the i-trend project and synthetic cannabinoids : new...

The I-TREND project and synthetic

cannabinoids : New challenges ?

Meeting of the National Coordinators for DrugsCANNABIS: THE STATE OF PLAY AND FUTURE

CHALLENGES

Riga, 16th April 2015

Magali Martinez

Project Manager

OFDT

w w w . o f d t . f r

WS 5 NPS Top list &

Technical Folders

WS1 Forums

WS2 Online Shops

WS3

Online Survey

WS4

Chemical analysis

Internet Tools for research on New Drugs in

Europe


www.i-trend.eu

European project JUST/2012/DPIP/AG/3641 co-financed by

the Drug Prevention and Information Program of the

European Union.

http://www.i-trend.eu/


Czech Republic – CUNIDepartment of Addictology, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University,

Prague and General University Hospital, Prague.

France – OFDT French Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Saint-Denis.

Poland - SWPSUniversity of Social Sciences and Humanities, Warsaw.

The Netherlands – TRIMBOSTRIMBOS Institute, Utrecht, Utrecht.

United Kingdom - LJMUCentre for Public Health, Liverpool John Moores University.

I-TREND partners


WS 5 NPS Top list

&

Technical Folders

WS1 Forums

WS2 Online Shops

WS3

Online Survey

WS4

Chemical analysis

Internet Tools for research on New Drugs in

Europe The I-TREND project


WS 1 : Monitoring online drugs discussions

Manual collection each month of the number

of new viewson 800 till 1000 online discussions by partners

for a total of 4000- 5000 monitored online

discussions

Creation of a computational tool enabling us To automate the data collection more than a human

can do

To ease the data management and reduce the time-

work

To provide quickly visual charts for exploring data

WS 5 : the trigger and the fulfilment


The TOP LISTs = Build a way to prioritize the choice

of NPS by using

REITOX data sources: customs or police seizures,

toxicovigilance signals

General population survey results

National-specific data, such as results on chemical

analyses performed as part of national psychoactive

substance investigation operative plan

Eg. DIM, SINTES

The Technical folders document selected NPS with

data coming from all others WS

Around 20 National Technical Folders quite achieved


Synthetic Cannabinoids on Top Lists

In June 2013 – FIRST TOP LIST per country

Of 5 partners, 3 have selected 3 SC

UK – 5F-AKB-48

PL and FR – AM-2201 and UR-144

Why so few SC on Top Lists ?


Position of SC towards other NPS families

Daily average of new views per day


First key lesson

Consumers of drugs using forums

have a more important interest for

stimulants rather than SC



5F-AKB-48, AM-2201, UR-144

WELL SPOTTED !

In August 2014 – Second Top List

Update shows little changes suggesting that

users’ preferences are stable

UK and FR - 5F-AKB-48

PL - AM-2201 and UR-144



The daily average of new views per day of online

discussion related to 5F-AKB-48, AM-2201

since November 2013 from October 2014

remains important and stable

meaning that unlike most of SC they are

potentially going to become common products


And what about the next raising synthetic

cannabinoids ?

Daily average of new views per day on online

discussions related to SC

4w w w . o f d t . f r


And what about the next upcoming synthetic

cannabinoids ?

In a near future it could happen that become more

visible :

5F-PB 22

AB-CHIMINACA

AB-FUBINACA

Plus AM-2201 and 5F-AKB-48 !


Second key lesson

Monitoring the digital space

involves to have suitable

computational tools created and

dedicated for this task


The TOP LIST = To build a way to prioritize the

choice of NPS by using




National-specific data, such as results on chemical

analyses performed as part of national psychoactive

substance investigation operative plan

DIM, SINTES

The Technical folders document those selected NPS

with the data coming from all others WS

Around 20 National Technical Folders quite achieved –

available soon

WS 5 : the trigger and the fulfilment


The TOP LIST = To build a way to prioritize the

choice of NPS by using




National-specific data,

With I-TREND use of additional quantitative and

qualitative information coming from

WS1 _ online drugs discussions

WS2 _ E-shops

WS 5 : the trigger and the fulfillment


Understanding SC phenomenon implies

Not to think only with chemical names

But should also take in consideration

Accessibility of commercial products / so-called

“branded product”

The state of the national drug market

SC - Go ahead, beyond a chemical approach


Take in consideration Commercial Products

Distribution by countries,

of the daily average number of views on SC and BP

4w w w . o f d t . f r

Take in consideration Commercial Products

Distribution by countries,

of the daily average number of views on SC and BP


Third key lesson

Off-line Smart shops/Herbal

shops/Head shops/ could ease

accessibility and diffusion of

commercial SC products

Eg. National surveys in Poland and

massive shutdown of smart shops

Lifetime prevalence among 18-19 aged

2008 – 4%

2010 – around 11%

2013 – 5,2%


Take in consideration state of the

national drug market

Distribution by countries, of the daily average

number of views on online discussions about SC


Fourth key lesson

Countries offering a “good”

accessibility to the supply of

cannabis could be more protected

from SC diffusion rather than

others countries with a low access

to it


Fifth key lesson– qualitative

information

Users of forums are quickly

disappointed by SC, despite the

offer, few SC seem to be relevant

for users’ interest


SC, are they a hype circle ?

Technologietrigger

Peak of InfaltedExpectations

Trough ofdisillusionment

Slope ofenlightenment

Plateau ofproductivity

expectations


SC are they a hype circle ?

Technologietrigger





expectations

PRODUCTIONCAPACITIES

ANDHigh Speed

Debit !



Technologietrigger





expectations


ANDHigh Speed

Debit !

BUZZ at each SC launch



Technologietrigger





expectations


ANDHigh Speed

Debit !

BUZZ at each SC launch Most SC

“fall” in disinterest



Technologietrigger





expectations


ANDHigh Speed

Debit !

BUZZ at each SC launch Most SC

“fall” in disinterest

New mediums of diffusion /

applications / consumption tools /

Sub-Culture /


Key Elements….

Stimulants could be a greater challenge

than SC right now

Off-line shops could ease accessibility

and diffusion of commercial SC products

Accessibility to traditional products

could be an adjustment gauge

SC in a general way could have a feeble

attraction – except few of them (AKB,...

?)


Key Elements ….

2.0 monitoring involves specific

computational tools designed specifically

for this task

Let try the I-TREND platform !


But if SC are not yet a challenge,

shouldn’t be considered them as the desert

of the Tartars ?

If SC are not already for the Millennial

generation, what about the Z Generation ?

E-njoint, Kanavope, vaporization,

Knowledge on how to use safely products

spreads faster than before Internet

Emergence of sub-cultures

“Do It By Yourself” / “Transhumanism”….

Thank you for your attention

[email protected]


www.i-trend.eu

http://www.i-trend.eu/

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