Black Swan

theory

The Future Forecast => Possible?

The World => Knowable?

Risk => Measurable?

Finance guru Nicolas Taleb

Uncertainty dominates

The Black Swan Theory Roots

Fragility of human knowledge

3 attributesAn Outlier

An extreme impact

Concoction

Examples (1)

Examples (2)

Examples (3)

Shall we predict?

Accuracy of prediction

Modelling and Prognoses

Nature's black swans (1)

Nature's black swans (2)

Nature's black swans (3)

Nature's black swans (4)

Financial black swans

Political black swans

Innovation's black swans