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United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

September Crop Production Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

September 11, 2015

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Navel Oranges (CA) Tobacco

Soybeans Hazelnuts Sugarbeets

Cotton Walnuts Sugarcane

Rice

Peanuts

Sorghum

Contents

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans

Sample Size 10,668 4,972

Collection Period Aug 27 – Sep 8 Aug 25 – Sept 1

Survey Overview

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

PercentU.S. Corn Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015USDA-NASS

9-11-15

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

September 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

September Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Corn

Harvested Mil Ac 81.1 NC -2.4

Yield Bu/Ac 167.5 -0.8 -2.0

Production Bil Bu 13.6 -0.7 -4.4

Crop Unit

7.4

9.2 9.2

9.89.4

9.9 9.5

9.0

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.0

13.1

12.4 12.3

10.8

13.814.2

13.6

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Billion BushelsCorn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

2004

20052006 2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014Aug-15

Sep-15

0.260

0.270

0.280

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500

Lbs/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield RegionEars Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight

Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

PercentU.S. Soybean ConditionPercent Rated Good to Excellent

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015USDA-NASS

9-11-15

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

September 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

September Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Soybeans

Harvested Mil Ac 83.5 NC +0.6

Yield Bu/Ac 47.1 +0.4 -1.5

Production Bil Bu 3.94 +0.5 -0.8

Crop Unit

2.17

2.38

2.69 2.742.65

2.76

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.123.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.363.33

3.103.04

3.36

3.97 3.94

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Billion BushelsSoybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

20102011

2012

2013 2014

Sep-15

0.260

0.265

0.270

0.275

0.280

0.285

0.290

0.295

0.300

0.305

0.310

0.315

0.320

0.325

1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900

Grams/Pod

Pods Per 18 Square Feet

Soybean Objective Yield RegionPods Per 18 Square Feet Vs. Implied Pod Weight

Implied Pod Weight = (Published Yield / Pods)/0.0889

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Percent

U.S. Cotton ConditionPercent Rated Good to Excellent

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015USDA-NASS

9-11-15

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

September 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

September Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 8.56 -3.8 -22.5

Harvested Mil Ac 8.17 +3.4 -12.6

Yield Lb/Ac 789 -0.8 -5.8

Production Mil Bls 13.4 +2.6 -17.7

Crop Unit

8.56

8.17

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Million AcresAll Cotton Acres

United States

Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS

9-11-15

17.9

18.9 18.8

13.9

17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.323.9

21.6

19.2

12.812.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

12.9

16.3

13.4

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Million BalesAll Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

September 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

September Previous Previous

2015 Estimate Season

Rice

Planted Mil Ac 2.61 -5.6 -11.2

Harvested Mil Ac 2.57 -6.3 -12.0

Yield Lbs/Ac 7,374 -1.3 -2.6

Production Mil Cwt 190 -7.6 -14.3

Crop Unit

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

September 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

September Previous Previous

2015 Estimate Season

Peanuts

Planted Mil Ac 1.62 +1.3 +19.6

Harvested Mil Ac 1.58 +1.1 +19.4

Yield Lbs/Ac 3,996 +1.2 +1.6

Production Bil Lbs 6.32 +2.3 +21.3

Crop Unit

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

September 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

September Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Sorghum Mil Bu 574 +0.3 +32.8

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 709 -1.1 -19.1

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 34.6 +1.1 +10.2

Sugarcane Mil Tons 31.2 -3.0 +2.5

Crop Unit

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

September 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Navel Oranges (CA) Mil Tons 1.72 NA +8.9

Hazelnuts (OR) Thou Tons 39.0 NA +8.3

Walnuts (CA) Thou Tons 575 NA +0.9

USDA-NASS

9-11-15

Release Date Report Title

September 17 Citrus Fruits

Potatoes

September 18 Cattle on Feed

September 25 Hogs & Pigs

September 29 Ag Prices

September 30 Grain Stocks

Small Grains Summary

October 1

CAIR: Cotton

CAIR: Grain Crushings

CAIR: Oilseed Crushings

CAIR: Fats & Oils

October 9 Crop Production

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