b2 - managerial skills experimental design for assisting creativity … · 2017. 7. 5. · dti /...
TRANSCRIPT
DTI / Managerial Skills
Managerial skills: experimental design for assisting creativity in problem and solving
Building a statistical model to forecast project success
through multivariate analysis
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Luca Delvecchio, Master student Business Engineering and ProductionFrancesca D. Faraci, Lecturer and Researcher DTI-ISIN
DTI / Managerial Skills
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What is the project success?
• scope• time• cost• quality• resources• risk
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Is it possible to forecast the success of a project from the
first phases ?
DTI / Managerial Skills
Project’s success is decided in the first phases
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© SUPSI – DTI – AS – 2015 – Advanced Project Management
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What are the key factors for the project’s success?
DTI / Managerial Skills
Key factors for project’s success
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Documentationand tracking
Experience of the Project Manager
Work Breakdown Structure
Resource estimates
Tasks assignment to professionals
Cost Estimates Time EstimatesScope
Estimates
Communication ”Culture” CommitmentCompeting Priorities
Rosanne Lim. “Top 10 main causes of project failure” (2016)
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What kind of tools can studythe success of a project?
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Design of Experiment is the tool
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PROCESS
FACTORS RESPONSES
DTI / Managerial Skills
Design of Experiment is the tool
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PROCESS
FACTORS RESPONSES
=
=
=
+ +
k1
k2 k3 k4
k5 k6+
PROJECT
DATAWBS
COST ESTIMATE
”CULTURE”…
TIME
COSTS
QUALITY ...
X
DTI / Managerial Skills
Data are collected through a survey
The survey is addressed to all PMs
PMs are invited to evaluate their projects under the identified factors
A given evaluation scale is provided to ensure consistency of data
The responses considered are: scope , time , cost , quality , resources , and risk .
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DTI / Managerial Skills
Survey Status
Currently data are being collected
All PMs are invited to complete the survey at this address:
[IT] http://sondaggi2.ti-edu.ch/index.php/survey/index/sid/886765/newtest/Y/lang/it
[EN] http://sondaggi2.ti-edu.ch/index.php/survey/index/sid/886765/newtest/Y/lang/en
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DTI / Managerial Skills
Expected Results
• A quantitative and more objective definition of what are the main success factors in a project
• a stable model for project success forecasting
• an instrument to increase awareness about project success
• an instrument to foster creativity
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