vgef 2015: opening of the new arctic sea: opportunities & challenge (admiral gary roughead (u.s....
Post on 24-Jul-2015
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New Access to Resources
Potential Arctic Routes For Int’l Navigation• Most transit now destination
shipping but the potential for some int’l transshipping in the near future.
• Tourism shipping – steady rise • Routes:
– Bering Sea/Strait (fisheries)– Northwest Passage (NWP)– Northern Sea Route* (NSR)– Arctic Ocean (“over the top”)
*46 transits in 2012. *71 transits in 2013* 393 Permits in summer of 2013
Ship Traffic in the Arctic
Passenger Ships
Oil and Gas Transport
Fishing Vessels Cargo
Transport
Great Start
A bit more technical – however, Good Forecast
Forecast Changed – too Late *Royal Navy ice patrol ship frees Norwegian liner
Things could have been worse…
Bad Headwork
Poor Forecast
Bad Charts
What if this…
Happens here…
In these conditions…or worse
Or here…
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