bt policy -- kashmir, amarnath, dogra

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    Confidential Material: Not for public distribution,

    circulation or sale outside the BrassTacks authorized end

    users.

    2008 BrassTacks. All rights reserved.

    This document is protected by copyright. No part of it may be reproduced, or transmitted, in any formor by any means, electronic or otherwise, without the written permission of BrassTacks.

    The information in this document is furnished for informational use only. Great care has been taken tomaintain the accuracy of the information contained in this document. However, neither BrassTacks northe authors can be held responsible for errors or for any consequences arising from the use of theinformation contained herein.

    [email protected]

    Date: September 27, 2008

    BrassTacks Policy Paper

    Kashmir, Amranath shrine and Dogra

    conspiracy

    2008 BrassTacks. All Rights Reserved

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    2008 BrassTacks. All rights reserved.

    This document is protected by copyright. No part of it may be reproduced, or transmitted, in any form

    or by any means, electronic or otherwise, without the written permission of BrassTacks.

    The information in this document is furnished for informational use only. Great care has been taken tomaintain the accuracy of the information contained in this document. However, neither BrassTacks northe authors can be held responsible for errors or for any consequences arising from the use of theinformation contained herein.

    [email protected]

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    Kashmir, Amranath shrine and Dogra conspiracy

    Historical perspective of 110-years-old Dogra "conspiracy to lean Kashmir towardsHindu land instead of Muslim Punjab" finally it ends in a mess.

    By Farzana Shah

    On September 9 after taking the oath as the 12 th President of Pakistan Mr. Asif Ali

    Zardari opined at a joint press conference with the Afghan President Hamid Karzaithat there could be a forward movement on resolving the Kashmir issue soon. He

    said, Insha Allah, we will have some good news on Kashmir before the general

    elections in India slated for next year. He further said that the work done through the

    back-channel diplomacy will also be part of the drive to solve the Kashmir issuewithin a year. He did not elaborate upon the Back- Channel diplomacy but the ever

    vigilant Sheikh Rashid, a former member of the PML-Q and who has now formed his

    own faction the Awami Muslim League, while addressing a public meeting onSeptember 11 had something startling to reveal that the secret talks were underway in

    London for the under the table deal over Kashmir.

    In the recent past some statements of Mr. Zardari that we should not be held hostage

    to the Kashmir issue and instead should move on, had drawn flaks from different

    quarters in Pakistan and IHK. At the same time the recent moves of the Indian

    government for the transfer of some adjacent land to the Amarnaath shrine has added

    yet another dimension to the Kashmir problem. It seems a stage is gradually being setfor both sides for some give and take on the Kashmir issue. However, it remains to be

    seen whether such a give and take will be in favour of Pakistan and Kashmiris or itwould be tantamount to giving India the cake and letting her to eat it too.

    The transfer of Kashmiri land to Amarnath Shrine board by India last month hasinjected a new spirit in the Kashmiris struggle for self-determination. The sea of

    Kashmiri people thronging to the roads, participating in large agitational rallies

    raising pro-independence, pro-Pakistan slogans and carrying green Pakistani flags,has sent shivers down the Indian spine.

    The land transfer decision followed by the BJP attempt to give it a religious colourworsened the situation further forcing Indian government to resort to use of force.The Indian government atrocity coupled with the BJPs non-secular tactics helped all

    the Kashmiri political parties to join hands for freedom.

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    Never had the valley after 1989 seen such a massive protest and determination by the

    common Kashmiris which has not only taken the Indian government by surprise butalso won the recognition of the well known Indian writers and intellectuals who are

    now openly asking the Indian government to respect the right of self determination ofthe Kashmiris.

    On the other hand for the first time a communal divide is seen in the in the Indian

    held Kashmir between the Kashmiri Muslims and Hindus in the Jammu region.

    Amarnath Land-for-pilgrims plan - a plot to create "Israel-type settlements.

    Politics of Amarnath Yatra, transfer of land:

    It is important to examine the issue in its historical perspective to comprehend the

    politics of the shrine leading to the division of Kashmir on the religious/ communallines.

    Origin:

    The origin of Amarnath Yatra dates back to the year 1850 A.D, when a Muslim

    shepherd from Batakot, named Butta Malik first discovered the gigantic cave in

    which naturally formed ice column is considered Shiv ling, and Hindus walk longway to visit it. In fact Hindus are stunned by the sheer size of this cave, and to add to

    its magic, dripping and freezing ice did the rest of the work. The cave is huge.

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    The Amarnath Cave shrine is noted for the formation of the natural ice Linga

    formed by the droppings of ice lets from the rooftop of the vast cave.

    Fake Shive Lingam

    In the recent years the so-called shiv linga doesn't build naturally, and they "engineer"it to keep the show running.

    The resulting shape becomes clumsy and looks fake. In 2006 and 2007 it had melt

    away even before the commencement of the Yatra. In September 2006 MahantDeependra Giri, custodian of Chhari Mubarak of Lord Shiva, has cited the raising of

    artificial Shivalingam as reason, among others, for dissociating himself from Shri

    Amarnathji Shrine Board (SASB).

    In the next few years the Linga may stop freezing at all. Humidity and heat from too

    many visitors also causes some melting. It happened in 2007, and could accelerate incoming years.

    Ice structure during snowfall season

    It melted in 2006 even before the Yatra starts

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    Shrine board probably wants permanent presence in area in order to install a stealthrefrigeration cycle that manages a graceful size for this "impotent god".

    In 2007 when the Linga melted away once again, the Shrine board had come up witha new idea of air conditioning at the Amarnath cave to prevent the ice lingam frommelting.

    The air conditioners will be on electricity and the electricity needed to operate thecooling panels will be generated from micro-hydro electric plant along the Amravati

    River, which flows close to the cave.

    It means on the one hand the board will have a pre-eminent presence in the area whileon other hand it is going to occupy the water resources of Kashmiris on the pretext of

    generating electricity for the shrine.

    Hindus as usual, believe in building mountain of lies to redefine the history. On

    internet they have pulled it back to thousands of years, what was never known before

    1850.

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    They hope to use it as a king-pin for Hindu claim on Kashmir, if possible.Interestingly during 150 years history of the cave, the Yarta was extended thrice. Last

    time it was extended from four weeks to eights weeks by the Indian government, in a

    bid to draw more Hindus to the site.

    BJP calls for Israel-Style settlements in Kashmir

    The fears of the Kashmiris regarding changing the demography of Kashmir by

    settling non-Kashmiris and transfer of land seems becoming true with the statement

    of BJP leader for Israel-style settlement of Hindus in Kashmir valley.

    BJP president Rajnath Singh on Friday (September 13th, 2008) unveiled a deep

    saffron agenda that the "road leading to the Amarnath shrine be nationalized", and

    another controversial suggestion that displaced Kashmiri Pandits be "rehabilitated inspecial enclaves in the Valley".

    While addressing the BJP national executive, he proposed to set up Hindu pockets inthe Valley, which clearly exposes that the Amarnath land-for-pilgrims plan is actually

    a plot to create "Israel-type settlements. The BJP calls Hindus from Jammu as

    Nationalists while Muslims in Kashmir Valley as non-Nationalists. Thus by

    nationalizing the road leading to the Amarnath shrine he means to include it inJammu clearly changing the demography of Muslim Kashmir.

    On the same day September 13th, 2008, Hindu fundamentalist organization theRashtriya Swayam Sewak Sangh (RSS) called for the division of Jammu and

    Kashmir in three parts. The RSS in a memorandum which a delegation of senior RSSleaders presented to N.N. Vohra - Centres interlocutor - reiterated its demand for the

    statehood for the Jammu region and the Union Territory status for Ladakh by de-

    linking these regions from the Kashmir valley.

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    Similarly the Shiv Sena fundamentalists have called for an all out war with Pakistanand forcibly converting Kashmir into Indian Union by doing away with the special

    status of Held Kashmir.

    Kashmir Background:

    Kashmir has always been a natural part of today's Pakistan and not that of India. Thesooner Delhi accepts it, (and they know it) the better it would be for the entire region

    and the world.

    Its people, culture, language, rivers, trade, routes all fit naturally with Pakistan and

    not India.

    During the First Anglo-Sikh war of 1845, Gulab Singh remained neutral and later by

    the Treaty of Amritsar March 16, 1846, British sold Kashmir (areas eastward of theriver Indus and westward of the river Ravi) to the Maharaja Gulab Singh for around

    Rs7.5 million.

    The state had an area of 84,471 square miles and Gulab Singh bought it at the rate of

    Rs155 per square mile or he paid seven and half rupees for every inhabitant of the

    state.

    Importance of Rail link - Kashmir Railway:

    The Kashmir Railway is being built in India to connect the state of Jammu andKashmir with the rest of the country. The Project officially coded USBRL

    (Udhampur Srinagar Baramulla Railway Link) starts from the city of Udhampur, 55

    km (34 mi) north of Jammu, and travels for 290 km (181 mi) to the city of Baramulla

    on the northwestern edge of the Kashmir valley. The route crosses major earthquake

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    zones, and is subjected to extreme temperatures of cold and heat, as well asinhospitable terrain, making it an extremely challenging engineering project.

    The Kashmir Railway has been under construction since 1994 by various railwaycompanies in India. When completed this railroad will link the city of Jammu in

    Northern plains of India with the city of Srinagar in the Himalayan valleys andbeyond.

    In 1898 Maharaja Pratap Singh first explored the possibility of a railway line

    connecting Jammu with Srinagar. For various reasons including complications with

    the British government and political frictions this was put on hold.

    In 1902: Britain proposed a rail link following the Jhelum River connecting Srinagar

    to Rawalpindi. This was "not popular" as the residents of the state lived mostly inJammu and Srinagar and interacted via the more southerly Moghul road. Politics did

    not favour this proposal.

    In 1905: Britain again proposed a link between Rawalpindi and Srinagar. Maharaja

    Pratap Singh approved the rail line between Jammu and Srinagar via Reasi through

    Moghul road. This audacious line was to have involved a 2'-0" (610 mm) or 2'-6"

    (763 mm) gauge railway climbing all the way to the Moghul road pass at 11,000+feet (3355 m) over the Pir Panjal Range. This can be compared to the present day

    Banihal Tunnel at approximately 7,000 ft (2135 m). As planned it would have been

    electric-powered and would have used the mountain streams as a source of hydro-electric power.

    In retrospect it was perhaps just as well that it was not built. Though it would have

    been spectacular, the low gauge and elevated pass would have meant it to be a not all

    weather rail and been constrained to low speed and capacity similar to the impracticalDarjeeling

    Himalayan Railway.

    In 1947: With partition, Jammu was disconnected from the united India Rail grid and

    a new line from Pathankot to Jammu had to be laid. It was proposed that this be

    extended to Srinagar but the preliminary survey of the Pir Panjal quickly squashedthe thought, especially for a poor country with higher priorities. In 1983: Indian

    Prime Minister Indira Gandhi kicked off the line from Jammu to Udhampur. An

    optimistic schedule of five years and a budget of 50 Crores was set. As detailedbelow what happened to this line amply illustrates the wisdom of the earlier planners

    who had abandoned their plans when faced with reality.

    In July 2002: The Vajpayee Government declared the line a National Project. This

    meant it to be constructed and completed irrespective of the cost. The central

    government had to fund the entire project. This is important as the Railways havenow an estimated cost of 6,000 Crores for the entire project. By the Railways'

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    allocation it would have taken 60 years to complete the project. A challengingdeadline of August 15, 2007, Independence Day, was also set.

    August 7, 2008 The Indian Ministry of Railways asked the Konkan RailwaysCorporation Ltd (KRCL) the agency executing works on almost half of the Katra-

    Qazigund section not to commence any new work on the 70-odd-km mountainousstretch entrusted to it. It is considering major changes in the alignment. This couldpush the project deadline to 2025 and lead to severe cost escalations and the

    abandonment of works already executed. Works worth Rs750 crore have already

    been executed and Rs1,000 crore worth of contracts were already awarded on the

    Katra-Qazigund section, whose completion will finally allow a direct train to theValley.

    Pir Panjal is behaving as Sidd e Sakandari for us and Kashmir... a huge and kinddefender

    Post 9/11:

    If analyzed India's bid for permanent seat in SC is blocked by Kashmir problem. "Notnecessarily but West uses this argument sometimes to twist his arm" regional peace is

    harmed by Kashmir problem. In past West wanted to prolong it to exploit the frictionnow they want it be "solved" to get their targets.

    US's plans to disarm Nuclear Pakistan are blocked by Kashmir issue. Pakistan usesKashmir issue to justify its nuclear program partially.

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    US/Israel have not been able to live in Afghanistan peacefully. Kashmir is a betterpotential alternate. US would love to keep Kashmir as a hub in region as well as

    forward base against Tibet border of China, while being a flipping out resort for their

    tired troops fighting in Eurasia and Middle East.

    akistan's historical stance on Kashmir was shaken by Musharaf, by proposingmultiple new solutions for Kashmir. US bought it (probably invented it) for its owntwo strategic interests in the region.

    US might have worked with India to fall back to Chenab formula, thus trying to keep

    control on Chenab water, and Jammu, while committing "cooperation" against Chinaand trade and energy corridor to central Asia through Pakistan.

    US-India Nuclear deal is also a factor of this "long term strategic partnership",against China and Muslim heartland of south and Central Asia.

    What is good for Pakistan and Kashmiris ?

    We need to have a policy as there is no official policy right now. We need to avoid a

    rush to a quicker solution or partition that allows USA and Israel to penetrate the

    region.

    The political leadership, foreign office and the Army need to have one vision strongly

    backed by the nation over Kashmir. We need to keep USA out of region, or it maybecome far bigger a mistake, that may result into another 100 years of virtual

    colonization of entire Pakistan, and eventually India too. Imagine US corporationsmanaging our rivers and tagging and polluting every single drop of God gifted water.

    We shouldn't be tired of Kashmiris demand and we need to let Kashmiris know that

    we care for them.

    People of Pakistan and divided Kashmiri families need to rally together. We need to

    make sure, that the day we ask Kashmiris, they would stand hard on theircommitment towards Pakistan.

    Pakistan should run Kashmiri TV channels from Muzaffarabad, and FM radios (avoid

    Indian style bullshit on that media, and let them feel their Muslim and Pakistaniheritage).

    We need to prioritize normalization with Kashmiris instead of East Punjab or Delhi

    visits. Kashmiris need to visit their relatives in Indian Occupied Kashmir.

    Trade with Kashmiris

    During the land transfer row the economic blockade of Kashmir valley by BJP has

    pushed Srinagar closer to Mirpur as the blockade on the Jammu-Srinagar road

    incarcerates the Kashmiris, eventually seeking access to Pakistani and Chinese

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    markets. The people, traders and economists of Held Kashmir are demandingrestoration of alternative road links with Azad Kashmir.

    Pakistan needs to initiate the trade across LoC with Kashmiris instead of Delhi. It willnot only strengthen the Kashmir economy but also make Kashmiris lean towards

    Pakistan.

    Bus and Truck service is good initiative. Remember Kashmiri slogan of "Hamari

    Mandi Rawalpindi". Only 2 hours by train/bus to Rawalpindi vs 12+ hours from

    Indian road journey through Banihaal pass.

    If we don't want to alienate Jammu Hindu and Muslim population, we can use left

    and right bank of Chenab to develop trade and people links with Sialkot and Gujrat.

    Most Important:

    "Pakistan needs to announce Havelian- Muzaffarabad, and Rawalpindi-ChakothiRailway lines plans as by doing so from the 1902 British Plan it will be only 20+

    miles from Baramula to connect the entire Valley. China has been cooperating about

    rebuilding earthquake affected areas. Make sure we use the same gauge specifications

    as of Indian occupied Kashmir to take the rail link across when needed. Building isone thing, but announcing it hardly needs any money. Who can deny its big

    psychological effect that it would have? Also, it is only a100 miles stretch, plus 30

    miles if we want to connect Havelian to it.

    Build the historical connecting highway at motorway standard. It is worth everyrupee spending on it.

    Kashmir road map with links to Pakistan and Azad Kashmir

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    India's issues:

    Congress led government had created the mess first by land transfer and latter bysuccumbing once again to BJP demands. Now they need a face saving solution like

    Chenab formula to clean it up.

    They may use the tale of "gandhi giri" of Kashmiris or something similar, but we

    shouldn't compromise on our interests and play our cards wisely.

    India is confused and wants it to be bundled with nuclear deal, security council, anddozen of other things. There is still a lot of bluffing going on.

    BJP wants to induce this delivery prematurely, during Congress rule time, andpoliticize it to win next election mobilizing nationalistic and Hindu voter.

    International media and players:

    The international players and media are working gradually. EU publishes reports and

    then refines them. This media discovers mass graves of innocent Kashmiris killed by

    Indian army over the last decade.

    But we need to remember that the agenda of this international media is different from

    our as they while reporting on Kashmir regularly, "suggests" Kashmiris what to donext, on almost daily basis inducing their own agenda.

    IHK Kashmiri rulers:

    The ruling elite of Indian Held Kashmir have been the biggest cause of Kashmirismiseries.Sheikh Abdullah (1905-1982) was a talented angry young man,

    unfortunately, (Conspiracy theory) he married Akbar Jehan daughter of Michael

    Harry Nedou.

    The writer Tariq Ali claims that Akbar Jehan was previously married in 1928 to an

    Arab Karam Shah who disappeared after a Calcutta newspaper Liberty reported that

    he was actually Col T.E. Lawrence (Lawrence of Arabia) a British Intelligenceofficer.

    He claims that Akbar Jehan was divorced by her first husband in 1929.

    Farooq Abdullah is his son, with British Christian wife, Mollie Abdullah.

    Omer Farooq Abdullah's wife is Payal Abdullah, a Sikh lady.

    His sister is married to Rajesh pilot's son, a Hindu.

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    Isnt "a truly secular family" so what do we expect out of them? Exactly what hasbeen happening for decades, and when Omer visited Pakistan a while ago, we should

    have been more worried than any hopeful.

    Chenab Formula:

    In the emerging scenario where President of Pakistan Asif Ali Zardari is boastingover some backdoor diplomacy for the early solution, Pakistan needs to advocate and

    stress on Chenab Formula.

    This plan, first suggested in the 1960s, would see Kashmir divided along the line ofthe River Chenab. This would give the vast majority of land to Pakistan and, as such,

    a clear victory in its longstanding dispute with India. The entire valley with its

    Muslim majority population would be brought within Pakistan's borders, as well asthe majority Muslim areas of Jammu.

    With the inclusion of Ladakh, which also lies north of the river Chenab, India wouldbe left with approximately 3,000 square miles of territory out of 84,000 square miles.

    Chenab Formula

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    Religious groups: Indian-administered Kashmir

    REGION Buddhist Hindu Muslim Other

    Kashmir Valley - 4% 95% -

    Jammu - 66% 30% 4%

    Ladakh 50% - 46% 3%

    Religious groups: Pakistani-administered Kashmir

    REGION Buddhist Hindu Muslim OtherNorthern Areas - - 99% -

    Azad Jammu andKashmir

    - - 99% -

    Source: Indian/Pakistani Government Censuses

    Dont give Hindus a free hand like 1947.

    Human impact:

    Chenab formula needs a swift securing of route from Chamb/Jorian border to Jammu-

    Srinagar Highway (just 15 miles of road, in order to avoid any disruption of suppliesto wadi. As well as providing security to people. Muzaffarabad alternative is there

    during summer, but without security option. Chenab bridges may be redundant or

    harmful.

    There is another horrifying scenario which seems emerging from the statements of

    Hindu fundamentalist organizations like RSS, VHP, Shiv Sena is the division of HeldKashmir on the basis of communal lines.

    The recent land row and now on September 13th the demand by BJP to createseparate colonies of Pundits in Valley and RSS demand for dividing Kashmir into

    three regions clearly points towards changing demography of Muslim Kashmir.

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    In this case India is going to find areas having the most Hindus and partitioned thoseoff and also take some empty land around those areas to give their military an easy

    area to defend and then kick many Muslims out from that area and sign a treaty with

    Pakistan for new national borders and finish the Kashmir issue forever.

    Many more thousands of Kashmiris will be killed when they move from their housesto Pakistan; it will be like a mini-1947.

    End