aquaculture overview of trends and current issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million •...

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Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues Hauke Kite-Powell WHOI Marine Policy Center October 2002

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Page 1: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

AquacultureOverview of Trends and Current Issues

Hauke Kite-PowellWHOI Marine Policy Center

October 2002

Page 2: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Capture Fisheries –Do they still make sense?

• The concept• Fisheries management• Safety

• So: yes, but…

Page 3: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 4: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

World Production of Seafood: 1984-98(1984 = 100)

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1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

aquaculture indexwild harvest index

Page 5: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

World Fish Production

• Capture fisheries– 6% growth per year 1950s, 60s– 2% growth per year 1970s, 80s– No growth in 1990s – 80 million tons/year marine, 10 mt fresh water– $76 billion

• Aquaculture– Dramatic growth in 1980s, 90s– 20 million tons/year fresh, 13 mt marine– Approx. $50 billion

Page 6: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 7: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 8: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Utilization, 1999

• 93 million tons for human consumption• 30 million tons for fishmeal and oil• World per capita food fish supply: 15.4 kg

per year• Animal protein contribution in human diet:

15%

Page 9: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

World Aquaculture Today

• Freshwater: finfish (carp)• Brackish water: shrimp (tiger prawn)• Marine: seaweeds and molluscs (oysters);

salmon

• China accounts for more than half of all aquaculture production

Page 10: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Aquaculture Techniques

• Extensive ponds (carp, tilapia)• Semi-intensive ponds (shrimp)• Cage culture (mariculture; salmon)• Intensive onshore systems (finfish)

• Others: seaweed, shellfish beds, tuna…

Page 11: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 12: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 13: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 14: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 15: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

US Aquaculture: Context

• Production less than $1 billion/year• Marine capture fisheries: $3.5 billion/year;

imports are about 50% of consumption• Recreational fisheries: over $1 billion in

expenditures/year in Massachusetts alone• US aquaculture species: catfish, salmon,

oysters, …

Page 16: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

US and RI Commercial Fisheries Landings(nominal $ millions, 1000s metric tons)

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Page 17: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Average Price of Commercial Fish Landings

0.00

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1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

aver

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$/lb

RIUSNE

Page 18: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

New England

• Gulf of Maine: commercial fish landings $700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million

• Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT)

• Challenges to growth:– Labor costs– Space (MA coastal tourism expenditures: $5

billion/year)

Page 19: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Challenges: US Aquaculture

• Onshore intensive systems or open ocean?• Efficiency through automation• Species for local fresh markets• Environmental and ecological issues

– Nutrient loading (ponds, open water)– Genetics– Disease management– Reproduction

Page 20: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Recent WHOI Work

• “access system” for federal waters– grants of “tenure” for ocean aquaculture

operations• economics and optimization of open ocean

growout of finfish and shellfish– blue mussels, scallops– cod, flounder, salmon

Page 21: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Project NPV as a Function of Price and Cycle Mortality/Loss Rate

-1500

-1000

-500

0

500

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mortality/loss % over 2-year cycle

NPV

@ 1

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k

$7/lb

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$4/lb

Page 22: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Cost Components

0%

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100%

cod salmon flounder

frac

tion

of to

tal a

nnua

l exp

ense

s

onshore & other

vessel and crew

feed & medication

fingerlings

cage system op/maint.

cage system install.

$83.7m $99.6m $14.4m

Page 23: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Effect on NPV of Distance from Shore Base

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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25

distance from shore base (km)

NPV

at 5

% d

isco

unt r

ate

($m

)

cod

salmon

flounder1 RT/day2 RTs/day3 RTs/day

Page 24: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Polyculture

• Utilize waste, excess nutrients• Finfish -> shellfish -> algae• Both high intensity tank systems and low

intensity ponds

Page 25: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Detour: 3rd World

• Similar problems, but a very different context

• Seafood protein is more important – few substitutes available

• Severe overfishing• Limited infrastructure and economic

resources

Page 26: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 27: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 28: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 29: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 30: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Zanzibar Background

• Importance of seafood to diet• Fisheries in decline• Sensitivity to environmental degradation

(tourism potential)• Seaweed farming• Little technological infrastructure

Page 31: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 32: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 33: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:
Page 34: Aquaculture Overview of Trends and Current Issues...$700 million/year; aquaculture $90 million • Salmon (ME), quahogs and oysters (MA), lots of oysters (CT) • Challenges to growth:

Wrapping Up

• Aquaculture is the future of seafood production

• Room for growth is US; economic constraints

• Environmental and ecological challenges

• Think about where your seafood comes from