business capstone presentation
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Business Capstone final presentationTRANSCRIPT
Introduction
History
1759: Arthur Guinness signs lease for brewery
1986: Guinness acquires the Distillers Company ltd
(DCL)
1987: DCL and Arthur Bell & Sons combine to
form United Distillers
1934: MRMA ltd becomes a public company
1961-1962: Name changed to Grand Metropolitan Hotels ltd and shares listed on
stock exchange
1997: Diageo created from merge of Guinness and Grand Metropolitan
2001: Diageo acquires the Seagrams Spirits and Wine business
2000: Diageo sells Burger King and
Pillsbury
1971-1973: Name changed to Grand Metropolitan ltd and enters
brewing industry.
Brands
Situation Analysis
External Analysis
Global
• Diageo North America
• Diageo Europe• Diageo Asia Pacific
• Diageo International
North America• Most prominent market segment
• 13 premium brands
• Ranked among the top 4
• Known for consistency
Europe
• Consists of 1/3 of the market
• Experiencing economic challenges
• Decline in sales
Asia Pacific• Largest amount of growth potential– Spirits
• Increase in Sales
• Advertising and marketing of premium brands
International
• Trends towards premium brands
• Joint venture with Heineken N.V.
Socio-Cultural• Protecting Against Harmful Drinking
• Healthier Drinking Options
Protecting Against Harmful Drinking
• No “one-size-fits-all” approach
• Provide “drink responsibly” campaigns– Help protect image
• DRINKiQ.com
Healthier Drinking Options• Trend towards healthier options
• Low-calorie malt beverage• Market leader
Demographics• Trending towards minorities
• Expecting 80% of sales from this demographic
• Reality television show
Situation Analysis
Industry/TaskEnvironment
Beer
• 50.5% market share
• Saturated market• Decline stage since 2005
• Low-Calorie beers
Wine
• 24.7% market share
• Mature stage – Lack of technology
• Room for growth– Weather
• 22.1% market share
• Growth stage– Ready-to-drink– Low-Calorie beverages
• Increasing since 2005
Spirits
Competitors
• 200 Brands of beer
• 125 Breweries in more than 70 countries
• Total Cost Management
• Cross functional team
Heineken N.V.
Competitors• Operates worldwide• Focus on the wine and spirits industry
• 26 brands• Strong brands• Not a large presence in Asian markets
• Dedicated to building brands
Brown-Forman
Competitors
• Operates using subsidiaries
• Operates in beer, wine and spirits
• 4 main geographic segments: France, Europe, the Americas and Asia/rest of the world
Pernod Ricard
Competitors
• Operates solely in beer
• 60 countries worldwide
• Focus on the art of brewing
• Strategic partnerships
SABMiller
• 3 subsidiaries: Molson Canada, Coors Breweries and Coors Brewing company
• 40 brands• Project Eve• Solely in the beer industry but is one of the largest in the world
CompetitorsMolson Coors
Industry Attractiveness
Rivalry
New Entrants
Substitutes
BuyersSuppliers
Supplier Power• Moderate• Few substitutes for resources
• Many buyers to choose from
• Niche suppliers• Chance to integrate forward
Rivalry
New Entrants
Substitutes
Suppliers BuyersSuppliers
Buyer Power• Moderate• Many supplier options
• No substitutes• Can integrate backwards
Rivalry
Substitutes
BuyersSuppliers
New Entrants
Buyers
New Entrants• Easier on a smaller scale
• Market legitimacy
• Specialty drinks
New Entrants
Substitutes
Suppliers BuyersRivalry
New Entrants
Rivalry• Dominated by key players with deep pockets
• Difficult to differentiate Rivalry
New Entrants
Suppliers Buyers
Substitutes
Rivalry
Substitutes• No real substitute
• Other drink options
• Can depend on the company Rivalry
New Entrants
Substitutes
Suppliers Buyers
Substitutes
Situation Analysis
Internal Analysis
Resources
• Company size– Large product portfolio
• Distribution• Focus on innovation of growth
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Threats
Culture and Management Style
• Passionate about customers/consumers
• Entrepreneurial spirits• Pride in company• Strive for the best• Value each other
Values
Culture and Management Style
“At Diageo, our business strategy is to deliver sustainable organic growth through the stewardship of our outstanding range of premium drink brands. This is supported by strong financial discipline and cash management, and where appropriate will be supplemented by selective acquisitions.”
Strategy
Culture and Management Style
• North America– Distribution depends on state– Closed/Open System
• Europe– Direct distribution
• International– Third part vendors
Structure
Culture and Management Style
• CEO – Paul Walsh
• Took over Diageo in 2000
• Dropped food division
• Focus on premium beverages
Top Management
Culture and Management Style
• Chairman – Dr. Franz Humer
• CFO - Deirdre Mahlan
Top Management
Profitability• Return on Assets is consistently higher than industry average
• Even with unorthodox capital structure, Return on Capital remains high
Asset Turnover• Total asset turnover is high
• Fixed asset turnover raises total turnover
• A/R and Inventory turnovers lower total asset turnover
Short Term Liquidity• Current and Quick ratios show ability to pay current liabilities
• Cash conversion cycle is far longer than industry average
Profitability Margins• Higher than industry
• Convergence over past
Cash Flow Margins• Diverged below industry average– Industry increase in market share
– High debt hurts levered FCF
Capital Structure• Favor debt in capital structure, especially LT– Cheaper financing
– Known payments– No call options
Interest Burden
• High debt yields high interest burden– Debt coming due gives refinancing opportunities
Problem Statement
Staying Ahead• Recognition of Trends– Ready-made drinks
– Health conscious drinks
• Expanding their Market– Purchase of Shui Jing Fang
• High interest rates on debt– Limits cash on hand
• Jose Cuervo – Decreasing Sales– Distribution Contract
Problems
Strategy
Refinancing LT Debt• $9 billion in long-term debt outstanding with an effective interest rate of 4.8%.
• Use interest rate swaps to swap their fixed rate to a floating rate.– Two attractive possibilities:
•$818 million 6.625% 2014 Euro Bonds•$540 million 7.375% 2014 USD Bonds
Refinancing LT Debt• Swaps:
– Two year contract where Diageo pays the rate on:•30-year US Treasury Bond + 1.0% for the Euro Bonds
•30-year US Treasury Bond + 1.5% for the USD Bonds
• In the future, Diageo should structure their longer-term debt issuances to have built in call options.
Tequila BrandsJose Cuervo
• Been around since the late 1700’s
• Number one selling tequila on the market
• 2009 sales down 4%; 2010 volume movement down 13%
• Approximate purchase price: $2 billion
Sauza• First distilled in
1873; one of first “Tequila” from Mexico
• Number two selling tequila on the market
• #26 on the world’s top 100 premium spirits list
• 2009 sales rose 11%
Bourbon WhiskeyJim Beam
• Been around since 1795 and is one of the best-selling premium bourbons in the world
• #14 on the world’s top 100 spirit list
• International Distribution
Maker’s Mark• Super-premium bourbon
whiskey• Made in batches of
around 19 barrels at a time
• Distillery named “2011 American Whiskey Visitor Attraction of the Year” by Whiskey Magazine
Suggestions:• Use interest rate swaps to hedge their interest payments and lower the effective interest rate on outstanding debt.
• Purchase Sauza, Jim Beam, and Maker’s Mark from Beam Global instead of renewing distribution rights or purchasing Jose Cuervo
What if?
• Interest rate swaps may backfire– Base interest rates rising is bad
– Forces use of more cash
• Solution– Another interest rate swap
– Include a cancellation fee in contract
Refinancing
• Assumption that Sauza, Jim Beam, and Makers Mark would be for sale
• Distribution rights for Jose Cuervo end in 2013– Situation may change
Acquisition
• Option 1: Purchase Jose Cuervo– If sales increase– Re-develop the brand
• Option 2: Extend Distribution Contract– Maintain the current relationship
• Option 3: Acquire another tequila brand– Analyze trends – Develop a new brand
Acquisitions Cont’d..