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Arctic Science: Interdisciplinary Arctic Science: Interdisciplinary Research Opportunities for the Research Opportunities for the

Social SciencesSocial Sciences

Jack Kruse, Marie Lowe, Jack Kruse, Marie Lowe, Larry HamiltonLarry Hamilton

HARC WorkshopHARC WorkshopOctober 5, 2007October 5, 2007

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SEARCH Science QuestionsSEARCH Science Questions

Is the Arctic moving to a new state?Is the Arctic moving to a new state?

How do cultural and socioeconomic How do cultural and socioeconomic systems interact with arctic systems interact with arctic environmental change?environmental change?

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HD-Implementation PrioritiesHD-Implementation Priorities

Develop an integrated observation networkDevelop an integrated observation network for identification and long-term monitoring of social for identification and long-term monitoring of social

and economic indicators of human subsystem and economic indicators of human subsystem changes that drive and/or feed back to arctic physical changes that drive and/or feed back to arctic physical and biological system changesand biological system changes

Synthesize human dimensions data on a pan-Synthesize human dimensions data on a pan-arctic scalearctic scale including data on resident socioeconomic changes, including data on resident socioeconomic changes,

human perceptions of arctic change, and on local and human perceptions of arctic change, and on local and global-scale development and industrial activitiesglobal-scale development and industrial activities

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Key groundwork prioritiesKey groundwork priorities

Identify specific ways to improve Identify specific ways to improve knowledge of arctic environmental changeknowledge of arctic environmental change such that people are enabled to make better-such that people are enabled to make better-

informed decisionsinformed decisions Identify predictionsIdentify predictions that will be most useful that will be most useful

to stakeholder groupsto stakeholder groups planning for and responding to change in planning for and responding to change in

areas such as fisheries, marine transportation areas such as fisheries, marine transportation and development, and renewable resource and development, and renewable resource use/subsistence harvestsuse/subsistence harvests

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Human Dimension of ChangeHuman Dimension of Change

Local infrastructure, Local infrastructure, transportationtransportation

Subsistence activitiesSubsistence activities Coastal erosionCoastal erosion Storm patternsStorm patterns Shipping routesShipping routes FisheriesFisheries

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Fisheries Resource Development

Social Outcomes

Marine Mammal Hunting Tourism

Focal Areas for Climate-Human Interactions

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Place-Time Data Collection

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SEARCH-HD content areas Fisheries

Marine Mammal Hunting Tourism

Mining, Oil & Gas

Marine Transportation

Ecosystem resource inputsEcosystem resource supplyResource ValueResource useResource Direct Economic ActivityResource Indirect EffectResource FeedbackArea PopulationArea Material SuccessArea Ties with NatureArea Cultural ContinuityArea EducationArea Fate ControlArea Health

INDACCIndicator Database of Arctic Community Change

SEARCH-HDQ Variables

Existing data: 1980 to present

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Database DevelopmentDatabase Development

Prototype currently under construction Prototype currently under construction using Bering Sea fisheries data between using Bering Sea fisheries data between 1980-2006 for:1980-2006 for:

1.1. Salmon (Chum)Salmon (Chum)

2.2. Red King CrabRed King Crab

3.3. HerringHerring

4.4. Pollock Pollock

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Example DatasetsExample Datasets

NOAA and Alaska Fish and Game catch, NOAA and Alaska Fish and Game catch, price, and value dataprice, and value data

Alaska Commercial Fisheries Entry Alaska Commercial Fisheries Entry Commission: municipal level data on Commission: municipal level data on fisheries participation and earnings.fisheries participation and earnings.

Alaska Department of Labor: population.Alaska Department of Labor: population.

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Data Analysis: STATAData Analysis: STATA

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AON-HDQ Database

ELOKA Database

Arctic-RIMS Database

AON Database

Database Relationships Database Relationships

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Project TeamFisheries• Gunnar Knapp (Alaska)• Jahn Petter Johnsen (Norway)• Thijs Christiaan van Son (Norway)

Marine Mammals• John Bengtson (Washington)• Rasmus Rasmussen (Denmark)• Jack Kruse (Alaska)

Resource Development• Sharman Haley (Alaska)• Rasmus Rasmussen (Denmark)

Tourism• Steve Colt (Alaska)• Anna Karlsdöttir (Iceland)

Social Outcomes• Larry Hamilton (New Hampshire)• Per Lyster (Greenland)• Gerard Duhaime (Canada)

Modeling• Matt Berman (Alaska)

Stakeholder Direction

• Ed Ward (Alaska)

• Brian Lyall (Canada)

• Larissa Abryutina (Russia)

• Kristina Lasko (Sweden)

• Bob Harcharek (Alaska)

• Charles Dorais (Canada)

• Simon Routh (Canada)

Post-Doc• Marie Lowe (Alaska)

GIS• Meghan Wilson (Alaska)

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How to contact us and learn more How to contact us and learn more about the projectabout the project

www.SEARCH-HD.NETwww.SEARCH-HD.NET

Lead Contacts: Lead Contacts: Jack KruseJack Kruse

afjak@uaa.alaska.eduafjak@uaa.alaska.edu

Marie LoweMarie Lowe afmel@uaa.alaska.eduafmel@uaa.alaska.edu

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Arctic Social Science: Agenda for Action

Arctic Social Science Program

Arctic System Science

Methods & Models for Integrated Assessment

HARC

Ocean-Atmosphere-Ice Interactions

SEARCH

NOAA & other agencies

AONLand-Atmosphere-Ice Interactions

Arctic Social Indicators

SLiCA

Sustainability of Arctic Communities

SEARCH-HDQ

Rangifer Systems

SNACS Bowhead