arkansas natural resources commission. the major technical and planning elements of the water plan...
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Status of the Arkansas Water Plan
Update
Arkansas Natural Resources Commission
2
The Major Technical and Planning Elements of the Water Plan Update
Regional and Institutional Setting
Demand Forecast by Sector
Supply Availability
Identify Gaps between Available Resource and Demands
Management Practices/ Projects to Address Shortfalls between Demand and Supply
Water Needs will be forecasted to
the Year 2050
Final Plan Rulemaki
ngNov 2014
Water Resources Planning Regions
County Population Projections: Woods & Poole Scenario
5
Statewide Water Forecast – All Demand SectorsTotal statewide water use forecasted to increase 13%
Base Year 2020 2030 2040 2050 -
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Arkansas Statewide Demands: Medium Scenario
Crop IrrigationLivestockDuck Hunting & Habitat Main-tenanceAquacultureShale GasThermoelectricSelf-Supplied CommercialIndustrial Self-Supplied DomesticMunicipal
Mill
ion
Gal
lons
per
Day
(MG
D)
6
Statewide Irrigated Acreage Forecast
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 -
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
OtherCottonCorn for grainRiceSoybeansM
illio
ns o
f Irr
igat
ed A
cres
7
Statewide Water Forecast - Excluding IrrigationStatewide increase of 10% for all non-irrigation sectors
Base Year 2020 2030 2040 2050 -
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Arkansas Statewide Demands: Medium Scenario (Excluding Irrigation Demands)
LivestockDuck Hunting & Habitat Main-tenanceAquacultureShale GasThermoelectricSelf-Supplied CommercialIndustrial Self-Supplied DomesticMunicipal
Mill
ion
Gal
lons
per
Day
(MG
D)
8
ARKANSAS STATEWIDE DEMANDS - MEDIUM SCENARIOStatewide Total (Million Gallons per Day [MGD]) Base Year 2020 2030 2040 2050
Municipal 385 405 431 463 503
Self-Supplied Domestic 13 13 13 13 14
Industrial 291 273 249 224 202
Self-Supplied Commercial 5 5 5 6 6
Thermoelectric 1,177 1,356 1,357 1,363 1,370
Shale Gas 11 9 - - -
Mining 6 6 8 10 13
Aquaculture 103 103 103 103 103
Duck Hunting & Habitat Maintenance 253 253 253 253 253
Livestock 27 29 29 29 29
Crop Irrigation 8,816 9,507 9,941 10,020 10,040
Total 11,086 11,959 12,390 12,485 12,533
Statewide Crop Water Demand Forecast Results by Source of Supply
Results of irrigation withdrawal forecast at county level identified by source of supply from WUDBS (2010)
Source assumed to remain constant (in terms of percent) to 2050
Ground-water 84%
Sur-face Wa-ter; 16%
Alluvial 96.1%
Sparta, 1.2%
Other; 2.6%
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Thank you!Water Plan information:
www.arwaterplan.arkansas.gov
Edward Swaim
Arkansas Natural Resources Commission
101 East Capitol Avenue, Suite 350
Little Rock, Arkansas 72201
501-682-3979