bbcon 2014 moneyball: how analytics improves fundraising

39
Moneyball How Analytics Improves Fundraising PRESENTED BY DENNIS MCCARTHY DONNA WILKINS

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Page 1: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

MoneyballHow Analytics Improves FundraisingPRESENTED BY DENNIS MCCARTHY

DONNA WILKINS

Page 2: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising
Page 3: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

What should I do?

Page 4: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

#moneyball how to measure success

Page 5: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

The Lean Start-up Methodology

Page 6: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

M&M

Page 7: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Charity Dynamics TEMpO™ Technology Engagement MOdel

Strategy for managing the pace and prioritization of online investment

• Inherently come and go• Drive awareness, audience,

response• Require incremental

investment

• Built to last• Provides utility• Manages growing

constituency• Unites disparate campaigns

• Ensures ongoing engagement• Maximizes campaign

investment• Converts from campaign to

mission-oriented supporters

Page 8: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

CMO/CDO+

CTO / CIO

Page 9: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Benefits of the love fest

Page 10: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

#moneyball left and right side work together

Page 11: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

1. Do-It-Yourself

2. Integrated Fundraising

3. Mobile

3 Buckets

Page 12: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Do It Yourself

Page 13: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Fundraising Potential

• 2014 Insights into IFE Programs• http://my.charitydynamics.com/IFEStudy.html

Page 14: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

DIY Strategic Goals

Strategic Goals

Donor En-gagementRevenueWider Re-cruitment

40% of Donors encourage family and friends to donate27% actively fundraise for their favorite charity* 2012 Nonprofit Donor Engagement Study

• 2014 Insights into IFE Programs• http://my.charitydynamics.com/

IFEStudy.html

Page 15: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Analytics

• How do you make the case for program potential?

• How do you manage the program for greatest success?

Page 16: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Program Potential

StrategyRecruiting

Campaign

Audiences Analysis

Coaching Campaign

Page 17: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

DIY Program PotentialDIY Campaign

Audience Audience Size

RecruitingEffort

Registrations

Fundraising(average / fundraiser)

Birthdays 20-35 yr old

Milestone birthdays

35- 50 yr old

Memorial Memorial donors

Contributed photos stories

School Educators

Fun events Special event attendees

Page 18: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

DIY Program PotentialDIY Campaign

Audience Audience Size

RecruitingEffort

Registration Fundraising(average / fundraiser)

Birthdays 20-35 yr old 10,000 Happy birthday msg

Milestone birthdays

5,000 Happy birthday msg

35- 50 yr old 20,000 Happy birthday msg

Memorial Memorial donors

25,000 Thank you

Contributed photos stories

2,500 3 part msg seriesSocial media

School Educators 5,000 Education newsletter

Fun events Special event attendees

10,000 Post event, quarterly newsletter

Page 19: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

DIY Program PotentialDIY Campaign

Audience Audience Size

RecruitingEffort

Registration Fundraising(average / fundraiser)

Birthdays 20-35 yr old 10,000 Happy birthday msg

100 $150

Milestone birthdays

5,000 Happy birthday msg

100 $250

35- 50 yr old 20,000 Happy birthday msg

100 $200

Memorial Memorial donors

25,000 Thank you 50 $400

Contributed photos stories

2,500 3 part msg seriesSocial media

50 $150

School Educators 5,000 Education newsletter

50 $300

Fun events Special event attendees

10,000 Post event, quarterly newsletter

100 $150

Page 20: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

DIY Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

• Number of fundraiser registrations

• Type of DIY

• Number of fundraising fundraiser registrations

• Number of donors / fundraiser

• Dollars raised / fundraiser

• Returning fundraisers

Page 21: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

On Line Advertising & Integrated Marketing

Page 22: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Advertising/Integrated Marketing Strategic Goals

• Increase response and donation amounts from direct response

campaigns by adding in a digital display ad component

Evaluate the incremental performance using a forensic test and control methodology

Calculate the return on ad dollars spent (ROAS) of the program: (incremental donation $’s / incremental costs)

Results are based on aggregation of the 6 stations and statistically significant @ 99% level

Donation amounts were capped at $10K

Page 23: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

So what are the Key Performance Indicators?• Return on Ad Spend • Audience Reach• Incremental increase in Response Rate (across

channels)• Incremental increase in Average Gift (across

channels)• Incremental Return on Investment• Incremental Long Term Value increase

Page 24: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

• Multiple ad sizes and types for each station

• Clear Call to Action

• Brand clearly highlighted

• Multiple fundraising channels!

Creative Review

RMPBS:

Page 25: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Controls Explained

Run the Campaign

Define the Control Group

Measure Performance

Post Exposure Pre-Result

• The Analysis worked as follows:• We used the total population of households served ads as the

“Test Group,” this group is the 254,139 households that were served ads during the campaign

• We compared the performance of the “Test Group” to the “Control Group to identify the incremental lift

Page 26: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Controls Explained

Run the Campaign

Define the Control Group

Measure Performance

Post Exposure Pre-Result

• The “Control Population” was created from the population of 383,846 households that were:• Matched to a cookie, and• Received mail, and• Did not receive ad impressions

• Control population was verified to “match” the Test Population using key demographics (see Appendix)

Page 27: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Global Campaign Results• Test response rate of 13.75%, a lift of 19.34% (lift in response rate

was >99% statistically significant)

         

Results Test Control Variance % Percent Variance

Donations 34,941 29,279 5,662 19.34%

Donors 28,458 25,061 3,397 13.55%

Average Gift $81.06 $83.09 ($2.04) -2.45%

Revenue $2,832,187 $2,432,948 $399,240 16.41%

Ad Spend $63,750

Return on Ad Spend = 6.26:1

Page 28: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Mobile

Page 29: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Mobile

Mobile

Accessible Content

SMS Applications

Page 30: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Analytics to Guide Strategy

• Mobile web traffic %• Mobile email read %• Mobile gift %• Average mobile gift• Number of constituents with known cell

phone numbers• Application users

Page 31: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Mobile strategies

Low HighAccessing Content

Hig

h

Low

Mob

ile H

ouse

file

Responsive Design / Mobile Optimized

SMS Msg

Apps

Page 32: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

#moneyball all about mobile content

Page 33: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Who are your constituents

Page 34: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Transparent Loyalty Programs

Page 35: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Valuing Acceleration

Page 36: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

• http://my.charitydynamics.com/donorengagement.html• http://my.charitydynamics.com/InteractiveInvestment.html• http://blog.charitydynamics.com/• http://

www.mckinsey.com/insights/business_technology/getting_the_cmo_and_cio_to_work_as_partners

• http://npengage.com/nonprofit-fundraising/the-key-performance-indicators-and-the-elephant/

• http://www.imabgroup.net/

• Copy of this deck at can be found at: http://www.slideshare.net/charitydynamics

Learn More

Page 37: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

#moneyball best session ever

Page 38: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

Q&A&A

Page 39: BBcon 2014 Moneyball: How Analytics Improves Fundraising

39 #bbcon

Don’t forget to complete a session survey! Each completed survey enters you into a drawing to win a complimentary registration to bbcon 2015 in Austin, Texas*. 

*Blackbaud reserves the right to change or withdraw this promotion at any time, without advance notice. Promotion has no cash value and may not be exchanged, applied to, or combined with any other offer.

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