ansergy: western power market forecast and commentary
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Providing forecasts, analysis and market commentary for western power traders
Mike GriswoldBill TownsendScott Connellywww.Ansergy.com
Ansergy Supports Power Trading
Forecast produced 3x a day
Commentary from Veteran Traders
Trading/Hedging Decision Support
Interactive web portal delivery
Fundamentals - Current and Historical
Complete set of current and historical fundamentals:
DemandWeatherGenerationTransmission
Context with deep history
Water flows converted to Energy
How is the weather forecast changing?
Digestible Visuals
Intraday Updates Early Bird
5:00am PT Mid-Morning 10am PT
Wrap Up9pm PT
12Z Weather UpdateNRC OutagesPre-market fuel pricesIIR outage updatesOff-peak actuals
18Z Weather UpdateNWRFC 10d ForecastUp to date actualsUp to date fuel pricesIIR outage updates
0Z Weather UpdateBPA TTC ForecastsCAISO Day Ahead SolutionSTP Impacts (Mondays)IIR outage updates Post-market power prices
Reflect Fundamentals Through the Day
Weekly Impact of STPMid-Week UpdateDiscussion of Water YearTrade Recommendations
- Reaction to hydro forecasts- Where is uncertainty in the
market- Which derivatives to look at and
why- Historical context to current
fundamentals- advice on how to interpret the
data and model outputs
Expert Commentary
Market Insights by Veteran TradersMike has over 25 years of WECC Term Trading with experience at Avista, Hafslund and Barclays. In 2002, Mike founded the industry leading analysis firm Powerlytix forecasting Western power markets. He has specialized in modeling the impacts of hydro on Western power markets and created a model-based trading system which he implemented at Barclays. Mike earned an MBA from Gonzaga University and BA Business, Eastern Washington University.
Scott has traded the Western power markets since the onset of deregulation in 1997. Beginning his power trading career at Powerex in Vancouver BC, Scott moved to Atlanta, Georgia in 2000 and worked for Mirant, ultimately managing their generation portfolio in the west. In 2004 Scott moved to Sempra EnergyTrading as a western proprietary trader then to Barclays Capital and Goldman Sachs as Managing Director in their Commodities groups. He returned to Canada in 2010 heading Trans Alta's trade floor in Calgary, Alberta. Scott has an undergraduate degree from Carleton University in Ottawa, Ontario and a MBA from Simon Fraser University in Vancouver, British Columbia.
Mike Griswold
Scott Connelly
Focus on Traded Products and DerivativesTools & Commentary on
OutrightsLocation SpreadsOn-Off Spreads Period Rolls Heat Rates
Product AccessWeb Charts and TablesSpreadsheetsFTP downloadsSQL with direct database accessLive chatPhone
About UsDeep in experience in,
Western Power Markets
Term Trading
Market Simulation & Analytics
Mike GriswoldTraded at Avista, Hafslund, BarclaysFounded Powerlytix
Bill TownsendProducts development at Platts, GenscapeFounded Friedwire
Scott ConnellyTraded at Powerex, Mirant, Sempra, Barclays, Goldman, TransAlta
