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AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS JULY 2015

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Page 1: AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS JULY 2015. AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS

JULY 2015

Page 2: AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS JULY 2015. AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS

WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

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Page 3: AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS JULY 2015. AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

© Euromonitor International

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Automotive Key TakeawaysAUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS

Volume CAGR 2000-2014

+3.5%

Emerging markets bolstered global demand through financial crisis but cooling, especially in China

Volume CAGR 2014-2030

+2.9%

Global Light Vehicle Sales

Page 4: AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS JULY 2015. AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

© Euromonitor International

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Sizes: Top 10 Markets, 2014 and CAGR to 2030

Country: Share of Market Growth to 2030

China 26.1% 4.4%

US 19.4% 1.4%

Japan 6.5% -0.8%

Brazil 3.9% 2.5%

Germany 3.8% 0.7%

India 3.4% 4.2%

United Kingdom 3.3% 1.2%

Russia 2.9% 2.6%

France 2.5% 1.9%

Canada 2.2% 1.0%

AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS

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© Euromonitor International

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Sizes: Top 10 Segments, 2014 and CAGR to 2030AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS

Segment: Share of Market Growth to 2030

Lower Medium Cars 20.3% 2.9%

SUVs 19.2% 4.7%

Small Cars 16.6% 3.0%

Upper Medium Cars 10.6% 1.7%

Pick-Ups 6.4% 2.2%

Mini MPVs 5.4% 2.7%

Mini Cars 5.1% 1.1%

Executive Cars 2.5% 1.3%

Small Vans 2.0% 2.5%

Full Size MPVs 1.9% 0.7%

Page 6: AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS JULY 2015. AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

© Euromonitor International

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Shares: Top five global Automotive playersWorld Light Vehicles company share 2014

(% volume)

11.8%

11.7%

9.5%

9.2%

7.4%

Company’s leading brand 2014

(world ranking)

(1)

(2)

(6)

(5)

(3)

Note: Arrow indicates direction of growth/decline in share between 2013-2014

AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS

Page 7: AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS JULY 2015. AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

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Measures: Premium and mainstream brand developmentsAUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS

World, 2004-2029

Mainstream Premium

Brazil

RussiaIn

dia

China U

S

Japa

n

S. K

orea

Franc

e

Germ

any

UK

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Country Snapshot, 2014

Premium Mainstream

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© Euromonitor International

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Measures: Global light vehicles sales by brand originAUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS

0

5000000

10000000

15000000

20000000

25000000

30000000

• Japanese brands dominate but face challenges

• US brands recover• German brands benefit

from premiumisation• Chinese brands emerge• Korean brands gain• French and Italian

brands stagnate

Page 9: AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS JULY 2015. AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

KEY FINDINGS – AUTOS LATEST TRENDS

WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

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Page 10: AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS JULY 2015. AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

© Euromonitor International

10WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

• Passenger Cars/ Light Commercial Vehicles • Mini Cars• Small Cars• Lower Medium Cars• Upper Medium Cars• Executive Cars• Luxury Cars• Sports Cars• Mini MPVs

Passport Autos 2015 – What’s Available

STATISTICS:• Volume sizes (2000-2030)• Company and brand share (2005-2014) • Premium vs Mainstream (% / volume)• Brand origin (by geography)

GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE:Western Europe: Austria; Belgium; France; Germany; Italy; Netherlands; Portugal; Spain; Sweden; Switzerland; Turkey; United KingdomEastern Europe: Czech Republic; Poland; RussiaNorth America: Canada; USALatin America: Argentina; Brazil; Chile; MexicoAsia Pacific: China; India; Indonesia; Japan; S. Korea; Taiwan; Thailand; VietnamAustralasia: AustraliaAfrica and Middle East: Israel; South Africa

ANALYSIS:• Datagraphics, Opinion, Pod/Videocasts• Regional Scorecards• Global Briefings

Note: Geographic coverage of 32 markets account for >90% of global demand.

•Compact MPVs•Full Size MPVs•SUVs•Pick-Ups•Car-Derived Vans•Small Vans•Medium Vans

NB Reports are available on a rolling basis post-publication

CATEGORIES/SEGMENTS:

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AUTOS 2015 Data Coverage

What’s included?

• Volume sizes (2000-14); Company/ Brand shares (2005-14) are sourced from JATO Dynamics• Forecast volume sizes (2015-2030) are created by Euromonitor International

• Measures:

Brand Origin Premium vs Mainstream

Which country does each brand originate from (company HQ)? Allows you to see at a glance domestic vs foreign brand penetration by country.

Volume split (%) tracking separate trends of sales of Premium vs Mainstream by country for Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles (2000-30).

WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

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How are your Automotive forecasts created?

Euromonitor’s exclusive Automotive 15-year forecasts from 2015-2030 are built on Passport C&C’s wealth of forecast macro indicators specially selected and graded for their impact on the industry by individual country (see right), and supplemented by in-house Automotive expertise gauging the impact of the country-specific micro drivers on each market’s automotive industry..

WHAT’S IN PASSPORT AUTOS 2015

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Macroeconomic factors impacting AUTOS

Perceived wealth is crucial to consumer confidence and thus

willingness to buy a new car

Interest rates dictate repayment and thus impact willingness to take out finance for a new car

Oil/fuel prices

Currency exchange

Household sizes

Employed population

Disposable incomes

Income distribution

Access to credit

Smaller households mean smaller cars, and vice versa

More employed women may mean smaller households

High oil prices and weak currencies typically damage

market potential for cars

Check EMMA Socio for all types of macroeconomic data - use it to build a picture of factors impacting demand of total Automotive market and specific vehicle segments in a country.

WHAT’S IN PASSPORT AUTOS 2015

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Market and

Segment Sizes

Economic situation

Legislation

New Model Activity

Fuel Prices

Household Sizes

Employed Population

Income Distribution

Interest Rates

End

ogen

ous

varia

bles

Exogenous variables

The Wider World of Automotive Demand DriversWHAT’S IN PASSPORT AUTOS 2015

Page 15: AUTOMOTIVE 2015: KEY INSIGHTS JULY 2015. AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE

REQUEST A PASSPORT DEMONSTRATIONRequest a live consultation and our experts will contact you to set up a free, no obligation demonstration of our award winning database today.