annual & special meeting june 29, 2015 drill ready discovery commerciality production alue a...
TRANSCRIPT
Page 02
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Cautionary Statement
This presentation contains forward looking statements which involve subjective judgment and analysis and are
subject to significant uncertainties, risks and contingencies including those risk factors associated with the oil and
gas industry, many of which are outside the control of and may be unknown to Pan Orient. No representation,
warranty or assurance, express or implied, is given or made in relation to any forward looking statement. In particular,
no representation, warranty or assumption, express or implied, is given in relation to any underlying assumption or
that any forward looking statement will be achieved. Actual and future events may vary materially from the forward
looking statements and the assumptions on which the forward looking statements were based.
Given these uncertainties, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward looking statements, and
should rely on their own independent enquiries, investigations and advice regarding information contained in this
presentation. Any reliance by a reader on the information contained in this presentation is wholly at the readers own
risk.
Readers are cautioned that well test results are not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate
recovery.
Pan Orient and its related bodies corporate and affiliates and their respective directors, partners, employees, agents
and advisors disclaim any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or damages suffered by a person or
persons as a result of relying on any statement in, or omission from, this presentation. Subject to any continuing
obligations under applicable law or any relevant listing rules of the TSX-V, Pan Orient disclaims any obligation or
undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward looking statements in this presentation to reflect
any change in expectations in relation to any forward looking statements or any such change in events, conditions or
circumstances on which any such statements were based.
Page 03
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Corporate Profile
Financial
Basic / Fully Diluted Common Shares Outstanding (TSX:POE) 6/29/151 55.4 million / 60.8 million
Insider Holdings 7.0%
Total Long-term Debt nil
Enterprise Value @$1.50/Share $83.1 million
Q1/14 Funds Flow from Operation (excluding sale of 50% of Thailand L53) $0.4 million
Q1/15 Working Capital & Non-current Deposits $85.0 million
Subsequent Cash Payment Received (East Jabung Farmout) $ 9.4 million
Corporate Reserves2 & Contingent3 Resource Values PV10
Proved + Probable (“2P”) (Thailand) After Tax $ 16 million
2C Contingent Resources (Canada) Before Tax $337 million
Q1/15 Working Capital & Non-current Deposits + East Jabung Payment/POE share: $1.67
Notes:
1. Normal course issuer bid currently in place with 1,330,800 shares purchased up to June 29, 2015 at an average price of $1.51 per share
2. Thailand oil reserves at December 31, 2014 evaluated by Sproule International Limited
3. Pan Orient’s 71.8% interest in Andora’s Sawn Lake Canada “Best Case” (“2C”) bitumen resources at Dec 31, 2014 evaluated by Sproule Unconventional Limited
Page 04
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
A Simple Story….
1. Currently trading near positive working capital & non current deposit value of approximately $94.4MM cdn
2. All Asian assets profitable in a sub $60USD Brent environment
3. Drilling Akeh-1 Indonesian exploration well (approx $5MMcdn) at Batu Gajah PSC in August 2015:
– Offsetting an existing gas, condensate and oil discovery in Batu Gajah PSC in August 2015.
– Batu Gajah has a $50MMusd cost recovery pool net to POE that would be recovered from 80% of the gross revenue
until payout ,upon first production
– Onshore, with low drilling & development costs & substantial additional prospects that can be drilled with cost recovery
dollars upon first production
4. Carried for at least 1 high impact exploration well in East Jabung PSC Indonesia in Q2/16:
– The best fiscal terms in Indonesia with a 65%/35% after tax & cost recovery split in favor of the GOI for oil after POE
recovers its costs
– There is a second carried well if success in the first well
– Onshore with low drilling & development costs
– Very experienced operator in the region with nearby existing infrastructure (Talisman)
5. Approx 300 BOPD of low cost oil production onshore Thailand that will be used to fund material exploration
upside at the A North East Prospect, drilling Q4/15 –Q1/16
6. A SAGD bitumen pilot currently performing above the third party engineering well performance estimate for
the “best case” contingent resources:
– Steam chamber has yet to reach the cap rock whereupon higher, near peak rates is anticipated
– Andora Energy – operator & 72% owned by POE has a monthly burn rate of approx $0.1MM while operating the pilot &
approx $6.5MMcdn cash…..we can wait….. if required
•
Page 05
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
A Simple Business Model
Commerciality Drill Ready Discovery Production Seismic
Rela
tive V
alu
e
A North East
Anggun
Akeh
Sawn Lake
Raka
Kemala
L33/44
Sold 2012
Takar
100% Relative Value Line
75% Relative Value Line
Core Business
High Risk – Modest Capital – High Return ( Risk can be Mitigated Through Farm Outs) Low Risk – High Capital – Modest Return
Appraisal
• L44/33 onshore Thailand sold IN 2012
for $172MM
•$42.5 million return of capital to
POE shareholders & the
• Remainder re-deployed to fulfill
Indonesian minimum work
program commitments and
Thailand 3D seismic
•Set the stage for the current
upcoming round of drilling.
• L53 onshore Thailand sold 50% for $49
million cdn in 2015 & kept 50%:
•Resulted in a large net cash
position to POE
•Can be deployed towards
development/appraisal drilling in
Indonesia with any exploration
success or acquisitions in the
event of lower oil prices
CAPTURE EXPLORE APPRAISE SELL
L53
North Jabung
JSA
Batu Gajah PSC
follow-up potential
Page 06
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
A Very Good L53 Thailand
Transaction
• Sale of 50% of the shares in POES which holds a 100%
interest in Concession L53, to Sea Oil Public Company
listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand
• Gross consideration of CDN$53.5MM
• Net CDN$48.9 million for L53 interests after deducting
working capital of $3.2 million & transaction costs
• Closed Feb 2, 2015
• Modest L53 cash flow will be utilized towards further
exploration on the concession
• Proceeds to be redeployed to any possible future
Indonesian development
E-01 Rig on L53-G1 Well Location
Page 07
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
East Jabung PSC (POE 49% Non Operator)
– 2,948 km2 (Gross)
Batu Gajah PSC (POE 77% Operator)
– 793 km2 (Gross)
North Jabung JSA (POE 20% Option/Non Operator)
– 4,106 km2 (Gross)
Core Region for POE
Gas Fields
Oil Fields
Gas Condensate Fields
• A 51% participating interest & operatorship In East
Jabung transferred to Talisman (Repsol) in
exchange for:
• $8MMusd cash payment (received Q2/15)
• 100% of the first $10MMusd + overhead
towards the drilling of the first well
• 100% of the first $5MMusd + overhead
towards the drilling of the second well if the
first well is successful
• POE granted a 20% option on the North
Jabung Joint Study Area “JSA” in South
Sumatra
East Jabung
PSC
Conoco/Talisman
Production Pertamina/Talisman
Production
With Another at East Jabung
North Jabung
JSA
Batu Gajah
PSC
Page 08
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
A Simple Plan 2015-2016
De-Risk Portfolio &
Maintain Strong Balance
Sheet
Establish Production in
Indonesia
Add Material Value
Through the Drill Bit
Define Sawn Lake Value
Add to SE Asian Portfolio
• CDN $94.5 million estimated current working
capital & non-current deposits (2015 Q1 adjusted)
•50% of L53 Thailand sold for US$42.5 million
• 51% of East Jabung PSC farmed-out for 1-2 well
carry and US$8 million cash
• Akeh-1 - Batu Gajah PSC, Indonesia drilling
08/2015
• Anggun-1 - East Jabung PSC, Indonesia drilling
Q2/2016
• “A North East-1” in Thailand Concession L53 in
drilling Q4/15-Q1/2016
• SAGD Pilot underway with excellent results to
date & peak production anticipated in the next 6
months
• 20% Back-in right to North Jabung JSA in
Indonesia as part of the East Jabung farm-out
Done
Page 09
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Capital-Drilling Schedule
2015/16
Notes:
1. Akeh-1 exploration well location construction currently underway, drilling anticipated to commence
late August 2015 & take approximately 21 days to completion. Funding from working capital.
2. Two back to back appraisal wells anticipated in Akeh-1 success case, subject to GOI approval.
Funding from working capital.
3. Thailand L53 A North East exploration planned for late 2015 - early 2016 subject to partner approval &
Provincial government approval (anticipated August 2015). Funding will come from L53 cash flow.
4. East Jabung 2 well exploration program timing subject to final partner/GOI approval and selection of
access route. First well is carried and in success case, second well is carried.
A North East Exploration Well
L53 Thailand
Capital Q3/2015 Q1/16 Q3/2016 Q4/2015 Well/Area
2 Akeh Appraisal wells
Batu Gajah Indonesia
2 Exploration wells
East Jabung Indonesia
Q2/16
Akeh-1 Exploration Well
Batu Gajah Indonesia
Range of timing of commencement of drilling – Firm Wells
Range of timing of commencement of drilling – Contingent Wells
$5MMcdn1
$8MMcdn2
$1MMcdn3
$3MMcdn4
Firm 15/16: $6MMcdn
Contingent 15/16: $11MMcdn
Page 011
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Batu Gajah PSC
Gas Fields
Oil Fields
Gas Condensate Fields
Prospects
Pan Orient 3D Seismic 2013
Wells Drilled (POE)
East Jabung PSC
POE 100%
Akeh-1
Rafa
Kemala
Raka
Takar
Sogo Utara
Batu Gajah PSC
Batu Gajah PSC after
last relinquishment
Gas Fields
Oil Fields
Gas Condensate Fields
Prospects
2D Seismic
3D Seismic
Batu Gajah PSC (POE 77% & Operator)
• 6 prospect – 4 drill ready
• 85%GOI/15% POE profit split on oil
after 100% cost recovery
• 70%GOI/30% POE profit split on gas
after 100% cost recovery
Page 012
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Akeh Prospect - Batu Gajah PSC
• Akeh Prospect
– Location construction commenced
June 15/15
– Drilling to commence late Aug/15
– hydrocarbons possible at multiple
reservoir levels
– Adjacent to existing PetroChina
operated production & recent oil,
gas & condensate discovery
(Selong-1) in adjacent Lemang
PSC
– $50MMusd cost recovery pool
recoverable from 90% of the gross
revenue in the event of established
oil production
Marmo Field
4MMbbls1
2.2km2
North Betara Field
11MMbbls1
3.2km2
3D Seismic
Coverage
Akeh Most
Likely LTAF
Oil Field
Batu Gajah
PSC Outline
Fault
Notes:
1. Source Wood Mackenzie
790 bopd
919 bopd
Selong-1
Well
Akeh Prospect
ML: 2.7km2
LTAF Sand Summary
Akeh-1
Location
Page 013
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
East Jabung PSC
Gas Fields
Oil Fields
Gas Condensate Fields
Prospects
Leads
• East Jabung PSC (POE 49% & Non Operator)
• Large resource potential
• Repsol (Talisman) Operator
• 65%GOI/35% POE profit split on oil
best in Indonesia
• 60%GOI/40% POE profit split on gas
• Anggun-1 prospect drilling Q2 2006 &
third party resource report due July
2015
Anggun
Prospect
Page 014
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Anggun Prospect
Batu Raja
Reef Target
Ketaling
Kitchen
A
A’ A A’
Source
Kitchen
E Ketaling
Field
Air Benakat Sandstone
targets
All the key elements typically found in large fields are present:
• Large structural closure ~80-100 km2 maximum closure
at the Batu Raja limestone reef level and similar
maximum closure at the Air Benakat/Gumai sandstone
level
• Directly adjacent to a proven, thick, mature source
kitchen
• Dominant regional structural high in the basin since
Batu Raja depositional time making the Anggun
structure the focal point for the accumulation of
hydrocarbons from the time of peak oil generation
35 km
Air Benakat Closure
Batu Raja Closure
East Ketaling
Oil Field
Page 016
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
L53/48 Concession
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
0.
100.
200.
300.
400.
500.
600.
700.
800.
900.
1000.Daily OIL production(bbl/day)
• Low cost onshore operation: trucking $1.75usd/bbl + $15usd/bbl Opex + 5% GOT royalty
• Crude pricing approx 93% of Brent
• Material exploration upside remains at the A North East (ANE) prospect
• 2015 cash flow will be used to fund an ongoing work-over program and the drilling of the ANE-1 exploration
well sometime between Q4 2015 - Q1 2016 (estimated cost of ANE-1 ~$1.8mmusd)
•Increased activity levels anticipated with any exploration success or increased oil prices
Operating
cost $usd/bbl Cum Sales just
under 1.2MMbbls
Page 017
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
A North East Prospect
ANC (Dry Hole) Max closure: 2.03km2
ANE (New Well) Max closure: 4.9km2
• ANC-1 encountered thick immature sands with oil shows at the basin margin.
• ANE-1 is a larger closure in a more basinal position which is anticipated to encounter better quality reservoir & access to oil charge
ANC-1
Dry Hole A’
A A’
A
U-Thong Field
4.5MMbbls
1.5km2
ANE Prospect
4.9km2 Max
POE
PTTEP ANE-1
Barrier to oil
migration??
Edge of mature
source rocks
ANE-1
Exploration Well
Page 019
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Sawn Lake, Alberta, Canada
• Andora Energy Corporation has interests in 88 sections of oil sand leases
• Pan Orient Energy Corp. owns 71.8% of Andora
• 154 million barrels of 2C contingent resources attributed to Pan Orient’s 71.8% ownership of Andora (Andora has 214 million barrels)
• Demonstration project commenced with drilling in 2013, first stream injection in May 2014 and first bitumen production September 2014
Sawn Lake High Best Low
Millions of barrels of
Bitumen - SAGD 180 154 140
NPV (10) before Tax
CDN$ millions 445 337 259
Sawn Lake Contingent Resources at December 31, 2014 (Pan Orient’s 71.8%)
Red
Earth
T79
R1
W5
R24 T98
Husky
Baytex
5th
Meridia
n
Shell
Penn
West
Sawn Lake
Koch
Page 020
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Andora’s Oil Sands Leases
Sawn Lake North
• 10% of 51 sections (non-operated)
• 100% of 9 sections
• 1.5 MMbbls “Best Case” contingent
resources net to Andora
Sawn Lake Central
• 50% of 12 sections
• Designated Operator
• 138.7 MMbbls “Best Case” contingent
resources net to Andora
• Approved SAGD Demonstration
Project underway at 7-30-91-12W5
Sawn Lake South
• 100% of 16 sections
• 74.1 MMbbls “Best Case” contingent
resources net to Andora
Andora holds varying interests in 88 sections of oil sands
leases. Pan Orient Energy Corp owns 71.8% of Andora
Page 021
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Sawn Lake Pilot Project
• Results to date of the first SAGD well pair indicate that the SAGD process works in the Bluesky
formation reservoir.
• The well is still in its ramp-up phase and the steam chamber has not reached the top of the Bluesky
reservoir. For the period June 1st to 22nd bitumen production averaged 391 BOPD with a Steam-
Oil Ratio (“SOR”) of 4.4. May 2015 bitumen production averaged 388 BOPD with an SOR of 4.3.
All production numbers are on a 100% basis.
• Production exceeding “Best” case estimate used by Sproule in the December 31, 2014 contingent
resource evaluation of 345 BOPD with an SOR of 4.0. Sproule “High” case is 449 BOPD with an
SOR of 3.1.
• Canadian patent approved for produced water boiler (PWB) technology capable of meeting
regulatory water recycle requirements on a per well pair basis allowing for modular, scaled
development
• Starting the process for next set of regulatory approvals for expansion.
Page 022
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Sawn Lake, Alberta, Canada
ESP Failure
Post ESP Replacement
Flush Production
Page 023
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
PWB Technology
Patent
Canadian patent issued (2015-06-16) for Produced Water Boiler (PWB) technology enabling steam
generation from SAGD produced water meeting regulatory water recycle requirements on a per well pair
scale enabling lower capital SAGD project expansions with mitigated capital requirements and risk.
Background
• Economics of scale surrounding traditional SAGD water recycle technologies have generally required
large capital investments to achieve adequate capital intensities. These large scale projects are
inflexible once initiated and are susceptible to severe cost overruns
Application
• Produced Water Boiler (PWB) technology allows for low capital intensities at a smaller scale
(1000bopd+, $70MM+)
• Well pair scaled expansions allow for conversion of pilot facilities to commercial pods that meet
regulatory requirements, enable modularization of facilities to reduce costs and optimise well pair
placement