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Business Case for Industriali-sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

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Page 1: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Business Case for Industriali-sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large TrendMSIS 2013

Allan Randlepp

Tuulikki Sillajõe

Page 2: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Outline

Business case for Population and Housing Census 2011 (PHC 2011)

A. Data collection phase

B. Data processing phase The production system as a whole Conclusions and further developments

19.10.2010

Page 3: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Data collection phase

Page 4: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

PHC 2011 Data collection phase:Mixed mode was used for PHC 2011

Modes of questioning e-Census on the web (CAWI) → 66% Interview (CAPI)

Institutions filled in a special questionnaire Different data sources

Population and Housing Census 2000 Administrative registers Data collection from persons

New software was developed next to eSTAT

19.10.2010

Page 5: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

The costs of data collection of PHC 2000 and PHC 2011

e-Census participation rate

Number of enumerators

Cost of data collection, euros

Cost of data collection per enumerated person, euros

PAPI (prediction)

0% 4,592 17,710,000 13.2

CAWI+CAPI (prediction)

25% 2,970 10,910,000 8.14

CAWI+CAPI 66% 2,131 8,410,000 6.50

19.10.2010

Page 6: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

The main reasons for lower costs of data collection during PHC 2011, compared to PHC 2000:

There were no special data entry costs; Automatic checks diminished mistakes during interviewing in

both cases (CAWI and CAPI); Less time was required for interviewing than planned, and

therefore fewer enumerators were hired; Printing, communications and archiving costs were

considerably smaller; Management of data collection was much cheaper because

much fewer employees were needed, thanks to the management module of the new software.

19.10.2010

Page 7: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Success factors of e-Census Widespread use of

Internet in Estonia Well-planned public

campaign The number of

enumerated persons updated hourly during the Census

Tachometer indicating the workload

Use of social media

Page 8: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Visitors and completed questionnaires

Visitors Completed questionnaires

Page 9: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Average completion time of questionnaire

Page 10: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Data processing phase

Page 11: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Costs of data processing of the PHC 2011

e-Census participation rate

Number of operators

Cost of data collection, euros

PAPI (prediction) 0% 264 3,600,000

CAWI+CAPI (prediction) 25% 90 2,300,000

CAWI+CAPI 66% 30 1,090,198

19.10.2010

Page 12: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

The main reasons for lower costs of data collection during PHC 2011

Automatic checks diminished mistakes during interviewing in both cases (CAWI and CAPI);

The first stage of data processing, primary data arrangement, was part of the data collection software and ran as parallel activity during data collection and immediately after collection. As a result the collected data was prepared for the next stages of data processing.

Data processing was highly automated. Totally 35.7 million errors were corrected, 20.2 million of them corrected automatically and 15.5 million manually.

Problems with data came out in early phases of processing, because statisticians were able to monitor data during the data processing.

For checks and handling missing data was possible to use data from registries and from PHC 2000.

Management of data collection was much cheaper because much fewer employees were needed, thanks to the automated data processing done by the new software.

19.10.2010

Page 13: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Architecture of the information system

Dissemination

Statistical registers

Metadata system

Data collection Processing

Statistical analysis

Persons

Administrative registers

Users

Economic entities

Data Warehouse

iMETA

VVIS

ADAM eGeostat

SRS

VAISeSTAT

PX-Web

Census-HUB

KUNDE

Analyse

19.10.2010

Page 14: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

2002Statistical

Farm Register

1993

1993

1994Statistical Business Register

1994economic entities

2004persons

2004

2004economic

entities

2006economic entities

2001metadata

management

2011iMeta

project started 2011 system for

statistical registers

project started

2011

project started2011 persons

planned

Generic Statistical Business Process Model

project started

2012

19.10.2010

Page 15: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Sources for efficiency gains of Statistics Estonia Central data collection department, i.e.

standardisation of processes Generic office-wide software Administrative data instead of survey data if

applicable Pre-filling of statistical questionnaires with

administrative data

19.10.2010

Page 16: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Small developments, big efforts

Reminders sent before the deadline instead of after the deadline

Informing economic entities simultaneously about all the questionnaires they have to fill in next year

Centralisation of the preparation of questionnaires from statistical departments to IT Department and within a few years to Methodology Department

Standardisation and simplification of instructions about questionnaires for economic entities

Creation of a list of input variables

19.10.2010

Page 17: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Next practical steps

Introduction of CAWI as the main data collection method for surveys on individuals (2013)

Introduction of CATI for data collection from both types of respondents: economic entities and individuals (step by step, starting from 2012)

Implementation of generic office-wide software for other functions than data collection

Reuse of data within the statistical office

19.10.2010

Page 18: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Strategic directions

Training of data suppliers (economic entities, individuals, registers, etc.), incl. about their personal and public gains

Closer cooperation between the data collection function and dissemination function within the organisation, for better communication with data suppliers (based on the experience of PHC 2011)

Simplification of statistical reports (harmonisation of concepts, deadlines, practices, etc.)

Development of infrastructure for selling data collection services

19.10.2010

Page 19: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe

Further challenges

Wider use of administrative and commercial data Do we need two data collection tools? Centralization of data processing function?

19.10.2010

Page 20: Business Case for Industriali- sation in Statistics Estonia: Small Example of a Large Trend MSIS 2013 Allan Randlepp Tuulikki Sillajõe