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Wien, 15. April 2010

Prof. Andreas SchleicherAdvisory of the OECD Secretary-General on Education Policy

OECD Directorate for Education

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Stabil DynamischMärkte

National GlobalWettbewerb

Hierarchisch VernetztOrganisationsformen

Massenproduktion Flexible Produktion –embedded servicesProduktion

Mechanisierung Digitalisierung, Miniaturisierung

Wachstumsimpulse

„Economies of scale“

Innovation, ZeitnäheWettbewerbsvorteil

Einzelbetrieb „Co-petition” – AllianzenFirmenmodell

Vollbeschäftigung „Employability”Politische Ziele

Klare Identität im berufsspezifischen Kontext

Konvergenz und Transformation

Berufsprofile

Berufsspezifisch Multi-dimensionalKompetenzen

Formale Qualifikation

Lebensbegleitendes Lernen

Bildung

Neue HerausforderungenGestern Heute

3333P

ISA

OE

CD

Pro

gram

me

for

Inte

rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

essm

ent

Brie

fing

of C

ounc

il14

Nov

embe

r 200

7

There is nowhere to hideWhy the yardstick for success is no longer

improvement by national educational standards

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BasisqualifikationenApproximated by percentage of persons with high school or equivalent qualfications

in the age groups 55-64, 45-55, 45-44 und 25-34 years

%

1. Excluding ISCED 3C short programmes 2. Year of reference 20043. Including some ISCED 3C short programmes 3. Year of reference 2003.

13

1

1

27

11

10

Tertiary-type A graduation rate

Spitzenqualifikationen

Graduate supply

Cost

per

st

uden

t



United States

Finland

Graduate supply

Cost

per

st

uden

t Austria



AustraliaFinlandUnited

Kingdom

Poland



United States

Australia

Finland

Austria

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Components of the private net present value for a male with higher education

Net present value in

USD equivalent

35K$56K$ 367K$105K$27K$ 26K$ 170K$

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Latin America then…

Hanushek 2009

GDP/pop 1960

Years schooling

Asia 1891 4

Sub-Saharan Africa 2304 3.3

MENA 2599 2.7

Latin America 4152 4.7

Europe 7469 7.4

Orig. OECD 11252 9.5

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Latin America then and now…

Hanushek 2009

GDP/pop 1960

Years schooling

Growth 1960-2000

GDP/pop 2000

Asia 1891 4 4.5 13571

Sub-Saharan Africa 2304 3.3 1.4 3792

MENA 2599 2.7 2.7 8415

Latin America 4152 4.7 1.8 8063

Europe 7469 7.4 2.9 21752

Orig. OECD 11252 9.5 2.1 26147

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Latin America then and now…Why quality is the key

Hanushek 2009

GDP/pop 1960

Years schooling

Growth 1960-2000

GDP/pop 2000

Test score

Asia 1891 4 4.5 13571 480

Sub-Saharan Africa 2304 3.3 1.4 3792 360

MENA 2599 2.7 2.7 8415 412

Latin America 4152 4.7 1.8 8063 388

Europe 7469 7.4 2.9 21752 492

Orig. OECD 11252 9.5 2.1 26147 500

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Increased likelihood of tertiary particip. at age 19/21 associated with PISA reading proficiency at age 15

(Canada)after accounting for school engagement, gender, mother

tongue, place of residence, parental, education and family income (reference group PISA Level 1)Increased chance of

successful tertiary participation

School marks at age 15

PISA performance at age

15

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Veränderungen in der Nachfrage nach KompetenzenEconomy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input

(US)

(Levy and Murnane)

Mea

n ta

sk in

put a

s per

cent

iles o

f th

e 19

60 ta

sk d

istrib

utio

n

The dilemma of schools:The skills that are easiest to teach and test are also the ones that are easiest to digitise, automate and outsource

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Paradigm shiftsThe old bureaucratic

systemThe modern enabling system

Hit and miss Universal high standards

Uniformity Embracing diversity

Provision Outcomes

Bureaucratic look-up Devolved – look outwards

Talk equity Deliver equity

Prescription Informed profession

Conformity Ingenious

Curriculum-centred Learner-centred

Interactive Participative

Individualised Community-centred

Delivered wisdom User-generated wisdom

Management Leadership

Public vs private Public with private

Culture as obstacle Culture as capital

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Thank you !Thank you !

www.oecd.org; www.pisa.oecd.org– All national and international publications– The complete micro-level database

email: [email protected]

[email protected]

…and remember:Without data, you are just another person with an opinion

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