big bad budget balances 2011-17
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Big bad budget balances 2011-17. Source: Treasury Budget May 8. The bogeyman: net debt 2011-17. Source: Treasury Budget May 8. Wayne’s fiscal dragnet. Source: Treasury, AMP Capital. Health spending cut!. Source: Treasury Budget May 8. Education not so smart, vocational flat. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Big bad budget balances 2011-17
Source: Treasury Budget May 8
The bogeyman: net debt 2011-17
Source: Treasury Budget May 8
Wayne’s fiscal dragnet
Source: Treasury, AMP Capital
Health spending cut!
Source: Treasury Budget May 8
Education not so smart,vocational flat
Source: Treasury Budget May 8
Scary places – the states
Those who grow old…
http://www.abc.net.au/news/specials/census-2011/
Source: ABS, ABC.net.au
RESTRUCTURING HAPPENS
Australia - real GDP growth
Source: Treasury Budget May 8
Value of Australian commodity exports
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1990-91 1993-94 1996-97 1999-00 2002-03 2005-06 2008-09 2011-12
farm exports
mineral resource exports
China: building Europe in 15 years
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit
Mining income
Source: Treasury May 2011 Source: Aust Treasury
Resources investment pipeline
•Source: Treasury MYEFO Nov 29
CAPEX KA-BOOM!
• Source: ABS May 31
Canine Corporation
CEO CFO
MINING CAPEX
• Source: ABS May 31
Manufacturing capex
Source: ABS May 31
Manufacturing CAPEX
• Source: ABS May 31
Manufacturing exports exist!
Source: Treasury Budget, ABS
Real retail turnover
Source ABS August 2
Department stores departing…
Source ABS August 2
RETAIL BACK TO NORMAL?
• Source: Morgan Stanley, ABS
Short-term visitor arrivals March 02 401,800
March 03 398,200 March 04 424,200 March 05 456,900 March 06 456,800 March 07 473,000 March 08 467,900 March 09 468,700 March 10 481,300 March 11 483,800
March 12 504,800Source: ABS May 9 (trend)
Source: ABS August 3
Tourism changing, not dying
Source: Treasury Budget, ABS
PEOPLE – our future
•Source ABS Sept
2008 Net migration 315,700 Population growth 2.2% (467,300) 2011 Net migration 184,00 Population growth 1.4% (302,600) (NSW 1.0% Qld 1.5% NT 0.8% WA 2.9%)Source: ABS June 20
The numbers game
Now 2050 Japan 127 million 100 million
China 1.34 billion 1.42 billion
India 1.21 billion 1.7 billion
The nation not doing it tough
Gross national savings
Source: Treasury Budget May 8
Dirty great big massive huge data
Non-resources non-booming but non-bad
Source: Treasury Budget May 8