aos presentation 2011-07-06

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TD Securities Unconventional Energy Conference July 6, 2011

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Page 1: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

TD Securities

Unconventional Energy Conference

July 6, 2011

Page 2: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Forward-Looking Information and AdvisoriesThis presentation contains "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information is included in this presentation with respect to, amongother things: estimates of reserves and resources and future net revenue associated therewith; forecast netbacks and the anticipated benefits thereof; anticipated timing associated with the phaseddevelopment of Alberta Oilsands Inc.'s ("AOS'") Clearwater, Hangingstone, Grand Rapids and Algar Lake properties (including anticipated timing for receipt of regulatory approvals, delineation, drilling,completion project plans, commencement of construction, first-steam, commencement of production and timing of stakeholder consultations); expectations of future production and bitumen productiongoals; the anticipated application of certain technologies to enhance production; funding requirements and capital expenditures associated with such development; achieving commerciality; futuredevelopment of AOS' conventional assets and its reserves and resource base; and general operational and financial performance in future periods.

With respect to forward-looking information contained in this presentation, AOS has made assumptions regarding, among other things: the future growth of AOS, operating costs; future prices for crude oil,natural gas, bitumen and refined products; AOS' ability to generate sufficient cash flow from operations and to access existing credit facilities and capital markets to meet its future obligations; the legal andregulatory framework representing royalties, taxes and environmental matters where AOS conducts its business; and future economic conditions. Although the forward-looking information contained in thispresentation is based upon assumptions which management of AOS believes to be reasonable, AOS cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with this forward-looking information.

Forward-looking information involves significant known and unknown risks and uncertainties. A number of factors, many of which are beyond the control of AOS could cause actual results to differmaterially from the results discussed in the forward-looking information. Some of the risks that could affect the future results of AOS and could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in theforward-looking information of AOS include: the need to obtain required approvals and permits from regulatory authorities; the impact of competition; compliance with and liabilities under environmentallaws and regulations; the uncertainties of estimates by AOS' independent consultants with respect to the company's reserves and resources; the volatility of crude oil, natural gas, bitumen and refinedproduct prices; economic conditions in Canada and globally; changes to royalty regimes and government regulations regarding royalty payments; risks associated with exploring for, developing, producing,processing, storing and transporting crude oil, bitumen and natural gas; geological, technical, drilling and processing problems; imprecision in estimating capital expenditures and operating expenses;imprecision in estimating the timing, costs and levels of production and drilling; imprecision in estimates of future production capacity, potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration anddevelopment projects or capital expenditures; and changes to regulations and legislation applicable to the Corporation and the interpretation thereof including tax and environmental legislation andregulations in the provinces of Canada in which AOS conducts its business. These and additional risks and uncertainties relating to the business and operations of AOS are described in detail in its mostrecently filed Annual Information Form, which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

Statements relating to "reserves" and "resources" are deemed to be forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the describedreserves and resources, as the case may be, exist in the quantities predicted or estimated, and can be profitably produced in the future. "Contingent resources" means those quantities of petroleumestimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to becommercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. It is alsoappropriate to classify as contingent resources the estimated discovered recoverable quantities associated with a project in the early evaluation stage. "Prospective resources" means those quantities ofpetroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects. Prospective resources have both an associatedchance of discovery and a chance of development. It should be noted that reserves, contingent resources and prospective resources involve different risks associated with achieving commerciality. There isno certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources described in this presentation. Further, there is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources described inthis presentation will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the prospective resources. The prospective resource estimates set forthherein have been risked for the chance of discovery but not for the chance of development and hence are considered partially risked estimates. If a discovery is made, there is no certainty that it will bedeveloped or, if it is developed, there is no certainty as to the timing of such development. In addition, the estimated future net revenues and values contained in this presentation do not necessarilyrepresent the market value of such reserves or resources.

In addition to the foregoing, investors are cautioned that this presentation contains forecasted netbacks. The forecasted netbacks represent AOS' revenue, less royalties and certain operating expenses. Theforecasted netbacks contained herein do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by Canadian generally accepted accounting principals and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similarmeasures presented by other companies and may not be appropriate for other purposes. Management believes that forecasted netbacks are useful supplemental measures as they provide an indication ofthe ability of AOS to fund future growth through capital expenditures.

The forward-looking information contained herein is made as of the date of this presentation, and AOS assumes no obligation to update or revise it to reflect new events or circumstances, except asrequired by law. Because of the risks, uncertainties and assumptions inherent in forward-looking information, prospective investors in the securities of AOS should not place undue reliance on this forward-looking information.

The disclosure of barrels of oil equivalent ("boe") in this presentation may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ration of 6 mcf:1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversionmethod primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.

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Page 3: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Corporate Overview

Alberta Oilsands Inc. (TSX-V:AOS) is a technically driven, high-growth energy company focused on creating sustainable value through the development of

oil sands resources

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Oilsands Leases

• 144.5 sections of high working interest land

MacKay River

Fort McMurray

Clearwater 2,820 MMB*

32 sections 100% WIGrand Rapids

Algar Lake 810 MMB*

51 sections 100% WI

Hangingstone 1,150 MMB*

38.5 sections 50% WI

18 sections 100% WI

5 sections 100% WI

350 MMBContingent

154 MMBContingent

Page 4: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Corporate Strategy

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Develop and produce bitumen using steam assisted gravity drainage technology and secure funding by strong financial and industry partnerships

Clearwater

Strategy• Convert resources to proved reserves

• Construct and produce from Clearwater Phase I (approximately $100 mm of incremental capital)

• Establish development partnerships for Phase II

Financing• Project funding (equity and debt) for Clearwater Phase I

• Joint venture or partner funding

Future • Clearwater Phase II – develop commercial operations targeting 25,000 barrels

per day

• Reduce funding requirements for future phases

• De-risk equity and debt funding for AOS

• Pursue technology alliances with suppliers and produce

Page 5: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Project Schedules

Application Filing

Target First Production

Projected Production(bbl/d)

Clearwater Phase 1 Jan 2010 2013 4,500

Clearwater Phase 2 2013 2016 25,000

Hangingstone 2013 2016 25,000

Grand Rapids 2014 2017 10,000

Algar Lake 2015 2018 25,000

TOTAL 89,500

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Page 6: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Acquire Land Deliniation Contingent Resource Reserves Production

Oil sands Value Creation

•Grand Rapids

•Algar Lake•Clearwater•Hangingstone

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Page 7: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

The Market Cap vs. NAV Delta

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NAV (1) $ 661.1 million

Production

Project Build

Project approval

Monetization

Financing – Debt or JV

Market Cap (2) $ 43.2 million

1. NAV: $4.28 per share basic2. Current share price: $0.28 per share

547.0

89.9 15.0

5.1

4.1

Net asset value($661.1 million)

Clearwater HangingstoneLand (at cost) ConventionalWorking Capital

34.0

5.1 4.1

Market Cap ($43.2 million)

Oilsands Conventional Working Capital

Page 8: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Clearwater ProjectLow Pressure SAGD with Solvent Co-Injection

Page 9: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Clearwater: Approach and Keys to Success

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Fort McMurray Regional Airport

ClearwaterPlant

1. Operational integrity

Safety design, monitoring

and response plan

2. Confirm reservoir performanceProduction rate, SOR

3. Validate economics% Solvent retention

4. Commercial operationBuild full-scale 25,000 barrel per day commercial operation in Phase II

Confirm commerciality and demonstrate safety

Page 10: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Low Pressure SAGD with Solvent Co-Injection

Nexen SAGD:

1 barrel of oil /

6 barrels of water

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Average SAGD:

1 barrel of oil /

3 barrels of water

Clearwater:

1 barrel of oil /

1.8 barrels of water

Page 11: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Tilt Meter Monitoring Array

• 155 Tilt Meters provide continuous monitoring of reservoir steam pressure

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Page 12: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

75% H2O Reduction– East Wind

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Page 13: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

AOS Clearwater Regional Benefits

• AOS Clearwater Project will help fund FMAA Expansion

• Anticipate economic benefits to:

• Aboriginal firms

• Service companies

• Hospitality providers

• Local businesses

• Anticipate contributions to community identified priority projects

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Page 14: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

AOS Clearwater Economic Benefits

• Temporary construction staff, including opportunity for local contractors & suppliers.

• Permanent locally-hired operational staff

• Expenditures to date approx. $30 million.

• Anticipated to be $150 million by project commissioning.

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• Operational expenditures anticipated to be $60 million annually, with 70% supplied locally.

Page 15: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Clearwater Phase 1 Economics

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$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

SAGD SLP-SAGD

20.19 20.19

11.23 11.23

3.02 3.02

9.75 9.00

5.22 3.76

9.65

42.34 34.90 Netback

Solvent Opex

Fuel Opex

Non-Fuel Opex

Royalties

WCS/ Realized Bitumen

WTI/WCS Differential

Operating Netbacks @ WTI US$ 89.00 (1)

(1) 2011 Ryder Scott Price Forecast

Page 16: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Clearwater Phase II

• 25,000 barrel per day commercial project

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Phase I

Phase II

Plant Site PHASE II

Well Pad

Satellite Hwy 69

CN Rail Terminal

InterPipe Bitumen Pipeline

T88T88

R7W4R8

R7W4R8

File: AOS Clrwtr_Phase_II.MAP Datum: NAD27 Projection: Stereographic Center: N56.64214 W111.15365 Created in AccuMap™, a product of IHS

Land Purchased in November 2010

Page 17: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Analog Reservoir Quality Comparison

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Property McKay Clearwater UnitsBitumen Gravity 8 8 APINet pay range 15-35 35-45 mReservoir depth 90-130 75-125 mBase of Clearwater shale (cap-rock) 86 64 mPorosity 32 32 %Permeability HZ 6.4 3.9 DarciePermeability vertical 3.4 2.9 DarcieSaturation 80 80 %Weight Bitumen 14 15 %Bitumen viscosity at T (res.) 1-3 mm 1.5 mm centiPoiseInitial Temp 7 6 C degreesInitial pressure 300-500 200-300 kPa

• Suncor Energy Inc.’s MacKay River SAGD project; widely recognized as a premier in-situ project, is a direct analogue to Clearwater based on reservoir characteristics; however, Clearwater West is over 10 meters thicker on average

• Clearwater reservoir compares favorably to existing SAGD projects on key measures

Page 18: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

Environmental foot print

Page 19: AOS Presentation 2011-07-06

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Contact Information

Shabir Premji, Executive Chairman800, 350 – 7th Ave S.W.Calgary, AB T2P 3N9Tel: 403.263.6700Fax: 403.263.6702Email: [email protected]: www.aboilsands.ca