astm - sias - ottobre · pdf filesavona ventimiglia m. bianco ivrea torino voltri sestri l....
TRANSCRIPT
October 2006October 2006
AUTOSTRADA TORINO – MILANO GROUPSOCIETA’ INIZIATIVE AUTOSTRADALI E SERVIZI GROUPAUTOSTRADA TORINO – MILANO GROUPSOCIETA’ INIZIATIVE AUTOSTRADALI E SERVIZI GROUP
GAVIO GROUPGAVIO GROUP
34,84%
AUTOCISA
84,42%
5,58%60,77%
85,92%
56% 87,39%
96,17%
GROUP STRUCTURE
4
36,98% 41,17%
99,87% 67,63%
20,0% 70%
36,5%40,3%
100%
12,59%
ABC CostruzioniABC Costruzioni Società Autostrada Asti-Cuneo S.p.A.
65%
45% (*)
(*) Through ASA
OWNERSHIP STRUCTUREHolding companies
5
ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI GROUP
5,53%
FREE FLOAT37,22%
GAVIO GROUP53,04%
ADELPHI CAPITAL LLP
2,08%TREASURY STOCKS
ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI GROUP
FREE FLOAT
GAVIO GROUP50,86%
37,09%
4,95%
0,06%
4,00% FONDAZIONE CR-TO3,04% LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 2,13%
LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
OWNERSHIP STRUCTUREMain motorway companies
AUTOCISA
%
PUBLIC AUTHORITIES
GROUP
MUNICIPALITIES
OTHERPROVINCES
REGIONS
ANASOTHER
TOTAL
6
99,87
68
41
37
36
87
61
84
65
-
-
-
11
-
2
5
2
-
-
-
18
9
-
4
6
9
-
-
28
-
-
64
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
32
-
-
-
-
35
-
-
-
-
-
1
6
-
-
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
0,13
4
41
11
-
6
22
5
-
SUBSIDIARIES
Società Autostrada Asti-Cuneo S.p.A.
SAVONASAVONA
VENTIMIGLIA
M. BIANCOIVREAIVREA
TORINOTORINO
VOLTRIVOLTRI SESTRI L.SESTRI L.
PARMAPARMA
LA SPEZIAVIAREGGIO
PISA LUCCALUCCALIVORNO
ASTIASTI
CUNEOCUNEO
AOSTAAOSTA
S. BERNARDO
MILANOMILANO
FREJUSPIACENZAPIACENZA
ROSIGNANO M.
ALESSANDRIAALESSANDRIA
Km.Km.154,9154,9113,2113,2182,0182,090,090,043,043,0
SALTSALTADFADFCISACISAASTIASTI--CUNEOCUNEOCOSTANERA NORTE S.A.COSTANERA NORTE S.A.
TOTAL 583,1
(1)(2)(3)
Inclusive of 81 km stretch linking Parma to the Autostrada del Brennero (under construction)Under constructionEquity Investments Costanera Norte S.A. – Chile (through ASA)
Autostrada dei Fiori S.p.A.Autostrada Ligure Toscana S.p.A.Autocamionale della Cisa S.p.A.Autostrada Asti-Cuneo S.p.A.
SUBSIDIARIES
SIGNIFICANT INVESTMENTSMilano Serravalle – Milano Tangenziali S.p.A.Società Autostrada Tirrenica S.p.A.
7
(1)(1)
NETWORK MANAGED
(2)(2)
EQUITY INVESTMENTSCostanera Norte S.A. (through ASA) - Chile
(3)(3)
8
SAVONASAVONA
VENTIMIGLIA
M. BIANCOIVREAIVREA
TORINOTORINO
VOLTRIVOLTRI SESTRI L.SESTRI L.
PARMAPARMA
LA SPEZIAVIAREGGIO
PISA LUCCALUCCALIVORNO
ASTIASTI
CUNEOCUNEO
AOSTAAOSTA
S. BERNARDO
MILANOMILANO
FREJUSPIACENZAPIACENZA
ROSIGNANO M.
ALESSANDRIAALESSANDRIA
Km.Km.130,3130,3167,7167,7163,7163,759,559,594,094,012,812,8
SATAPSATAP-- TorinoTorino--Milano Milano stretchstretch-- TorinoTorino--Piacenza Piacenza stretchstretch
ATIVAATIVASAVSAVSITAFSITAFSITRASBSITRASB
TOTAL 628,0
Società Italiana Traforo Autostradale del Frejus p. A.Società Italiana Traforo del Gr.S.Bernardo S.p.A.Road Link (A69) Holding Ltd - UK
EQUITY INVESTMENTSAutostrada Torino-Alessandria-Piacenza S.p.A Autostrade Valdostane S.p.A.Autostrada Torino-Ivrea-Valle d’Aosta S.p.A.
SUBSIDIARIES
NETWORK MANAGED
SAVONASAVONA
VENTIMIGLIA
M. BIANCOIVREAIVREA
TORINOTORINO
VOLTRIVOLTRI SESTRI L.SESTRI L.
PARMAPARMA
LA SPEZIAVIAREGGIO
PISA LUCCALUCCALIVORNO
ASTIASTI
CUNEOCUNEO
AOSTAAOSTA
S. BERNARDO
MILANOMILANO
FREJUSPIACENZAPIACENZA
ROSIGNANO M.
ALESSANDRIAALESSANDRIA
TOTAL (a) + (b)TOTAL (a) + (b) 1.211,11.211,1
(1)(2)(3)
Inclusive of 81 km stretch linking Parma to the Autostrada del Brennero (under construction)Under constructionCostanera Norte S.A. (through ASA) - Chile
Società Italiana Traforo Autostradale del Frejus p. A.Società Italiana Traforo del Gr.S.Bernardo S.p.A.Road Link (A69) Holding Ltd - UKCostanera Norte S.A. - Chile (through ASA)
EQUITY INVESTMENTSAutostrada Torino-Alessandria-Piacenza S.p.A Autostrade Valdostane S.p.A.Autostrada Torino-Ivrea-Valle d’Aosta S.p.A.
SUBSIDIARIES
SIGNIFICANT INVESTMENTSMilano Serravalle – Milano Tangenziali S.p.A.
Autostrada dei Fiori S.p.A.Autostrada Ligure Toscana S.p.A.Autocamionale della Cisa S.p.A.
Società Autostrada Tirrenica S.p.A.
9
Km.Km.
130,3130,3167,7167,7163,7163,759,559,594,094,012,812,8
SATAPSATAP-- TorinoTorino--Milano Milano stretchstretch-- TorinoTorino--Piacenza Piacenza stretchstretch
ATIVAATIVASAVSAVSITAFSITAFSITRASBSITRASB
TOTAL (b) 628,0
154,9154,9113,2113,2182,0182,090,090,043,043,0
SALTSALTADFADFCISACISAASTIASTI--CUNEOCUNEOCOSTANERA NORTE S.A.COSTANERA NORTE S.A.TOTAL (a) 583,1
NETWORK MANAGED(1)(2)(3)
GROUP MOTORWAY CONCESSIONS
10
SATAP (A 4 stretch)
SATAP (A 21 stretch)
ATIVA
SAV
SITAF
SITRASB
ROAD LINK HOLDING Ltd. (UK)
Concession expiryConcession expiry
2026
2017
2016
2032
2050
2034
2026
ASTM Group SubsidiariesASTM Group Subsidiaries
GROUP MOTORWAY CONCESSIONS
11(1)The BoD of ANAS, on 20 February 2006, approved an extension to 2044
SALT
ADFCISAASTI CUNEO COSTANERA NORTE (Chile)
Concession expiryConcession expiry
2019
2021201020332033
SIAS Group SubsidiariesSIAS Group Subsidiaries
(1)
REVENUES
OPERATING COSTS
30/6/200530/6/2006 30/6/200430/6/2005
ASTM 6 MONTHS RESULTS - (IAS/IFRS)
EBITDAEBITDAEBITDA EBITDA marginmargin
AMORTISATION & DEPRECIATION
EBITEBIT
FINANCIAL RESULT, NETNON RECURRING INCOME (EXPENSE)INCOME TAXESMINORITY INTERESTS
NET INCOMENET INCOME
210
(103)
(23)
5
(31)(2)
201
(105)
(17)
29
(28)(2)
10710751%51%
8484
5656
969648%48%
7979
7878
572572 489489
(2) Net financial indebtedness as at 31 December 2005
(Eu mn)
13
5454 6666NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESSNET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESSOPERATING CASH - FLOWOPERATING CASH - FLOW
(1) (2)
(1) Loans guaranteed by the Government: 40 Eu mn
- -
NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS(Including the NPV of the “Central Guarantee Fund” debt)NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS(Including the NPV of the “Central Guarantee Fund” debt) 708708 621621(1) (2)
14
ASTM – 1H 06 EBITDA BY SECTOR
8%8%6%6%ENGINEERING & PLANNING
SECTORMAINTENANCE & CONSTRUCTIONSECTOR
86%86%MOTORWAY SECTOR
(1) ATIVA is consolidated on a “proportionate basis” (41%)
11%33%
30%
12%(1)
A21 STRETCH
A4 STRETCH
372410
489
572(1)
0
0,4
0,8
1,2
2,5
3
15
ASTM - NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS& LEVERAGE
DEBT / EQUITY (x)DEBT / EQUITY (x)NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Eu mn)NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Eu mn)
31/12/200331/12/2003 31/12/200431/12/2004 31/12/200531/12/2005 30/6/200630/6/2006
(1) Loans guaranteed by the Government: 40 Eu mn
0
100
200
300
550
50
150
250
350400
0,68 0,680,57 0,64
450
500
2,34 2,15
2,41
DEBT / EBITDA (x)DEBT / EBITDA (x)
CAGR+ 4,3%CAGR+ 4,3%
CAGR+ 13%CAGRCAGR+ 13%+ 13%
CAGR+ 67,3%CAGR
+ 67,3%
ASTM - FINANCIAL RESULTS (3 YEARS PERIOD)ASTM - FINANCIAL RESULTS (3 YEARS PERIOD)
TollRevenues
E.B.I.T.D.A
OperatingCash - Flow
2003 2004 2005
(Eu mn)
16
2003 2004 2005
2003 2004 2005
251 267 273
159191 203
104 111 291
CAGR+ 60%CAGR+ 60%
CAGR+ 30,8%CAGR+ 30,8%
Net ProfitGroup
DividendsPaid
ASTM GROUP RESULTS (CONT’D)
17
(Eu mn)
2003 2004 2005
2003 2004 2005
99100
254
31 3553
REVENUES
OPERATING COSTS
30/6/200530/6/2006 30/6/2005
SIAS 6 MONTHS RESULTS - (IAS/IFRS)
EBITDAEBITDAEBITDA EBITDA marginmargin
AMORTISATION & DEPRECIATION
EBITEBIT
FINANCIAL RESULT, NETNON RECURRING INCOME (EXPENSE)INCOME TAXESMINORITY INTERESTS
NET INCOMENET INCOME
211
(85)
(53)
(6)
(27)(11)
204
(92)
(50)
(9)
(30)(13)
12612659%59%
7373
2929
11211255%55%
6262
3333
409409 337337
(2) Net financial indebtedness as at 31 December 2005
(Eu mn)
18
8080 4949NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESSNET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESSOPERATING CASH - FLOWOPERATING CASH - FLOW
(1) (2)
(1) Loans guaranteed by the Government: 41 Eu mn
23-
NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS(Including the NPV of the “Central Guarantee Fund” debt)NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS(Including the NPV of the “Central Guarantee Fund” debt) 726726(1) 646646(2)
19
MAINTENANCE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR
92%92%MOTORWAY SECTOR
SIAS – 1H 06 EBITDA BY SECTOR
AUTOCISA
19%42%
31%
4%4% 4%4%TECHNOLOGICAL SECTOR
NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Eu mn)NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Eu mn) DEBT / EQUITY (x)DEBT / EQUITY (x)
0
0,4
0,8
1,2
1,6
2
20
SIAS - NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS& LEVERAGE
0
100
200
300
(1) Loans guaranteed by the Government 41 Eu mn
31/12/200331/12/2003 30/6/200630/6/200631/12/200531/12/200531/12/200431/12/2004
230
337
287
409
0,450,37
0,200,37
400(1)
(2)
1,141,16
1,21
DEBT / EBITDA (x)DEBT / EBITDA (x)
ISSUE SIZE: 335 Eu millions (N° 31,9 millions bonds)
SIAS - BOND
INTEREST: 2,625%
CONVERSION RIGHT:
21
PAR VALUE: 10,50 Eu
DURATION: 12 yrs (2005 – 2017)
• FROM THE END OF THE 5TH YEAR• 1:1 AT PAR
BONDS HELD BY THE GAVIO GROUP: N° 20,3 millions (64%)
CAGR+ 3,7%CAGR+ 3,7%
CAGR+ 16,9%CAGRCAGR+ 16,9%+ 16,9%
CAGR+ 21,9%CAGR
+ 21,9%
SIAS - FINANCIAL RESULTS (3 YEARS PERIOD)SIAS - FINANCIAL RESULTS (3 YEARS PERIOD)
TollRevenues
E.B.I.T.D.A
OperatingCash - Flow
2003 2004 2005
(Eu mn)
22
2003 2004 2005
2003 2004 2005
321 338 345
204247 279
154 149229
CAGR+ 51,4%CAGR+ 51,4%
CAGR+ 73,2%CAGR+ 73,2%
Net ProfitGroup
DividendsPaid
SIAS - GROUP RESULTS (CONT’D)
23
(Eu mn)
2003 2004 2005
2003 2004 2005
5869
133
1733
51
25
ASTM GROUP - ANNUAL TARIFF CHANGE
ANNUAL TARIFFCHANGEANNUAL TARIFFCHANGE 2,442,44
PRODUCTIVITY -0,89 -0,90
(1) Calculated as a weighted average on 1H 2006 “toll revenues”(1) Calculated as a weighted average on 1H 2006 “toll revenues”(2) X factor was granted to SAV to cover both the previous and new investiments(3) X factor related to the “new investments” is under negotiation with ANAS(2) X factor was granted to SAV to cover both the previous and new investiments(3) X factor related to the “new investments” is under negotiation with ANAS
NEW INVESTMENTS
QUALITY FACTOR 0,30
2005
FORECASTED INFLATION RATE
2006
FORECASTED INFLATION RATE 1,60
(%)
SAV INVESTMENTS(2) 1,43 1,36
- - (3)
0,33
1,70
2,532,53
-
2007
2,00
-0,92
0,25
2,692,69
1,40 (1)
(1)
26
SIAS GROUP - ANNUAL TARIFF CHANGE
ANNUAL TARIFFCHANGEANNUAL TARIFFCHANGE 1,361,36
PRODUCTIVITY -0,89 -0,92
(1) X factor related to the “new investments” is under negotiation with ANAS(2) Calculated as a weighted average on 1H 2006 “toll revenues”(1) X factor related to the “new investments” is under negotiation with ANAS(2) Calculated as a weighted average on 1H 2006 “toll revenues”
NEW INVESTMENTS
FORECASTED INFLATION RATE 1,60
2007(%)
QUALITY FACTOR 0,65 0,55
1,631,63
2,00
- (1)-
2005
-
2006
1,70
-0,90
0,78
1,581,58
(2)
27
ASTM GROUP - INVESTMENT PLAN
ATIVA 194 218
(1) Expected amount from 2006 until the end of the concession agreements(2) Terminal value on investments garanted - by the incoming concessionaire - upon expiry of the concession
agreement(3) To be considered on a “proportionate basis” (41%)
(1) Expected amount from 2006 until the end of the concession agreements(2) Terminal value on investments garanted - by the incoming concessionaire - upon expiry of the concession
agreement(3) To be considered on a “proportionate basis” (41%)
SAV 50
InvestmentsPlan (1)
Terminal value (2)
SATAP: A4 StretchA21 Stretch
1.189254
(Eu mn)
1.443
250100
-
Status of the PlanApproved
by ANAS
To beapprovedby ANAS
a
a
a
(3)
350
28
SIAS GROUP - INVESTMENT PLAN
CISA 2.094 809
ASTI-CUNEO 800
InvestmentsPlan (1)
ADF
(Eu mn)
170 -
-
Status of the Plan
Approved byANAS
287481SALT
Terminal value (2)
(1) Expected amount from 2006 until the end of the concession agreements(2) Terminal value on investments garanted - by the incoming concessionaire - upon expiry of the concession
agreement
(1) Expected amount from 2006 until the end of the concession agreements(2) Terminal value on investments garanted - by the incoming concessionaire - upon expiry of the concession
agreement
a
a
a
a
STRATEGY: WHAT WE HAVE DONE
POSITIVE TRACK RECORD OF MANAGEMENT IN IMPLEMENTING ITS STRATEGY
OVER THE PAST SEVEN YEARS, THE GROUP:became the second biggest motorway player in Italy
expanded the network from 127 km to 1.211,1 km strengthened the Group network in the highlyindustrialised north of Italybidden - successfully - for new concessions abroad(i.e. Costanera-Chile)
3 0
STRATEGY: WHAT WE FORESEE
MOTORWAY SECTORMOTORWAY SECTOR
3 1
CARRY OUT THE “PARMA – BRENNERO MOTORWAY”PROJECT & “ASTI-CUNEO”
BID FOR THE “BRONI-PAVIA-MORTARA” STRETCH
REDUCE MINORITIES THROUGH ACQUISITIONS(MAINLY FROM LOCAL PUBLIC AUTHORITIES)
CONCLUDE THE RENEGOTIATION OF THE “NEW”FINANCIAL PLANS
STRATEGY: WHAT WE FORESEE
OTHER SECTORSOTHER SECTORS
3 2
DEVELOP ENGINEERING & PLANNING ACTIVITIES(i.e. "HIGH SPEED TRAIN" PROJECT)
WIDEN TELECOM SERVICES (BY USING THE approx. 1000 KM FIBRE-OPTIC MODERN BACKBONE AND TRANSMITTERS FOR MOBILE TELEPHONE OPERATORS)
...WITHOUT FORGETTING POTENTIAL FROM DIVERSIFICATION IN OTHER "SIDE" BUSINESS AREAS (i.e. LOGISTICS, HARBOURS)
VALUE DRIVERS: TRAFFIC GROWTH
TOTAL TRAFFIC ON MOTORWAYSTOTAL TRAFFIC ON MOTORWAYS33
2001200119951995 19961996 20022002 20032003 2004200419971997 19981998 19991999 20002000 2005 2005 -1.5%
-0.5%
0.5%
1.5%
2.5%
3.5%
4.5%
TRAFFIC TREND HISTORICALLY OUTPERFORMED GDP GROWTH EVEN IN RECESSION YEARSTRAFFIC TREND HISTORICALLY OUTPERFORMED GDP GROWTH EVEN IN RECESSION YEARS
GDPGDP
20062006
VALUE DRIVERS: AUTOMATED TOLL PAYMENT SYSTEMS
3 4
CURRENT SITUATIONCURRENT SITUATION
8%8%CREDIT CARDS
2%2%
FAST PAY
30%30%CASH60%60%
AUTOMATED TOLL PAYMENTS
VIACARDS & TELEPASS
70%70%
ENVISAGED SITUATION( within 4 yrs )
ENVISAGED SITUATION( within 4 yrs )
15-20%15-20%
CASH
AUTOMATED TOLLPAYMENTS
80-85%80-85%
3 5
ROYALTIES FROM PETROL STATIONS & RESTAURANTSOTHER ROYALTIES (TELECOMS, ADVERTISING, … )
VALUE DRIVERS: SUB - CONCESSION AGREEMENTS (Eu mn)
19,519,5
20042004
4,04,0
6,06,0
20052005
29,029,0
7,07,0
2006(forecast)
2006(forecast)
34,034,0
EBITDA
increases without
additional costsEBITDA
increases without
additional costs
CONCLUSION
3 7
Long term viewof the business,
dedicatedmanagement
No competition fromother transportation
systems
Growing opportunitiesarising from the “new” stretches
Substainableprofitability
growth rates
Conservative financialprofile and balanced
growth strategy(also abroad)
Value creationthrough lasting,
experiencedmotorway know-how
and operatingefficiency