rethinking suburbia in the age of walkscore · 2018. 1. 17. · – real estate markets –...

RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCOREPACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

AGENDA

• What is Walk Score

• Why walkability really matters

– People with choices are making new ones

• Sustainability is “the right thing to do”

• …and we can no longer afford the alternative

• Demographics are destiny

• Where are the workers

– People without choices are increasingly left behind

• Reinventing suburbs: Sandy Springs, Georgia

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

• Measures walkability of individual addresses based on proximity to nearby amenities (stores, schools, entertainment, recreation, etc.)

• Ranks more than 10,000 U.S. neighborhoods in more than 2500 communities

• Correlations – Sustainability

– Household and community finances

– Real estate markets

– Economic competitiveness

– Social equity

WHAT IS WALK SCORE?

Impact of walkability on housing plus transportation costs (Minneapolis/St. Paul)

HousingHousing + transportation

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

MAKING CHOICES…“Doing the right thing”:

sustainability happens in the core

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

A new set of issues…environmental

healthHigher density, mixed use, walkablewalkablewalkablewalkable

centers offer…lower carbon footprints

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

…and personal health…healthier lifestyles

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

…less expensive lifestyles

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

…more dollars to spend on other choices

2003 2012

+375%

+100%

Total US household expenditures on food and gas 2003-2012

$80B

10B

20B

30B

40B

50B

60B

70B

Spent on food

Spent on gas

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

1960 70 80 90 2000 10 20 30

5M

10M

15M

20M

$25M

Age >64

Age 25-64

Net SELLERS of single family houses

Net BUYERS of single family houses

Demographics are destiny:

Americans are aging out of suburbia

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

• Married couple with children–less

than 25% of households.

• Traditional (one-worker) family–less

than 20% of households.

• Singles and couples make up

62%+ of households.

• Non-family households outnumber

traditional families in the suburbs.

…just as America becomes

a “nation of niches”

Residential Architecture Reinvention in the age of walk score David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy October 18 ,2012 PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

18% Single family

2008Existing housing

supply

2008-2030Housing demand

27% Multifamily

42% Single family

52% Multifamily

Residential Architecture Reinvention in the age of walk score David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy October 18 ,2012

Change has rapidly turned the

housing world upside down

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

% of jobs requiring a college degree

% of total US JOBS 2000-2020 (millions)

60%

40%

20 %

202020102000

Where are the workers?

% workforce with a college degree

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

Walk to win…scarce knowledge workers pursue lifestyles, not jobs

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

Preferred lifestyles are increasingly urban

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

• 1990…• Golf courses

• Large backyards

• Homogeneity

• Escape from work

• Convenient auto access

• 2012…• Main streets

• Transit

• Diversity

• Live near work

• Taking personal

responsibility for

sustainability

Translating demographics

into changing housing preferencesNew choices…people are voting with their

feet and dollars…new priories for living

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

…and working

Goody Clancy…David Dixon FAIA

• 1990…• Office parks

• Convenient auto access

• Convenient parking

• Escape to home

• Prestige address

• 2012…• Main Streets

• Transit

• Live near work

• Walkable environment

• Community

Translating demographicsinto changing housing preferences

…and working

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

LACKING CHOICES…

Exporting poverty to the suburbs

• US Census: 1982-2012 real incomes for households with less than a high school diploma fell by roughly one-third

• Chris Leinberger: as urban values rise…“many low-density suburbs and McMansionsubdivisions . . . may become what inner cities became in the 1960s and ‘70s—slums characterized by poverty, crime, and decay.”

US-level income

inequality slows

long-term economic

growth

New York Times

(10/17/12)

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

THE VIEW FROM THE SUBURBS

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

San Antonio “new urban neighborhood”

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

Dublin, OH “new downtown”

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

Rosslyn, Arlington, VA “making

an edge city walkable”

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

Sandy Springs, GA

“City Center”

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

New paradigms: real estate markets--1500 lofts and cool 2012-2022

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

New fiscal…and partnership…opportunities

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

New tools for creating economic value—density and proximity

• Less than 1/5 of retail

dollars spent in local

commercial districts

• 1,000 to 2,000 new

housing units within a

10- to 15-minute walk

needed to support a

block of new Main Street

(30-50 units per acre)

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

New paradigms…new thinking--community visioning charrette

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

Residential Architecture Reinvention in the age of walk score David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy October 18 ,2012

…including what change should look like

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

28

>$2/SF

$1.50-2/SF

<$1.50-2/SF

Putting the market to work creating walkability

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

New street segment

New pedestrian segment

New streetscape improvement

Hammond

Roswell

Cliftwood

Boylston

Carpenter

Hilderbrand

Bluestone

Lake Forest

Near term

Investing in the infrastructure of walkability

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

30

First 10 years…City Center

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

1500 housing units over a decadeA lively mixed-use downtown…2-2.5million SF

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

1500 housing units over a decadeA lively mixed-use downtown1500 housing units over a decadeA lively mixed-use downtown…2-2.5million SF

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

33

Civic center…city hall, performance center, public market…

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

34

Civic center…city hall, performance center, public market…

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

35

Expand green spaces: Destination parks, neighborhood links, city networkA City Green

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

Expand green spaces: Destination parks, neighborhood links,

city networkA City Green

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

A hierarchy of connected public spaces

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

A hierarchy of connected public spaces

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012

30 years…

PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012