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Grain: World Markets and Trade
Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA
United States Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service July 2016
Wheat Exporter Stocks Surge to Highest in 6 Years, Pressuring Prices Downward
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Global wheat production is projected at a record high, outpacing consumption for the fourth consecutive year. This trend is leading to the highest exporter ending stocks since 2010/11, which is overburdening the market and pressuring prices. Major exporters are Argentina, Australia, Canada, EU, Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine, and the United States. These stocks are generally available to the world and thus most influential on price direction. In the United States, stocks are projected at their highest since 1987/88 and account for 41 percent of the exporter total in 2016/17. Export prices have declined to a 7-year low, reflecting market saturation. In this low-price environment, import demand is expected to strengthen, but primarily benefiting the most competitive origins. Currently, the EU and Black Sea countries are the most competitive in price terms, and they also enjoy freight and logistical advantages to the major growth markets of the Middle East and North Africa.
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*Russia, Ukraine **Argentina, Australia, Canada, Kazakhstan
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Weekly Wheat FOB Prices July 2009-Present
U.S. SRW French Black Sea Milling
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 17 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 38 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 57 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains. FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:
http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7 Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/ Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):
http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):
http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service:
http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops National Agricultural Statistics Service:
http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
All Grain Summary Comparison
Million Metric Tons
Marketing Year
Wheat Rice, Milled Corn
2016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/15
Production
United States (Jun-May) 55.1 55.8 61.5 7.1 6.1 7.8 361.1 345.5 369.3
Other 672.8 678.8 677.0 471.6 464.5 473.4 652.5 614.3 641.4
World Total 727.9 734.6 738.5 478.7 470.6 481.2 1,013.6 959.8 1,010.7
Domestic Consumption
United States (Jun-May) 31.6 31.6 36.3 4.2 3.9 4.4 301.9 299.5 308.6
Other 667.7 673.8 688.8 471.1 472.3 473.9 662.1 677.1 693.8
World Total 699.3 705.4 725.1 475.3 476.2 478.3 964.0 976.6 1,002.4
Ending Stocks
United States (Jun-May) 20.5 26.7 30.1 1.6 1.3 1.8 44.0 43.2 52.9
Other 196.9 217.8 223.6 112.9 105.4 105.5 164.5 163.7 155.5
World Total 217.4 244.5 253.7 114.5 106.7 107.3 208.5 206.9 208.4
TY Imports
United States (Jun-May) 4.0 3.1 3.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.0
Other 154.4 163.6 161.5 38.7 37.9 37.3 124.7 131.4 127.6
World Total 158.4 166.7 164.8 39.5 38.7 38.1 125.5 132.9 128.6
TY Exports
United States (Jun-May) 22.8 21.8 25.0 3.5 3.5 3.7 46.8 48.5 52.0
Other 138.7 147.6 142.7 39.3 37.8 36.8 81.2 87.4 79.5
World Total 161.5 169.4 167.7 42.8 41.3 40.5 128.0 135.9 131.5
Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and
exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:
Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat
only.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
4
WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global production in 2016/17 is raised to a new record. Larger crops are projected in Argentina, Australia, Canada, Russia, Serbia, Ukraine, and the United States, while cuts in Algeria and EU crops are partially offsetting. Global trade is up month-to-month, but still slightly below last year’s record. The uptick is primarily driven by larger projected imports in Algeria, Bangladesh, China, South Korea, and Turkey. Morocco and the United States are cut due to larger domestic crops. Greater exports for Argentina, Australia, Russia, Turkey, and Ukraine are partly offset by a cut in the EU. The U.S. season-average farm price is lowered $0.20 per bushel to $3.80. For 2015/16, global trade is revised up to a new record. Imports for Bangladesh, China, Indonesia, and Thailand are all higher, while cuts in Syria and the United States are partly offsetting. U.S. exports are raised, along with Russia and Ukraine. Argentina and Canada are lowered. U.S. PRICES:
Domestic: Wheat prices, except soft white wheat (SWW), plunged in June resulting from domestic harvest pressure and large global supplies. Harvesting of the Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat crop is nearing completion with record yields reported. HRW prices plunged $25 to $182/ton, the lowest price in 6 years. Soft Red Winter (SRW) prices dropped $27 to $177/ton, the lowest in nearly 7 years. Hard Red Spring (HRS) dipped $9/ton to $226. Soft White Winter (SWW) rose $6/ton to $203.
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Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
5
TRADE CHANGES IN 2016/17 Selected Exporters
• Argentina is up 500,000 tons to 9.0 million on a larger crop.
• Australia is boosted 500,000 tons to 17.5 million on a larger crop.
• EU is slashed 1.5 million tons to 34.0 million as a result of a smaller crop. Domestic feed use is raised.
• Russia is raised 500,000 tons to a record 25.5 million based on a record crop.
• Turkey is boosted 500,000 tons to 5.5 million as the strong pace of shipments of flour and pasta products is expected to continue.
• Ukraine is hiked 1.0 million tons to 12.5 million on a larger crop and strong demand for feed-quality wheat.
• United States is raised 500,000 tons to 25.0 million based on a larger crop and more competitive prices.
Selected Importers
• Algeria is boosted 500,000 tons to 8.0 million as the result of a smaller crop.
• Bangladesh is up 300,000 tons to 4.7 million as the low price of wheat is likely to spur large purchases.
• China is raised 300,000 tons to 3.5 million resulting from quality concerns with the current crop.
• South Korea is boosted 700,000 tons to 5.0 million as low-priced wheat will encourage larger purchases in feed use.
• Morocco is cut 500,000 tons to 5.0 million because of large carry-in supplies and a slightly larger crop.
• Turkey is raised 300,000 tons to 4.8 million resulting from increased demand for flour and product exports. Turkey’s inward processing regime allows duty-free imports provided that it is exported as a processed product.
• United States is cut 150,000 tons to 3.25 million as a result of a larger crop.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
6
TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16 Selected Exporters- based on trade data
• Canada is lowered 300,000 tons to 22.2 million.
• Russia is raised 500,000 tons to 25.0 million.
• Ukraine is boosted 1.2 million tons to 17.0 million.
• United States is up 550,000 tons to 21.7 million. Selected Importers- based on trade data
• Bangladesh is raised 400,000 tons to 4.6 million.
• China is up 300,000 tons to 3.3 million.
• Indonesia is boosted 500,000 tons to 9.6 million.
• Thailand is raised 300,000 tons to 4.8 million.
• United States is lowered 100,000 tons to 3.1 million.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade
July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
TY Exports
9,0008,5008,6004,2001,6757,450 Argentina
17,50017,00016,20016,57518,33921,269 Australia
1,0001,0001,1001,688811,753 Brazil
20,00020,00022,20024,87722,15618,584 Canada
34,00035,50033,00035,41832,03222,786 European Union
7,0007,0007,5005,5078,0006,801 Kazakhstan
1,3001,2001,3001,1041,322729 Mexico
25,50025,00025,00022,80018,60911,308 Russia
5,5005,0005,6004,1344,2933,583 Turkey
12,50011,50017,00011,2699,7557,190 Ukraine
9,3529,24710,12711,20614,67318,067 Others
142,652140,947147,627138,778130,935119,520 Subtotal
25,00024,50021,75022,75231,51827,734 United States
167,652165,447169,377161,530162,453147,254 World Total
none
TY Imports
2,4002,2002,4002,0002,0501,600 Afghanistan
8,0007,5008,1007,2577,4846,484 Algeria
4,7004,4004,6003,9153,3542,725 Bangladesh
6,0006,0005,9505,8697,0617,547 Brazil
3,5003,2003,3001,9266,7732,960 China
12,00012,00011,50011,10010,1508,400 Egypt
2,0002,0003,1001,1006701,344 Ethiopia
5,5005,5006,7005,9753,9765,276 European Union
2,0002,0004002732220 India
9,1009,1009,6007,4787,3917,146 Indonesia
2,3002,2002,3002,2533,2463,948 Iraq
5,8005,7005,7005,8786,1236,598 Japan
5,0004,3004,4003,9424,2885,439 Korea, South
4,2004,4004,7004,4764,6393,823 Mexico
5,0005,5004,7004,0863,9283,825 Morocco
4,3004,1004,3004,2444,5804,168 Nigeria
1,9001,9001,7001,9072,1141,683 Peru
4,8004,8004,5005,0553,4763,620 Philippines
3,5003,5003,0003,4873,4291,921 Saudi Arabia
2,3002,1002,3002,6322,6641,793 Sudan
3,8003,6004,8003,4881,6841,840 Thailand
4,8004,5004,3005,9604,1493,312 Turkey
2,5002,5002,6502,2302,2241,863 Uzbekistan
2,7002,7003,0002,2962,1571,671 Vietnam
3,3503,3503,3003,2453,4253,207 Yemen
50,08150,17152,26152,38654,52249,107 Others
161,531159,221163,561154,458155,579141,320 Subtotal
2,8712,8262,7163,0852,0892,458 Unaccounted
3,2503,4003,1003,9874,7853,476 United States
167,652165,447169,377161,530162,453147,254 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
Production
15,00014,50011,30014,00010,5009,300 Argentina
25,50025,00024,50023,91025,30322,856 Australia
5,3005,3005,5406,0005,3004,380 Brazil
29,00028,50027,60029,42037,53027,205 Canada
130,000130,000130,190126,208121,930121,023 China
8,1008,1008,1008,3008,2508,500 Egypt
156,500157,500160,006156,828144,583133,949 European Union
88,00088,00086,53095,85093,50694,882 India
15,50015,50015,00013,00014,50013,800 Iran
13,00013,00013,74812,99613,9419,841 Kazakhstan
25,30025,30025,10025,97924,21123,473 Pakistan
65,00064,00061,04459,08052,09137,720 Russia
17,50017,50019,50015,25018,75016,000 Turkey
25,00024,00027,27424,75022,27815,761 Ukraine
7,2007,2007,2007,1506,8006,700 Uzbekistan
51,08150,89656,14653,98257,38851,595 Others
676,981674,296678,778672,703656,861596,985 Subtotal
61,53256,53155,84055,14758,10561,298 United States
738,513730,827734,618727,850714,966658,283 World Total
none
Total Consumption
10,45010,45010,25010,0509,8509,450 Algeria
10,10010,10010,20010,70011,40010,900 Brazil
8,8008,8008,6009,0779,4149,555 Canada
117,000110,500112,000116,500116,500125,000 China
19,70019,70019,20019,10018,50018,700 Egypt
129,300127,800128,800123,500117,300119,250 European Union
93,10093,10088,64193,12293,84883,824 India
9,0008,8008,6507,3657,1656,950 Indonesia
18,50018,50018,00017,50017,00016,000 Iran
9,6009,6009,8009,0009,0008,300 Morocco
24,50024,50024,40024,50024,10023,900 Pakistan
37,50037,50037,00035,50034,10033,550 Russia
17,80017,80018,00017,50017,75017,650 Turkey
12,50012,50012,50012,00011,50011,400 Ukraine
9,5009,5009,3508,9008,4008,000 Uzbekistan
161,505159,747158,469153,454150,279146,702 Others
693,084682,465675,908673,074663,595641,284 Subtotal
36,25233,53031,58731,55434,28737,768 United States
729,336715,995707,495704,628697,882679,052 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
6,5525,6185,8624,8374,5584,663 Australia
112,495117,99596,79576,10565,27453,960 China
17,42918,42918,72913,8239,93810,711 European Union
11,00011,00014,50017,20017,83024,200 India
5,8865,9468,0867,8467,2415,096 Iran
5,0195,3197,0694,2694,3212,674 Morocco
8,6298,6296,1296,2855,1774,933 Russia
56,61156,32560,64666,55863,77451,319 Others
223,621229,261217,816196,923178,113157,556 Subtotal
30,07928,57726,70720,47716,06519,538 United States
253,700257,838244,523217,400194,178177,094 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jun
2016/17
Jul
2016/17
TY Imports none
7,784 North America 9,866 8,953 8,285 8,285 7,935
1,654 Central America 1,833 1,834 1,855 1,905 1,930
14,422 South America 14,866 13,132 13,100 13,410 13,410
5,276 European Union - 28 3,976 5,975 6,700 5,500 5,500
1,632 Other Europe 1,858 1,760 1,920 1,785 1,785
7,246 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,506 7,681 7,560 7,470 7,270
24,230 Middle East 28,384 26,912 24,190 23,300 23,700
22,047 North Africa 25,246 25,230 27,600 27,900 27,900
18,585 Sub-Saharan Africa 20,502 20,939 23,380 21,960 22,305
17,354 East Asia 19,465 14,115 15,935 15,520 16,670
5,308 South Asia 6,721 8,149 8,551 9,726 10,251
16,294 Southeast Asia 17,101 20,541 24,325 22,585 22,850
2,964 Others 3,040 3,224 3,260 3,275 3,275
144,796 Total 160,364 158,445 166,661 162,621 164,781
Production none
91,734 North America 99,012 88,254 87,191 89,001 94,502
18,011 South America 19,762 24,222 21,088 23,718 24,218
133,949 European Union - 28 144,583 156,828 160,006 157,500 156,500
3,431 Other Europe 4,103 3,929 4,067 4,015 4,600
77,802 Former Soviet Union - 12 103,885 112,735 117,718 116,830 118,930
36,884 Middle East 41,708 35,414 41,795 39,310 39,310
17,328 North Africa 19,656 17,010 19,910 14,700 14,200
6,716 Sub-Saharan Africa 7,154 7,144 6,371 7,127 7,127
122,490 East Asia 123,248 127,650 131,516 131,360 131,360
126,412 South Asia 125,917 130,154 119,840 121,645 121,645
23,345 Oceania 25,751 24,324 24,925 25,430 25,930
181 Others 187 186 191 191 191
658,283 Total 714,966 727,850 734,618 730,827 738,513
Domestic Consumption none
53,948 North America 50,351 47,481 47,187 49,450 52,172
26,212 South America 27,126 26,780 26,560 26,607 26,615
119,250 European Union - 28 117,300 123,500 128,800 127,800 129,300
4,721 Other Europe 4,807 4,850 4,905 4,980 5,120
71,725 Former Soviet Union - 12 72,750 75,860 77,930 78,965 78,790
56,636 Middle East 58,717 58,112 60,055 60,240 60,140
41,290 North Africa 42,425 42,651 43,525 44,000 44,000
24,047 Sub-Saharan Africa 26,341 26,848 28,174 28,460 28,770
140,071 East Asia 130,201 129,513 125,185 123,750 131,060
121,007 South Asia 132,041 132,322 128,792 133,641 134,166
16,515 Southeast Asia 16,560 19,265 22,105 21,960 22,385
8,111 Oceania 8,280 8,569 8,605 8,850 8,850
3,366 Others 3,494 3,571 3,624 3,724 3,739
686,899 Total 690,393 699,322 705,447 712,427 725,107
Ending Stocks none
24,925 North America 26,790 28,080 31,946 33,151 35,253
3,538 South America 6,834 8,338 4,520 3,760 4,172
10,711 European Union - 28 9,938 13,823 18,729 18,429 17,429
1,057 Other Europe 935 1,101 1,158 1,231 1,348
14,288 Former Soviet Union - 12 15,727 20,084 17,052 19,965 18,832
14,049 Middle East 18,560 18,443 18,478 15,198 14,813
11,795 North Africa 13,802 12,784 16,069 13,729 13,329
2,485 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,923 2,931 3,583 3,035 3,115
57,214 East Asia 68,314 79,228 100,159 121,104 115,789
27,995 South Asia 21,661 23,185 21,040 17,320 17,520
3,718 Southeast Asia 3,466 3,892 5,232 4,622 4,837
4,978 Oceania 4,861 5,123 6,153 5,899 6,833
341 Others 367 388 404 395 430
177,094 Total 194,178 217,400 244,523 257,838 253,700
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
10
RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
OVERVIEW
For 2016/17, global production is forecast at a new record primarily due to a larger crop in the
United States based on the NASS June Acreage report. Global trade is forecast lower, with
reduced imports and consumption in Bangladesh, Iran, and Nigeria. The U.S. season-average
farm price for all rice is lowered $0.40/cwt to $11.70/cwt.
For 2015/16, production is revised lower, primarily on a smaller crop in Brazil. Global trade is
down due to cuts to imports for Iran, Nigeria, and Indonesia. Exports are lowered for Brazil and
Vietnam. Consumption is also revised down, primarily due to reductions for China. The U.S.
season-average farm price remains at $12.30/cwt.
As the largest producer in Latin America by a wide margin, Brazil has been a net exporter for the
majority of the past decade. Reversing the recent trend, it is now projected to become a net
importer in 2016 for the first since 2010. At that time, excess rain led to a production decline in
Rio Grande do Sul, the largest producing region, precipitating a 20 percent rise in imports.
Similarly, this year’s heavy rain impacted the recently harvested crop, now forecast at 7.1
million tons, down 15 percent from last year. Consequently, 2016 imports are forecast to more
than double to 750,000 tons, with most supplies likely to come from neighboring countries.
Exports this year are projected to fall to 700,000 tons. With Brazil becoming a net importer and
presenting less export competition, the United States is expected to seize additional opportunities
to expand exports, particularly in the Western Hemisphere.
The status of net importer is not expected to remain for long, however. In 2017, Brazil’s
production levels are forecast to rebound to levels similar to 2 years prior and return the country
to its net exporting position. The forecast recovery this time is somewhat more muted than in
2011, as 2017 exports are projected to rise only marginally from the prior year.
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MilledProduction(MMT)
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
11
Weaker Parboiled Trade as Nigerian Policies Restrict Imports
In 2014, global exports of parboiled rice surged, but have declined every year since then in
response to developments in Nigeria. The large majority of Nigeria’s rice imports are parboiled.
This country is the second largest importer of rice and the top parboiled rice importer, accounting
for around 40 percent of parboiled trade. Nigeria’s imports spiked in 2014, amid lower global
prices and strong demand in advance of local elections. However, the purchasing power has
eroded as the oil-dependent economy struggles with foreign exchange availability with sharply
lower oil prices. In 2015, Nigeria prohibited the use of foreign exchange to purchase rice and
maintained a high import tariff, causing imports to plunge. Since March 2016, Nigeria has
banned rice importation via land borders, further tightening access to parboiled rice. These
policies are expected to persist, causing Nigeria’s rice importation to further contract in 2017.
Parboiled rice is processed to preserve nutrients and results in more separate grains when
cooked. It typically accounts for less than 20 percent of all exported rice. Thailand and India are
the major exporters, whereas the United States and Brazil ship smaller quantities.
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Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
12
PRICES
Since the beginning of June, Thai and Uruguayan export quotes have risen, continuing to lower
the premium of U.S. quotes. Over the past month, reports of damage to Thailand’s crop have
caused export quotes to rise to $432/ton. Severe weather has impacted production in South
America as well. With reduced exportable supplies and stronger regional demand, Uruguay’s
quotes strengthened to $464/ton. Vietnam and Pakistan’s export quotes remained unchanged at
$369/ton and $410/ton, respectively. U.S. quotes have also settled, sliding marginally to
$500/ton on forecasts of a larger crop.
Selected Trade Changes
Azerbaijan imports are boosted 100,000 tons to 130,000 for 2017 on expected higher
levels of trade from Pakistan.
Bangladesh imports are trimmed 100,000 tons to 250,000 for 2016 due to the
introduction of import tariffs and to increased wheat imports. Imports are halved to
250,000 tons for 2017, also on higher expected wheat purchases.
Brazil exports are cut 100,000 tons to 700,000 for 2016 on a smaller crop.
Indonesia imports are raised 152,000 tons to 1.4 million for 2015, while lowered
150,000 tons to 1.9 million for 2016 on the timing of shipments.
Iran imports are reduced 350,000 tons to 1.1 million for 2016, as the pace of trade has
slowed and the government is set to introduce an import ban this month. For 2017,
imports are cut 300,000 tons to 1.2 million due to the projected impact of the ban.
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$/MT Weekly F.O.B Export Quotes: Last 12 Months
U.S. #2/4 (long-grain) THAI 100B VIET 5% PAK 5% UGY 5%
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
13
Nigeria imports are revised down 300,000 tons to 2.2 million for 2015 on final trade
data. For 2016, imports are down 200,000 tons to 2.1 million due to restrictions on
foreign exchange access and border trade. For 2017, imports are reduced 100,000 tons to
1.9 million on the extended impact of the import restrictions.
Pakistan exports are raised 100,000 tons to 4.5 million for 2016 on a stronger pace of
trade.
Saudi Arabia imports are raised 156,000 tons to 1.6 million for 2015 on final trade data.
For 2016, imports are up 100,000 tons to 1.6 million on larger purchases from Pakistan.
U.S. exports are up 100,000 tons to 3.5 million for 2016 on larger exportable supplies and
reduced competition from Brazil.
Vietnam exports are reduced 100,000 tons to 6.9 million for 2016 due to weaker demand
and slower trade to Southeast Asian markets.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Rice Trade
January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
TY Exports
600600480310494526 Argentina
200230180323404460 Australia
800800700895852830 Brazil
1,7501,7501,6501,7351,6881,163 Burma
1,0501,0509001,1501,0001,075 Cambodia
300300350262393447 China
200250200250600700 Egypt
260260270251284203 European Union
540540540536502346 Guyana
8,5008,5009,00011,04611,58810,480 India
4,2504,2504,5004,0003,7004,126 Pakistan
470470480371380365 Paraguay
9,0009,0009,8009,77910,9696,722 Thailand
840840850718957939 Uruguay
7,0007,0006,9006,6066,3256,700 Vietnam
1,1001,1171,0911,0951,0811,116 Others
36,86036,95737,89139,32741,21736,198 Subtotal
3,6503,6003,4503,4722,9983,295 United States
40,51040,55741,34142,79944,21539,493 World Total
none
TY Imports
475475450450500430 Angola
600600750363586712 Brazil
530530530525610550 Cameroon
5,0005,0005,0005,1504,4503,500 China
9009001,0001,100950830 Cote d'Ivoire
510510530575377413 Cuba
1,6001,6001,6001,7861,5561,375 European Union
600600580500590725 Ghana
440440470444385416 Haiti
1,2501,2501,8501,3501,225650 Indonesia
1,1501,4501,1001,3001,4002,220 Iran
1,1501,1501,1501,0091,0801,294 Iraq
700700700688669690 Japan
470470460450440410 Kenya
1,0501,0501,0201,051989885 Malaysia
750750700708658746 Mexico
560540550560590500 Mozambique
550550500529510340 Nepal
1,9002,0002,1002,2003,2002,400 Nigeria
1,5001,5001,5002,0001,8001,000 Philippines
1,5501,5001,5501,6001,4591,326 Saudi Arabia
990990985990960902 Senegal
9259251,000912910990 South Africa
610610600580560540 United Arab Emirates
420420400520440432 Yemen
11,10411,27910,90411,40913,48011,491 Others
37,28437,78937,97938,74940,37435,767 Subtotal
2,4511,9932,5973,2923,0863,051 Unaccounted
775775765758755675 United States
40,51040,55741,34142,79944,21539,493 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2015/16 is calendar year 2016, 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, and so on.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
Milled Production
34,55034,55034,50034,50034,39033,820 Bangladesh
8,5008,5007,1258,4658,3008,037 Brazil
12,50012,50012,20012,60011,95711,715 Burma
4,7004,7004,3504,7004,7254,670 Cambodia
146,500146,500145,770144,560142,530143,000 China
4,0004,0004,0004,5304,7504,675 Egypt
105,000105,000103,500105,480106,646105,240 India
36,60036,60035,30035,56036,30036,550 Indonesia
7,6807,6807,6537,8497,9317,907 Japan
4,0004,0004,3274,2414,2304,006 Korea, South
6,9006,9006,7006,9006,7985,536 Pakistan
12,00012,00011,35011,91511,85811,428 Philippines
3,4003,4003,3002,8502,8402,675 Sri Lanka
17,00017,00015,80018,75020,46020,200 Thailand
28,50028,50028,10028,16628,16127,537 Vietnam
41,62341,55340,55540,53240,44639,151 Others
473,453473,383464,530471,598472,322466,147 Subtotal
7,7797,3356,1077,1066,1176,348 United States
481,232480,718470,637478,704478,439472,495 World Total
none
Consumption and Residual
35,20035,30035,20035,10034,90034,500 Bangladesh
7,9508,0007,8007,9107,9007,850 Brazil
10,70010,70010,60010,50010,45010,400 Burma
3,6003,6003,6003,6153,6503,550 Cambodia
145,000145,000145,500144,500143,000141,000 China
3,9503,9003,9504,0004,0004,050 Egypt
98,60098,60098,30098,23398,71094,031 India
38,10038,10038,10038,30038,50038,127 Indonesia
8,7008,7008,6008,6008,3808,351 Japan
4,3344,3344,3744,1974,4224,489 Korea, South
3,6503,6503,6003,7163,8113,353 Nepal
5,1005,2005,2505,4005,6005,300 Nigeria
13,30013,30013,20013,20012,85012,850 Philippines
11,10011,10010,80010,60010,70010,600 Thailand
21,80021,80021,85022,00022,00021,600 Vietnam
62,82162,88161,63861,26361,16959,079 Others
476,245476,107474,628473,812474,469461,725 Subtotal
4,3824,2873,8534,1553,9773,779 United States
480,627480,394478,481477,967478,446465,504 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
68,60668,05662,40657,43653,10249,832 China
11,66611,66613,76617,76622,75725,440 India
2,9112,9093,1614,1115,5016,476 Indonesia
2,0892,0892,4942,8213,0072,857 Japan
1,9011,7441,8271,406899780 Korea, South
2,1602,1601,9602,2101,6951,487 Philippines
3,2203,2206,07010,57011,89912,808 Thailand
12,94513,48613,71716,67113,92112,977 Others
105,498105,330105,401112,991112,781112,657 Subtotal
1,8061,6151,2981,5521,0251,156 United States
107,304106,945106,699114,543113,806113,813 World Total
Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jun
2016/17
Jul
2016/17
TY Imports none
1,776 North America 1,771 1,816 1,825 1,890 1,890
971 Caribbean 903 1,176 1,155 1,110 1,110
1,833 South America 1,814 1,678 1,867 1,827 1,827
125 Other Europe 132 128 135 140 140
557 Former Soviet Union - 12 628 566 501 406 531
7,252 Middle East 6,711 6,462 6,150 6,605 6,355
487 North Africa 485 406 450 465 405
11,567 Sub-Saharan Africa 12,637 10,749 11,020 10,930 10,850
5,349 East Asia 6,045 6,686 6,636 6,631 6,631
722 South Asia 2,566 1,619 930 1,210 960
3,606 Southeast Asia 5,025 5,666 5,640 4,960 4,960
2,197 Others 2,412 2,555 2,435 2,390 2,400
36,442 Total 41,129 39,507 38,744 38,564 38,059
Production none
6,479 North America 6,248 7,285 6,267 7,508 7,952
974 Caribbean 1,054 1,104 996 1,005 1,005
15,852 South America 16,384 16,365 15,087 16,588 16,588
2,100 European Union - 28 1,937 1,963 2,055 2,026 2,026
1,294 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,205 1,185 1,262 1,245 1,205
2,251 Middle East 2,450 2,443 2,392 2,495 2,505
4,704 North Africa 4,789 4,530 4,000 4,000 4,000
13,272 Sub-Saharan Africa 13,984 14,438 15,127 15,390 15,390
157,953 East Asia 157,701 159,486 160,194 160,924 160,924
150,631 South Asia 154,490 153,331 151,620 153,450 153,450
115,490 Southeast Asia 116,867 115,367 110,826 114,971 115,071
1,495 Others 1,330 1,207 811 1,116 1,116
472,495 Total 478,439 478,704 470,637 480,718 481,232
Domestic Consumption none
4,977 North America 5,202 5,369 5,083 5,532 5,627
1,171 Central America 1,197 1,226 1,252 1,293 1,293
1,954 Caribbean 1,992 2,136 2,153 2,151 2,156
14,354 South America 14,542 14,568 14,602 14,776 14,746
3,250 European Union - 28 3,250 3,320 3,380 3,420 3,420
1,579 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,607 1,521 1,540 1,441 1,541
8,989 Middle East 9,190 9,232 9,020 9,160 9,060
4,572 North Africa 4,480 4,370 4,320 4,330 4,320
24,741 Sub-Saharan Africa 26,186 25,858 26,025 26,579 26,479
157,459 East Asia 159,414 160,566 161,404 161,259 161,259
137,462 South Asia 143,386 143,410 143,570 144,270 144,070
101,694 Southeast Asia 102,865 103,157 103,336 103,706 103,781
707 Others 708 556 530 535 535
462,909 Total 474,019 475,289 476,215 478,452 478,287
Ending Stocks none
1,345 North America 1,176 1,704 1,437 1,795 1,986
186 Central America 205 244 241 229 239
289 Caribbean 266 263 261 225 225
1,591 South America 1,902 2,142 1,383 1,809 1,616
1,188 European Union - 28 1,163 1,237 1,232 1,178 1,178
2,004 Middle East 1,864 1,775 1,272 1,215 1,047
427 North Africa 610 924 854 786 739
2,229 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,033 2,305 2,027 1,653 1,503
53,832 East Asia 57,296 61,919 67,003 72,185 72,892
26,819 South Asia 25,008 21,490 16,791 14,594 14,376
23,486 Southeast Asia 21,876 20,149 14,004 11,102 11,329
238 Oceania 241 223 53 63 63
179 Others 166 168 141 111 111
113,813 Total 113,806 114,543 106,699 106,945 107,304
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
17
COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW For 2016/17, global corn production is marginally lower with reductions for Brazil, Canada, and EU more than offsetting a larger expected crop for the United States. U.S. production is projected higher on larger planted area from the NASS Acreage report. Global trade is lower, driven by reduced imports for the EU and South Korea. These countries are expected to use wheat in feed rations at the expense of imported corn. Forecast exports for Argentina and the United States are higher, but lower for Brazil, Canada, and the EU. The U.S. season-average farm price is projected 10 cents lower to $3.40 per bushel. For 2015/16, global corn production is lowered again this month driven by a significant cut for Brazil. Nevertheless, global trade is boosted to a new record as higher imports for Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, and South Korea more than offset a reduction for the EU. Exports for Argentina and the United States are higher, more than offsetting lower Brazilian exports. The U.S. season-average farm price is lowered 5 cents to $3.65 per bushel. BRAZIL: SUPPLY AND DEMAND CHANGE Brazilian 2015/16 corn production, forecast at 70.0 million tons, is down 7.5 million from last month and is the smallest crop in 5 years. Marketing Year (MY) 2015/16 (March 2016-February 2017) exports are cut 4.0 million tons to 18.5 million. Consequently, trade year 2016/17 (October-September) exports are slashed 2.5 million tons to 20.5 million and 2015/16 trade year exports are cut 1.5 million tons to 33.0 million. Additionally, 2016/17 imports are raised 100,000 tons and 2015/16 imports are up 200,000 tons. With supplies more limited and prices relatively high, domestic consumption in 2015/16 is forecast lower and ending stocks are projected tighter. Further, Brazil’s 2016/17 crop is projected 2.0 million tons smaller at 80.0 million, resulting in lower projected consumption as well as MY 2016/17 exports. PRICES Following the release of the June WASDE report, FOB quotes for all major exporters initially moved up on expectations of drier weather. With the release of the NASS Acreage report, however, prices have plunged in response to prospects for larger supplies in the United States. Ongoing harvests in South America and forecasts for beneficial weather in the United States also contributed to downward pressure. U.S. quotes have fallen $25/ton to $168. Argentine quotes are dropped $32/ton to $173, and Brazilian quotes are down $26/ton to $177. Even though the harvests are ongoing in Argentina and Brazil, the United States retains a price advantage based on weather-induced damage to the Brazilian crop and harvest delays in Argentina. Black Sea quotes are up $2/ton to $200 on tight nearby supplies. Note: Recent Brazilian quotes are for August, while all other export quotes are for nearby (30-day) shipment.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
18
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
220$/
MT
Corn Daily Export Bids
U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Black Sea Argentina Up River
TRADE CHANGES IN 2016/17 Selected Exporters
U.S. corn is boosted 2.5 million tons to 52.0 million reflecting competitive prices on larger projected supplies as well as reduced competition from Brazil.
Argentine corn is up 500,000 tons to 23.0 million on greater supplies.
Brazilian corn is slashed 2.5 million tons to 20.5 million based on a reduced crop.
Canadian corn is down 700,000 tons to 500,000 due to a smaller expected crop.
EU corn is cut 500,000 tons to 2.5 million on reduced competitiveness compared with
other origins.
Australian barley is boosted 200,000 tons to 6.0 million with a larger projected crop. Selected Importers
EU corn is reduced 1.0 million tons to 11.0 million as ample supplies of domestic wheat
erode the need for imported corn.
Japanese corn is up 500,000 tons to 15.0 million, as the feed sector is expected to purchase larger amounts of corn with lower prices. Though livestock numbers are generally declining, there has been growth in both poultry and swine populations and an increase in weights for swine.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
19
South Korean corn is lowered 500,000 tons to 10.0 million due to anticipated larger
purchases of competitively-priced feed quality wheat.
Zimbabwean corn is raised 400,000 tons to 1.4 million on the announced target set by the government. The government has reportedly secured the funding for corn purchases.
Algerian barley is up 250,000 tons to 900,000 to mostly offset reduced production in support of continued demand for feed.
Moroccan barley is boosted 200,000 tons to 700,000 to partly offset poor pasture
conditions and a reduced crop, which is forecast to be the smallest since 2007/08.
TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16 Selected Exporters
U.S. corn is raised 2.5 million tons to 48.5 million with robust sales and shipments.
Argentine corn is raised 500,000 tons to 20.5 million on a larger crop and shipments to date.
Argentine barley is up 400,000 tons to 2.9 million on a larger crop and continued strong demand from Saudi Arabia.
EU barley is raised 200,000 tons to 9.9 million on trade to date.
Selected Importers
Chinese corn is boosted 1.1 million tons to 3.1 million reflecting larger purchases from Ukraine and trade to date.
EU corn is down 1.3 million tons to 13.2 million reflecting a greater use of domestic
barley and wheat for feed.
Japanese corn is raised 300,000 tons to 15.0 million on feed demand.
South Korean corn is up 300,000 tons to 10.3 million on strong feed demand.
Mexican corn is raised 500,000 tons to 13.0 million on the continued fast pace of purchases from the United States.
Saudi Arabian barley is boosted 300,000 tons to 9.8 million on trade to date.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Coarse Grain Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
TY Exports
26,10525,50524,30521,00316,63029,497 Argentina
7,3757,1756,5757,2917,0096,416 Australia
20,53023,03033,03521,95422,05926,078 Brazil
3,7504,4504,1503,5975,4824,658 Canada
11,85512,35511,89215,0677,8418,943 European Union
2,3152,3152,7153,0312,7182,861 Paraguay
8,6108,6108,2709,1557,0744,366 Russia
2,2602,2601,7403,0011,799605 Serbia
1,3251,3257257702,1272,412 South Africa
21,13021,13020,02024,20824,12515,527 Ukraine
6,9557,0557,0807,99911,21510,279 Others
112,210115,210120,507117,076108,079111,642 Subtotal
57,83555,33556,60556,34056,77220,586 United States
170,045170,545177,112173,416164,851132,228 World Total
none
TY Imports
5,0254,7754,7304,8634,9463,289 Algeria
2,0502,0501,9501,7071,6211,327 Chile
12,20012,20017,10025,69912,4455,603 China
4,8404,8404,8704,7474,7954,090 Colombia
8,8558,8558,5807,9408,7755,097 Egypt
11,35512,35513,4959,14616,35511,778 European Union
3,0003,0003,1003,3813,5132,719 Indonesia
7,1007,1007,4008,1006,6004,800 Iran
1,8101,8101,6901,6032,0731,564 Israel
16,90016,52016,94516,72617,50117,742 Japan
1,6751,6751,5001,4591,6721,406 Jordan
10,09010,59010,39010,24510,4998,265 Korea, South
1,5001,5001,6001,6851,4931,220 Libya
3,6003,6003,5003,2383,4853,048 Malaysia
13,97513,97513,97511,57011,3127,624 Mexico
3,0002,8002,8502,2172,8581,832 Morocco
2,8352,8352,8252,8632,3362,404 Peru
13,50513,50513,31011,11511,33212,390 Saudi Arabia
2,6502,6502,92560723592 South Africa
4,2004,2004,3003,9494,3464,413 Taiwan
1,9001,9001,8001,5241,4491,608 Tunisia
1,9051,9059852,7191,9771,922 Turkey
2,1002,1001,8002,4332,6272,154 Venezuela
6,0006,0006,9006,7004,3001,600 Vietnam
1,4401,040820720620720 Zimbabwe
18,95618,99119,68718,84817,23514,574 Others
162,466162,771169,027165,804156,400123,281 Subtotal
4,3544,5494,3554,3255,1292,432 Unaccounted
3,2253,2253,7303,2873,3226,515 United States
170,045170,545177,112173,416164,851132,228 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
Production
41,88941,88936,90935,73235,66537,246 Argentina
13,16412,36412,43712,60512,15811,414 Australia
82,96384,66372,06387,66882,60384,253 Brazil
24,31526,06525,66021,99228,74524,445 Canada
225,700225,700231,780222,750225,408212,192 China
12,75012,7509,98513,34613,07912,286 Ethiopia
159,861160,470151,247170,759159,212146,188 European Union
41,70041,70037,75043,08143,21639,910 India
9,6009,6009,4009,0009,1008,500 Indonesia
31,92531,92531,38932,68932,06528,881 Mexico
18,50018,50017,95019,01519,29218,573 Nigeria
39,37539,37537,42740,38635,73528,658 Russia
13,58313,5837,02511,11015,51812,873 South Africa
10,92511,57514,2759,42513,09010,595 Turkey
36,22535,77533,38739,38940,02229,528 Ukraine
154,522154,812152,512159,010148,666145,578 Others
916,997920,746881,196927,957913,574851,120 Subtotal
385,403382,256366,902377,234367,089285,311 United States
1,302,4001,303,0021,248,0981,305,1911,280,6631,136,431 World Total
none
Domestic Consumption
15,43915,43914,43114,23213,69512,050 Argentina
61,24361,95358,01860,02358,02855,803 Brazil
22,13022,53021,95321,28822,34720,338 Canada
245,150246,150239,025229,059223,546209,671 China
16,00816,00815,70314,80914,08012,910 Egypt
160,295161,295157,379162,500164,401153,341 European Union
41,15041,15039,52040,40037,60035,075 India
14,22014,22013,52012,02011,32010,520 Iran
17,21116,63117,24616,93317,57017,830 Japan
44,91544,71543,31542,07540,93536,195 Mexico
18,50018,50018,15018,95019,35018,700 Nigeria
30,77530,77529,84031,13928,61925,134 Russia
14,12514,12513,35012,02511,55010,925 Saudi Arabia
13,28013,68014,43013,05513,43013,005 Turkey
14,53014,43014,22515,43015,97714,661 Ukraine
244,096243,971239,690240,987227,975219,027 Others
981,573983,143937,475960,662927,544859,121 Subtotal
321,345323,044313,292311,347305,048275,537 United States
1,302,9181,306,1871,250,7671,272,0091,232,5921,134,658 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
6,3116,9515,6218,21114,2589,560 Brazil
3,6094,2594,1093,3424,6483,024 Canada
104,549102,449111,829102,01982,65168,377 China
13,33914,64814,27318,80515,56513,055 European Union
6,5146,5147,2747,2345,0944,654 Iran
6,0945,8945,9094,8603,4871,542 Mexico
3,8203,5204,0003,5003,9123,415 Saudi Arabia
41,06840,51742,18650,36648,17536,874 Others
185,304184,752195,201198,337177,790140,501 Subtotal
56,79454,90247,41546,94834,31323,531 United States
242,098239,654242,616245,285212,103164,032 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jun
2016/17
Jul
2016/17
TY Imports none
14,661 North America 15,348 16,567 18,840 18,265 18,265
2,470 Central America 2,923 3,460 3,675 3,610 3,610
2,327 Caribbean 2,330 2,444 2,460 2,560 2,560
11,812 South America 13,181 13,353 13,575 13,410 13,375
11,778 European Union - 28 16,355 9,146 13,495 12,355 11,355
728 Former Soviet Union - 12 807 730 685 705 705
25,078 Middle East 26,614 27,842 27,925 29,025 29,025
13,046 North Africa 19,521 18,229 19,560 19,830 20,280
2,742 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,632 4,523 7,276 6,890 7,290
36,176 East Asia 44,865 56,676 48,805 43,590 43,470
7,961 Southeast Asia 12,814 14,736 14,970 14,175 14,175
1,017 Others 1,332 1,385 1,491 1,581 1,581
129,796 Total 159,722 169,091 172,757 165,996 165,691
Production none
338,637 North America 427,899 431,915 423,951 440,246 441,643
136,025 South America 132,425 136,767 122,583 140,099 138,651
146,188 European Union - 28 159,212 170,759 151,247 160,470 159,861
6,570 Other Europe 8,813 10,649 8,946 9,973 9,973
68,222 Former Soviet Union - 12 87,758 91,599 82,761 87,581 88,031
18,769 Middle East 21,774 17,888 23,382 20,622 19,972
10,155 North Africa 11,556 11,073 12,516 10,056 9,639
103,534 Sub-Saharan Africa 102,584 108,311 92,806 103,950 103,950
214,616 East Asia 227,798 225,528 234,420 228,359 228,359
47,642 South Asia 51,986 51,827 46,304 50,528 50,528
29,158 Southeast Asia 31,003 31,088 31,607 33,398 33,273
12,082 Oceania 12,805 13,273 13,144 13,004 13,804
4,833 Others 5,050 4,514 4,431 4,716 4,716
1,136,431 Total 1,280,663 1,305,191 1,248,098 1,303,002 1,302,400
Domestic Consumption none
332,070 North America 368,330 374,710 378,560 390,289 388,390
89,796 South America 94,515 97,134 95,422 101,024 100,389
153,341 European Union - 28 164,401 162,500 157,379 161,295 160,295
7,100 Other Europe 7,707 8,036 8,252 8,292 8,292
50,225 Former Soviet Union - 12 55,686 58,148 55,693 57,076 57,176
43,027 Middle East 45,892 45,679 50,077 50,887 50,487
24,941 North Africa 27,987 30,177 31,804 31,338 31,538
103,220 Sub-Saharan Africa 102,314 109,843 101,925 104,640 104,990
242,831 East Asia 257,690 262,977 273,387 280,107 279,237
42,704 South Asia 46,167 49,321 48,720 50,634 50,634
35,787 Southeast Asia 38,943 41,558 45,005 46,416 45,916
6,107 Oceania 5,764 5,946 6,274 5,799 6,249
9,573 Others 10,075 10,243 10,589 10,819 10,819
1,140,722 Total 1,225,471 1,256,272 1,263,087 1,298,616 1,294,412
Ending Stocks none
28,097 North America 42,448 55,150 57,433 65,055 66,497
15,559 South America 21,875 15,019 12,237 13,467 12,924
13,055 European Union - 28 15,565 18,805 14,273 14,648 13,339
631 Other Europe 751 1,064 845 1,193 1,163
4,983 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,029 7,435 4,783 4,922 5,158
10,118 Middle East 11,911 12,873 13,923 12,193 12,363
3,553 North Africa 5,666 5,514 5,846 4,339 4,317
9,049 Sub-Saharan Africa 9,559 11,295 7,770 8,775 8,825
71,678 East Asia 86,663 105,873 115,666 106,498 108,228
2,408 South Asia 4,099 5,301 2,930 2,710 2,710
3,230 Southeast Asia 4,472 4,465 4,402 3,400 3,799
902 Oceania 1,115 1,524 1,599 1,478 1,824
769 Others 950 967 909 976 951
164,032 Total 212,103 245,285 242,616 239,654 242,098
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Corn Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
TY Exports
23,00022,50020,50018,44812,84622,789 Argentina
20,50023,00033,00021,90922,04126,044 Brazil
950950900850700550 Burma
2,5003,0001,6004,0262,4042,194 European Union
8008001,000784501522 Mexico
2,3002,3002,7003,0122,7142,858 Paraguay
4,5004,5004,4003,2134,1941,917 Russia
2,2002,2001,7002,9641,780578 Serbia
1,3001,3007007462,1042,398 South Africa
17,00017,00016,00019,66120,00412,726 Ukraine
4,4005,2004,9455,58210,4519,708 Others
79,45082,75087,44581,19579,73982,284 Subtotal
52,00049,50048,50046,77350,68418,262 United States
131,450132,250135,945127,968130,423100,546 World Total
none
TY Imports
4,1004,1004,1004,1164,1562,918 Algeria
1,0001,0001,0001,533678492 Canada
1,8001,8001,7001,5161,456844 Chile
1,0001,0003,1005,5163,2772,702 China
4,5004,5004,5004,4964,4363,266 Colombia
1,2251,2251,2001,2021,0111,046 Dominican Republic
8,7508,7508,5007,8418,7265,059 Egypt
11,00012,00013,2008,64616,01411,362 European Union
3,0003,0003,1003,3813,5132,719 Indonesia
5,5005,5005,5006,2005,5003,700 Iran
1,5001,5001,4001,2961,6521,224 Israel
15,00014,50015,00014,65715,12114,411 Japan
10,00010,50010,30010,16810,4068,174 Korea, South
3,6003,6003,5003,2383,4853,048 Malaysia
13,00013,00013,00011,26910,9495,676 Mexico
2,3002,3002,1001,9412,3491,684 Morocco
2,7002,7002,7002,7412,2322,254 Peru
3,5003,5003,5002,9042,6842,063 Saudi Arabia
2,5002,5002,700469790 South Africa
4,1004,1004,2003,8214,1794,241 Taiwan
1,2001,2001,2001,041993846 Tunisia
1,5001,5009002,3771,3811,656 Turkey
2,1002,1001,8002,4332,6262,154 Venezuela
6,0006,0006,9006,7004,3001,600 Vietnam
1,4001,000800700600700 Zimbabwe
15,35015,25015,52114,46814,15611,026 Others
127,625128,125131,421124,670125,95994,865 Subtotal
2,8253,1253,0242,4893,7371,416 Unaccounted
1,0001,0001,5008097274,265 United States
131,450132,250135,945127,968130,423100,546 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
Production
34,00034,00028,00028,70026,00027,000 Argentina
80,00082,00070,00085,00080,00081,500 Brazil
12,50013,75013,60011,48714,19413,060 Canada
218,000218,000224,580215,646218,490205,614 China
6,3006,3005,0506,5806,4926,158 Ethiopia
63,83164,27557,97975,77964,93159,142 European Union
23,00023,00021,00024,17024,25922,258 India
9,6009,6009,4009,0009,1008,500 Indonesia
24,20024,20025,00025,48022,88021,591 Mexico
7,2007,2007,0007,5157,7007,630 Nigeria
8,0008,0007,5007,6717,5327,261 Philippines
14,00014,00013,16811,32511,6358,213 Russia
7,0007,0006,0007,7005,9003,750 Serbia
13,00013,0006,50010,62914,92512,365 South Africa
26,00026,00023,33328,45030,90020,922 Ukraine
94,77994,90496,19197,33595,16191,579 Others
641,410645,229614,301652,467640,099596,543 Subtotal
369,333366,539345,486361,091351,272273,192 United States
1,010,7431,011,768959,7871,013,558991,371869,735 World Total
none
Total Consumption
10,40010,4009,3009,3008,8007,900 Argentina
58,00059,00055,50057,00055,00052,500 Brazil
13,40013,60013,40012,82012,67511,604 Canada
226,000227,000217,500202,000208,000200,000 China
15,05015,05014,75013,90013,20012,000 Egypt
73,30074,30072,71477,88076,79669,846 European Union
22,80022,80022,20022,30019,60017,500 India
12,60013,00012,80012,20011,90010,900 Indonesia
15,10014,40015,10014,60015,00014,300 Japan
10,10010,55010,35010,2509,8918,481 Korea, South
36,30036,10036,00034,45031,70027,000 Mexico
8,8008,8008,7008,5008,0007,400 Philippines
9,5009,5008,9008,1007,5006,400 Russia
11,30011,30011,00011,70011,50011,000 South Africa
12,50012,50011,9009,4007,7006,400 Vietnam
158,658158,408156,947157,787152,632143,094 Others
700,629702,689661,878678,934655,954601,804 Subtotal
308,625310,403299,522301,854292,965262,973 United States
1,009,2541,013,092961,400980,788948,919864,777 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
2,2192,2191,6141,9091,4081,308 Argentina
5,9426,5425,3427,84213,9729,150 Brazil
103,604101,504110,624100,46481,31567,570 China
5,3065,2506,2759,4106,8915,146 European Union
5,0965,0965,6565,8164,4763,236 Iran
1,8641,8641,8851,8601,8601,265 Korea, South
5,2185,1185,1184,1182,603975 Mexico
26,28726,53627,18533,11931,92523,781 Others
155,536154,129163,699164,538144,450112,431 Subtotal
52,85250,99543,20043,97431,29220,859 United States
208,388205,124206,899208,512175,742133,290 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jun
2016/17
Jul
2016/17
TY Imports none
10,433 North America 12,354 13,611 15,500 15,000 15,000
2,470 Central America 2,922 3,460 3,675 3,610 3,610
9,651 South America 12,027 12,040 12,195 12,050 12,150
11,362 European Union - 28 16,014 8,646 13,200 12,000 11,000
322 Former Soviet Union - 12 448 498 425 420 420
10,944 Middle East 13,812 15,338 13,900 14,625 14,625
11,154 North Africa 17,036 15,623 16,600 17,050 17,050
2,092 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,939 3,772 6,231 6,235 6,635
29,681 East Asia 33,057 34,219 32,670 30,180 30,180
7,943 Southeast Asia 12,768 14,722 14,955 14,160 14,160
2,327 Caribbean 2,330 2,444 2,460 2,560 2,560
751 Others 979 1,106 1,110 1,235 1,235
99,130 Total 126,686 125,479 132,921 129,125 128,625
Production none
307,843 North America 388,346 398,058 384,086 404,489 406,033
120,997 South America 118,037 125,140 109,525 127,395 125,395
59,142 European Union - 28 64,931 75,779 57,979 64,275 63,831
4,915 Other Europe 7,210 8,945 7,176 8,179 8,179
32,310 Former Soviet Union - 12 46,916 43,801 40,422 44,160 44,160
7,480 Middle East 8,158 7,838 9,228 8,508 8,508
5,919 North Africa 5,898 6,161 6,201 6,201 6,201
60,522 Sub-Saharan Africa 63,493 62,400 53,883 59,628 59,628
207,737 East Asia 220,583 218,095 226,928 220,358 220,358
28,857 South Asia 31,865 31,740 28,370 30,570 30,570
3,743 Central America 3,893 3,366 3,300 3,560 3,560
28,893 Southeast Asia 30,721 30,794 31,312 33,108 32,983
1,377 Others 1,320 1,441 1,377 1,337 1,337
869,735 Total 991,371 1,013,558 959,787 1,011,768 1,010,743
Domestic Consumption none
301,577 North America 337,340 349,124 348,922 360,103 358,325
78,981 South America 83,691 86,531 84,895 90,105 89,105
69,846 European Union - 28 76,796 77,880 72,714 74,300 73,300
5,194 Other Europe 5,847 6,122 6,285 6,290 6,290
18,080 Former Soviet Union - 12 21,130 21,482 21,375 22,265 22,265
18,710 Middle East 19,785 21,810 22,935 23,835 23,835
18,450 North Africa 20,800 22,100 23,150 23,675 23,675
60,006 Sub-Saharan Africa 62,418 63,855 61,312 60,088 60,438
229,234 East Asia 239,185 233,237 249,395 258,405 257,655
23,980 South Asia 26,982 30,007 30,070 30,970 30,970
35,509 Southeast Asia 38,654 41,224 44,700 46,110 45,610
6,175 Central America 6,650 6,690 6,920 7,100 7,100
3,556 Others 3,581 3,979 3,910 3,865 3,865
869,298 Total 942,859 964,041 976,583 1,007,111 1,002,433
Ending Stocks none
23,383 North America 35,495 49,494 49,920 57,665 59,272
13,628 South America 19,463 12,966 10,221 11,716 11,116
5,146 European Union - 28 6,891 9,410 6,275 5,250 5,306
384 Other Europe 505 860 661 990 990
1,948 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,368 3,023 1,885 2,158 2,235
4,286 Middle East 6,035 7,300 7,248 6,401 6,401
1,771 North Africa 3,117 3,306 2,897 2,463 2,463
6,589 Sub-Saharan Africa 7,534 8,794 6,041 6,841 6,891
70,378 East Asia 84,856 103,925 114,108 105,271 106,971
1,744 South Asia 3,005 3,935 2,260 1,930 1,930
3,225 Southeast Asia 4,466 4,459 4,396 3,400 3,799
474 Central America 610 587 617 667 667
334 Others 397 453 370 372 347
133,290 Total 175,742 208,512 206,899 205,124 208,388
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Barley Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
TY Exports
2,0001,9002,9001,5992,8293,647 Argentina
6,0005,8005,2005,2666,2614,622 Australia
1,4001,4001,4501,3841,7141,316 Canada
9,0009,0009,90010,6424,9266,501 European Union
20020010097546546 India
700700800476501151 Kazakhstan
4,0004,0003,8005,8072,7912,366 Russia
606040371826 Serbia
4,0004,0003,8004,3323,8272,659 Ukraine
5050254336107 Uruguay
7575651294258 Others
27,48527,18528,08029,81223,49121,999 Subtotal
300300275292336163 United States
27,78527,48528,35530,10423,82722,162 World Total
none
TY Imports
900650600723778364 Algeria
1001001001037814 Azerbaijan
400400400489337369 Brazil
100100100935679 Chile
6,0006,0007,0009,8594,8912,183 China
285285300249253232 Colombia
1,6001,6001,9001,9001,1001,100 Iran
275275250278304244 Israel
1,1001,1001,1001,0971,2941,356 Japan
1,0001,000850759997831 Jordan
400400400412436388 Kuwait
8008009001,001681573 Libya
17517517518610847 Mexico
700500750276471148 Morocco
11011010012287103 Peru
10,00010,0009,8008,2008,50010,200 Saudi Arabia
200200100100100300 Syria
700700600483456762 Tunisia
40040080332596266 Turkey
400400500367468541 United Arab Emirates
9811,1161,1061,4141,0491,113 Others
26,62626,31127,11128,44323,04021,213 Subtotal
7597748241,231265518 Unaccounted
400400420430522431 United States
27,78527,48528,35530,10423,82722,162 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
Production
1,0001,3001,3001,3001,5001,500 Algeria
3,4003,4004,9002,9004,7505,000 Argentina
9,0008,5008,5938,6469,1747,472 Australia
2,1002,1002,0001,9881,6741,917 Belarus
8,1008,5008,2257,11910,2378,012 Canada
2,0002,0001,8001,8101,7001,626 China
2,0502,0501,9502,0301,9081,782 Ethiopia
62,76262,92761,34960,61559,67454,875 European Union
1,7001,7001,6101,8311,7521,619 India
3,8003,8003,8003,2002,8002,770 Iran
1,1001,1001,0501,000944500 Iraq
2,7002,7002,6752,4122,5391,500 Kazakhstan
17,75017,75017,08320,02615,38913,952 Russia
4,7505,4007,4004,0007,3005,500 Turkey
9,1008,6508,7519,4507,5616,935 Ukraine
8,9478,81211,3189,52210,6679,055 Others
140,259140,689143,804137,849139,569124,015 Subtotal
3,9794,2024,6663,9534,7194,768 United States
144,238144,891148,470141,802144,288128,783 World Total
none
Total Consumption
2,0502,0502,0502,0502,0502,000 Algeria
2,9002,7003,0003,1002,8003,000 Australia
2,1002,1002,0002,0001,8002,000 Belarus
6,7506,9506,6006,4727,7206,809 Canada
8,1008,1009,00011,6006,3004,000 China
2,0252,0252,0252,0251,9251,725 Ethiopia
53,90053,90051,90050,90053,40051,000 European Union
1,5501,5501,5201,4001,2001,525 India
5,6005,6005,3004,6004,5004,300 Iran
2,0502,0502,0002,0002,0001,375 Kazakhstan
2,6502,4503,4002,7002,3001,900 Morocco
13,80013,80013,60014,10012,70012,100 Russia
10,32510,3259,7258,5258,6258,325 Saudi Arabia
5,5005,9006,9005,3506,9506,200 Turkey
4,8004,7004,7004,7005,0005,100 Ukraine
17,16417,08917,39016,80216,98015,524 Others
141,933141,983143,085137,454136,022126,429 Subtotal
4,4194,4194,3144,2344,7754,638 United States
146,352146,402147,399141,688140,797131,067 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
1,1541,1041,3041,3041,1781,217 Algeria
1,2139881,1131,020693536 Australia
1,5921,7921,5921,2171,950983 Canada
5,4886,8535,5265,8775,6215,044 European Union
1,4181,4181,6181,4186181,418 Iran
3,3513,0513,4663,0813,3963,006 Saudi Arabia
1,1269761,0211,265971872 Ukraine
5,6965,7977,1807,0877,6485,549 Others
21,03821,97922,82022,26922,07518,625 Subtotal
1,8992,0512,2311,7111,7911,750 United States
22,93724,03025,05123,98023,86620,375 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jun
2016/17
Jul
2016/17
TY Imports none
499 North America 639 781 720 625 625
1,064 South America 886 1,169 1,095 1,090 955
53 European Union - 28 58 269 100 100 100
126 Other Europe 163 120 130 155 155
378 Former Soviet Union - 12 352 226 255 280 280
13,906 Middle East 12,537 12,453 13,965 14,355 14,355
1,884 North Africa 2,432 2,581 2,925 2,750 3,200
52 Sub-Saharan Africa 116 138 90 90 90
3,668 East Asia 6,320 11,080 8,225 7,225 7,225
6 South Asia 13 24 16 16 16
8 Oceania 46 32 10 25 25
21,644 Total 23,562 28,873 27,531 26,711 27,026
Production none
13,812 North America 15,550 11,918 13,643 13,437 12,814
5,884 South America 5,737 3,769 5,873 4,448 4,700
54,875 European Union - 28 59,674 60,615 61,349 62,927 62,762
1,188 Other Europe 1,151 1,223 1,287 1,307 1,307
25,958 Former Soviet Union - 12 29,162 35,565 32,338 33,100 33,550
9,689 Middle East 12,047 8,653 12,858 10,718 10,068
3,307 North Africa 4,748 4,010 5,394 2,925 2,508
2,283 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,376 2,523 2,497 2,600 2,600
1,920 East Asia 1,991 2,134 2,088 2,297 2,297
1,956 South Asia 2,261 2,340 2,113 2,232 2,232
7,911 Oceania 9,591 9,052 9,030 8,900 9,400
128,783 Total 144,288 141,802 148,470 144,891 144,238
Domestic Consumption none
12,347 North America 13,245 11,556 11,839 12,294 12,094
3,152 South America 3,528 3,403 3,785 3,578 3,653
51,000 European Union - 28 53,400 50,900 51,900 53,900 53,900
1,298 Other Europe 1,298 1,354 1,389 1,409 1,409
22,339 Former Soviet Union - 12 23,460 24,724 24,330 24,690 24,790
22,435 Middle East 24,410 22,250 25,771 25,616 25,216
5,560 North Africa 6,230 7,159 7,703 6,708 6,908
2,285 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,480 2,555 2,638 2,640 2,640
5,812 East Asia 8,009 13,192 10,580 9,660 9,660
1,868 South Asia 1,715 1,915 2,039 2,088 2,088
3,425 Oceania 3,250 3,550 3,450 3,125 3,325
131,521 Total 141,025 142,558 145,424 145,708 145,683
Ending Stocks none
3,014 North America 3,974 3,326 4,223 4,228 3,876
657 South America 816 711 851 781 903
5,044 European Union - 28 5,621 5,877 5,526 6,853 5,488
220 Other Europe 205 166 146 171 141
2,194 Former Soviet Union - 12 2,605 3,406 2,174 2,085 2,244
5,736 Middle East 5,788 5,514 6,631 5,743 5,913
1,715 North Africa 2,480 2,138 2,874 1,796 1,774
330 Sub-Saharan Africa 338 442 389 439 439
736 East Asia 1,038 1,060 793 655 655
141 South Asia 253 266 280 240 240
588 Oceania 748 1,074 1,164 1,039 1,264
20,375 Total 23,866 23,980 25,051 24,030 22,937
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Sorghum Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
TY Exports
1,1001,1009009549533,059 Argentina
1,0001,0001,0001,7004101,430 Australia
25253013112 Brazil
252525757575 Ethiopia
50505012188231 India
100100501005050 Nigeria
5050130156229124 Ukraine
140140152170217191 Others
2,4902,4902,3373,2892,0335,162 Subtotal
5,5005,5007,8009,2495,7172,136 United States
7,9907,99010,13712,5387,7507,298 World Total
none
TY Imports
15015015098109404 Chile
5,0005,0006,80010,1624,161631 China
5050650104591 Colombia
5050150755050 Ethiopia
150150120131184291 European Union
7308507809031,0031,897 Japan
1001007511994102 Kenya
700700700291621,793 Mexico
50501001001256 South Sudan
10010030010075175 Sudan
395395565336691676 Others
7,4757,5959,80512,0536,7586,616 Subtotal
490370222458989439 Unaccounted
2525110273243 United States
7,9907,99010,13712,5387,7507,298 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
Production
3,9003,9003,3753,5004,4004,700 Argentina
2,2002,2002,0372,2091,2822,230 Australia
2,0002,0001,4502,0551,8902,102 Brazil
1,8001,8001,6711,7081,8801,924 Burkina
1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1501,100 Cameroon
9009008179007451,172 Chad
3,2003,2003,0002,8852,8922,556 China
3,7003,7002,6004,0003,8293,604 Ethiopia
5,5005,5004,6005,4505,5425,281 India
1,3001,3001,3001,2728201,212 Mali
6,9006,9005,5506,2708,5006,174 Mexico
1,3001,3001,3001,4261,3201,376 Niger
6,5006,5006,1506,7006,5925,943 Nigeria
900900900990680650 South Sudan
5,5005,5002,3886,2812,2494,524 Sudan
6,9026,9026,8247,2427,2066,768 Others
53,65253,65245,11254,03850,97751,316 Subtotal
10,66810,33815,15810,9889,9666,293 United States
64,32063,99060,27065,02660,94357,609 World Total
none
Total Consumption
2,9502,9502,8002,8002,7002,300 Argentina
1,1051,1051,1055059051,080 Australia
1,9001,9001,5002,0002,0002,300 Brazil
1,8001,8001,7001,7001,9001,850 Burkina
1,1751,1751,1751,1751,1651,110 Cameroon
8,3008,3009,90012,9006,8003,200 China
3,6503,6502,9004,1003,9003,700 Ethiopia
920920890995880795 European Union
5,4005,4005,0005,1005,2005,150 India
1,3001,3001,3001,2009501,200 Mali
7,5007,5006,2006,6008,3008,100 Mexico
1,3001,3001,4001,4501,3001,200 Niger
6,4006,4006,0506,6506,5505,900 Nigeria
1,0001,0001,0001,050750650 South Sudan
5,5005,5003,1006,0002,5504,700 Sudan
8,2118,3318,2528,6908,65910,607 Others
59,21459,21454,88762,74555,57352,647 Subtotal
5,0795,0806,2242,4294,1274,796 United States
64,29364,29461,11165,17459,70057,443 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
4965218469711,202781 Argentina
273246178246172185 Australia
471471581706568326 China
488388388338647285 Mexico
221221196271270225 Niger
200200200150200208 Nigeria
401401306723357588 Sudan
1,3451,3651,1992,0091,7501,804 Others
3,8953,8133,8945,4145,1664,402 Subtotal
1,1731,0961,147468864385 United States
5,0684,9095,0415,8826,0304,787 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jun
2016/17
Jul
2016/17
TY Imports none
2,036 North America 165 56 810 725 725
1,071 South America 239 114 255 240 240
291 European Union - 28 184 131 120 150 150
0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0
194 Middle East 232 23 40 15 15
1 North Africa 41 1 5 5 5
587 Sub-Saharan Africa 558 567 905 515 515
2,650 East Asia 5,281 11,142 7,635 5,905 5,785
18 Southeast Asia 46 14 15 15 15
11 Others 15 32 130 50 50
6,859 Total 6,761 12,080 9,915 7,620 7,500
Production none
12,467 North America 18,466 17,258 20,708 17,238 17,568
339 Central America 335 335 335 335 335
92 Caribbean 94 94 94 94 94
7,495 South America 7,081 6,404 5,667 6,777 6,777
473 European Union - 28 703 883 769 775 775
814 Middle East 789 691 535 635 635
763 North Africa 754 755 755 755 755
24,708 Sub-Saharan Africa 22,472 27,678 21,377 26,199 26,199
2,560 East Asia 2,895 2,887 3,002 3,202 3,202
5,404 South Asia 5,661 5,553 4,745 5,630 5,630
55 Southeast Asia 57 55 55 50 50
2,230 Oceania 1,282 2,209 2,037 2,200 2,200
209 Others 354 224 191 100 100
57,609 Total 60,943 65,026 60,270 63,990 64,320
Domestic Consumption none
12,896 North America 12,427 9,029 12,424 12,580 12,579
325 Central America 325 330 340 335 335
92 Caribbean 94 94 94 94 94
6,076 South America 5,757 5,785 5,302 5,907 5,907
795 European Union - 28 880 995 890 920 920
1,052 Middle East 894 865 590 645 645
756 North Africa 793 755 755 755 755
24,914 Sub-Saharan Africa 23,137 27,670 22,871 26,339 26,339
5,221 East Asia 7,951 13,911 10,710 9,210 9,090
5,283 South Asia 5,334 5,235 5,275 5,580 5,580
68 Southeast Asia 64 95 65 66 66
1,080 Oceania 905 505 1,105 1,105 1,105
80 Others 75 75 75 75 75
58,638 Total 58,636 65,344 60,496 63,611 63,490
Ending Stocks none
670 North America 1,511 806 1,535 1,484 1,661
30 Central America 33 38 28 23 23
1,146 South America 1,467 1,237 1,037 852 777
5 European Union - 28 18 23 17 17 17
65 Middle East 47 39 24 29 29
66 North Africa 68 69 74 79 79
2,073 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,647 2,026 1,312 1,467 1,467
413 East Asia 627 736 638 495 525
109 South Asia 364 593 143 193 193
185 Oceania 172 246 178 246 273
25 Others 76 69 55 24 24
4,787 Total 6,030 5,882 5,041 4,909 5,068
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Oats Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
TY Exports
555222 Argentina
300300300270270240 Australia
1,7001,7001,6001,7291,7321,351 Canada
757575844941 Chile
200200230231291126 European Union
1010201464 Russia
7070704662 Ukraine
10101081410 Others
2,3702,3702,3102,3842,3701,776 Subtotal
303025232918 United States
2,4002,4002,3352,4072,3991,794 World Total
none
TY Imports
555300 Albania
25253024127 Algeria
555432 Bosnia and Herzegovina
15151012279 Canada
20020020016211687 China
555221 Colombia
202020212119 Ecuador
555434 European Union
505050474651 Japan
1001001008693108 Mexico
10101023836 Norway
555222 Serbia
505050461911 South Africa
505050495144 Switzerland
555400 Turkey
555886 Others
555555555476441387 Subtotal
2452452801729252 Unaccounted
1,6001,6001,5001,7591,8661,355 United States
2,4002,4002,3352,4072,3991,794 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
Production
110110110110110110 Algeria
500500553525445496 Argentina
1,5001,2001,3081,1981,2551,121 Australia
400400400522352422 Belarus
650350350350380361 Brazil
3,2003,3003,4302,9793,9062,830 Canada
475475470421610680 Chile
600600600600580600 China
8,1758,1757,5247,8548,3807,909 European Union
275275244226305200 Kazakhstan
909087939184 Mexico
240240236236214232 Norway
4,5004,5004,5275,2674,9324,027 Russia
210210210210210210 Turkey
500500498610467630 Ukraine
334334329296318315 Others
21,75921,25920,87621,49722,55520,227 Subtotal
1,1129871,3001,019938892 United States
22,87122,24622,17622,51623,49321,119 World Total
none
Total Consumption
135135140126118119 Algeria
500500550525425500 Argentina
1,150900950950950925 Australia
400400400500375400 Belarus
640350340345375350 Brazil
1,6501,6501,6501,6731,6601,592 Canada
400400375355570600 Chile
850850825750700675 China
7,8007,8007,5757,6758,0757,700 European Union
270270245225275225 Kazakhstan
190190190175185195 Mexico
255255245245245295 Norway
4,5004,5004,6005,2004,9004,300 Russia
215215215215215215 Turkey
430430430600475600 Ukraine
529529524471491451 Others
20,12119,58119,54520,05020,25419,217 Subtotal
2,6972,6972,7192,4242,7572,743 United States
22,81822,27822,26422,47423,01121,960 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
585863656749 Argentina
2011071519310560 Australia
7368368716811,054446 Canada
474747274561 Chile
7272122147135139 China
762762582858894901 European Union
186186196289230203 Russia
187177187192201222 Others
2,2492,2452,2192,3522,7312,081 Subtotal
848741825780359527 United States
3,0972,9863,0443,1323,0902,608 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jun
2016/17
Jul
2016/17
TY Imports none
1,472 North America 1,986 1,857 1,610 1,715 1,715
26 South America 29 30 30 30 30
4 European Union - 28 3 4 5 5 5
84 Other Europe 94 60 75 75 75
0 Former Soviet Union - 12 2 1 0 0 0
0 Middle East 0 4 5 5 5
7 North Africa 12 24 30 25 25
11 Sub-Saharan Africa 19 46 50 50 50
138 East Asia 162 209 250 250 250
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
1,742 Total 2,307 2,235 2,055 2,155 2,155
Production none
3,806 North America 4,935 4,091 4,817 4,377 4,402
1,577 South America 1,478 1,324 1,414 1,367 1,667
7,909 European Union - 28 8,380 7,854 7,524 8,175 8,175
365 Other Europe 348 369 372 375 375
5,285 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,062 6,631 5,675 5,681 5,681
210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210
166 North Africa 156 147 166 175 175
60 Sub-Saharan Africa 59 55 55 55 55
602 East Asia 582 602 601 601 601
1,139 Oceania 1,283 1,233 1,342 1,230 1,530
21,119 Total 23,493 22,516 22,176 22,246 22,871
Domestic Consumption none
4,530 North America 4,602 4,272 4,559 4,537 4,537
1,515 South America 1,447 1,285 1,336 1,322 1,612
7,700 European Union - 28 8,075 7,675 7,575 7,800 7,800
474 Other Europe 434 434 447 456 456
5,531 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,031 6,531 5,681 5,606 5,606
215 Middle East 215 215 215 215 215
175 North Africa 164 163 196 200 200
72 Sub-Saharan Africa 95 94 105 105 105
730 East Asia 750 800 875 900 900
943 Oceania 978 985 984 930 1,180
21,885 Total 22,791 22,454 21,973 22,071 22,611
Ending Stocks none
974 North America 1,417 1,467 1,699 1,580 1,587
128 South America 129 105 128 118 128
901 European Union - 28 894 858 582 762 762
27 Other Europe 41 38 38 32 32
332 Former Soviet Union - 12 346 397 296 286 286
13 Middle East 8 6 6 6 6
1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1
28 Sub-Saharan Africa 11 18 18 18 18
144 East Asia 138 149 125 76 76
60 Oceania 105 93 151 107 201
2,608 Total 3,090 3,132 3,044 2,986 3,097
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Rye Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
TY Exports
5555525 Belarus
1501501008997178 Canada
150150160167201122 European Union
100100501218379 Russia
101020135916 Ukraine
000111 Others
415415335396446421 Subtotal
555367 United States
420420340399452428 World Total
none
TY Imports
10010070969668 European Union
252515183334 Israel
202015223727 Japan
1010104812 Korea, South
20201551621 Norway
5555525 Russia
555669 Switzerland
000614 Others
185185135162202200 Subtotal
35355-25467 Unaccounted
200200200262204221 United States
420420340399452428 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Jun
2016/17
Jul
none
Production
757561975240 Argentina
8008008008676481,082 Belarus
325325225218223337 Canada
8,1608,1607,8168,86810,1518,763 European Union
2,5002,5002,0843,2793,3602,132 Russia
350350350300365370 Turkey
350350394475638676 Ukraine
138138121144126146 Others
12,69812,69811,85114,24815,56313,546 Subtotal
311190292183194166 United States
13,00912,88812,14314,43115,75713,712 World Total
none
Total Consumption
757561975240 Argentina
252522191940 Australia
8508508008506501,000 Belarus
140140123134107127 Canada
8,2008,2008,1008,6009,6508,700 European Union
505037654050 Kazakhstan
323227202826 Norway
2,3502,3502,1753,2503,1002,000 Russia
350350350325350375 Turkey
350350400475625625 Ukraine
11211296102140132 Others
12,54012,54012,17313,94714,76613,146 Subtotal
525445513406424387 United States
13,06512,98512,68614,35315,19013,533 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
112112167172160167 Belarus
797944424446 Canada
9269261,0161,3901,204795 European Union
444483 Kazakhstan
183183128264344153 Russia
141414143318 Turkey
707080106128166 Ukraine
112347 Others
1,3891,3891,4551,9951,9251,355 Subtotal
22191215710 United States
1,4111,4081,4672,0101,9321,365 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jun
2016/17
Jul
2016/17
TY Imports none
221 North America 204 262 200 200 200
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
68 European Union - 28 96 96 70 100 100
32 Other Europe 23 11 20 25 25
27 Former Soviet Union - 12 5 5 5 5 5
34 Middle East 33 24 15 25 25
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
39 East Asia 45 26 25 30 30
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
421 Total 406 424 335 385 385
Production none
503 North America 417 401 517 515 636
47 South America 59 105 69 83 83
8,763 European Union - 28 10,151 8,868 7,816 8,160 8,160
46 Other Europe 53 52 51 52 52
3,940 Former Soviet Union - 12 4,689 4,682 3,315 3,700 3,700
370 Middle East 365 300 350 350 350
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0
40 Oceania 20 20 22 25 25
13,712 Total 15,757 14,431 12,143 12,888 13,009
Domestic Consumption none
514 North America 531 540 636 585 665
47 South America 59 105 69 83 83
8,700 European Union - 28 9,650 8,600 8,100 8,200 8,200
78 Other Europe 77 66 71 77 77
3,675 Former Soviet Union - 12 4,415 4,640 3,412 3,600 3,600
409 Middle East 383 343 365 375 375
2 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
37 East Asia 48 27 26 31 31
40 Oceania 19 19 22 25 25
13,502 Total 15,185 14,343 12,704 12,979 13,059
Ending Stocks none
56 North America 51 57 56 98 101
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
795 European Union - 28 1,204 1,390 1,016 926 926
0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0
489 Former Soviet Union - 12 640 546 379 369 369
18 Middle East 33 14 14 14 14
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
7 East Asia 4 3 2 1 1
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
1,365 Total 1,932 2,010 1,467 1,408 1,411
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
38
HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES
CONTENTS
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 39 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 40 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 41 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 42 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 46 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 48 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 50 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 51
U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..52 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 53 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 54 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 55 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 56
DG F/SA &F
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Productio
n
Imports Exports Feed
Dom.
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.1
125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8
120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8
151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4
139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6
136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9
138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5
133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7
144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9
156.8 123.554.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 13.8
160.0 128.859.033.06.76.026.8 2015/16 18.7
156.5 129.359.034.05.55.826.9 2016/17 17.4
Coarse Grains
149.7 150.9112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8
140.3 150.9112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7
138.8 157.2121.64.520.34.232.7 2007/08 13.1
165.2 154.5116.15.73.14.834.1 2008/09 21.3
158.0 152.8114.83.02.94.833.0 2009/10 26.3
143.2 155.0116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9
150.1 151.7113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7
146.2 153.3113.77.411.84.631.4 2012/13 13.1
159.2 164.4122.48.616.35.131.5 2013/14 15.6
170.8 162.5121.314.09.05.530.8 2014/15 18.8
151.2 157.4116.612.113.75.030.1 2015/16 14.3
159.9 160.3119.611.911.45.330.2 2016/17 13.3
Wheat and Coarse Grains
282.5 279.1175.420.09.44.859.2 2005/06 46.9
265.9 277.1173.118.513.24.757.1 2006/07 30.5
259.6 274.3174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9
317.2 282.1176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7
297.7 278.4172.325.38.25.059.0 2009/10 42.9
279.9 277.8169.429.313.15.056.3 2010/11 28.8
288.3 278.9170.723.314.35.156.1 2011/12 29.3
280.1 272.6164.730.217.14.957.4 2012/13 23.8
303.8 281.7171.440.720.35.357.4 2013/14 25.5
327.6 286.0175.349.414.95.757.5 2014/15 32.6
311.3 286.2175.645.120.45.556.9 2015/16 33.0
316.4 289.6178.645.916.95.557.1 2016/17 30.8
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
China: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Productio
n
Imports Exports Feed
Dom.
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5
108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6
109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1
112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8
115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4
115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1
117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9
121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0
121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3
126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1
130.2 112.010.50.83.35.424.1 2015/16 96.8
130.0 117.015.00.83.55.324.3 2016/17 112.5
Coarse Grains
147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.9
159.0 153.5105.05.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0
159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5
172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2
169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3
183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1
198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4
212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4
225.4 223.5157.80.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.7
222.8 229.1158.80.025.75.739.2 2014/15 102.0
231.8 239.0167.00.017.15.840.2 2015/16 111.8
225.7 245.2169.90.012.25.938.1 2016/17 104.5
Wheat and Coarse Grains
245.3 248.6107.05.23.44.851.6 2005/06 71.4
267.4 255.5109.08.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.6
268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6
284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0
284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7
299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2
316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3
333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3
347.3 340.0173.80.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.9
349.0 345.6174.80.827.65.563.3 2014/15 178.1
362.0 351.0177.50.820.45.664.3 2015/16 208.6
355.7 362.2184.90.815.75.762.4 2016/17 217.0
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Productio
n
Imports Exports Feed
Dom.
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1
3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2
3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5
4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7
3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7
3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3
3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4
3.4 4.71.00.71.64.00.9 2012/13 1.1
4.1 4.81.11.31.94.50.9 2013/14 0.9
3.9 4.91.10.71.84.01.0 2014/15 1.1
4.1 4.91.21.01.94.50.9 2015/16 1.2
4.6 5.11.41.11.84.71.0 2016/17 1.3
Coarse Grains
10.1 9.78.51.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3
9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3
6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1
9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1
9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4
10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.5
9.5 8.47.02.30.84.62.1 2011/12 1.0
6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6
8.8 7.76.31.90.94.42.0 2013/14 0.8
10.6 8.06.73.10.85.71.9 2014/15 1.1
8.9 8.36.91.80.84.91.8 2015/16 0.8
10.0 8.36.92.30.95.31.9 2016/17 1.2
Wheat and Coarse Grains
13.9 14.89.41.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4
13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5
10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6
13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8
13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2
13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7
13.1 13.28.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.5
10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7
12.9 12.57.43.12.74.52.9 2013/14 1.7
14.6 12.97.83.72.55.12.8 2014/15 2.2
13.0 13.28.12.82.84.82.7 2015/16 2.0
14.6 13.48.33.32.75.12.8 2016/17 2.5
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Productio
n
Imports Exports Feed
Dom.
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
81.0 75.624.413.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.1
115.0 80.028.439.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.4
77.8 71.721.625.47.21.844.0 2012/13 14.3
103.9 72.822.737.27.52.247.7 2013/14 15.7
112.7 75.924.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.1
117.7 77.925.850.47.62.449.0 2015/16 17.1
118.9 78.826.345.67.32.548.0 2016/17 18.8
Coarse Grains
47.5 41.828.48.81.12.221.9 2010/11 5.5
78.6 54.438.624.71.02.927.0 2011/12 6.1
68.2 50.235.619.90.72.527.5 2012/13 5.0
87.8 55.740.030.80.83.029.4 2013/14 7.0
91.6 58.142.133.90.83.030.2 2014/15 7.4
82.8 55.740.630.40.72.928.2 2015/16 4.8
88.0 57.241.831.20.73.128.6 2016/17 5.2
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
Productio
n
YieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan
13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0
13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2
13.7 6.92.17.50.11.211.6 2015/16 2.7
13.0 6.92.17.00.11.211.0 2016/17 1.8
Russia
52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2
59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3
61.0 37.014.025.00.82.425.6 2015/16 6.1
65.0 37.514.525.50.52.526.0 2016/17 8.6
Ukraine
22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7
24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2
27.3 12.54.517.00.13.87.1 2015/16 3.0
25.0 12.54.512.50.14.06.3 2016/17 3.1
Uzbekistan
6.8 8.41.90.32.24.91.4 2013/14 1.9
7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2
7.2 9.42.30.22.75.11.4 2015/16 2.5
7.2 9.52.20.22.55.11.4 2016/17 2.5
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
8.8 12.02.90.44.32.63.4 2013/14 3.0
8.8 12.73.50.44.52.63.4 2014/15 3.2
8.5 12.22.90.74.02.53.4 2015/16 2.8
8.7 12.43.00.44.22.63.3 2016/17 2.8
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
103.9 72.822.737.27.52.247.7 2013/14 15.7
112.7 75.924.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.1
117.7 77.925.850.47.62.449.0 2015/16 17.1
118.9 78.826.345.67.32.548.0 2016/17 18.8
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
Productio
n
YieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan
2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2013/14 0.3
2.4 2.01.70.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2
2.7 2.01.70.80.01.32.0 2015/16 0.1
2.7 2.11.80.70.01.32.1 2016/17 0.1
Russia
15.4 12.78.32.70.21.98.0 2013/14 0.9
20.0 14.19.25.30.02.38.8 2014/15 1.5
17.1 13.68.94.30.12.18.0 2015/16 0.8
17.8 13.89.04.00.12.28.1 2016/17 0.8
Ukraine
7.6 5.03.52.50.02.33.2 2013/14 1.0
9.5 4.73.24.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.3
8.8 4.73.24.30.02.93.0 2015/16 1.0
9.1 4.83.34.20.03.03.0 2016/17 1.1
Uzbekistan
0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0
0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0
0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2015/16 0.0
0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2016/17 0.0
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
3.4 3.52.70.00.12.61.3 2013/14 0.4
3.4 3.62.80.10.22.71.3 2014/15 0.3
3.6 3.72.90.10.12.71.3 2015/16 0.3
3.8 3.83.00.10.12.71.4 2016/17 0.3
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
29.2 23.516.45.60.32.014.5 2013/14 2.6
35.6 24.717.110.30.32.315.3 2014/15 3.4
32.3 24.316.99.50.32.214.5 2015/16 2.2
33.6 24.817.39.00.32.314.7 2016/17 2.2
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
Productio
n
YieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan
0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0
0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1
0.7 0.60.50.10.05.30.1 2015/16 0.2
0.8 0.70.60.10.05.30.2 2016/17 0.1
Russia
11.6 7.56.64.20.15.02.3 2013/14 0.3
11.3 8.17.23.20.04.42.6 2014/15 0.3
13.2 8.98.04.40.14.92.7 2015/16 0.3
14.0 9.58.64.50.15.02.8 2016/17 0.3
Ukraine
30.9 9.78.320.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.4
28.5 9.48.019.70.06.24.6 2014/15 1.8
23.3 8.47.016.00.15.74.1 2015/16 0.8
26.0 8.77.317.00.16.24.2 2016/17 1.2
Uzbekistan
0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0
0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0
0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0
0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2016/17 0.0
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
3.7 3.22.90.60.33.81.0 2013/14 0.6
3.2 3.22.90.30.43.70.9 2014/15 0.8
3.1 3.33.00.20.33.20.9 2015/16 0.7
3.2 3.22.90.30.33.70.9 2016/17 0.6
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
46.9 21.118.424.80.45.78.3 2013/14 3.4
43.8 21.518.823.20.55.38.3 2014/15 3.0
40.4 21.418.720.60.45.17.9 2015/16 1.9
44.2 22.319.522.00.45.58.1 2016/17 2.2
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
Productio
n
YieldCountry Mktg Year
Wheat Competitors
Argentina
9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3
10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5
14.0 6.40.35.30.02.85.0 2014/15 4.9
11.3 6.20.18.80.03.03.8 2015/16 1.2
15.0 6.30.19.00.03.05.0 2016/17 0.9
Australia
22.9 6.73.418.60.11.813.0 2012/13 4.7
25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6
23.9 7.23.816.60.21.912.4 2014/15 4.8
24.5 7.23.816.40.21.912.8 2015/16 5.9
25.5 7.54.017.50.22.012.8 2016/17 6.6
Canada
27.2 9.64.319.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1
37.5 9.44.223.30.43.610.4 2013/14 10.4
29.4 9.13.724.20.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1
27.6 8.63.422.00.52.99.6 2015/16 4.6
29.0 8.83.620.50.53.19.3 2016/17 4.7
European Union
133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7
144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9
156.8 123.554.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 13.8
160.0 128.859.033.06.76.026.8 2015/16 18.7
156.5 129.359.034.05.55.826.9 2016/17 17.4
Kazakhstan
9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9
13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0
13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2
13.7 6.92.17.50.11.211.6 2015/16 2.7
13.0 6.92.17.00.11.211.0 2016/17 1.8
Russia
37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 4.9
52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2
59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3
61.0 37.014.025.00.82.425.6 2015/16 6.1
65.0 37.514.525.50.52.526.0 2016/17 8.6
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
Productio
n
YieldCountry Mktg Year
Ukraine
15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6
22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7
24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2
27.3 12.54.517.00.13.87.1 2015/16 3.0
25.0 12.54.512.50.14.06.3 2016/17 3.1
Total Wheat Competitors
256.6 193.576.088.77.12.891.4 2012/13 31.2
306.2 192.174.8112.65.53.295.4 2013/14 38.2
321.0 200.480.8121.17.63.495.4 2014/15 45.3
325.5 207.286.9129.78.33.397.2 2015/16 42.2
329.0 208.887.8126.06.83.497.3 2016/17 43.2
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
Productio
n
YieldCountry Mktg Year
Argentina
15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9
25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5
25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0
21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9
27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3
26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4
28.7 9.36.018.90.08.23.5 2014/15 1.9
28.0 9.36.019.00.08.03.5 2015/16 1.6
34.0 10.46.623.00.08.14.2 2016/17 2.2
Brazil
51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 10.1
56.1 48.541.511.60.44.312.9 2009/10 6.5
57.4 50.043.08.40.84.213.8 2010/11 6.3
73.0 51.544.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 4.2
81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 9.2
80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 14.0
85.0 57.048.034.50.35.415.8 2014/15 7.8
70.0 55.547.018.51.54.415.8 2015/16 5.3
80.0 58.049.022.00.65.115.8 2016/17 5.9
China
165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2
164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3
177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4
192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3
205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6
218.5 208.0150.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 81.3
215.6 202.0140.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 100.5
224.6 217.5153.50.03.15.938.1 2015/16 110.6
218.0 226.0159.00.01.06.136.0 2016/17 103.6
South Africa
12.6 10.34.71.70.04.32.9 2008/09 2.0
13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8
10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0
12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3
12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7
14.9 11.55.52.00.14.93.1 2013/14 2.2
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
Productio
n
YieldCountry Mktg Year
10.6 11.76.10.72.03.53.0 2014/15 2.4
6.5 11.05.50.73.53.41.9 2015/16 0.7
13.0 11.35.61.50.54.13.2 2016/17 1.4
Total Corn Competitors
245.0 215.2155.719.31.25.049.4 2008/09 64.2
258.5 231.0169.430.31.75.150.4 2009/10 63.0
270.8 248.0181.327.32.25.152.9 2010/11 60.7
299.5 257.2184.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 65.7
326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 78.7
339.4 283.3207.340.04.15.858.6 2013/14 98.9
340.0 280.0200.154.17.85.759.4 2014/15 112.6
329.1 293.3212.038.28.15.559.3 2015/16 118.3
345.0 305.7220.246.52.15.859.2 2016/17 113.2
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
Productio
n
YieldCountry Mktg Year
Australia
8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4
7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9
8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0
8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5
7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5
9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7
8.6 3.11.85.20.02.14.1 2014/15 1.0
8.6 3.01.75.50.02.14.1 2015/16 1.1
9.0 2.91.66.00.02.24.1 2016/17 1.2
Canada
11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0
9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5
7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5
7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2
8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0
10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0
7.1 6.55.21.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2
8.2 6.65.41.40.23.52.4 2015/16 1.6
8.1 6.85.51.40.13.42.4 2016/17 1.6
European Union
65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0
62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6
53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9
51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1
54.9 51.035.55.00.14.412.5 2012/13 5.0
59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6
60.6 50.935.59.50.14.912.4 2014/15 5.9
61.3 51.936.510.10.35.012.2 2015/16 5.5
62.8 53.938.59.00.15.112.4 2016/17 5.5
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Million Metric Tons/Hectares
Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters
Area
Harvested
Ending
Stocks
Total
Consumpti
Feed and
Residual
MY
Exports
MY
Imports
Productio
n
YieldCountry Mktg Year
Argentina
1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2
3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2
4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9
4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2
4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8
4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2
3.5 2.82.40.90.04.50.8 2014/15 1.0
3.4 2.82.40.70.04.50.8 2015/16 0.8
3.9 3.02.61.30.04.60.9 2016/17 0.5
Australia
2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7
1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7
1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4
2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2
2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2
1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2
2.2 0.50.51.60.03.00.7 2014/15 0.2
2.0 1.11.11.00.03.00.7 2015/16 0.2
2.2 1.11.11.00.03.10.7 2016/17 0.3
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice
Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Rough
Production
Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.
Consumption
Domestic
Consumption
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
20,47731,5543,32622,75223,2493,9874,06855,147nr318,771 2014/15
26,70731,5873,60021,75021,1433,1003,12055,840nr319,058 2015/16
30,07936,2528,16525,00025,1743,2503,26661,532nr317,844 2016/17
Corn
43,974301,854135,04546,77347,359809804361,091nr1133,644 2014/15
43,200299,522132,08648,50048,2621,5001,524345,486nr1132,678 2015/16
52,852308,625139,70652,00052,0721,0001,016369,333nr1135,026 2016/17
Sorghum
4682,4292,0489,2498,965271010,988nr42,590 2014/15
1,1476,2242,7947,8008,38211012715,158nr53,177 2015/16
1,1735,0792,5405,5005,588252510,668nr42,613 2016/17
Barley
1,7114,2349352923124305133,953nr41,011 2014/15
2,2314,3149932752354204034,666nr41,258 2015/16
1,8994,4191,0893003274004353,979nr41,043 2016/17
Oats
7802,4241,30623261,7591,8521,019nr2419 2014/15
8252,7191,59925271,5001,4911,300nr3516 2015/16
8482,6971,56530291,6001,6371,112nr2471 2016/17
Rye
1540616436262237183nr2104 2014/15
1251326755200223292nr2146 2015/16
2252527756200230311nr2179 2016/17
Rice, Milled
1,5524,155nr3,4723,2077587837,10610,07981,187 2014/15
1,2983,853nr3,4503,2707657626,1078,72481,042 2015/16
1,8064,382nr3,6503,6517757627,77911,11391,291 2016/17
Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)
statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and
'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and
sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Productio
n
TY
Exports
Feed
Dom.
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat and Coarse Grains
1,285.9 422.81,329.8656.6202.22.4544.3 1987/88
1,218.1 339.11,301.8619.5203.32.2541.9 1988/89
1,327.4 320.31,346.2644.5208.92.4548.2 1989/90
1,417.5 368.31,369.6669.8190.12.6545.6 1990/91
1,355.5 357.91,365.9653.5207.52.5543.3 1991/92
1,431.6 398.51,388.2664.1205.22.6545.9 1992/93
1,356.5 366.01,389.0657.1188.22.5536.0 1993/94
1,393.0 363.21,395.7670.5200.12.6534.1 1994/95
1,338.9 320.31,381.8641.8187.52.5527.2 1995/96
1,490.1 368.71,441.6674.6198.32.7545.7 1996/97
1,490.6 416.11,443.2685.6190.42.8535.2 1997/98
1,481.3 449.01,448.4685.4198.72.8520.2 1998/99
1,465.6 444.11,469.9690.4214.02.9506.2 1999/00
1,446.8 418.71,472.2700.4204.92.8509.3 2000/01
1,480.1 403.21,495.7713.6208.32.9511.7 2001/02
1,445.0 341.81,506.4711.6209.22.9504.7 2002/03
1,473.0 279.11,535.7717.9205.82.9511.2 2003/04
1,643.0 335.71,586.3756.2214.43.2514.8 2004/05
1,600.1 318.51,617.3758.1222.53.1517.5 2005/06
1,584.9 273.01,630.5749.6229.93.1519.1 2006/07
1,692.8 289.91,675.8764.4244.73.2534.7 2007/08
1,792.0 359.81,722.2774.2253.63.3539.5 2008/09
1,804.1 396.21,767.6782.2254.13.4533.6 2009/10
1,747.8 360.01,784.0773.6250.13.3523.5 2010/11
1,853.4 360.11,853.3807.8287.13.4537.8 2011/12
1,794.7 341.11,813.7807.5279.53.4532.1 2012/13
1,995.6 406.31,930.5861.4327.33.7540.7 2013/14
2,033.0 462.71,976.6883.6334.93.7546.1 2014/15
1,982.7 487.11,958.3897.0346.53.6544.4 2015/16
2,040.9 495.82,032.3929.1337.73.8542.5 2016/17
Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to
the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Productio
n
TY
Exports
Feed
Dom.
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
523.1 164.7541.7103.0101.52.5213.4 1994/95
537.5 156.6545.696.999.22.5216.7 1995/96
581.3 165.3572.6101.4104.02.6227.1 1996/97
610.2 199.0576.5106.2104.52.7226.4 1997/98
590.5 210.5579.0109.4102.02.7219.2 1998/99
587.5 210.3587.6104.6111.92.8212.7 1999/00
583.3 206.5587.1111.2102.12.7215.6 2000/01
583.9 203.7586.6112.0107.92.7214.5 2001/02
569.7 169.5603.9116.1106.52.7213.9 2002/03
555.3 135.9588.9101.7103.52.7208.0 2003/04
626.8 156.4606.3110.7113.22.9215.8 2004/05
618.8 153.4621.8117.7114.12.8217.5 2005/06
596.7 133.6616.5113.1115.32.8212.3 2006/07
612.6 128.7617.5104.8116.02.8217.1 2007/08
683.7 169.2643.2124.4143.23.1224.1 2008/09
687.0 203.2653.0122.3135.33.0225.6 2009/10
649.3 198.7653.9116.8134.13.0216.9 2010/11
696.9 197.9697.7148.7153.73.2220.9 2011/12
658.3 177.1679.1138.2147.33.1215.8 2012/13
715.0 194.2697.9126.6162.53.3219.6 2013/14
727.9 217.4704.6130.9161.53.3221.5 2014/15
734.6 244.5707.5134.3169.43.3224.7 2015/16
738.5 253.7729.3144.4167.73.4220.1 2016/17
Coarse Grains
869.8 198.5854.0567.698.62.7320.8 1994/95
801.4 163.7836.2544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96
908.7 203.5869.0573.294.32.9318.6 1996/97
880.4 217.1866.7579.485.82.9308.8 1997/98
890.8 238.6869.4575.996.73.0301.0 1998/99
878.1 233.8882.3585.8102.13.0293.5 1999/00
863.5 212.3885.1589.2102.82.9293.7 2000/01
896.3 199.5909.0601.5100.43.0297.2 2001/02
875.3 172.3902.5595.5102.73.0290.9 2002/03
917.7 143.1946.8616.2102.33.0303.3 2003/04
1,016.2 179.4980.0645.4101.23.4299.0 2004/05
981.3 165.1995.6640.4108.43.3300.0 2005/06
988.2 139.41,013.9636.5114.53.2306.8 2006/07
1,080.2 161.21,058.3659.6128.73.4317.6 2007/08
1,108.3 190.61,079.0649.7110.43.5315.4 2008/09
1,117.0 193.01,114.7659.9118.83.6308.0 2009/10
1,098.5 161.41,130.1656.8116.03.6306.6 2010/11
1,156.5 162.31,155.6659.1133.43.6316.9 2011/12
1,136.4 164.01,134.7669.3132.23.6316.3 2012/13
1,280.7 212.11,232.6734.8164.94.0321.1 2013/14
1,305.2 245.31,272.0752.8173.44.0324.7 2014/15
1,248.1 242.61,250.8762.7177.13.9319.7 2015/16
1,302.4 242.11,302.9784.7170.04.0322.4 2016/17
Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to
the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Productio
n
TY
Exports
Feed
Dom.
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Corn
559.6 153.3535.7371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95
516.7 133.3536.8365.264.83.8135.0 1995/96
592.9 166.3559.9387.866.64.2141.5 1996/97
574.1 167.2573.3400.663.14.2136.2 1997/98
605.8 191.4581.6404.468.74.4138.9 1998/99
608.1 194.4605.1422.572.04.4138.9 1999/00
591.7 175.3610.8427.375.94.3137.1 2000/01
601.8 151.5625.6436.372.74.4137.1 2001/02
603.8 126.8628.5433.476.84.4137.8 2002/03
627.6 104.6649.9445.779.04.4141.7 2003/04
717.1 131.1690.6475.976.04.9145.4 2004/05
700.9 123.5708.5479.582.54.8145.4 2005/06
716.6 108.8731.3480.391.34.8150.5 2006/07
795.7 127.9776.7501.398.25.0160.3 2007/08
800.1 143.5784.4481.983.65.0158.8 2008/09
825.2 140.9827.8492.792.75.2158.4 2009/10
835.9 123.6853.2503.591.75.1164.6 2010/11
889.8 128.3885.0508.5103.75.2172.1 2011/12
869.7 133.3864.8518.9100.54.9177.6 2012/13
991.4 175.7948.9572.0130.45.5180.5 2013/14
1,013.6 208.5980.8585.6128.05.6179.9 2014/15
959.8 206.9961.4598.2135.95.4176.7 2015/16
1,010.7 208.41,009.3618.5131.55.7178.8 2016/17
Barley
160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95
141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96
153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97
153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98
136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.7 1998/99
127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00
133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01
143.4 29.2136.895.517.22.655.7 2001/02
134.3 27.6135.994.716.32.554.7 2002/03
142.7 23.5146.8103.114.82.458.4 2003/04
152.1 33.1142.5100.017.02.757.4 2004/05
136.2 28.3141.097.317.42.555.2 2005/06
136.8 21.5143.698.414.62.456.3 2006/07
132.7 20.6133.791.018.52.455.7 2007/08
155.0 31.7143.8100.418.22.855.0 2008/09
150.9 37.4145.2101.417.32.854.2 2009/10
123.0 24.3136.191.315.22.647.1 2010/11
133.3 22.7135.091.721.42.749.2 2011/12
128.8 20.4131.188.622.22.649.9 2012/13
144.3 23.9140.897.223.82.850.7 2013/14
141.8 24.0141.797.430.12.849.8 2014/15
148.5 25.1147.499.928.43.050.1 2015/16
144.2 22.9146.4100.127.82.949.3 2016/17
Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,
coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
World Rice: Supply and Demand
Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Rough
Productio
Productio
n
TY
Exports
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Rice, Milled
464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88
490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89
510.4 120.6336.311.7345.33.5147.8 1989/90
519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91
522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92
524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93
526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94
540.0 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95
547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96
565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97
575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98
587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99
608.8 143.1400.222.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00
594.1 146.7395.624.3399.33.9152.4 2000/01
594.3 132.9413.327.9399.53.9151.3 2001/02
563.0 103.0408.127.6378.23.8146.9 2002/03
585.4 81.7413.827.3392.53.9149.3 2003/04
596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.8 2004/05
622.2 76.5415.429.0417.84.0153.9 2005/06
625.0 75.4421.231.8420.14.0154.5 2006/07
643.5 80.8428.129.5433.64.2154.8 2007/08
668.7 92.6437.629.4449.34.2158.2 2008/09
656.2 95.0438.431.8440.74.2155.8 2009/10
672.1 100.0445.336.5450.44.2158.4 2010/11
697.2 106.8460.840.0467.64.3160.7 2011/12
704.5 113.8465.539.5472.54.4158.5 2012/13
713.4 113.8478.444.2478.44.4161.8 2013/14
713.7 114.5478.042.8478.74.4161.0 2014/15
701.6 106.7478.541.3470.64.4158.5 2015/16
717.5 107.3480.640.5481.24.5161.2 2016/17
Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
57
ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
58
OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2015/16 starts in 2015); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2015/16 starts in 2016). Key exporter LMY’s are:
Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)
For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
59
Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade June 2016. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production July 2016. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov Questions may be directed to the following staff: Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 Teresa.McKeivier@fas.usda.gov Wheat Daniel Archibald (202) 720-9432 Dan.Archibald@fas.usda.gov Wheat Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 Rachel.Trego@fas.usda.gov Rice Kyle Bonsu (202) 260-8370 Kyle.Bonsu@fas.usda.gov Rice Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 Yoonhee.Macke@fas.usda.gov Coarse Grains Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 Andrew.Sowell@fas.usda.gov Coarse Grains Megan Davidow (202) 720-9438 Megan.Davidow@fas.usda.gov Coarse Grains
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis
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