beach energy limitedmacquarie 12th annual australia conference, sydney – 5 may 2011 slide 7 large...
TRANSCRIPT
Slide 1 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Beach Energy Limited Macquarie
‘12th Annual Australia Conference’ Sydney - 5 May 2011
Mr. Steve Masters
Chief Commercial Officer
Slide 2 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
General overview
Slide 3 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Compliance statements
Disclaimer
• This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with oil, gas, geothermal and related businesses. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable but they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including, but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling and production results, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, project delays or advancements, approvals and cost estimates.
• All references to dollars, cents or $ in this presentation are to Australian currency, unless otherwise stated. References to “Beach” may be references to Beach Energy Limited or its applicable subsidiaries.
• Unless otherwise noted, all references to reserves and resources figures are as at 30 June 2010 and represent Beach’s share.
Competent Persons Statement
• This presentation contains information on Beach’s Reserves and Resources which have been compiled by Mr Gordon Moseby, who is a full time employee of Beach, is qualified in accordance with ASX listing rule 5.11 and has consented to the inclusion of this information in the form and context in which it appears.
Slide 4 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Beach Energy Limited - A unique value proposition
Slide 5 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Key catalysts for 2011
Multiple near-term catalysts with material re-rating potential
Slide 6 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
• FY11 guidance downgraded to 6.5 MMboe, as a result of recent:
– Wet weather and flood events
– Tantanna pipeline interruption
• Short-term opportunities for production growth given:
– Better land access for activities following Cooper Basin floods
– Aggressive exploration and development drilling for 2011
– Impress Energy acquisition
Solid production platform
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Beach Operated Western Flank Oil
Gross Expected Ultimate Recovery (MMbbl)
Near-term production uplift potential
Slide 7 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Large Resource base to build Reserves
2P Reserves
66 MMboe*
2P Reserves & Contingent Resources
363 MMboe*
* Volumes quoted are as at 30 June 2010 and do not incorporate 12 MMboe (Beach share) of additional Cooper Basin 2P reserves announced by Santos Ltd in Feb 2011, nor the impact of the Impress Energy acquisition
Material resource additions likely for Cooper Basin gas activity
Cooper / Eromanga Other Cooper / Eromanga 2P Other
2P Reserves are a fraction
of the total resource base
Slide 8 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Positioned for growth in Eastern Australian gas markets
Slide 9 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Eastern Australian gas markets are growing
• Current domestic gas demand ~ 700 PJ per annum:
– ~ 100 PJ from Cooper Basin
• Domestic gas demand expected to grow to ~ 1100 PJ by 2025*:
– Driven by power generation
– Higher demand scenarios possible
• Gladstone based LNG projects adds a new dimension to gas market dynamics
* Core Energy Group 2010
Beach is well placed strategically and
geographically to supply the market
Slide 10 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Excellent prospects to increase Cooper Basin supply
• Strong predicted growth in Eastern Australian gas demand
• Strong predicted growth in Asian LNG demand
• Excellent channels to markets
• 2015+ opens up various domestic and export linked opportunities
• Cooper Basin gas does not have the potential challenges that may impact long-term coal seam gas development in Queensland and New South Wales
Increasing number of domestic and
export customers looking to buy gas
0
20
40
60
80
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
mtp
a
Uncontracted Demand by Country - Based on Likely Supply
China India Japan South Korea Taiwan Other Asia
Source: Core Energy Group 2010
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Ga
s (P
J)
Domestic Market: Gas Contracts versus Reference Demand
Total Reference Demand TOP
Slide 11 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
The impact of eastern Australian LNG projects
• Two projects have achieved FID committing > 16 mtpa capacity
• BG Group has recently announced it is marketing for QCLNG Train 3
• APLNG recently announced a 4.3 mtpa contract with Sinopec
• More projects / contracts to come in due course
~ 80% of East Coast 2P reserves are owned by parties developing LNG projects or with LNG aspirations
* Adapted from Energy Quest, February 2011
LNG markets provide access to oil-linked gas pricing – a paradigm shift
from traditional domestic pricing
18.7%
17.5%
14.9% 13.2%
6.2%
6.2%
9.7%
4.2%
2.3% 7.0%
Australian East Coast 2P Reserves*
BG Group
Santos / PETRONAS/ TOTAL / KogasOrigin Energy
Conoco Phillips
Shell
PetroChina
BHP Billiton /ExxonMobilAGL
Eastern Star Gas
Others
Slide 12 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
SACB JV - GLNG Project supply opportunity
• Discussions ongoing between SACB JV and Santos for the supply of 750 PJ to Santos’ GLNG Project*:
– Beach’s share of supply would be ~ 152 PJ
– 15 year contract - proposed to commence in 2014
– Oil-linked gas pricing
• Highlights strategic importance of Cooper Basin asset base
• Potentially creates new export supply opportunities
• Enhances various opportunities in the Cooper Basin
* Discussions between the South Australian Cooper Basin Joint Venture
(SACB JV) and Santos are incomplete, and the terms of any potential
agreement remain subject to ongoing dialogue between all relevant parties
Slide 13 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Beach is an attractive supply option for gas customers
• Growing Cooper Basin reserves and contingent resources base
• Opportunities to add to reserves and resources in other basins close to markets
• Potential to develop scalable gas developments to suit various customer requirements
• Proximity to existing infrastructure that feeds various markets
• We want to sell gas
Slide 14 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Cooper Basin shale gas potential
Slide 15 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
• PEL-218 (Permian JV) potential shale gas in place 40-80 Tcf
• Similar properties to successful US shale plays
• Encounter-1 and Holdfast-1 both successful due to:
– Target zones either in line or thicker than anticipated
– Gas saturated with no water through the target zone
• Results will assist in the design of future activities:
– Fracture stimulation (Q2 2011)
– Pilot well program (Q3-Q4 2011)
A commanding Cooper Basin shale gas acreage position
Encouraging results to date – material resource booking anticipated in 2011
Slide 16 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
The importance of REM section for shale & tight gas
• Thick target section
• Gas charged
• Over-pressured
• Favourable mineralogy
Key attributes confirmed to date provide significant
encouragement
Slide 17 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Comparison to US plays
Parameter PEL 218 Permian REM Barnett (Texas) Haynesville (Louisiana)
Depth (metres) 2,900 – 3,500 1,650 – 3,000 3,050 – 3,950
Shale thickness (metres)
120 – 260 75 – 150 60 – 90
Total Organic Carbon Av%
3 – 5 5 4
Pressure Gradient (psi/ft)
0.72 0.55 0.85
Gas in place (Av) Bcf/sq.km
40 - 80 40 80
Similar properties to successful US shale plays
Slide 18 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Shale gas exploration – Stage 1 indicative timeline
Proof of concept: 2010 – 2011
Drill and core Holdfast-1 & Encounter-1
vertical exploration
wells
Q4 2010/ Q1 2011
Fracture stimulate wells
~ 8 zones/well
Q2 2011
Flow test
Q2 2011
BOOK GAS RESOURCE
Q2/Q3 2011
Pilot Production
Wells
Q3/Q4 2011
Slide 19 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Next steps
With successful proof of concept:
• Design pilot horizontal wells targeting highest yield zones in REM
• Drill further vertical delineation wells across acreage
• Expand production pilot to multiple wells
• Seek to monetise early production via existing facilities
• Determine market potential and processing requirements
Encounter-1 well site
Slide 20 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Dominant Western Flank oil acreage position
Slide 21 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Cooper Basin – Western Flank Oil
Western Flank oil is a core contributor to Beach due to:
• High net back per barrel
• Beach holding strong equity positions
• Quick drill and tie-in periods
• Established infrastructure and surety of delivery
• High flow rates from wells
• Good understanding of the geology resulting in high success rates
• Multiple play types
A high profit area with significant remaining exploration potential
Slide 22 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Potential risked reserves addition of six million barrels of oil
Western Flank Drilling Program
Beach operated
• Five exploration wells in PEL 91 (Beach 40%)
• Eleven wells in PEL 92 (Beach 75%)
• Targeting exploration prospects of 0.5-5.5 million barrels of oil (gross)
• Success at first four PEL 92 development / appraisal wells
Senex operated
• Proposed ten well program including four development wells on the Growler field
Slide 23 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
‘Big oil’ potential, Tanzania
Slide 24 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Rift systems - Gulf of Suez vs Lake Tanganyika
Gulf of Suez:
• Rift valley system
• Area approximately 9,000km2
• 800+ exploration wells drilled
• 9.5 billion barrels of oil discovered
Lake Tanganyika
• Rift valley system
• Area approximately 32,900km2
• Two exploration wells drilled
• No discoveries to date
Gulf of Suez Lake Tanganyika
Lake Tanganyika is more than three times the size of the Gulf of Suez
Slide 25 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
• Beach 100%
• Underexplored area with high potential
• Lake Tanganyika South acreage is approximately 7,000 km2
• Potential for large (> 200 MMbbl) discoveries:
– Natural oil seeps on Lake Tanganyika indicate a working petroleum system
• Airborne gradiometric gravity and hi-resolution aeromagnetic data acquired in 2010
• 2D seismic survey planned for Q3/Q4 2011
Rift systems - Lake Tanganyika, Tanzania
Initial prospect and leads generation in 2011
Slide 26 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Lake Tanganyika South Seismic Line – 2D
Lake Tanganyika South vs Lake Albert - Analogy
1.5 sec -
2.0 sec -
2.5 sec -
Lake Albert Seismic Line – 3D
Deeper water in Lake Tanganyika
Source: Tullow Oil plc – EAPCE, 2011 Source: Beach Energy Ltd – Project Probe data
Slide 27 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
• Typical rift graben/half graben geometries
• Seismic indicates large structures with bounding faults
• Play types are:
– Stratigraphic traps
– Fault traps
– Three way structured traps against basement
– Anticlinal traps
• These are similar to successful play types in Uganda, Lake Albert
Lake Tanganyika South – play types
Large stacked structures under Lake Albert appear similar to those within the Lake Tanganyika South concession
Slide 28 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Egypt – Established and growing portfolio
Slide 29 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Egypt overview
• Beach interests range 15 – 22%
• An established and growing portfolio
• Exposure to prolific and emerging hydrocarbon basins:
– Portfolio of near-term development & exploration opportunities
• North Shadwan expected to produce first oil in 2011
• Abu Sennan four-well appraisal / exploration program commenced in December 2010
• Mesaha* has the potential to contain 100 MMbbl+ targets
* Subject to Ministerial approval
Slide 30 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Closing remarks
Slide 31 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Strong and diverse growth potential
Current share price does not reflect Beach’s growth portfolio
Slide 32 Macquarie 12th Annual Australia Conference, Sydney – 5 May 2011
Beach Energy Limited – Head office 25 Conyngham Street Glenside SA 5065 Tel: +61 8 8338 2833 Fax: +61 8 8338 2336 Website: www.beachenergy.com.au
Chris Jamieson Investor Relations Manager Tel: +61 8 8338 2833 Mob: +61 8 (0)487 173 244 Email: [email protected]
Contact information