united states department of agriculture grain · pasta products is expected to continue. •...

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service July 2016

Wheat Exporter Stocks Surge to Highest in 6 Years, Pressuring Prices Downward

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Global wheat production is projected at a record high, outpacing consumption for the fourth consecutive year. This trend is leading to the highest exporter ending stocks since 2010/11, which is overburdening the market and pressuring prices. Major exporters are Argentina, Australia, Canada, EU, Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine, and the United States. These stocks are generally available to the world and thus most influential on price direction. In the United States, stocks are projected at their highest since 1987/88 and account for 41 percent of the exporter total in 2016/17. Export prices have declined to a 7-year low, reflecting market saturation. In this low-price environment, import demand is expected to strengthen, but primarily benefiting the most competitive origins. Currently, the EU and Black Sea countries are the most competitive in price terms, and they also enjoy freight and logistical advantages to the major growth markets of the Middle East and North Africa.

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Weekly Wheat FOB Prices July 2009-Present

U.S. SRW French Black Sea Milling

http://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 17 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 38 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 57 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains. FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7 Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/ Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA July 2016Office of Global Analysis

All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/15

Production

United States (Jun-May) 55.1 55.8 61.5 7.1 6.1 7.8 361.1 345.5 369.3

Other 672.8 678.8 677.0 471.6 464.5 473.4 652.5 614.3 641.4

World Total 727.9 734.6 738.5 478.7 470.6 481.2 1,013.6 959.8 1,010.7

Domestic Consumption


Other 667.7 673.8 688.8 471.1 472.3 473.9 662.1 677.1 693.8

World Total 699.3 705.4 725.1 475.3 476.2 478.3 964.0 976.6 1,002.4

Ending Stocks


Other 196.9 217.8 223.6 112.9 105.4 105.5 164.5 163.7 155.5

World Total 217.4 244.5 253.7 114.5 106.7 107.3 208.5 206.9 208.4

TY Imports


Other 154.4 163.6 161.5 38.7 37.9 37.3 124.7 131.4 127.6

World Total 158.4 166.7 164.8 39.5 38.7 38.1 125.5 132.9 128.6

TY Exports


Other 138.7 147.6 142.7 39.3 37.8 36.8 81.2 87.4 79.5

World Total 161.5 169.4 167.7 42.8 41.3 40.5 128.0 135.9 131.5

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global production in 2016/17 is raised to a new record. Larger crops are projected in Argentina, Australia, Canada, Russia, Serbia, Ukraine, and the United States, while cuts in Algeria and EU crops are partially offsetting. Global trade is up month-to-month, but still slightly below last year’s record. The uptick is primarily driven by larger projected imports in Algeria, Bangladesh, China, South Korea, and Turkey. Morocco and the United States are cut due to larger domestic crops. Greater exports for Argentina, Australia, Russia, Turkey, and Ukraine are partly offset by a cut in the EU. The U.S. season-average farm price is lowered $0.20 per bushel to $3.80. For 2015/16, global trade is revised up to a new record. Imports for Bangladesh, China, Indonesia, and Thailand are all higher, while cuts in Syria and the United States are partly offsetting. U.S. exports are raised, along with Russia and Ukraine. Argentina and Canada are lowered. U.S. PRICES:

Domestic: Wheat prices, except soft white wheat (SWW), plunged in June resulting from domestic harvest pressure and large global supplies. Harvesting of the Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat crop is nearing completion with record yields reported. HRW prices plunged $25 to $182/ton, the lowest price in 6 years. Soft Red Winter (SRW) prices dropped $27 to $177/ton, the lowest in nearly 7 years. Hard Red Spring (HRS) dipped $9/ton to $226. Soft White Winter (SWW) rose $6/ton to $203.

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2/5/2016 3/5/2016 4/5/2016 5/5/2016 6/5/2016 7/5/2016

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U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS


5

TRADE CHANGES IN 2016/17 Selected Exporters

• Argentina is up 500,000 tons to 9.0 million on a larger crop.

• Australia is boosted 500,000 tons to 17.5 million on a larger crop.

• EU is slashed 1.5 million tons to 34.0 million as a result of a smaller crop. Domestic feed use is raised.

• Russia is raised 500,000 tons to a record 25.5 million based on a record crop.

• Turkey is boosted 500,000 tons to 5.5 million as the strong pace of shipments of flour and pasta products is expected to continue.

• Ukraine is hiked 1.0 million tons to 12.5 million on a larger crop and strong demand for feed-quality wheat.

• United States is raised 500,000 tons to 25.0 million based on a larger crop and more competitive prices.

Selected Importers

• Algeria is boosted 500,000 tons to 8.0 million as the result of a smaller crop.

• Bangladesh is up 300,000 tons to 4.7 million as the low price of wheat is likely to spur large purchases.

• China is raised 300,000 tons to 3.5 million resulting from quality concerns with the current crop.

• South Korea is boosted 700,000 tons to 5.0 million as low-priced wheat will encourage larger purchases in feed use.

• Morocco is cut 500,000 tons to 5.0 million because of large carry-in supplies and a slightly larger crop.

• Turkey is raised 300,000 tons to 4.8 million resulting from increased demand for flour and product exports. Turkey’s inward processing regime allows duty-free imports provided that it is exported as a processed product.

• United States is cut 150,000 tons to 3.25 million as a result of a larger crop.


6

TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16 Selected Exporters- based on trade data

• Canada is lowered 300,000 tons to 22.2 million.

• Russia is raised 500,000 tons to 25.0 million.

• Ukraine is boosted 1.2 million tons to 17.0 million.

• United States is up 550,000 tons to 21.7 million. Selected Importers- based on trade data

• Bangladesh is raised 400,000 tons to 4.6 million.

• China is up 300,000 tons to 3.3 million.

• Indonesia is boosted 500,000 tons to 9.6 million.

• Thailand is raised 300,000 tons to 4.8 million.

• United States is lowered 100,000 tons to 3.1 million.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

TY Exports

9,0008,5008,6004,2001,6757,450 Argentina

17,50017,00016,20016,57518,33921,269 Australia

1,0001,0001,1001,688811,753 Brazil

20,00020,00022,20024,87722,15618,584 Canada

34,00035,50033,00035,41832,03222,786 European Union

7,0007,0007,5005,5078,0006,801 Kazakhstan

1,3001,2001,3001,1041,322729 Mexico

25,50025,00025,00022,80018,60911,308 Russia

5,5005,0005,6004,1344,2933,583 Turkey

12,50011,50017,00011,2699,7557,190 Ukraine

9,3529,24710,12711,20614,67318,067 Others

142,652140,947147,627138,778130,935119,520 Subtotal

25,00024,50021,75022,75231,51827,734 United States

167,652165,447169,377161,530162,453147,254 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,4002,2002,4002,0002,0501,600 Afghanistan

8,0007,5008,1007,2577,4846,484 Algeria

4,7004,4004,6003,9153,3542,725 Bangladesh

6,0006,0005,9505,8697,0617,547 Brazil

3,5003,2003,3001,9266,7732,960 China

12,00012,00011,50011,10010,1508,400 Egypt

2,0002,0003,1001,1006701,344 Ethiopia

5,5005,5006,7005,9753,9765,276 European Union

2,0002,0004002732220 India

9,1009,1009,6007,4787,3917,146 Indonesia

2,3002,2002,3002,2533,2463,948 Iraq

5,8005,7005,7005,8786,1236,598 Japan

5,0004,3004,4003,9424,2885,439 Korea, South

4,2004,4004,7004,4764,6393,823 Mexico

5,0005,5004,7004,0863,9283,825 Morocco

4,3004,1004,3004,2444,5804,168 Nigeria

1,9001,9001,7001,9072,1141,683 Peru

4,8004,8004,5005,0553,4763,620 Philippines

3,5003,5003,0003,4873,4291,921 Saudi Arabia

2,3002,1002,3002,6322,6641,793 Sudan

3,8003,6004,8003,4881,6841,840 Thailand

4,8004,5004,3005,9604,1493,312 Turkey

2,5002,5002,6502,2302,2241,863 Uzbekistan

2,7002,7003,0002,2962,1571,671 Vietnam

3,3503,3503,3003,2453,4253,207 Yemen

50,08150,17152,26152,38654,52249,107 Others

161,531159,221163,561154,458155,579141,320 Subtotal

2,8712,8262,7163,0852,0892,458 Unaccounted

3,2503,4003,1003,9874,7853,476 United States

167,652165,447169,377161,530162,453147,254 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

Production

15,00014,50011,30014,00010,5009,300 Argentina

25,50025,00024,50023,91025,30322,856 Australia

5,3005,3005,5406,0005,3004,380 Brazil

29,00028,50027,60029,42037,53027,205 Canada

130,000130,000130,190126,208121,930121,023 China

8,1008,1008,1008,3008,2508,500 Egypt

156,500157,500160,006156,828144,583133,949 European Union

88,00088,00086,53095,85093,50694,882 India

15,50015,50015,00013,00014,50013,800 Iran

13,00013,00013,74812,99613,9419,841 Kazakhstan

25,30025,30025,10025,97924,21123,473 Pakistan

65,00064,00061,04459,08052,09137,720 Russia

17,50017,50019,50015,25018,75016,000 Turkey

25,00024,00027,27424,75022,27815,761 Ukraine

7,2007,2007,2007,1506,8006,700 Uzbekistan

51,08150,89656,14653,98257,38851,595 Others

676,981674,296678,778672,703656,861596,985 Subtotal

61,53256,53155,84055,14758,10561,298 United States

738,513730,827734,618727,850714,966658,283 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,45010,45010,25010,0509,8509,450 Algeria

10,10010,10010,20010,70011,40010,900 Brazil

8,8008,8008,6009,0779,4149,555 Canada

117,000110,500112,000116,500116,500125,000 China

19,70019,70019,20019,10018,50018,700 Egypt

129,300127,800128,800123,500117,300119,250 European Union

93,10093,10088,64193,12293,84883,824 India

9,0008,8008,6507,3657,1656,950 Indonesia

18,50018,50018,00017,50017,00016,000 Iran

9,6009,6009,8009,0009,0008,300 Morocco

24,50024,50024,40024,50024,10023,900 Pakistan

37,50037,50037,00035,50034,10033,550 Russia

17,80017,80018,00017,50017,75017,650 Turkey

12,50012,50012,50012,00011,50011,400 Ukraine

9,5009,5009,3508,9008,4008,000 Uzbekistan

161,505159,747158,469153,454150,279146,702 Others

693,084682,465675,908673,074663,595641,284 Subtotal

36,25233,53031,58731,55434,28737,768 United States

729,336715,995707,495704,628697,882679,052 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,5525,6185,8624,8374,5584,663 Australia

112,495117,99596,79576,10565,27453,960 China

17,42918,42918,72913,8239,93810,711 European Union

11,00011,00014,50017,20017,83024,200 India

5,8865,9468,0867,8467,2415,096 Iran

5,0195,3197,0694,2694,3212,674 Morocco

8,6298,6296,1296,2855,1774,933 Russia

56,61156,32560,64666,55863,77451,319 Others

223,621229,261217,816196,923178,113157,556 Subtotal

30,07928,57726,70720,47716,06519,538 United States

253,700257,838244,523217,400194,178177,094 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jun

2016/17

Jul

2016/17

TY Imports none

7,784 North America 9,866 8,953 8,285 8,285 7,935

1,654 Central America 1,833 1,834 1,855 1,905 1,930

14,422 South America 14,866 13,132 13,100 13,410 13,410

5,276 European Union - 28 3,976 5,975 6,700 5,500 5,500

1,632 Other Europe 1,858 1,760 1,920 1,785 1,785

7,246 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,506 7,681 7,560 7,470 7,270

24,230 Middle East 28,384 26,912 24,190 23,300 23,700

22,047 North Africa 25,246 25,230 27,600 27,900 27,900

18,585 Sub-Saharan Africa 20,502 20,939 23,380 21,960 22,305

17,354 East Asia 19,465 14,115 15,935 15,520 16,670

5,308 South Asia 6,721 8,149 8,551 9,726 10,251

16,294 Southeast Asia 17,101 20,541 24,325 22,585 22,850

2,964 Others 3,040 3,224 3,260 3,275 3,275

144,796 Total 160,364 158,445 166,661 162,621 164,781

Production none

91,734 North America 99,012 88,254 87,191 89,001 94,502

18,011 South America 19,762 24,222 21,088 23,718 24,218

133,949 European Union - 28 144,583 156,828 160,006 157,500 156,500

3,431 Other Europe 4,103 3,929 4,067 4,015 4,600


36,884 Middle East 41,708 35,414 41,795 39,310 39,310

17,328 North Africa 19,656 17,010 19,910 14,700 14,200


122,490 East Asia 123,248 127,650 131,516 131,360 131,360

126,412 South Asia 125,917 130,154 119,840 121,645 121,645

23,345 Oceania 25,751 24,324 24,925 25,430 25,930

181 Others 187 186 191 191 191

658,283 Total 714,966 727,850 734,618 730,827 738,513

Domestic Consumption none

53,948 North America 50,351 47,481 47,187 49,450 52,172

26,212 South America 27,126 26,780 26,560 26,607 26,615

119,250 European Union - 28 117,300 123,500 128,800 127,800 129,300

4,721 Other Europe 4,807 4,850 4,905 4,980 5,120


56,636 Middle East 58,717 58,112 60,055 60,240 60,140

41,290 North Africa 42,425 42,651 43,525 44,000 44,000


140,071 East Asia 130,201 129,513 125,185 123,750 131,060

121,007 South Asia 132,041 132,322 128,792 133,641 134,166

16,515 Southeast Asia 16,560 19,265 22,105 21,960 22,385

8,111 Oceania 8,280 8,569 8,605 8,850 8,850

3,366 Others 3,494 3,571 3,624 3,724 3,739

686,899 Total 690,393 699,322 705,447 712,427 725,107

Ending Stocks none

24,925 North America 26,790 28,080 31,946 33,151 35,253

3,538 South America 6,834 8,338 4,520 3,760 4,172

10,711 European Union - 28 9,938 13,823 18,729 18,429 17,429

1,057 Other Europe 935 1,101 1,158 1,231 1,348


14,049 Middle East 18,560 18,443 18,478 15,198 14,813

11,795 North Africa 13,802 12,784 16,069 13,729 13,329


57,214 East Asia 68,314 79,228 100,159 121,104 115,789

27,995 South Asia 21,661 23,185 21,040 17,320 17,520

3,718 Southeast Asia 3,466 3,892 5,232 4,622 4,837

4,978 Oceania 4,861 5,123 6,153 5,899 6,833

341 Others 367 388 404 395 430

177,094 Total 194,178 217,400 244,523 257,838 253,700

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


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RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

For 2016/17, global production is forecast at a new record primarily due to a larger crop in the

United States based on the NASS June Acreage report. Global trade is forecast lower, with

reduced imports and consumption in Bangladesh, Iran, and Nigeria. The U.S. season-average

farm price for all rice is lowered $0.40/cwt to $11.70/cwt.

For 2015/16, production is revised lower, primarily on a smaller crop in Brazil. Global trade is

down due to cuts to imports for Iran, Nigeria, and Indonesia. Exports are lowered for Brazil and

Vietnam. Consumption is also revised down, primarily due to reductions for China. The U.S.

season-average farm price remains at $12.30/cwt.

As the largest producer in Latin America by a wide margin, Brazil has been a net exporter for the

majority of the past decade. Reversing the recent trend, it is now projected to become a net

importer in 2016 for the first since 2010. At that time, excess rain led to a production decline in

Rio Grande do Sul, the largest producing region, precipitating a 20 percent rise in imports.

Similarly, this year’s heavy rain impacted the recently harvested crop, now forecast at 7.1

million tons, down 15 percent from last year. Consequently, 2016 imports are forecast to more

than double to 750,000 tons, with most supplies likely to come from neighboring countries.

Exports this year are projected to fall to 700,000 tons. With Brazil becoming a net importer and

presenting less export competition, the United States is expected to seize additional opportunities

to expand exports, particularly in the Western Hemisphere.

The status of net importer is not expected to remain for long, however. In 2017, Brazil’s

production levels are forecast to rebound to levels similar to 2 years prior and return the country

to its net exporting position. The forecast recovery this time is somewhat more muted than in

2011, as 2017 exports are projected to rise only marginally from the prior year.

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Weaker Parboiled Trade as Nigerian Policies Restrict Imports

In 2014, global exports of parboiled rice surged, but have declined every year since then in

response to developments in Nigeria. The large majority of Nigeria’s rice imports are parboiled.

This country is the second largest importer of rice and the top parboiled rice importer, accounting

for around 40 percent of parboiled trade. Nigeria’s imports spiked in 2014, amid lower global

prices and strong demand in advance of local elections. However, the purchasing power has

eroded as the oil-dependent economy struggles with foreign exchange availability with sharply

lower oil prices. In 2015, Nigeria prohibited the use of foreign exchange to purchase rice and

maintained a high import tariff, causing imports to plunge. Since March 2016, Nigeria has

banned rice importation via land borders, further tightening access to parboiled rice. These

policies are expected to persist, causing Nigeria’s rice importation to further contract in 2017.

Parboiled rice is processed to preserve nutrients and results in more separate grains when

cooked. It typically accounts for less than 20 percent of all exported rice. Thailand and India are

the major exporters, whereas the United States and Brazil ship smaller quantities.

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12

PRICES

Since the beginning of June, Thai and Uruguayan export quotes have risen, continuing to lower

the premium of U.S. quotes. Over the past month, reports of damage to Thailand’s crop have

caused export quotes to rise to $432/ton. Severe weather has impacted production in South

America as well. With reduced exportable supplies and stronger regional demand, Uruguay’s

quotes strengthened to $464/ton. Vietnam and Pakistan’s export quotes remained unchanged at

$369/ton and $410/ton, respectively. U.S. quotes have also settled, sliding marginally to

$500/ton on forecasts of a larger crop.

Selected Trade Changes

Azerbaijan imports are boosted 100,000 tons to 130,000 for 2017 on expected higher

levels of trade from Pakistan.

Bangladesh imports are trimmed 100,000 tons to 250,000 for 2016 due to the

introduction of import tariffs and to increased wheat imports. Imports are halved to

250,000 tons for 2017, also on higher expected wheat purchases.

Brazil exports are cut 100,000 tons to 700,000 for 2016 on a smaller crop.

Indonesia imports are raised 152,000 tons to 1.4 million for 2015, while lowered

150,000 tons to 1.9 million for 2016 on the timing of shipments.

Iran imports are reduced 350,000 tons to 1.1 million for 2016, as the pace of trade has

slowed and the government is set to introduce an import ban this month. For 2017,

imports are cut 300,000 tons to 1.2 million due to the projected impact of the ban.

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$/MT Weekly F.O.B Export Quotes: Last 12 Months

U.S. #2/4 (long-grain) THAI 100B VIET 5% PAK 5% UGY 5%


13

Nigeria imports are revised down 300,000 tons to 2.2 million for 2015 on final trade

data. For 2016, imports are down 200,000 tons to 2.1 million due to restrictions on

foreign exchange access and border trade. For 2017, imports are reduced 100,000 tons to

1.9 million on the extended impact of the import restrictions.

Pakistan exports are raised 100,000 tons to 4.5 million for 2016 on a stronger pace of

trade.

Saudi Arabia imports are raised 156,000 tons to 1.6 million for 2015 on final trade data.

For 2016, imports are up 100,000 tons to 1.6 million on larger purchases from Pakistan.

U.S. exports are up 100,000 tons to 3.5 million for 2016 on larger exportable supplies and

reduced competition from Brazil.

Vietnam exports are reduced 100,000 tons to 6.9 million for 2016 due to weaker demand

and slower trade to Southeast Asian markets.


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

TY Exports

600600480310494526 Argentina

200230180323404460 Australia

800800700895852830 Brazil

1,7501,7501,6501,7351,6881,163 Burma

1,0501,0509001,1501,0001,075 Cambodia

300300350262393447 China

200250200250600700 Egypt

260260270251284203 European Union

540540540536502346 Guyana

8,5008,5009,00011,04611,58810,480 India

4,2504,2504,5004,0003,7004,126 Pakistan

470470480371380365 Paraguay

9,0009,0009,8009,77910,9696,722 Thailand

840840850718957939 Uruguay

7,0007,0006,9006,6066,3256,700 Vietnam

1,1001,1171,0911,0951,0811,116 Others

36,86036,95737,89139,32741,21736,198 Subtotal

3,6503,6003,4503,4722,9983,295 United States

40,51040,55741,34142,79944,21539,493 World Total

none

TY Imports

475475450450500430 Angola

600600750363586712 Brazil

530530530525610550 Cameroon

5,0005,0005,0005,1504,4503,500 China

9009001,0001,100950830 Cote d'Ivoire

510510530575377413 Cuba

1,6001,6001,6001,7861,5561,375 European Union

600600580500590725 Ghana

440440470444385416 Haiti

1,2501,2501,8501,3501,225650 Indonesia

1,1501,4501,1001,3001,4002,220 Iran

1,1501,1501,1501,0091,0801,294 Iraq

700700700688669690 Japan

470470460450440410 Kenya

1,0501,0501,0201,051989885 Malaysia

750750700708658746 Mexico

560540550560590500 Mozambique

550550500529510340 Nepal

1,9002,0002,1002,2003,2002,400 Nigeria

1,5001,5001,5002,0001,8001,000 Philippines

1,5501,5001,5501,6001,4591,326 Saudi Arabia

990990985990960902 Senegal

9259251,000912910990 South Africa

610610600580560540 United Arab Emirates

420420400520440432 Yemen

11,10411,27910,90411,40913,48011,491 Others

37,28437,78937,97938,74940,37435,767 Subtotal

2,4511,9932,5973,2923,0863,051 Unaccounted

775775765758755675 United States

40,51040,55741,34142,79944,21539,493 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2015/16 is calendar year 2016, 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

Milled Production

34,55034,55034,50034,50034,39033,820 Bangladesh

8,5008,5007,1258,4658,3008,037 Brazil

12,50012,50012,20012,60011,95711,715 Burma

4,7004,7004,3504,7004,7254,670 Cambodia

146,500146,500145,770144,560142,530143,000 China

4,0004,0004,0004,5304,7504,675 Egypt

105,000105,000103,500105,480106,646105,240 India

36,60036,60035,30035,56036,30036,550 Indonesia

7,6807,6807,6537,8497,9317,907 Japan

4,0004,0004,3274,2414,2304,006 Korea, South

6,9006,9006,7006,9006,7985,536 Pakistan

12,00012,00011,35011,91511,85811,428 Philippines

3,4003,4003,3002,8502,8402,675 Sri Lanka

17,00017,00015,80018,75020,46020,200 Thailand

28,50028,50028,10028,16628,16127,537 Vietnam

41,62341,55340,55540,53240,44639,151 Others

473,453473,383464,530471,598472,322466,147 Subtotal

7,7797,3356,1077,1066,1176,348 United States

481,232480,718470,637478,704478,439472,495 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,20035,30035,20035,10034,90034,500 Bangladesh

7,9508,0007,8007,9107,9007,850 Brazil

10,70010,70010,60010,50010,45010,400 Burma

3,6003,6003,6003,6153,6503,550 Cambodia

145,000145,000145,500144,500143,000141,000 China

3,9503,9003,9504,0004,0004,050 Egypt

98,60098,60098,30098,23398,71094,031 India

38,10038,10038,10038,30038,50038,127 Indonesia

8,7008,7008,6008,6008,3808,351 Japan

4,3344,3344,3744,1974,4224,489 Korea, South

3,6503,6503,6003,7163,8113,353 Nepal

5,1005,2005,2505,4005,6005,300 Nigeria

13,30013,30013,20013,20012,85012,850 Philippines

11,10011,10010,80010,60010,70010,600 Thailand

21,80021,80021,85022,00022,00021,600 Vietnam

62,82162,88161,63861,26361,16959,079 Others

476,245476,107474,628473,812474,469461,725 Subtotal

4,3824,2873,8534,1553,9773,779 United States

480,627480,394478,481477,967478,446465,504 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

68,60668,05662,40657,43653,10249,832 China

11,66611,66613,76617,76622,75725,440 India

2,9112,9093,1614,1115,5016,476 Indonesia

2,0892,0892,4942,8213,0072,857 Japan

1,9011,7441,8271,406899780 Korea, South

2,1602,1601,9602,2101,6951,487 Philippines

3,2203,2206,07010,57011,89912,808 Thailand

12,94513,48613,71716,67113,92112,977 Others

105,498105,330105,401112,991112,781112,657 Subtotal

1,8061,6151,2981,5521,0251,156 United States

107,304106,945106,699114,543113,806113,813 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jun

2016/17

Jul

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,776 North America 1,771 1,816 1,825 1,890 1,890

971 Caribbean 903 1,176 1,155 1,110 1,110

1,833 South America 1,814 1,678 1,867 1,827 1,827

125 Other Europe 132 128 135 140 140

557 Former Soviet Union - 12 628 566 501 406 531

7,252 Middle East 6,711 6,462 6,150 6,605 6,355

487 North Africa 485 406 450 465 405


5,349 East Asia 6,045 6,686 6,636 6,631 6,631

722 South Asia 2,566 1,619 930 1,210 960

3,606 Southeast Asia 5,025 5,666 5,640 4,960 4,960

2,197 Others 2,412 2,555 2,435 2,390 2,400

36,442 Total 41,129 39,507 38,744 38,564 38,059

Production none

6,479 North America 6,248 7,285 6,267 7,508 7,952

974 Caribbean 1,054 1,104 996 1,005 1,005

15,852 South America 16,384 16,365 15,087 16,588 16,588

2,100 European Union - 28 1,937 1,963 2,055 2,026 2,026


2,251 Middle East 2,450 2,443 2,392 2,495 2,505

4,704 North Africa 4,789 4,530 4,000 4,000 4,000


157,953 East Asia 157,701 159,486 160,194 160,924 160,924

150,631 South Asia 154,490 153,331 151,620 153,450 153,450

115,490 Southeast Asia 116,867 115,367 110,826 114,971 115,071

1,495 Others 1,330 1,207 811 1,116 1,116

472,495 Total 478,439 478,704 470,637 480,718 481,232


4,977 North America 5,202 5,369 5,083 5,532 5,627

1,171 Central America 1,197 1,226 1,252 1,293 1,293

1,954 Caribbean 1,992 2,136 2,153 2,151 2,156

14,354 South America 14,542 14,568 14,602 14,776 14,746

3,250 European Union - 28 3,250 3,320 3,380 3,420 3,420


8,989 Middle East 9,190 9,232 9,020 9,160 9,060

4,572 North Africa 4,480 4,370 4,320 4,330 4,320


157,459 East Asia 159,414 160,566 161,404 161,259 161,259

137,462 South Asia 143,386 143,410 143,570 144,270 144,070

101,694 Southeast Asia 102,865 103,157 103,336 103,706 103,781

707 Others 708 556 530 535 535

462,909 Total 474,019 475,289 476,215 478,452 478,287

Ending Stocks none

1,345 North America 1,176 1,704 1,437 1,795 1,986

186 Central America 205 244 241 229 239

289 Caribbean 266 263 261 225 225

1,591 South America 1,902 2,142 1,383 1,809 1,616

1,188 European Union - 28 1,163 1,237 1,232 1,178 1,178

2,004 Middle East 1,864 1,775 1,272 1,215 1,047

427 North Africa 610 924 854 786 739


53,832 East Asia 57,296 61,919 67,003 72,185 72,892

26,819 South Asia 25,008 21,490 16,791 14,594 14,376

23,486 Southeast Asia 21,876 20,149 14,004 11,102 11,329

238 Oceania 241 223 53 63 63

179 Others 166 168 141 111 111

113,813 Total 113,806 114,543 106,699 106,945 107,304




17

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW For 2016/17, global corn production is marginally lower with reductions for Brazil, Canada, and EU more than offsetting a larger expected crop for the United States. U.S. production is projected higher on larger planted area from the NASS Acreage report. Global trade is lower, driven by reduced imports for the EU and South Korea. These countries are expected to use wheat in feed rations at the expense of imported corn. Forecast exports for Argentina and the United States are higher, but lower for Brazil, Canada, and the EU. The U.S. season-average farm price is projected 10 cents lower to $3.40 per bushel. For 2015/16, global corn production is lowered again this month driven by a significant cut for Brazil. Nevertheless, global trade is boosted to a new record as higher imports for Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, and South Korea more than offset a reduction for the EU. Exports for Argentina and the United States are higher, more than offsetting lower Brazilian exports. The U.S. season-average farm price is lowered 5 cents to $3.65 per bushel. BRAZIL: SUPPLY AND DEMAND CHANGE Brazilian 2015/16 corn production, forecast at 70.0 million tons, is down 7.5 million from last month and is the smallest crop in 5 years. Marketing Year (MY) 2015/16 (March 2016-February 2017) exports are cut 4.0 million tons to 18.5 million. Consequently, trade year 2016/17 (October-September) exports are slashed 2.5 million tons to 20.5 million and 2015/16 trade year exports are cut 1.5 million tons to 33.0 million. Additionally, 2016/17 imports are raised 100,000 tons and 2015/16 imports are up 200,000 tons. With supplies more limited and prices relatively high, domestic consumption in 2015/16 is forecast lower and ending stocks are projected tighter. Further, Brazil’s 2016/17 crop is projected 2.0 million tons smaller at 80.0 million, resulting in lower projected consumption as well as MY 2016/17 exports. PRICES Following the release of the June WASDE report, FOB quotes for all major exporters initially moved up on expectations of drier weather. With the release of the NASS Acreage report, however, prices have plunged in response to prospects for larger supplies in the United States. Ongoing harvests in South America and forecasts for beneficial weather in the United States also contributed to downward pressure. U.S. quotes have fallen $25/ton to $168. Argentine quotes are dropped $32/ton to $173, and Brazilian quotes are down $26/ton to $177. Even though the harvests are ongoing in Argentina and Brazil, the United States retains a price advantage based on weather-induced damage to the Brazilian crop and harvest delays in Argentina. Black Sea quotes are up $2/ton to $200 on tight nearby supplies. Note: Recent Brazilian quotes are for August, while all other export quotes are for nearby (30-day) shipment.


18

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220$/

MT

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Black Sea Argentina Up River


U.S. corn is boosted 2.5 million tons to 52.0 million reflecting competitive prices on larger projected supplies as well as reduced competition from Brazil.

Argentine corn is up 500,000 tons to 23.0 million on greater supplies.

Brazilian corn is slashed 2.5 million tons to 20.5 million based on a reduced crop.

Canadian corn is down 700,000 tons to 500,000 due to a smaller expected crop.

EU corn is cut 500,000 tons to 2.5 million on reduced competitiveness compared with

other origins.

Australian barley is boosted 200,000 tons to 6.0 million with a larger projected crop. Selected Importers

EU corn is reduced 1.0 million tons to 11.0 million as ample supplies of domestic wheat

erode the need for imported corn.

Japanese corn is up 500,000 tons to 15.0 million, as the feed sector is expected to purchase larger amounts of corn with lower prices. Though livestock numbers are generally declining, there has been growth in both poultry and swine populations and an increase in weights for swine.


19

South Korean corn is lowered 500,000 tons to 10.0 million due to anticipated larger

purchases of competitively-priced feed quality wheat.

Zimbabwean corn is raised 400,000 tons to 1.4 million on the announced target set by the government. The government has reportedly secured the funding for corn purchases.

Algerian barley is up 250,000 tons to 900,000 to mostly offset reduced production in support of continued demand for feed.

Moroccan barley is boosted 200,000 tons to 700,000 to partly offset poor pasture

conditions and a reduced crop, which is forecast to be the smallest since 2007/08.


U.S. corn is raised 2.5 million tons to 48.5 million with robust sales and shipments.

Argentine corn is raised 500,000 tons to 20.5 million on a larger crop and shipments to date.

Argentine barley is up 400,000 tons to 2.9 million on a larger crop and continued strong demand from Saudi Arabia.

EU barley is raised 200,000 tons to 9.9 million on trade to date.

Selected Importers

Chinese corn is boosted 1.1 million tons to 3.1 million reflecting larger purchases from Ukraine and trade to date.

EU corn is down 1.3 million tons to 13.2 million reflecting a greater use of domestic

barley and wheat for feed.

Japanese corn is raised 300,000 tons to 15.0 million on feed demand.

South Korean corn is up 300,000 tons to 10.3 million on strong feed demand.

Mexican corn is raised 500,000 tons to 13.0 million on the continued fast pace of purchases from the United States.

Saudi Arabian barley is boosted 300,000 tons to 9.8 million on trade to date.


World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

TY Exports

26,10525,50524,30521,00316,63029,497 Argentina

7,3757,1756,5757,2917,0096,416 Australia

20,53023,03033,03521,95422,05926,078 Brazil

3,7504,4504,1503,5975,4824,658 Canada

11,85512,35511,89215,0677,8418,943 European Union

2,3152,3152,7153,0312,7182,861 Paraguay

8,6108,6108,2709,1557,0744,366 Russia

2,2602,2601,7403,0011,799605 Serbia

1,3251,3257257702,1272,412 South Africa

21,13021,13020,02024,20824,12515,527 Ukraine

6,9557,0557,0807,99911,21510,279 Others

112,210115,210120,507117,076108,079111,642 Subtotal

57,83555,33556,60556,34056,77220,586 United States

170,045170,545177,112173,416164,851132,228 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,0254,7754,7304,8634,9463,289 Algeria

2,0502,0501,9501,7071,6211,327 Chile

12,20012,20017,10025,69912,4455,603 China

4,8404,8404,8704,7474,7954,090 Colombia

8,8558,8558,5807,9408,7755,097 Egypt

11,35512,35513,4959,14616,35511,778 European Union

3,0003,0003,1003,3813,5132,719 Indonesia

7,1007,1007,4008,1006,6004,800 Iran

1,8101,8101,6901,6032,0731,564 Israel

16,90016,52016,94516,72617,50117,742 Japan

1,6751,6751,5001,4591,6721,406 Jordan

10,09010,59010,39010,24510,4998,265 Korea, South

1,5001,5001,6001,6851,4931,220 Libya

3,6003,6003,5003,2383,4853,048 Malaysia

13,97513,97513,97511,57011,3127,624 Mexico

3,0002,8002,8502,2172,8581,832 Morocco

2,8352,8352,8252,8632,3362,404 Peru

13,50513,50513,31011,11511,33212,390 Saudi Arabia

2,6502,6502,92560723592 South Africa

4,2004,2004,3003,9494,3464,413 Taiwan

1,9001,9001,8001,5241,4491,608 Tunisia

1,9051,9059852,7191,9771,922 Turkey

2,1002,1001,8002,4332,6272,154 Venezuela

6,0006,0006,9006,7004,3001,600 Vietnam

1,4401,040820720620720 Zimbabwe

18,95618,99119,68718,84817,23514,574 Others

162,466162,771169,027165,804156,400123,281 Subtotal

4,3544,5494,3554,3255,1292,432 Unaccounted

3,2253,2253,7303,2873,3226,515 United States

170,045170,545177,112173,416164,851132,228 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

Production

41,88941,88936,90935,73235,66537,246 Argentina

13,16412,36412,43712,60512,15811,414 Australia

82,96384,66372,06387,66882,60384,253 Brazil

24,31526,06525,66021,99228,74524,445 Canada

225,700225,700231,780222,750225,408212,192 China

12,75012,7509,98513,34613,07912,286 Ethiopia

159,861160,470151,247170,759159,212146,188 European Union

41,70041,70037,75043,08143,21639,910 India

9,6009,6009,4009,0009,1008,500 Indonesia

31,92531,92531,38932,68932,06528,881 Mexico

18,50018,50017,95019,01519,29218,573 Nigeria

39,37539,37537,42740,38635,73528,658 Russia

13,58313,5837,02511,11015,51812,873 South Africa

10,92511,57514,2759,42513,09010,595 Turkey

36,22535,77533,38739,38940,02229,528 Ukraine

154,522154,812152,512159,010148,666145,578 Others

916,997920,746881,196927,957913,574851,120 Subtotal

385,403382,256366,902377,234367,089285,311 United States

1,302,4001,303,0021,248,0981,305,1911,280,6631,136,431 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

15,43915,43914,43114,23213,69512,050 Argentina

61,24361,95358,01860,02358,02855,803 Brazil

22,13022,53021,95321,28822,34720,338 Canada

245,150246,150239,025229,059223,546209,671 China

16,00816,00815,70314,80914,08012,910 Egypt

160,295161,295157,379162,500164,401153,341 European Union

41,15041,15039,52040,40037,60035,075 India

14,22014,22013,52012,02011,32010,520 Iran

17,21116,63117,24616,93317,57017,830 Japan

44,91544,71543,31542,07540,93536,195 Mexico

18,50018,50018,15018,95019,35018,700 Nigeria

30,77530,77529,84031,13928,61925,134 Russia

14,12514,12513,35012,02511,55010,925 Saudi Arabia

13,28013,68014,43013,05513,43013,005 Turkey

14,53014,43014,22515,43015,97714,661 Ukraine

244,096243,971239,690240,987227,975219,027 Others

981,573983,143937,475960,662927,544859,121 Subtotal

321,345323,044313,292311,347305,048275,537 United States

1,302,9181,306,1871,250,7671,272,0091,232,5921,134,658 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,3116,9515,6218,21114,2589,560 Brazil

3,6094,2594,1093,3424,6483,024 Canada

104,549102,449111,829102,01982,65168,377 China

13,33914,64814,27318,80515,56513,055 European Union

6,5146,5147,2747,2345,0944,654 Iran

6,0945,8945,9094,8603,4871,542 Mexico

3,8203,5204,0003,5003,9123,415 Saudi Arabia

41,06840,51742,18650,36648,17536,874 Others

185,304184,752195,201198,337177,790140,501 Subtotal

56,79454,90247,41546,94834,31323,531 United States

242,098239,654242,616245,285212,103164,032 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jun

2016/17

Jul

2016/17

TY Imports none

14,661 North America 15,348 16,567 18,840 18,265 18,265

2,470 Central America 2,923 3,460 3,675 3,610 3,610

2,327 Caribbean 2,330 2,444 2,460 2,560 2,560

11,812 South America 13,181 13,353 13,575 13,410 13,375

11,778 European Union - 28 16,355 9,146 13,495 12,355 11,355


25,078 Middle East 26,614 27,842 27,925 29,025 29,025

13,046 North Africa 19,521 18,229 19,560 19,830 20,280


36,176 East Asia 44,865 56,676 48,805 43,590 43,470

7,961 Southeast Asia 12,814 14,736 14,970 14,175 14,175

1,017 Others 1,332 1,385 1,491 1,581 1,581

129,796 Total 159,722 169,091 172,757 165,996 165,691

Production none

338,637 North America 427,899 431,915 423,951 440,246 441,643

136,025 South America 132,425 136,767 122,583 140,099 138,651

146,188 European Union - 28 159,212 170,759 151,247 160,470 159,861

6,570 Other Europe 8,813 10,649 8,946 9,973 9,973


18,769 Middle East 21,774 17,888 23,382 20,622 19,972

10,155 North Africa 11,556 11,073 12,516 10,056 9,639


214,616 East Asia 227,798 225,528 234,420 228,359 228,359

47,642 South Asia 51,986 51,827 46,304 50,528 50,528

29,158 Southeast Asia 31,003 31,088 31,607 33,398 33,273

12,082 Oceania 12,805 13,273 13,144 13,004 13,804

4,833 Others 5,050 4,514 4,431 4,716 4,716

1,136,431 Total 1,280,663 1,305,191 1,248,098 1,303,002 1,302,400


332,070 North America 368,330 374,710 378,560 390,289 388,390

89,796 South America 94,515 97,134 95,422 101,024 100,389

153,341 European Union - 28 164,401 162,500 157,379 161,295 160,295

7,100 Other Europe 7,707 8,036 8,252 8,292 8,292


43,027 Middle East 45,892 45,679 50,077 50,887 50,487

24,941 North Africa 27,987 30,177 31,804 31,338 31,538


242,831 East Asia 257,690 262,977 273,387 280,107 279,237

42,704 South Asia 46,167 49,321 48,720 50,634 50,634

35,787 Southeast Asia 38,943 41,558 45,005 46,416 45,916

6,107 Oceania 5,764 5,946 6,274 5,799 6,249

9,573 Others 10,075 10,243 10,589 10,819 10,819

1,140,722 Total 1,225,471 1,256,272 1,263,087 1,298,616 1,294,412

Ending Stocks none

28,097 North America 42,448 55,150 57,433 65,055 66,497

15,559 South America 21,875 15,019 12,237 13,467 12,924

13,055 European Union - 28 15,565 18,805 14,273 14,648 13,339

631 Other Europe 751 1,064 845 1,193 1,163


10,118 Middle East 11,911 12,873 13,923 12,193 12,363

3,553 North Africa 5,666 5,514 5,846 4,339 4,317


71,678 East Asia 86,663 105,873 115,666 106,498 108,228

2,408 South Asia 4,099 5,301 2,930 2,710 2,710

3,230 Southeast Asia 4,472 4,465 4,402 3,400 3,799

902 Oceania 1,115 1,524 1,599 1,478 1,824

769 Others 950 967 909 976 951

164,032 Total 212,103 245,285 242,616 239,654 242,098




World Corn Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

TY Exports

23,00022,50020,50018,44812,84622,789 Argentina

20,50023,00033,00021,90922,04126,044 Brazil

950950900850700550 Burma

2,5003,0001,6004,0262,4042,194 European Union

8008001,000784501522 Mexico

2,3002,3002,7003,0122,7142,858 Paraguay

4,5004,5004,4003,2134,1941,917 Russia

2,2002,2001,7002,9641,780578 Serbia

1,3001,3007007462,1042,398 South Africa

17,00017,00016,00019,66120,00412,726 Ukraine

4,4005,2004,9455,58210,4519,708 Others

79,45082,75087,44581,19579,73982,284 Subtotal

52,00049,50048,50046,77350,68418,262 United States

131,450132,250135,945127,968130,423100,546 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,1004,1004,1004,1164,1562,918 Algeria

1,0001,0001,0001,533678492 Canada

1,8001,8001,7001,5161,456844 Chile

1,0001,0003,1005,5163,2772,702 China

4,5004,5004,5004,4964,4363,266 Colombia

1,2251,2251,2001,2021,0111,046 Dominican Republic

8,7508,7508,5007,8418,7265,059 Egypt

11,00012,00013,2008,64616,01411,362 European Union

3,0003,0003,1003,3813,5132,719 Indonesia

5,5005,5005,5006,2005,5003,700 Iran

1,5001,5001,4001,2961,6521,224 Israel

15,00014,50015,00014,65715,12114,411 Japan

10,00010,50010,30010,16810,4068,174 Korea, South

3,6003,6003,5003,2383,4853,048 Malaysia

13,00013,00013,00011,26910,9495,676 Mexico

2,3002,3002,1001,9412,3491,684 Morocco

2,7002,7002,7002,7412,2322,254 Peru

3,5003,5003,5002,9042,6842,063 Saudi Arabia

2,5002,5002,700469790 South Africa

4,1004,1004,2003,8214,1794,241 Taiwan

1,2001,2001,2001,041993846 Tunisia

1,5001,5009002,3771,3811,656 Turkey

2,1002,1001,8002,4332,6262,154 Venezuela

6,0006,0006,9006,7004,3001,600 Vietnam

1,4001,000800700600700 Zimbabwe

15,35015,25015,52114,46814,15611,026 Others

127,625128,125131,421124,670125,95994,865 Subtotal

2,8253,1253,0242,4893,7371,416 Unaccounted

1,0001,0001,5008097274,265 United States

131,450132,250135,945127,968130,423100,546 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

Production

34,00034,00028,00028,70026,00027,000 Argentina

80,00082,00070,00085,00080,00081,500 Brazil

12,50013,75013,60011,48714,19413,060 Canada

218,000218,000224,580215,646218,490205,614 China

6,3006,3005,0506,5806,4926,158 Ethiopia

63,83164,27557,97975,77964,93159,142 European Union

23,00023,00021,00024,17024,25922,258 India

9,6009,6009,4009,0009,1008,500 Indonesia

24,20024,20025,00025,48022,88021,591 Mexico

7,2007,2007,0007,5157,7007,630 Nigeria

8,0008,0007,5007,6717,5327,261 Philippines

14,00014,00013,16811,32511,6358,213 Russia

7,0007,0006,0007,7005,9003,750 Serbia

13,00013,0006,50010,62914,92512,365 South Africa

26,00026,00023,33328,45030,90020,922 Ukraine

94,77994,90496,19197,33595,16191,579 Others

641,410645,229614,301652,467640,099596,543 Subtotal

369,333366,539345,486361,091351,272273,192 United States

1,010,7431,011,768959,7871,013,558991,371869,735 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,40010,4009,3009,3008,8007,900 Argentina

58,00059,00055,50057,00055,00052,500 Brazil

13,40013,60013,40012,82012,67511,604 Canada

226,000227,000217,500202,000208,000200,000 China

15,05015,05014,75013,90013,20012,000 Egypt

73,30074,30072,71477,88076,79669,846 European Union

22,80022,80022,20022,30019,60017,500 India

12,60013,00012,80012,20011,90010,900 Indonesia

15,10014,40015,10014,60015,00014,300 Japan

10,10010,55010,35010,2509,8918,481 Korea, South

36,30036,10036,00034,45031,70027,000 Mexico

8,8008,8008,7008,5008,0007,400 Philippines

9,5009,5008,9008,1007,5006,400 Russia

11,30011,30011,00011,70011,50011,000 South Africa

12,50012,50011,9009,4007,7006,400 Vietnam

158,658158,408156,947157,787152,632143,094 Others

700,629702,689661,878678,934655,954601,804 Subtotal

308,625310,403299,522301,854292,965262,973 United States

1,009,2541,013,092961,400980,788948,919864,777 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,2192,2191,6141,9091,4081,308 Argentina

5,9426,5425,3427,84213,9729,150 Brazil

103,604101,504110,624100,46481,31567,570 China

5,3065,2506,2759,4106,8915,146 European Union

5,0965,0965,6565,8164,4763,236 Iran

1,8641,8641,8851,8601,8601,265 Korea, South

5,2185,1185,1184,1182,603975 Mexico

26,28726,53627,18533,11931,92523,781 Others

155,536154,129163,699164,538144,450112,431 Subtotal

52,85250,99543,20043,97431,29220,859 United States

208,388205,124206,899208,512175,742133,290 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jun

2016/17

Jul

2016/17

TY Imports none

10,433 North America 12,354 13,611 15,500 15,000 15,000

2,470 Central America 2,922 3,460 3,675 3,610 3,610

9,651 South America 12,027 12,040 12,195 12,050 12,150

11,362 European Union - 28 16,014 8,646 13,200 12,000 11,000


10,944 Middle East 13,812 15,338 13,900 14,625 14,625

11,154 North Africa 17,036 15,623 16,600 17,050 17,050


29,681 East Asia 33,057 34,219 32,670 30,180 30,180

7,943 Southeast Asia 12,768 14,722 14,955 14,160 14,160

2,327 Caribbean 2,330 2,444 2,460 2,560 2,560

751 Others 979 1,106 1,110 1,235 1,235

99,130 Total 126,686 125,479 132,921 129,125 128,625

Production none

307,843 North America 388,346 398,058 384,086 404,489 406,033

120,997 South America 118,037 125,140 109,525 127,395 125,395

59,142 European Union - 28 64,931 75,779 57,979 64,275 63,831

4,915 Other Europe 7,210 8,945 7,176 8,179 8,179


7,480 Middle East 8,158 7,838 9,228 8,508 8,508

5,919 North Africa 5,898 6,161 6,201 6,201 6,201


207,737 East Asia 220,583 218,095 226,928 220,358 220,358

28,857 South Asia 31,865 31,740 28,370 30,570 30,570

3,743 Central America 3,893 3,366 3,300 3,560 3,560

28,893 Southeast Asia 30,721 30,794 31,312 33,108 32,983

1,377 Others 1,320 1,441 1,377 1,337 1,337

869,735 Total 991,371 1,013,558 959,787 1,011,768 1,010,743


301,577 North America 337,340 349,124 348,922 360,103 358,325

78,981 South America 83,691 86,531 84,895 90,105 89,105

69,846 European Union - 28 76,796 77,880 72,714 74,300 73,300

5,194 Other Europe 5,847 6,122 6,285 6,290 6,290


18,710 Middle East 19,785 21,810 22,935 23,835 23,835

18,450 North Africa 20,800 22,100 23,150 23,675 23,675


229,234 East Asia 239,185 233,237 249,395 258,405 257,655

23,980 South Asia 26,982 30,007 30,070 30,970 30,970

35,509 Southeast Asia 38,654 41,224 44,700 46,110 45,610

6,175 Central America 6,650 6,690 6,920 7,100 7,100

3,556 Others 3,581 3,979 3,910 3,865 3,865

869,298 Total 942,859 964,041 976,583 1,007,111 1,002,433

Ending Stocks none

23,383 North America 35,495 49,494 49,920 57,665 59,272

13,628 South America 19,463 12,966 10,221 11,716 11,116

5,146 European Union - 28 6,891 9,410 6,275 5,250 5,306

384 Other Europe 505 860 661 990 990


4,286 Middle East 6,035 7,300 7,248 6,401 6,401

1,771 North Africa 3,117 3,306 2,897 2,463 2,463


70,378 East Asia 84,856 103,925 114,108 105,271 106,971

1,744 South Asia 3,005 3,935 2,260 1,930 1,930

3,225 Southeast Asia 4,466 4,459 4,396 3,400 3,799

474 Central America 610 587 617 667 667

334 Others 397 453 370 372 347

133,290 Total 175,742 208,512 206,899 205,124 208,388




World Barley Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

TY Exports

2,0001,9002,9001,5992,8293,647 Argentina

6,0005,8005,2005,2666,2614,622 Australia

1,4001,4001,4501,3841,7141,316 Canada

9,0009,0009,90010,6424,9266,501 European Union

20020010097546546 India

700700800476501151 Kazakhstan

4,0004,0003,8005,8072,7912,366 Russia

606040371826 Serbia

4,0004,0003,8004,3323,8272,659 Ukraine

5050254336107 Uruguay

7575651294258 Others

27,48527,18528,08029,81223,49121,999 Subtotal

300300275292336163 United States

27,78527,48528,35530,10423,82722,162 World Total

none

TY Imports

900650600723778364 Algeria

1001001001037814 Azerbaijan

400400400489337369 Brazil

100100100935679 Chile

6,0006,0007,0009,8594,8912,183 China

285285300249253232 Colombia

1,6001,6001,9001,9001,1001,100 Iran

275275250278304244 Israel

1,1001,1001,1001,0971,2941,356 Japan

1,0001,000850759997831 Jordan

400400400412436388 Kuwait

8008009001,001681573 Libya

17517517518610847 Mexico

700500750276471148 Morocco

11011010012287103 Peru

10,00010,0009,8008,2008,50010,200 Saudi Arabia

200200100100100300 Syria

700700600483456762 Tunisia

40040080332596266 Turkey

400400500367468541 United Arab Emirates

9811,1161,1061,4141,0491,113 Others

26,62626,31127,11128,44323,04021,213 Subtotal

7597748241,231265518 Unaccounted

400400420430522431 United States

27,78527,48528,35530,10423,82722,162 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

Production

1,0001,3001,3001,3001,5001,500 Algeria

3,4003,4004,9002,9004,7505,000 Argentina

9,0008,5008,5938,6469,1747,472 Australia

2,1002,1002,0001,9881,6741,917 Belarus

8,1008,5008,2257,11910,2378,012 Canada

2,0002,0001,8001,8101,7001,626 China

2,0502,0501,9502,0301,9081,782 Ethiopia

62,76262,92761,34960,61559,67454,875 European Union

1,7001,7001,6101,8311,7521,619 India

3,8003,8003,8003,2002,8002,770 Iran

1,1001,1001,0501,000944500 Iraq

2,7002,7002,6752,4122,5391,500 Kazakhstan

17,75017,75017,08320,02615,38913,952 Russia

4,7505,4007,4004,0007,3005,500 Turkey

9,1008,6508,7519,4507,5616,935 Ukraine

8,9478,81211,3189,52210,6679,055 Others

140,259140,689143,804137,849139,569124,015 Subtotal

3,9794,2024,6663,9534,7194,768 United States

144,238144,891148,470141,802144,288128,783 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,0502,0502,0502,0502,0502,000 Algeria

2,9002,7003,0003,1002,8003,000 Australia

2,1002,1002,0002,0001,8002,000 Belarus

6,7506,9506,6006,4727,7206,809 Canada

8,1008,1009,00011,6006,3004,000 China

2,0252,0252,0252,0251,9251,725 Ethiopia

53,90053,90051,90050,90053,40051,000 European Union

1,5501,5501,5201,4001,2001,525 India

5,6005,6005,3004,6004,5004,300 Iran

2,0502,0502,0002,0002,0001,375 Kazakhstan

2,6502,4503,4002,7002,3001,900 Morocco

13,80013,80013,60014,10012,70012,100 Russia

10,32510,3259,7258,5258,6258,325 Saudi Arabia

5,5005,9006,9005,3506,9506,200 Turkey

4,8004,7004,7004,7005,0005,100 Ukraine

17,16417,08917,39016,80216,98015,524 Others

141,933141,983143,085137,454136,022126,429 Subtotal

4,4194,4194,3144,2344,7754,638 United States

146,352146,402147,399141,688140,797131,067 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,1541,1041,3041,3041,1781,217 Algeria

1,2139881,1131,020693536 Australia

1,5921,7921,5921,2171,950983 Canada

5,4886,8535,5265,8775,6215,044 European Union

1,4181,4181,6181,4186181,418 Iran

3,3513,0513,4663,0813,3963,006 Saudi Arabia

1,1269761,0211,265971872 Ukraine

5,6965,7977,1807,0877,6485,549 Others

21,03821,97922,82022,26922,07518,625 Subtotal

1,8992,0512,2311,7111,7911,750 United States

22,93724,03025,05123,98023,86620,375 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jun

2016/17

Jul

2016/17

TY Imports none

499 North America 639 781 720 625 625

1,064 South America 886 1,169 1,095 1,090 955

53 European Union - 28 58 269 100 100 100

126 Other Europe 163 120 130 155 155


13,906 Middle East 12,537 12,453 13,965 14,355 14,355

1,884 North Africa 2,432 2,581 2,925 2,750 3,200

52 Sub-Saharan Africa 116 138 90 90 90

3,668 East Asia 6,320 11,080 8,225 7,225 7,225

6 South Asia 13 24 16 16 16

8 Oceania 46 32 10 25 25

21,644 Total 23,562 28,873 27,531 26,711 27,026

Production none

13,812 North America 15,550 11,918 13,643 13,437 12,814

5,884 South America 5,737 3,769 5,873 4,448 4,700

54,875 European Union - 28 59,674 60,615 61,349 62,927 62,762

1,188 Other Europe 1,151 1,223 1,287 1,307 1,307


9,689 Middle East 12,047 8,653 12,858 10,718 10,068

3,307 North Africa 4,748 4,010 5,394 2,925 2,508


1,920 East Asia 1,991 2,134 2,088 2,297 2,297

1,956 South Asia 2,261 2,340 2,113 2,232 2,232

7,911 Oceania 9,591 9,052 9,030 8,900 9,400

128,783 Total 144,288 141,802 148,470 144,891 144,238


12,347 North America 13,245 11,556 11,839 12,294 12,094

3,152 South America 3,528 3,403 3,785 3,578 3,653

51,000 European Union - 28 53,400 50,900 51,900 53,900 53,900

1,298 Other Europe 1,298 1,354 1,389 1,409 1,409


22,435 Middle East 24,410 22,250 25,771 25,616 25,216

5,560 North Africa 6,230 7,159 7,703 6,708 6,908


5,812 East Asia 8,009 13,192 10,580 9,660 9,660

1,868 South Asia 1,715 1,915 2,039 2,088 2,088

3,425 Oceania 3,250 3,550 3,450 3,125 3,325

131,521 Total 141,025 142,558 145,424 145,708 145,683

Ending Stocks none

3,014 North America 3,974 3,326 4,223 4,228 3,876

657 South America 816 711 851 781 903

5,044 European Union - 28 5,621 5,877 5,526 6,853 5,488

220 Other Europe 205 166 146 171 141


5,736 Middle East 5,788 5,514 6,631 5,743 5,913

1,715 North Africa 2,480 2,138 2,874 1,796 1,774


736 East Asia 1,038 1,060 793 655 655

141 South Asia 253 266 280 240 240

588 Oceania 748 1,074 1,164 1,039 1,264

20,375 Total 23,866 23,980 25,051 24,030 22,937




World Sorghum Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

TY Exports

1,1001,1009009549533,059 Argentina

1,0001,0001,0001,7004101,430 Australia

25253013112 Brazil

252525757575 Ethiopia

50505012188231 India

100100501005050 Nigeria

5050130156229124 Ukraine

140140152170217191 Others

2,4902,4902,3373,2892,0335,162 Subtotal

5,5005,5007,8009,2495,7172,136 United States

7,9907,99010,13712,5387,7507,298 World Total

none

TY Imports

15015015098109404 Chile

5,0005,0006,80010,1624,161631 China

5050650104591 Colombia

5050150755050 Ethiopia

150150120131184291 European Union

7308507809031,0031,897 Japan

1001007511994102 Kenya

700700700291621,793 Mexico

50501001001256 South Sudan

10010030010075175 Sudan

395395565336691676 Others

7,4757,5959,80512,0536,7586,616 Subtotal

490370222458989439 Unaccounted

2525110273243 United States

7,9907,99010,13712,5387,7507,298 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

Production

3,9003,9003,3753,5004,4004,700 Argentina

2,2002,2002,0372,2091,2822,230 Australia

2,0002,0001,4502,0551,8902,102 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6711,7081,8801,924 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1501,100 Cameroon

9009008179007451,172 Chad

3,2003,2003,0002,8852,8922,556 China

3,7003,7002,6004,0003,8293,604 Ethiopia

5,5005,5004,6005,4505,5425,281 India

1,3001,3001,3001,2728201,212 Mali

6,9006,9005,5506,2708,5006,174 Mexico

1,3001,3001,3001,4261,3201,376 Niger

6,5006,5006,1506,7006,5925,943 Nigeria

900900900990680650 South Sudan

5,5005,5002,3886,2812,2494,524 Sudan

6,9026,9026,8247,2427,2066,768 Others

53,65253,65245,11254,03850,97751,316 Subtotal

10,66810,33815,15810,9889,9666,293 United States

64,32063,99060,27065,02660,94357,609 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,9502,9502,8002,8002,7002,300 Argentina

1,1051,1051,1055059051,080 Australia

1,9001,9001,5002,0002,0002,300 Brazil

1,8001,8001,7001,7001,9001,850 Burkina

1,1751,1751,1751,1751,1651,110 Cameroon

8,3008,3009,90012,9006,8003,200 China

3,6503,6502,9004,1003,9003,700 Ethiopia

920920890995880795 European Union

5,4005,4005,0005,1005,2005,150 India

1,3001,3001,3001,2009501,200 Mali

7,5007,5006,2006,6008,3008,100 Mexico

1,3001,3001,4001,4501,3001,200 Niger

6,4006,4006,0506,6506,5505,900 Nigeria

1,0001,0001,0001,050750650 South Sudan

5,5005,5003,1006,0002,5504,700 Sudan

8,2118,3318,2528,6908,65910,607 Others

59,21459,21454,88762,74555,57352,647 Subtotal

5,0795,0806,2242,4294,1274,796 United States

64,29364,29461,11165,17459,70057,443 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4965218469711,202781 Argentina

273246178246172185 Australia

471471581706568326 China

488388388338647285 Mexico

221221196271270225 Niger

200200200150200208 Nigeria

401401306723357588 Sudan

1,3451,3651,1992,0091,7501,804 Others

3,8953,8133,8945,4145,1664,402 Subtotal

1,1731,0961,147468864385 United States

5,0684,9095,0415,8826,0304,787 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jun

2016/17

Jul

2016/17

TY Imports none

2,036 North America 165 56 810 725 725

1,071 South America 239 114 255 240 240

291 European Union - 28 184 131 120 150 150

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

194 Middle East 232 23 40 15 15

1 North Africa 41 1 5 5 5


2,650 East Asia 5,281 11,142 7,635 5,905 5,785

18 Southeast Asia 46 14 15 15 15

11 Others 15 32 130 50 50

6,859 Total 6,761 12,080 9,915 7,620 7,500

Production none

12,467 North America 18,466 17,258 20,708 17,238 17,568

339 Central America 335 335 335 335 335

92 Caribbean 94 94 94 94 94

7,495 South America 7,081 6,404 5,667 6,777 6,777

473 European Union - 28 703 883 769 775 775

814 Middle East 789 691 535 635 635

763 North Africa 754 755 755 755 755


2,560 East Asia 2,895 2,887 3,002 3,202 3,202

5,404 South Asia 5,661 5,553 4,745 5,630 5,630


2,230 Oceania 1,282 2,209 2,037 2,200 2,200

209 Others 354 224 191 100 100

57,609 Total 60,943 65,026 60,270 63,990 64,320


12,896 North America 12,427 9,029 12,424 12,580 12,579

325 Central America 325 330 340 335 335

92 Caribbean 94 94 94 94 94

6,076 South America 5,757 5,785 5,302 5,907 5,907

795 European Union - 28 880 995 890 920 920

1,052 Middle East 894 865 590 645 645

756 North Africa 793 755 755 755 755


5,221 East Asia 7,951 13,911 10,710 9,210 9,090

5,283 South Asia 5,334 5,235 5,275 5,580 5,580


1,080 Oceania 905 505 1,105 1,105 1,105

80 Others 75 75 75 75 75

58,638 Total 58,636 65,344 60,496 63,611 63,490

Ending Stocks none

670 North America 1,511 806 1,535 1,484 1,661

30 Central America 33 38 28 23 23

1,146 South America 1,467 1,237 1,037 852 777

5 European Union - 28 18 23 17 17 17

65 Middle East 47 39 24 29 29

66 North Africa 68 69 74 79 79


413 East Asia 627 736 638 495 525

109 South Asia 364 593 143 193 193

185 Oceania 172 246 178 246 273

25 Others 76 69 55 24 24

4,787 Total 6,030 5,882 5,041 4,909 5,068




World Oats Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

TY Exports

555222 Argentina

300300300270270240 Australia

1,7001,7001,6001,7291,7321,351 Canada

757575844941 Chile

200200230231291126 European Union

1010201464 Russia

7070704662 Ukraine

10101081410 Others

2,3702,3702,3102,3842,3701,776 Subtotal


2,4002,4002,3352,4072,3991,794 World Total

none

TY Imports

555300 Albania

25253024127 Algeria

555432 Bosnia and Herzegovina

15151012279 Canada

20020020016211687 China

555221 Colombia

202020212119 Ecuador

555434 European Union

505050474651 Japan

1001001008693108 Mexico

10101023836 Norway

555222 Serbia

505050461911 South Africa

505050495144 Switzerland

555400 Turkey

555886 Others

555555555476441387 Subtotal

2452452801729252 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,5001,7591,8661,355 United States

2,4002,4002,3352,4072,3991,794 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

Production

110110110110110110 Algeria

500500553525445496 Argentina

1,5001,2001,3081,1981,2551,121 Australia

400400400522352422 Belarus

650350350350380361 Brazil

3,2003,3003,4302,9793,9062,830 Canada

475475470421610680 Chile

600600600600580600 China

8,1758,1757,5247,8548,3807,909 European Union

275275244226305200 Kazakhstan

909087939184 Mexico

240240236236214232 Norway

4,5004,5004,5275,2674,9324,027 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

500500498610467630 Ukraine

334334329296318315 Others

21,75921,25920,87621,49722,55520,227 Subtotal

1,1129871,3001,019938892 United States

22,87122,24622,17622,51623,49321,119 World Total

none

Total Consumption

135135140126118119 Algeria

500500550525425500 Argentina

1,150900950950950925 Australia

400400400500375400 Belarus

640350340345375350 Brazil

1,6501,6501,6501,6731,6601,592 Canada

400400375355570600 Chile

850850825750700675 China

7,8007,8007,5757,6758,0757,700 European Union

270270245225275225 Kazakhstan

190190190175185195 Mexico

255255245245245295 Norway

4,5004,5004,6005,2004,9004,300 Russia

215215215215215215 Turkey

430430430600475600 Ukraine

529529524471491451 Others

20,12119,58119,54520,05020,25419,217 Subtotal

2,6972,6972,7192,4242,7572,743 United States

22,81822,27822,26422,47423,01121,960 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

585863656749 Argentina

2011071519310560 Australia

7368368716811,054446 Canada

474747274561 Chile

7272122147135139 China

762762582858894901 European Union

186186196289230203 Russia

187177187192201222 Others

2,2492,2452,2192,3522,7312,081 Subtotal

848741825780359527 United States

3,0972,9863,0443,1323,0902,608 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jun

2016/17

Jul

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,472 North America 1,986 1,857 1,610 1,715 1,715

26 South America 29 30 30 30 30

4 European Union - 28 3 4 5 5 5

84 Other Europe 94 60 75 75 75


0 Middle East 0 4 5 5 5

7 North Africa 12 24 30 25 25


138 East Asia 162 209 250 250 250

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,742 Total 2,307 2,235 2,055 2,155 2,155

Production none

3,806 North America 4,935 4,091 4,817 4,377 4,402

1,577 South America 1,478 1,324 1,414 1,367 1,667

7,909 European Union - 28 8,380 7,854 7,524 8,175 8,175

365 Other Europe 348 369 372 375 375


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

166 North Africa 156 147 166 175 175


602 East Asia 582 602 601 601 601

1,139 Oceania 1,283 1,233 1,342 1,230 1,530

21,119 Total 23,493 22,516 22,176 22,246 22,871


4,530 North America 4,602 4,272 4,559 4,537 4,537

1,515 South America 1,447 1,285 1,336 1,322 1,612

7,700 European Union - 28 8,075 7,675 7,575 7,800 7,800

474 Other Europe 434 434 447 456 456


215 Middle East 215 215 215 215 215

175 North Africa 164 163 196 200 200


730 East Asia 750 800 875 900 900

943 Oceania 978 985 984 930 1,180

21,885 Total 22,791 22,454 21,973 22,071 22,611

Ending Stocks none

974 North America 1,417 1,467 1,699 1,580 1,587

128 South America 129 105 128 118 128

901 European Union - 28 894 858 582 762 762

27 Other Europe 41 38 38 32 32


13 Middle East 8 6 6 6 6

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


144 East Asia 138 149 125 76 76

60 Oceania 105 93 151 107 201

2,608 Total 3,090 3,132 3,044 2,986 3,097




World Rye Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

TY Exports

5555525 Belarus

1501501008997178 Canada

150150160167201122 European Union

100100501218379 Russia

101020135916 Ukraine

000111 Others

415415335396446421 Subtotal


420420340399452428 World Total

none

TY Imports

10010070969668 European Union

252515183334 Israel

202015223727 Japan

1010104812 Korea, South

20201551621 Norway

5555525 Russia

555669 Switzerland

000614 Others

185185135162202200 Subtotal

35355-25467 Unaccounted

200200200262204221 United States

420420340399452428 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jun

2016/17

Jul

none

Production


8008008008676481,082 Belarus

325325225218223337 Canada

8,1608,1607,8168,86810,1518,763 European Union

2,5002,5002,0843,2793,3602,132 Russia

350350350300365370 Turkey

350350394475638676 Ukraine

138138121144126146 Others

12,69812,69811,85114,24815,56313,546 Subtotal

311190292183194166 United States

13,00912,88812,14314,43115,75713,712 World Total

none

Total Consumption


252522191940 Australia

8508508008506501,000 Belarus

140140123134107127 Canada

8,2008,2008,1008,6009,6508,700 European Union

505037654050 Kazakhstan

323227202826 Norway

2,3502,3502,1753,2503,1002,000 Russia

350350350325350375 Turkey

350350400475625625 Ukraine

11211296102140132 Others

12,54012,54012,17313,94714,76613,146 Subtotal

525445513406424387 United States

13,06512,98512,68614,35315,19013,533 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

112112167172160167 Belarus

797944424446 Canada

9269261,0161,3901,204795 European Union

444483 Kazakhstan

183183128264344153 Russia

141414143318 Turkey

707080106128166 Ukraine

112347 Others

1,3891,3891,4551,9951,9251,355 Subtotal


1,4111,4081,4672,0101,9321,365 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jun

2016/17

Jul

2016/17

TY Imports none

221 North America 204 262 200 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

68 European Union - 28 96 96 70 100 100

32 Other Europe 23 11 20 25 25


34 Middle East 33 24 15 25 25


39 East Asia 45 26 25 30 30

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

421 Total 406 424 335 385 385

Production none

503 North America 417 401 517 515 636

47 South America 59 105 69 83 83

8,763 European Union - 28 10,151 8,868 7,816 8,160 8,160

46 Other Europe 53 52 51 52 52


370 Middle East 365 300 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

40 Oceania 20 20 22 25 25

13,712 Total 15,757 14,431 12,143 12,888 13,009


514 North America 531 540 636 585 665

47 South America 59 105 69 83 83

8,700 European Union - 28 9,650 8,600 8,100 8,200 8,200

78 Other Europe 77 66 71 77 77


409 Middle East 383 343 365 375 375


37 East Asia 48 27 26 31 31

40 Oceania 19 19 22 25 25

13,502 Total 15,185 14,343 12,704 12,979 13,059

Ending Stocks none

56 North America 51 57 56 98 101

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

795 European Union - 28 1,204 1,390 1,016 926 926

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


18 Middle East 33 14 14 14 14


7 East Asia 4 3 2 1 1

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,365 Total 1,932 2,010 1,467 1,408 1,411




38

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 39 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 40 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 41 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 42 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 46 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 48 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 50 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 51

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..52 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 53 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 54 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 55 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 56

DG F/SA &F


European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.1

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.8 123.554.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 13.8

160.0 128.859.033.06.76.026.8 2015/16 18.7

156.5 129.359.034.05.55.826.9 2016/17 17.4

Coarse Grains

149.7 150.9112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8

140.3 150.9112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7

138.8 157.2121.64.520.34.232.7 2007/08 13.1

165.2 154.5116.15.73.14.834.1 2008/09 21.3

158.0 152.8114.83.02.94.833.0 2009/10 26.3

143.2 155.0116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9

150.1 151.7113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7

146.2 153.3113.77.411.84.631.4 2012/13 13.1

159.2 164.4122.48.616.35.131.5 2013/14 15.6

170.8 162.5121.314.09.05.530.8 2014/15 18.8

151.2 157.4116.612.113.75.030.1 2015/16 14.3

159.9 160.3119.611.911.45.330.2 2016/17 13.3

Wheat and Coarse Grains

282.5 279.1175.420.09.44.859.2 2005/06 46.9

265.9 277.1173.118.513.24.757.1 2006/07 30.5

259.6 274.3174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

317.2 282.1176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.7 278.4172.325.38.25.059.0 2009/10 42.9

279.9 277.8169.429.313.15.056.3 2010/11 28.8

288.3 278.9170.723.314.35.156.1 2011/12 29.3

280.1 272.6164.730.217.14.957.4 2012/13 23.8

303.8 281.7171.440.720.35.357.4 2013/14 25.5

327.6 286.0175.349.414.95.757.5 2014/15 32.6

311.3 286.2175.645.120.45.556.9 2015/16 33.0

316.4 289.6178.645.916.95.557.1 2016/17 30.8


China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3

126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1

130.2 112.010.50.83.35.424.1 2015/16 96.8

130.0 117.015.00.83.55.324.3 2016/17 112.5

Coarse Grains

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.9

159.0 153.5105.05.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4

212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4

225.4 223.5157.80.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.7

222.8 229.1158.80.025.75.739.2 2014/15 102.0

231.8 239.0167.00.017.15.840.2 2015/16 111.8

225.7 245.2169.90.012.25.938.1 2016/17 104.5


245.3 248.6107.05.23.44.851.6 2005/06 71.4

267.4 255.5109.08.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3

333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3

347.3 340.0173.80.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.9

349.0 345.6174.80.827.65.563.3 2014/15 178.1

362.0 351.0177.50.820.45.664.3 2015/16 208.6

355.7 362.2184.90.815.75.762.4 2016/17 217.0


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.4 4.71.00.71.64.00.9 2012/13 1.1

4.1 4.81.11.31.94.50.9 2013/14 0.9

3.9 4.91.10.71.84.01.0 2014/15 1.1

4.1 4.91.21.01.94.50.9 2015/16 1.2

4.6 5.11.41.11.84.71.0 2016/17 1.3

Coarse Grains

10.1 9.78.51.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3

9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.5

9.5 8.47.02.30.84.62.1 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

8.8 7.76.31.90.94.42.0 2013/14 0.8

10.6 8.06.73.10.85.71.9 2014/15 1.1

8.9 8.36.91.80.84.91.8 2015/16 0.8

10.0 8.36.92.30.95.31.9 2016/17 1.2


13.9 14.89.41.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4

13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7

13.1 13.28.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.5

10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

12.9 12.57.43.12.74.52.9 2013/14 1.7

14.6 12.97.83.72.55.12.8 2014/15 2.2

13.0 13.28.12.82.84.82.7 2015/16 2.0

14.6 13.48.33.32.75.12.8 2016/17 2.5


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

81.0 75.624.413.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.1

115.0 80.028.439.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.4

77.8 71.721.625.47.21.844.0 2012/13 14.3

103.9 72.822.737.27.52.247.7 2013/14 15.7

112.7 75.924.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.1

117.7 77.925.850.47.62.449.0 2015/16 17.1

118.9 78.826.345.67.32.548.0 2016/17 18.8

Coarse Grains

47.5 41.828.48.81.12.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.6 54.438.624.71.02.927.0 2011/12 6.1

68.2 50.235.619.90.72.527.5 2012/13 5.0

87.8 55.740.030.80.83.029.4 2013/14 7.0

91.6 58.142.133.90.83.030.2 2014/15 7.4

82.8 55.740.630.40.72.928.2 2015/16 4.8

88.0 57.241.831.20.73.128.6 2016/17 5.2


Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.50.11.211.6 2015/16 2.7

13.0 6.92.17.00.11.211.0 2016/17 1.8

Russia

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.00.82.425.6 2015/16 6.1

65.0 37.514.525.50.52.526.0 2016/17 8.6

Ukraine

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2

27.3 12.54.517.00.13.87.1 2015/16 3.0

25.0 12.54.512.50.14.06.3 2016/17 3.1

Uzbekistan

6.8 8.41.90.32.24.91.4 2013/14 1.9

7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2

7.2 9.42.30.22.75.11.4 2015/16 2.5

7.2 9.52.20.22.55.11.4 2016/17 2.5

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.8 12.02.90.44.32.63.4 2013/14 3.0

8.8 12.73.50.44.52.63.4 2014/15 3.2

8.5 12.22.90.74.02.53.4 2015/16 2.8

8.7 12.43.00.44.22.63.3 2016/17 2.8

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

103.9 72.822.737.27.52.247.7 2013/14 15.7

112.7 75.924.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.1

117.7 77.925.850.47.62.449.0 2015/16 17.1

118.9 78.826.345.67.32.548.0 2016/17 18.8



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2013/14 0.3

2.4 2.01.70.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2

2.7 2.01.70.80.01.32.0 2015/16 0.1

2.7 2.11.80.70.01.32.1 2016/17 0.1

Russia

15.4 12.78.32.70.21.98.0 2013/14 0.9

20.0 14.19.25.30.02.38.8 2014/15 1.5

17.1 13.68.94.30.12.18.0 2015/16 0.8

17.8 13.89.04.00.12.28.1 2016/17 0.8

Ukraine

7.6 5.03.52.50.02.33.2 2013/14 1.0

9.5 4.73.24.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.3

8.8 4.73.24.30.02.93.0 2015/16 1.0

9.1 4.83.34.20.03.03.0 2016/17 1.1

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2015/16 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2016/17 0.0


3.4 3.52.70.00.12.61.3 2013/14 0.4

3.4 3.62.80.10.22.71.3 2014/15 0.3

3.6 3.72.90.10.12.71.3 2015/16 0.3

3.8 3.83.00.10.12.71.4 2016/17 0.3


29.2 23.516.45.60.32.014.5 2013/14 2.6

35.6 24.717.110.30.32.315.3 2014/15 3.4

32.3 24.316.99.50.32.214.5 2015/16 2.2

33.6 24.817.39.00.32.314.7 2016/17 2.2



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0

0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1

0.7 0.60.50.10.05.30.1 2015/16 0.2

0.8 0.70.60.10.05.30.2 2016/17 0.1

Russia

11.6 7.56.64.20.15.02.3 2013/14 0.3

11.3 8.17.23.20.04.42.6 2014/15 0.3

13.2 8.98.04.40.14.92.7 2015/16 0.3

14.0 9.58.64.50.15.02.8 2016/17 0.3

Ukraine

30.9 9.78.320.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.4

28.5 9.48.019.70.06.24.6 2014/15 1.8

23.3 8.47.016.00.15.74.1 2015/16 0.8

26.0 8.77.317.00.16.24.2 2016/17 1.2

Uzbekistan

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2016/17 0.0


3.7 3.22.90.60.33.81.0 2013/14 0.6

3.2 3.22.90.30.43.70.9 2014/15 0.8

3.1 3.33.00.20.33.20.9 2015/16 0.7

3.2 3.22.90.30.33.70.9 2016/17 0.6


46.9 21.118.424.80.45.78.3 2013/14 3.4

43.8 21.518.823.20.55.38.3 2014/15 3.0

40.4 21.418.720.60.45.17.9 2015/16 1.9

44.2 22.319.522.00.45.58.1 2016/17 2.2


Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3

10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

14.0 6.40.35.30.02.85.0 2014/15 4.9

11.3 6.20.18.80.03.03.8 2015/16 1.2

15.0 6.30.19.00.03.05.0 2016/17 0.9

Australia

22.9 6.73.418.60.11.813.0 2012/13 4.7

25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6

23.9 7.23.816.60.21.912.4 2014/15 4.8

24.5 7.23.816.40.21.912.8 2015/16 5.9

25.5 7.54.017.50.22.012.8 2016/17 6.6

Canada

27.2 9.64.319.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 9.44.223.30.43.610.4 2013/14 10.4

29.4 9.13.724.20.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1

27.6 8.63.422.00.52.99.6 2015/16 4.6

29.0 8.83.620.50.53.19.3 2016/17 4.7

European Union

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.8 123.554.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 13.8

160.0 128.859.033.06.76.026.8 2015/16 18.7

156.5 129.359.034.05.55.826.9 2016/17 17.4

Kazakhstan

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.50.11.211.6 2015/16 2.7

13.0 6.92.17.00.11.211.0 2016/17 1.8

Russia

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 4.9

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.00.82.425.6 2015/16 6.1

65.0 37.514.525.50.52.526.0 2016/17 8.6



Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Ukraine

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2

27.3 12.54.517.00.13.87.1 2015/16 3.0

25.0 12.54.512.50.14.06.3 2016/17 3.1

Total Wheat Competitors

256.6 193.576.088.77.12.891.4 2012/13 31.2

306.2 192.174.8112.65.53.295.4 2013/14 38.2

321.0 200.480.8121.17.63.495.4 2014/15 45.3

325.5 207.286.9129.78.33.397.2 2015/16 42.2

329.0 208.887.8126.06.83.497.3 2016/17 43.2



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4

28.7 9.36.018.90.08.23.5 2014/15 1.9

28.0 9.36.019.00.08.03.5 2015/16 1.6

34.0 10.46.623.00.08.14.2 2016/17 2.2

Brazil

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 10.1

56.1 48.541.511.60.44.312.9 2009/10 6.5

57.4 50.043.08.40.84.213.8 2010/11 6.3

73.0 51.544.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 4.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 9.2

80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 14.0

85.0 57.048.034.50.35.415.8 2014/15 7.8

70.0 55.547.018.51.54.415.8 2015/16 5.3

80.0 58.049.022.00.65.115.8 2016/17 5.9

China

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 208.0150.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 81.3

215.6 202.0140.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 100.5

224.6 217.5153.50.03.15.938.1 2015/16 110.6

218.0 226.0159.00.01.06.136.0 2016/17 103.6

South Africa

12.6 10.34.71.70.04.32.9 2008/09 2.0

13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3

12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7

14.9 11.55.52.00.14.93.1 2013/14 2.2



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


10.6 11.76.10.72.03.53.0 2014/15 2.4

6.5 11.05.50.73.53.41.9 2015/16 0.7

13.0 11.35.61.50.54.13.2 2016/17 1.4

Total Corn Competitors

245.0 215.2155.719.31.25.049.4 2008/09 64.2

258.5 231.0169.430.31.75.150.4 2009/10 63.0

270.8 248.0181.327.32.25.152.9 2010/11 60.7

299.5 257.2184.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 65.7

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 78.7

339.4 283.3207.340.04.15.858.6 2013/14 98.9

340.0 280.0200.154.17.85.759.4 2014/15 112.6

329.1 293.3212.038.28.15.559.3 2015/16 118.3

345.0 305.7220.246.52.15.859.2 2016/17 113.2



Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Australia

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7

8.6 3.11.85.20.02.14.1 2014/15 1.0

8.6 3.01.75.50.02.14.1 2015/16 1.1

9.0 2.91.66.00.02.24.1 2016/17 1.2

Canada

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

7.1 6.55.21.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2

8.2 6.65.41.40.23.52.4 2015/16 1.6

8.1 6.85.51.40.13.42.4 2016/17 1.6

European Union

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.55.00.14.412.5 2012/13 5.0

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6

60.6 50.935.59.50.14.912.4 2014/15 5.9

61.3 51.936.510.10.35.012.2 2015/16 5.5

62.8 53.938.59.00.15.112.4 2016/17 5.5



Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2

3.5 2.82.40.90.04.50.8 2014/15 1.0

3.4 2.82.40.70.04.50.8 2015/16 0.8

3.9 3.02.61.30.04.60.9 2016/17 0.5

Australia

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.2 0.50.51.60.03.00.7 2014/15 0.2

2.0 1.11.11.00.03.00.7 2015/16 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.00.03.10.7 2016/17 0.3


U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

20,47731,5543,32622,75223,2493,9874,06855,147nr318,771 2014/15

26,70731,5873,60021,75021,1433,1003,12055,840nr319,058 2015/16

30,07936,2528,16525,00025,1743,2503,26661,532nr317,844 2016/17

Corn

43,974301,854135,04546,77347,359809804361,091nr1133,644 2014/15

43,200299,522132,08648,50048,2621,5001,524345,486nr1132,678 2015/16

52,852308,625139,70652,00052,0721,0001,016369,333nr1135,026 2016/17

Sorghum

4682,4292,0489,2498,965271010,988nr42,590 2014/15

1,1476,2242,7947,8008,38211012715,158nr53,177 2015/16

1,1735,0792,5405,5005,588252510,668nr42,613 2016/17

Barley

1,7114,2349352923124305133,953nr41,011 2014/15

2,2314,3149932752354204034,666nr41,258 2015/16

1,8994,4191,0893003274004353,979nr41,043 2016/17

Oats

7802,4241,30623261,7591,8521,019nr2419 2014/15

8252,7191,59925271,5001,4911,300nr3516 2015/16

8482,6971,56530291,6001,6371,112nr2471 2016/17

Rye

1540616436262237183nr2104 2014/15

1251326755200223292nr2146 2015/16

2252527756200230311nr2179 2016/17

Rice, Milled

1,5524,155nr3,4723,2077587837,10610,07981,187 2014/15

1,2983,853nr3,4503,2707657626,1078,72481,042 2015/16

1,8064,382nr3,6503,6517757627,77911,11391,291 2016/17

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)

statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and

'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and

sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.


Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,285.9 422.81,329.8656.6202.22.4544.3 1987/88

1,218.1 339.11,301.8619.5203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.4 320.31,346.2644.5208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.5 368.31,369.6669.8190.12.6545.6 1990/91

1,355.5 357.91,365.9653.5207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.6 398.51,388.2664.1205.22.6545.9 1992/93

1,356.5 366.01,389.0657.1188.22.5536.0 1993/94

1,393.0 363.21,395.7670.5200.12.6534.1 1994/95

1,338.9 320.31,381.8641.8187.52.5527.2 1995/96

1,490.1 368.71,441.6674.6198.32.7545.7 1996/97

1,490.6 416.11,443.2685.6190.42.8535.2 1997/98

1,481.3 449.01,448.4685.4198.72.8520.2 1998/99

1,465.6 444.11,469.9690.4214.02.9506.2 1999/00

1,446.8 418.71,472.2700.4204.92.8509.3 2000/01

1,480.1 403.21,495.7713.6208.32.9511.7 2001/02

1,445.0 341.81,506.4711.6209.22.9504.7 2002/03

1,473.0 279.11,535.7717.9205.82.9511.2 2003/04

1,643.0 335.71,586.3756.2214.43.2514.8 2004/05

1,600.1 318.51,617.3758.1222.53.1517.5 2005/06

1,584.9 273.01,630.5749.6229.93.1519.1 2006/07

1,692.8 289.91,675.8764.4244.73.2534.7 2007/08

1,792.0 359.81,722.2774.2253.63.3539.5 2008/09

1,804.1 396.21,767.6782.2254.13.4533.6 2009/10

1,747.8 360.01,784.0773.6250.13.3523.5 2010/11

1,853.4 360.11,853.3807.8287.13.4537.8 2011/12

1,794.7 341.11,813.7807.5279.53.4532.1 2012/13

1,995.6 406.31,930.5861.4327.33.7540.7 2013/14

2,033.0 462.71,976.6883.6334.93.7546.1 2014/15

1,982.7 487.11,958.3897.0346.53.6544.4 2015/16

2,040.9 495.82,032.3929.1337.73.8542.5 2016/17

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

523.1 164.7541.7103.0101.52.5213.4 1994/95

537.5 156.6545.696.999.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 165.3572.6101.4104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 199.0576.5106.2104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.5 210.5579.0109.4102.02.7219.2 1998/99

587.5 210.3587.6104.6111.92.8212.7 1999/00

583.3 206.5587.1111.2102.12.7215.6 2000/01

583.9 203.7586.6112.0107.92.7214.5 2001/02

569.7 169.5603.9116.1106.52.7213.9 2002/03

555.3 135.9588.9101.7103.52.7208.0 2003/04

626.8 156.4606.3110.7113.22.9215.8 2004/05

618.8 153.4621.8117.7114.12.8217.5 2005/06

596.7 133.6616.5113.1115.32.8212.3 2006/07

612.6 128.7617.5104.8116.02.8217.1 2007/08

683.7 169.2643.2124.4143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.0 203.2653.0122.3135.33.0225.6 2009/10

649.3 198.7653.9116.8134.13.0216.9 2010/11

696.9 197.9697.7148.7153.73.2220.9 2011/12

658.3 177.1679.1138.2147.33.1215.8 2012/13

715.0 194.2697.9126.6162.53.3219.6 2013/14

727.9 217.4704.6130.9161.53.3221.5 2014/15

734.6 244.5707.5134.3169.43.3224.7 2015/16

738.5 253.7729.3144.4167.73.4220.1 2016/17

Coarse Grains

869.8 198.5854.0567.698.62.7320.8 1994/95

801.4 163.7836.2544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96

908.7 203.5869.0573.294.32.9318.6 1996/97

880.4 217.1866.7579.485.82.9308.8 1997/98

890.8 238.6869.4575.996.73.0301.0 1998/99

878.1 233.8882.3585.8102.13.0293.5 1999/00

863.5 212.3885.1589.2102.82.9293.7 2000/01

896.3 199.5909.0601.5100.43.0297.2 2001/02

875.3 172.3902.5595.5102.73.0290.9 2002/03

917.7 143.1946.8616.2102.33.0303.3 2003/04

1,016.2 179.4980.0645.4101.23.4299.0 2004/05

981.3 165.1995.6640.4108.43.3300.0 2005/06

988.2 139.41,013.9636.5114.53.2306.8 2006/07

1,080.2 161.21,058.3659.6128.73.4317.6 2007/08

1,108.3 190.61,079.0649.7110.43.5315.4 2008/09

1,117.0 193.01,114.7659.9118.83.6308.0 2009/10

1,098.5 161.41,130.1656.8116.03.6306.6 2010/11

1,156.5 162.31,155.6659.1133.43.6316.9 2011/12

1,136.4 164.01,134.7669.3132.23.6316.3 2012/13

1,280.7 212.11,232.6734.8164.94.0321.1 2013/14

1,305.2 245.31,272.0752.8173.44.0324.7 2014/15

1,248.1 242.61,250.8762.7177.13.9319.7 2015/16

1,302.4 242.11,302.9784.7170.04.0322.4 2016/17

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

559.6 153.3535.7371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.7 133.3536.8365.264.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.9 166.3559.9387.866.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.1 167.2573.3400.663.14.2136.2 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.468.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.1 194.4605.1422.572.04.4138.9 1999/00

591.7 175.3610.8427.375.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.6436.372.74.4137.1 2001/02

603.8 126.8628.5433.476.84.4137.8 2002/03

627.6 104.6649.9445.779.04.4141.7 2003/04

717.1 131.1690.6475.976.04.9145.4 2004/05

700.9 123.5708.5479.582.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.6 108.8731.3480.391.34.8150.5 2006/07

795.7 127.9776.7501.398.25.0160.3 2007/08

800.1 143.5784.4481.983.65.0158.8 2008/09

825.2 140.9827.8492.792.75.2158.4 2009/10

835.9 123.6853.2503.591.75.1164.6 2010/11

889.8 128.3885.0508.5103.75.2172.1 2011/12

869.7 133.3864.8518.9100.54.9177.6 2012/13

991.4 175.7948.9572.0130.45.5180.5 2013/14

1,013.6 208.5980.8585.6128.05.6179.9 2014/15

959.8 206.9961.4598.2135.95.4176.7 2015/16

1,010.7 208.41,009.3618.5131.55.7178.8 2016/17

Barley

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.7 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01

143.4 29.2136.895.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.3 27.6135.994.716.32.554.7 2002/03

142.7 23.5146.8103.114.82.458.4 2003/04

152.1 33.1142.5100.017.02.757.4 2004/05

136.2 28.3141.097.317.42.555.2 2005/06

136.8 21.5143.698.414.62.456.3 2006/07

132.7 20.6133.791.018.52.455.7 2007/08

155.0 31.7143.8100.418.22.855.0 2008/09

150.9 37.4145.2101.417.32.854.2 2009/10

123.0 24.3136.191.315.22.647.1 2010/11

133.3 22.7135.091.721.42.749.2 2011/12

128.8 20.4131.188.622.22.649.9 2012/13

144.3 23.9140.897.223.82.850.7 2013/14

141.8 24.0141.797.430.12.849.8 2014/15

148.5 25.1147.499.928.43.050.1 2015/16

144.2 22.9146.4100.127.82.949.3 2016/17

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Productio

Productio

n

TY

Exports

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.4 120.6336.311.7345.33.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

540.0 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.222.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.9399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.0 103.0408.127.6378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.4 81.7413.827.3392.53.9149.3 2003/04

596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.8 2004/05

622.2 76.5415.429.0417.84.0153.9 2005/06

625.0 75.4421.231.8420.14.0154.5 2006/07

643.5 80.8428.129.5433.64.2154.8 2007/08

668.7 92.6437.629.4449.34.2158.2 2008/09

656.2 95.0438.431.8440.74.2155.8 2009/10

672.1 100.0445.336.5450.44.2158.4 2010/11

697.2 106.8460.840.0467.64.3160.7 2011/12

704.5 113.8465.539.5472.54.4158.5 2012/13

713.4 113.8478.444.2478.44.4161.8 2013/14

713.7 114.5478.042.8478.74.4161.0 2014/15

701.6 106.7478.541.3470.64.4158.5 2015/16

717.5 107.3480.640.5481.24.5161.2 2016/17

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


57

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


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OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2015/16 starts in 2015); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2015/16 starts in 2016). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


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Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade June 2016. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production July 2016. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov Questions may be directed to the following staff: Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 [email protected] Wheat Daniel Archibald (202) 720-9432 [email protected] Wheat Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice Kyle Bonsu (202) 260-8370 [email protected] Rice Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Coarse Grains Megan Davidow (202) 720-9438 [email protected] Coarse Grains


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