the i-trend project and synthetic cannabinoids : new...
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The I-TREND project and synthetic
cannabinoids : New challenges ?
Meeting of the National Coordinators for DrugsCANNABIS: THE STATE OF PLAY AND FUTURE
CHALLENGES
Riga, 16th April 2015
Magali Martinez
Project Manager
OFDT
w w w . o f d t . f r
WS 5 NPS Top list &
Technical Folders
WS1 Forums
WS2 Online Shops
WS3
Online Survey
WS4
Chemical analysis
Internet Tools for research on New Drugs in
Europe
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www.i-trend.eu
European project JUST/2012/DPIP/AG/3641 co-financed by
the Drug Prevention and Information Program of the
European Union.
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Czech Republic – CUNIDepartment of Addictology, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University,
Prague and General University Hospital, Prague.
France – OFDT French Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Saint-Denis.
Poland - SWPSUniversity of Social Sciences and Humanities, Warsaw.
The Netherlands – TRIMBOSTRIMBOS Institute, Utrecht, Utrecht.
United Kingdom - LJMUCentre for Public Health, Liverpool John Moores University.
I-TREND partners
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WS 5 NPS Top list
&
Technical Folders
WS1 Forums
WS2 Online Shops
WS3
Online Survey
WS4
Chemical analysis
Internet Tools for research on New Drugs in
Europe The I-TREND project
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WS 1 : Monitoring online drugs discussions
Manual collection each month of the number
of new viewson 800 till 1000 online discussions by partners
for a total of 4000- 5000 monitored online
discussions
Creation of a computational tool enabling us To automate the data collection more than a human
can do
To ease the data management and reduce the time-
work
To provide quickly visual charts for exploring data
WS 5 : the trigger and the fulfilment
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The TOP LISTs = Build a way to prioritize the choice
of NPS by using
REITOX data sources: customs or police seizures,
toxicovigilance signals
General population survey results
National-specific data, such as results on chemical
analyses performed as part of national psychoactive
substance investigation operative plan
Eg. DIM, SINTES
The Technical folders document selected NPS with
data coming from all others WS
Around 20 National Technical Folders quite achieved
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Synthetic Cannabinoids on Top Lists
In June 2013 – FIRST TOP LIST per country
Of 5 partners, 3 have selected 3 SC
UK – 5F-AKB-48
PL and FR – AM-2201 and UR-144
Why so few SC on Top Lists ?
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Position of SC towards other NPS families
Daily average of new views per day
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First key lesson
Consumers of drugs using forums
have a more important interest for
stimulants rather than SC
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Synthetic Cannabinoids on Top Lists
5F-AKB-48, AM-2201, UR-144
WELL SPOTTED !
In August 2014 – Second Top List
Update shows little changes suggesting that
users’ preferences are stable
UK and FR - 5F-AKB-48
PL - AM-2201 and UR-144
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Synthetic Cannabinoids on Top Lists
The daily average of new views per day of online
discussion related to 5F-AKB-48, AM-2201
since November 2013 from October 2014
remains important and stable
meaning that unlike most of SC they are
potentially going to become common products
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And what about the next raising synthetic
cannabinoids ?
Daily average of new views per day on online
discussions related to SC
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4w w w . o f d t . f r
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And what about the next upcoming synthetic
cannabinoids ?
In a near future it could happen that become more
visible :
5F-PB 22
AB-CHIMINACA
AB-FUBINACA
Plus AM-2201 and 5F-AKB-48 !
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Second key lesson
Monitoring the digital space
involves to have suitable
computational tools created and
dedicated for this task
w w w . o f d t . f r
The TOP LIST = To build a way to prioritize the
choice of NPS by using
REITOX data sources: customs or police seizures,
toxicovigilance signals
General population survey results
National-specific data, such as results on chemical
analyses performed as part of national psychoactive
substance investigation operative plan
DIM, SINTES
The Technical folders document those selected NPS
with the data coming from all others WS
Around 20 National Technical Folders quite achieved –
available soon
WS 5 : the trigger and the fulfilment
w w w . o f d t . f r
The TOP LIST = To build a way to prioritize the
choice of NPS by using
REITOX data sources: customs or police seizures,
toxicovigilance signals
General population survey results
National-specific data,
With I-TREND use of additional quantitative and
qualitative information coming from
WS1 _ online drugs discussions
WS2 _ E-shops
WS 5 : the trigger and the fulfillment
w w w . o f d t . f r
Understanding SC phenomenon implies
Not to think only with chemical names
But should also take in consideration
Accessibility of commercial products / so-called
“branded product”
The state of the national drug market
SC - Go ahead, beyond a chemical approach
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Take in consideration Commercial Products
Distribution by countries,
of the daily average number of views on SC and BP
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Take in consideration Commercial Products
Distribution by countries,
of the daily average number of views on SC and BP
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Take in consideration Commercial Products
Distribution by countries,
of the daily average number of views on SC and BP
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Third key lesson
Off-line Smart shops/Herbal
shops/Head shops/ could ease
accessibility and diffusion of
commercial SC products
Eg. National surveys in Poland and
massive shutdown of smart shops
Lifetime prevalence among 18-19 aged
2008 – 4%
2010 – around 11%
2013 – 5,2%
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Take in consideration state of the
national drug market
Distribution by countries, of the daily average
number of views on online discussions about SC
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Take in consideration state of the
national drug market
Distribution by countries, of the daily average
number of views on online discussions about SC
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Fourth key lesson
Countries offering a “good”
accessibility to the supply of
cannabis could be more protected
from SC diffusion rather than
others countries with a low access
to it
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Fifth key lesson– qualitative
information
Users of forums are quickly
disappointed by SC, despite the
offer, few SC seem to be relevant
for users’ interest
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SC, are they a hype circle ?
Technologietrigger
Peak of InfaltedExpectations
Trough ofdisillusionment
Slope ofenlightenment
Plateau ofproductivity
expectations
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SC are they a hype circle ?
Technologietrigger
Peak of InfaltedExpectations
Trough ofdisillusionment
Slope ofenlightenment
Plateau ofproductivity
expectations
PRODUCTIONCAPACITIES
ANDHigh Speed
Debit !
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SC are they a hype circle ?
Technologietrigger
Peak of InfaltedExpectations
Trough ofdisillusionment
Slope ofenlightenment
Plateau ofproductivity
expectations
PRODUCTIONCAPACITIES
ANDHigh Speed
Debit !
BUZZ at each SC launch
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SC are they a hype circle ?
Technologietrigger
Peak of InfaltedExpectations
Trough ofdisillusionment
Slope ofenlightenment
Plateau ofproductivity
expectations
PRODUCTIONCAPACITIES
ANDHigh Speed
Debit !
BUZZ at each SC launch Most SC
“fall” in disinterest
w w w . o f d t . f r
SC are they a hype circle ?
Technologietrigger
Peak of InfaltedExpectations
Trough ofdisillusionment
Slope ofenlightenment
Plateau ofproductivity
expectations
PRODUCTIONCAPACITIES
ANDHigh Speed
Debit !
BUZZ at each SC launch Most SC
“fall” in disinterest
New mediums of diffusion /
applications / consumption tools /
Sub-Culture /
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Key Elements….
Stimulants could be a greater challenge
than SC right now
Off-line shops could ease accessibility
and diffusion of commercial SC products
Accessibility to traditional products
could be an adjustment gauge
SC in a general way could have a feeble
attraction – except few of them (AKB,...
?)
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Key Elements ….
2.0 monitoring involves specific
computational tools designed specifically
for this task
Let try the I-TREND platform !
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But if SC are not yet a challenge,
shouldn’t be considered them as the desert
of the Tartars ?
If SC are not already for the Millennial
generation, what about the Z Generation ?
E-njoint, Kanavope, vaporization,
Knowledge on how to use safely products
spreads faster than before Internet
Emergence of sub-cultures
“Do It By Yourself” / “Transhumanism”….
Thank you for your attention
magali.martinez@ofdt.fr
w w w . o f d t . f r
www.i-trend.eu
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