“path to lead” strategic plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · path to lead –growth thesis...

17
“Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 July 2020 Investor Presentation

Upload: others

Post on 04-Mar-2021

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

“Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024

J u l y 2 0 2 0

Investor Presentation

Page 2: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

PATH TO LEAD – GROWTH THESIS

• Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major obstacle to successful adoption at scale

• Predictable pattern of technology adoption occurring in AI• Atlassian – collaboration and tracking tools for software development

• Databricks – data science and machine learning analytics

• Expert System – Natural Language Understanding (NLU) / Natural Language Processing (NLP) platform tools and workflow platform

• Practical AI NLU/NLP wins – simple to design, build, operate • Intuitive tools to design and deploy real solutions across the enterprise

• Open and flexible approach to range of AI technology

• Workflows to bring to scale in the enterprise or technology stack

Page 3: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

AI CHALLENGE – THE REAL WORLD IS MESSY

• Exponential increase in complexity of AI models

• Machine learning training sets have increased 300,000X since 2012

• Microsoft language model has 17 billion parameters

• GPT3 Language Model has 175 billion parameters

• “Black box” models lack transparency in face of rising demands for accountability

• Open source models remain fragmented and complex

• Data scientists scarce and expensive

• Projects often lack collaboration between data, IT, and business teams

• Gartner estimates 60% of AI projects never make it to production

Source: GartnerMagic Quadrant for Data Science and Machine Learning Platforms, January 2019

Page 4: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Competition

• Open source – libraries/repositories not true platforms for build/deploy

• spaCy

• StanfordNLP

• NLTK

• AI / Machine learning (ML) / NLP tool companies – focused on AI environments not NLU/NLP

• H20.a1

• Data Robot

• Google, Amazon, Microsoft NLP offerings – focused on proprietary environment and infrastructure, not flexibility and efficiency

Page 5: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Expert System - The Reference Platform for NLU/NLP

• Simplify technology

• Web-based design environment

• Engage data scientists, software developers, IT team, and business users

• Offer a platform for end to end design/build/deploy/operate

• Tools/workflows to build, deploy, and manage at enterprise scale

• Provide best-in-class proprietary solutions and relevant open source models

• Enable HybridNL to combine proprietary and open source approaches

• Symbolic/knowledge graph domain richness

• Open source machine learning/deep learning/language models

Page 6: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Business Model

• Best tools and workflows – design, build, operate platform• Make your work more efficient even if you adopt an ML/opensource approach

• Design and build through deploy, manage, and monitor

• Larger market – lower entry price & attract open source users• 100K data scientists, 6,000+ enterprise customers, + 500 OEMs, Tier 1/2 solutions integrators

• $10k – $500k+ price points

• Consumption user/volume/functions through full enterprise license pricing

• Accelerate acquisition and lower cost to serve with Product-Qualified Leads• Low touch/volume sale in the bottom of the funnel – freemium and individuals

• Small and medium revenue customers feed into higher levels of the funnel

• Direct Team focus on most mature Value PQLs

• Added focus on Indirect & OEM ~40% of revenue

Page 7: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Product Led Model Accelerates Velocity & Expands Market

Yearly

NLP Spend

Number of Customers

100k

10k

1M+

Free

70-130k

200k+

• Freemium SAAS encourages trial

• Product usage encourages bigger spend

• Volume to value

10-50k

“Value”

“Volume”

Page 8: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Growth Model

• Invest in US sales and marketing

• Enhance recurring revenue with consumption pricing

• Software gross margins ~80%

• Target NDR of 110%

• Services < 20% of revenue by 2024

• Focus on core verticals and use cases for high-end value customers

• Offer OEM software NLU/NLP layer for stack

• Develop channel distribution: 40% by 2024

• Generate Acquisition/Consideration/Conversion (A/C/C) through

freemium/community open-core offering

Page 9: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Plan Roll-out

• 2020 – Setting the stage• COVID impact 2020 revenue – flat YoY

• July Cloud API release and October major product release

• Senior management team and US sales and marketing ramp

• R&D team ramp

• 2021-22 – Ramping growth• March full SaaS platform release

• US growth >100% YoY

• Major marketing investment and community development

• ~€23MM cash consumption

• 2023-2024 – Rule of 40 growth and platform leadership• Free cash flow generation ~€8MM

• US >€56MM revenue

Page 10: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Revenues Breakdown 20-24

4.016 5.501 7.53817.309

33.254

56.718

29.645 27.791 26.960

30.427

35.274

43.163

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

by Area- ES Group (k€)

USA ROW

10.485 11.170 13.535

26.745

47.759

79.083

11.306 11.51011.572

12.023

12.285

12.777

11.871 10.612 9.390

8.968

8.484

8.022

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

by segment - ES Group (k€)

Rev SaaS-recurring Rev PS Rev products & other

Saas-recurring CAGR 63%Saas-recurring CAGR in USA 119%

USA CAGR 79%

Page 11: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

P&L Summary (k€)

33.662 33.292 34.498

47.736

68.528

99.882

5.4602.056

(4.786)(493)

8.955

22.108

(6.071) (6.512) (7.972)(10.330) (11.970) (13.215)

139

114

101

122

156

201

0

50

100

150

200

250

(20.000)

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Revenues EBITDA R&D Capex Revenue per employee

Page 12: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Net Cash Flow Summary 20-24 (k€)

Page 13: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Cash flow 2020-2024

Page 14: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Investments in S&M and R&D

Page 15: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Other Metrics

CAC: Customer Acquisition Costs

Page 16: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

Share capital increase of € 25 million to sustain the “Path to Lead”

• On June 9, 2020 Expert System’s BOD approved the plan to appoint a proxy to increase the share capital for an overall amount of € 25 million.

• The BOD aims to partially execute the proxy for up to € 20 million by July 2020:

• Right issue offer of up to € 8 million

• Private Placement of up to 12 million

Page 17: “Path to Lead” Strategic Plan 2020-2024 · 2021. 2. 23. · PATH TO LEAD –GROWTH THESIS •Market recognition of value of AI language solutions, but complexity remains major

THANK YOU