Ignore k and calibrate just the factor: Ignore kc and calibrate just the factor: kt (t * p) / 100
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1985 Hargreaves Methodg
50 )81()(00230 amean5.0
minmaxo R)8.17T()TT(0023.0ET
ETo = grass reference ET (mm/day)Tmax = maximum daily air temperature (°C)T i i d il i ( C)Tmin = minimum daily air temperature (°C)Tmean = mean daily air temperature
= (Tmax + Tmin) / 2( max min) /Ra = extraterrestrial radiation (mm/day)
Ra (mm/day) = Ra (MJ/m2/day) / 2.45
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1985 Hargreaves Method
Originally developed in 1975
g
solar radiation and temperature data inputs
Updated in 1982 and 1985 Updated in 1982 and 1985 solar radiation estimated from
extraterrestrial radiation, RA
G f ET Grass reference ET May be used to compute daily
estimates but more accurate over estimates, but more accurate over longer time steps: 10-days, monthly
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1985 Hargreaves Method
Simple, easy to use
g
p , y Data required—maximum and
minimum air temperature Better predictive accuracy in arid
climates than modified Blaney-Criddle Max-min temperature difference Extra-terrestrial radiation
Underpredicts in windy or high advection conditions—requires local calibration
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1985 Hargreaves Method
Grass reference ET method
g
Directly calibrate:
ASCE std ref ETrK =
H ETHargreaves ETo
Use alfalfa reference crop coefficients Use alfalfa reference crop coefficients ETc = Kcr (K * ETo)
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Calibration Precautions/Limitations Extent of areal representation ?
Precautions/Limitationsp
Weather station pairing Compute calibration coefficients by
pairing each NOAA station of interest with electronic weather station
Site bias at the NOAA site may not be Site bias at the NOAA site may not be properly captured
Bigger problem with SCS BC than 1985 gg pHargreaves
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Coefficients for one EWS-NOAA station pair generally not applicable at other NOAA stations
when conditions at the NOAA sites are dissimilar
Rocky Ford CoAgMet Rocky Ford NOAA
Las Animas NOAA La Junta NOAA
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