atlantic canada’s demographic future: rural-urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.rural non-adjacent...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban Interaction, Functional Regions & How We’re all in this Together!How We re all in this Together!
Presentation to C.D. Howe Policy Conference, Halifax, May 12, 2009
1
Rob Greenwood, PhD
Director, Leslie Harris Centre of Regional Policy and Development, Memorial University
![Page 2: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
OverviewOverview • The Population Project: NewfoundlandThe Population Project: Newfoundland
and Labrador in Transition• Defining Rural• Defining Rural• Rural-Urban Interaction in Canada• CRRF – FCM Alliance: Local
Governance of Rural-Urban InteractionLessons from NL
• Political Power vs. Political Will2
Political Power vs. Political Will
![Page 3: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
The Population Project: N&L in Transition
• 3-year umbrella projecty p jprivate sector & government funding
• Dr. Keith Storey, Research Directory,• Harris Centre Advisory Board priority issue:
• aging population• out-migration• declining fertility rates• rural to urban shift• rural to urban shift
• Initial research on commute workforce• Stay tuned• Stay tuned…
![Page 4: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
CANADA RANKS IN THE MIDDLE OF OECD COUNTRIES: SHARE OF POPULATION IN
Norway
Turkey
COUNTRIES: SHARE OF POPULATION IN PREDOMINANTLTY RURAL REGIONS
Austria
Greece
Finland
Ireland
New Zealand
Sweden
France
CANADA
Iceland
Portugal
United States
Austria
Italy
Switzerland
Czech Republic
Spain
Japan
Australia
Luxembourg
Netherlands
United Kingdom
Belgium
Germany
y
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Share of total population in predominantly rural regions, 1991Source: OECD. 1996. TERRITORIAL INDICATORS OF EMPLOYMENT: FOCUSING ON RURAL DEVELOPMENT (Paris: OECD), Table 1.1Canadian data are based on 1986 census division boundaries.
![Page 5: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
In 2006, 19 percent of Canadians lived in rural and small town areas
5
![Page 6: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
There are 4 “Rurals” (at least!)( )
1.Rural Adjacent (mixed economy; daily commuting to urban)
2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource)
3 R l R t ( tl i l i d t3.Rural Remote (mostly single industry, northern; aboriginal)
4 Rural Amenity (cottage country retirement4.Rural Amenity (cottage country, retirement communities, resorts)
…and urban comes in all sizes, and relative position matters
![Page 7: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
1996 Classifications
Census Metropolitan Areas
Census Agglomerations
Non Census Metropolitan/Census Agglomeration AreasRural and small town areas
![Page 8: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Metropolitan Influenced Zones (MIZ) in Rural and Small Town Canada, 2001
8
![Page 9: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
CMAs grow more than CAs - Rural Areas with stronger metropolitan influence grow more
9
![Page 10: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
In the 1980 to 1990 period, one-third of Canada’s predominantly rural regions were “dynamic”
10
![Page 11: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Canadian Rural Revitalization Foundation (CRRF) alliance with Federation of(CRRF) alliance with Federation of Canadian Municipalities (FCM)
Local Governance of Rural-Urban Interaction
1) Identify and map (GIS) linkages between communities in “regions”, particularly urban and g p yrural relationships
2) Assess governance mechanisms used to manage2) Assess governance mechanisms used to manage these relationships, identify gaps, investigate alternatives
3) Assess the contribution of community linkages to sustainability and create a “regional development viability index”viability index
Which linkages contribute most to viability?
) C
![Page 12: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Rural-Urban Linkages are multiple and complexmultiple and complex
• Trade and commerce• Goods, Finance, Services, People, Information
• Functional integrationC b i i i• Carbon sequestration, water protection, recreation
• Institutional integration• Health education social economy NGOs familyHealth, education, social economy, NGOs, family
• Common environments• Water, air, climate
• Common identities• Local, regional, national, international
12
![Page 13: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Population Pyramid CharacteristicsD Al i Si D t f G h M i lDr. Alvin Simms, Dept. of Geography, Memorial
![Page 14: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Functional Regions: Labour CentresD Al i Si D t f G h M i lDr. Alvin Simms, Dept. of Geography, Memorial
![Page 15: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Journey to Work PatternsyDr. Alvin Simms, Dept. of Geography, Memorial
![Page 16: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Industry Concentration IndexyDr. Alvin Simms, Dept. of Geography, Memorial
![Page 17: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Employment Dependency IndexEmployment Dependency IndexDr. Alvin Simms, Dept. of Geography, Memorial
![Page 18: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Possible Types of Regional Governance ArrangementsgMunicipalities N&L, Community Cooperation Resource Centre
• Informal assistance/support • Mutual aid – formal/written• Contracted/purchase of service• Formation of a joint service provider/organization• Formation of a joint service provider/organization
Incorporated and unincorporated • “Joint Councils” (eg. B.C. Regional Districts; Quebec MRCs)• New regional municipal structures
Mergers/regional municipalitiesL i l ti ti R i l C il S i B d• Legislative options: Regional Councils or Services Boards
Regional Collaboration is Key with Existing Capacity
18
![Page 19: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Political Power vs. Political Will: Need for Greater Regional Capacity in Canadafor Greater Regional Capacity in Canada
Political Power
Federal
RegionalProvincial
Political Will
g
19
Political Will
Denzil Doyle
![Page 20: Atlantic Canada’s Demographic Future: Rural-Urban ... · commuting to urban) 2.Rural Non-Adjacent (mostly primary resource) 3 .RlRura l RtRemote (tlilidt(mostly single industry,](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022042407/5f2245f8f028aa420145e8e6/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Thank You!Thank You!• Comments?Comments?
Questions?• Questions?
• Opportunities?
[email protected]/harriscentreYaffle.ca