back-to-back approach to risk management

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Limassol, 7 september 2014 Back-to-back approach to Risk Management

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The standard approach of back-to-back in large Oil&Gas contracts is the right one? No, it's not, because each risk must be managed by the most competent party and not transferred to a supplier by default

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Page 1: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Limassol, 7 september 2014

Back-to-back approach toRisk Management

Page 2: Back-to-back approach to risk management
Page 3: Back-to-back approach to risk management

What’s the purpose of back-to-back ?

Cover our back!

Minimize our possible losses!

© Copyright WeRISK 2014

Page 4: Back-to-back approach to risk management

How do we get there?

Back-to-back typically means transferring the uncertainties we “generate”, as clients,

with our project to our contractor(s).

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Page 5: Back-to-back approach to risk management

How do we get there?

Negotiation time: P75 12 months

Average project execution: P75 18 months

A completely different market situation

30 months, up to 48

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Page 6: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Allocate

Identify

Evaluate

Assign

The efficient approach

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Page 7: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Allocate

Effective risk analysis

A client needs to understand who can best manage the uncertainty and allocate such

responsibility to that party

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Page 8: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Allocate

Effective risk analysis

Analysis by client: high likelihood of inability to assess uncertainty associated with contractor’s scope

Analysis by bidder: based upon client’s tender document balaced with desire/need to win the bid

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Page 9: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Allocate

Effective risk analysis

Winning contractor should re-perform risk analysis taking into account that bid was won

Analysis by bidder: based upon client’s tender document balaced with desire/need to win the bid

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Page 10: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Allocate

Identify

Effective risk analysis

Different contractual arrangementsgive rise to different sources of uncertainty.

Correct identification of stakeholders with ability and willingness to own risk is crucial.

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Page 11: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Effective risk analysis

Payment terms shall be different depending on the owner of the source of uncertainty.

Allocate

Identify

Evaluate

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Page 12: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Effective risk analysis

Issues that cannot be controlled/managed at the project level should not be part of the risk management plan.

Allocate

Identify

Evaluate

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Page 13: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Risk attitude is different among individuals and the same is true for organizations.

AssignAllocate

Identify

Evaluate

Assign

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Page 14: Back-to-back approach to risk management

AssignAllocate

Identify

Evaluate

Assign

(Hillson, Murray-Webster 2007)

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Page 15: Back-to-back approach to risk management

AssignAllocate

Identify

Evaluate

Assign

When was the last time you measuredthe risk attitude of your top management

and of your overall organization ?

(Hillson, Murray-Webster 2007)

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Page 16: Back-to-back approach to risk management

AssignAllocate

Identify

Evaluate

Assign

And what aboutthe risk attitude of your suppliers?

(Hillson, Murray-Webster 2007)

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Page 17: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Back-to-back shall become the enabler to have the uncertainties outside our control

managed to our benefit in the same way we would do if we were in charge

AssignAllocate

Identify

Evaluate

Assign

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Page 18: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Risk ownership

Risk shall by owned by the

Party More CompetentAbout the uncertainty

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Page 19: Back-to-back approach to risk management

Win-win

I’ll cover your back and you’ll cover mine© Copyright WeRISK 2014