bahnhof square february 2013
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TRANSCRIPT
“Hermanus-meets-Century City….in
Swakopmund”
BAHNHOFF SQUARE will regenerate railway land at the
entrance to Swakopmund into a mixed-use suburb comprising
• 20 000m² “one-stop” shopping centre
• 4-5 000m² boutique/restaurant retail
• 10 000m² of offices
• >500 apartments
•>10 000m² of big-box retail (Auto showrooms, hardware etc)
The estimated project value over the next 10 years is ± $2 billion, with
the first phase of >25 000m² delivering a one-stop shopping centre, an
office/retail block and motor showrooms.
The vision is to create a quality mixed-use development that will provide
high quality premises for the retailers, residents and shoppers of
Swakopmund.
A development that fits neatly into the existing traffic & shopping
patterns of Swakopmund, makes use of existing infrastructure
investment and co-exists profitably with existing buildings.
BAHNHOFF SQUARE will regenerate railway land at the
entrance to Swakopmund into a mixed-use suburb comprising
• 20 000m² “one-stop” shopping centre
• 4-5 000m² boutique/restaurant retail
• 10 000m² of offices
• >500 apartments
•>10 000m² of big-box retail (Auto showrooms, hardware etc)
The estimated project value over the next 10 years is ± $2 billion, with
the first phase of >25 000m² delivering a one-stop shopping centre, an
office/retail block and motor showrooms.
The vision is to create a quality mixed-use development that will provide
high quality premises for the retailers, residents and shoppers of
Swakopmund.
A development that fits neatly into the existing traffic & shopping
patterns of Swakopmund, makes use of existing infrastructure
investment and co-exists profitably with existing buildings.
A MIXED-USE “SUBURB” AND
GATEWAY TO SWAKOPMUND
• Founded 1892 as port for
German/Namibian trade
• Almost 10 000 households,
growing at >3% p.a.
• “Like Hermanus over
Christmas” – population
almost doubles
• ±30 000 residents
• Distinct German influence in
the town, with much of the
CBD declared a heritage area,
due to the architectural gems
from the late 1800’s. Many of
the German tourists are also
pretty old…
• Walvis Bay, an industrial
town, is situated ±35km to
the south and Henties Bay, a
fishing village, ±75km to the
north.
SWAKOPMUNDLocated on the Western Coast
of Namibia, capital of Erongo
District and “capital city” of the world’s
uranium mining industry.
Township
To Henties Bay± 75km
To Windhoek± 350km
To Walvis Bay± 35km
CBD
Airfield
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B2
4
AT THE HEART
OF SWAKOP
Mixed Use Development
AT THE HEART OF SWAKOPMUND
PHASED APPROACH
SHOPPING CENTRE HAS MOVED
OVERALL LAYOUT
A WHO’S – WHO OF RETAIL BRANDS
VISUAL REFERENCES
VISUAL REFERENCES
FACTS &
FIGURES
• >9 000 households in primary catchment + 18 000 more in secondary catchment
• Spending power of ±R70 million/month (primary)
• Already world’s 4th biggest producer of uranium, with more mines to follow
• NamPower building 22MW diesel-fired power plant in Walvis, seeking site for 800MW coal-fired plant in Erongo region to support the new mines
• N$2 billion to be spent on desalination plants to support new uranium mines
• Gazprom bought into Kudu gas field (2010)
• Oil discovered off-shore: 11 billion barrel reserves (placing Namibia 3rd behind Nigeria & Angola)
• Gecko Group has ambitions to build a new harbour in Swakop, facilitating production of 1.2 million tons of sulphuric acid, as well as chemical re-agents needed by the uranium mines
• A bit like Burgersfort/Lephalale 10 years ago…
** Full Fernridge study available
Mining
• According to Langer Heinrich Uranium Management 5 to 7 new uranium mines are proposed for development with the next 3 to 7 years.
However, the development of these mines are strongly dependant on economic markets and commodity prices. The expected production dates
of these mines may be delayed depending on these economic conditions.
• Mines that are proposed for the next 2 to 4 years include:
• Enigma Oil & Gas Exploration received Government approval to move to the first renewal phase for several offshore exploration blocks, starting
from 31 August 2011. Chariot Oil and Gas, another oil and gas exploration company, propose to start drilling off the coast of Walvis Bay and
Swakopmund at the end 0f 2012.
• Australian Based Pancontinental Oil and Gas was granted a petroleum exploration licence for three blocks in the Walvis Bay Basin.
• The Sichuaun Hanlong Group of China made a conditional bid of A$144 million for Australia’s Bannerman Resources. Bannerman is currently
developing the Etango Uranium Project near Swakopmund and has applied for a mining licence.
Other Developments
Copyright 2011: Fernridge Consulting
Source: J & B Estates, Swakopmund Council and Langer Heinrich Uranium Management
14
Total of ±5,800 mine workers and consultants to enter the
Swakopmund/Walvis Bay population base (increased retail potential)
Primary Catchment Demographics
Copyright 2011: Fernridge Consulting 15
Source: 2006 Aerial Photography & 2011 Fieldwork
Primary Catchment
C34
B2
• Formal Households are also classified by Nett Monthly Income.
These ranges are applied and constantly updated through
research among estate agents and relative literature (we assess
the property values per suburb and relate it back to household
income).
• The current demographic data for the primary catchment area
was calculated by using 2006 aerial photography with the
Fernridge Household Points as set out on the previous slide.
• With the help of 2011 fieldwork we determine the current (2011)
household count.
• The primary catchment area currently hosts 9,244 households.
Copyright 2011: Fernridge Consulting
Retail Potential Estimate (RPE) - 2014
Important Note: This model uses Average trading densities. In our relationship with retailers we get constant feedback on trading densities actually achieved. Please note the
figures used here are R/ m² selling and used to determine an area’s total retail potential. This is therefore an average of all kinds of retail: old & new, national brands &
independents, in shopping centres & free standing, good & bad performers. Retailers in a new shopping centre typically have to trade at higher trading densities to be viable.
• The forecasted 2014 demographics of the Primary Catchment area (with additional support from the secondary catchment and
tourist market also included) warrant a total of ±126,020m² GLA of retail space.
• This model excluded the retail potential of the proposed mines. This potential will be included in the 2017 RPE Model on the
following slide.
• In order for a 25,000m² shopping centre to be deemed feasible by 2014 a market share of ±20% is required – this is considered as a
high market share, given the relatively large size of the secondary catchment.
16
ADDITIONAL SUPPORT FROM THESECONDARY CATCHMNET ANDTOURIST MARKET ALSO INCLUDED
DEMOGRAPHIC POTENTIAL FORTHE COMBINED CATCHMENT AREA(excl the D low income categoryfor the secondary catchment).
2014 Demographics
TARGET
DATES
Shopping centre• Finalise lease commitments 03/2013
• Finalise funding 04/2013
• Start construction 06/2013
• Finish construction 10/2014
Big box users: 7-9 months after lease signature
Mixed use: 9-12 months after lease signature
LEASING+27 21 852 6648
MICHAEL SCHIRNIG [email protected]
supermarkets, anchor retailers
STEFAN [email protected]
food service, home/decor, electronics, services, outdoor
TARRYN SMITH [email protected]
financial services, fashion line-shops, health & beauty, jewellery, specialities
PEOPLE
BEHIND
THE
PROJECT
DEVELOPER:
Public Private Partnership between Stacks Property & Transnamib
Holdings
PROFESSIONAL TEAM:
Development team: Eris
Urban Design: Osmond Lange
Architects: Osmond Lange (Jhb), Barnard Mutua (WHK) &
Karen Miller (Swakop)
Quantity Surveyor: Hendrik Herselman
Tenant mix & leasing: Alchemy Advisors
Research: Fernridge
Stacks Property 37 CC