rethinking suburbia in the age of walkscore · 2018. 1. 17. · – real estate markets –...
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RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCOREPACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
AGENDA
• What is Walk Score
• Why walkability really matters
– People with choices are making new ones
• Sustainability is “the right thing to do”
• …and we can no longer afford the alternative
• Demographics are destiny
• Where are the workers
– People without choices are increasingly left behind
• Reinventing suburbs: Sandy Springs, Georgia
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
• Measures walkability of individual addresses based on proximity to nearby amenities (stores, schools, entertainment, recreation, etc.)
• Ranks more than 10,000 U.S. neighborhoods in more than 2500 communities
• Correlations – Sustainability
– Household and community finances
– Real estate markets
– Economic competitiveness
– Social equity
WHAT IS WALK SCORE?
Impact of walkability on housing plus transportation costs (Minneapolis/St. Paul)
HousingHousing + transportation
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
MAKING CHOICES…“Doing the right thing”:
sustainability happens in the core
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
A new set of issues…environmental
healthHigher density, mixed use, walkablewalkablewalkablewalkable
centers offer…lower carbon footprints
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
…and personal health…healthier lifestyles
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
…less expensive lifestyles
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
…more dollars to spend on other choices
2003 2012
+375%
+100%
Total US household expenditures on food and gas 2003-2012
$80B
10B
20B
30B
40B
50B
60B
70B
Spent on food
Spent on gas
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
1960 70 80 90 2000 10 20 30
5M
10M
15M
20M
$25M
Age >64
Age 25-64
Net SELLERS of single family houses
Net BUYERS of single family houses
Demographics are destiny:
Americans are aging out of suburbia
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
• Married couple with children–less
than 25% of households.
• Traditional (one-worker) family–less
than 20% of households.
• Singles and couples make up
62%+ of households.
• Non-family households outnumber
traditional families in the suburbs.
…just as America becomes
a “nation of niches”
Residential Architecture Reinvention in the age of walk score David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy October 18 ,2012 PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
18% Single family
2008Existing housing
supply
2008-2030Housing demand
27% Multifamily
42% Single family
52% Multifamily
Residential Architecture Reinvention in the age of walk score David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy October 18 ,2012
Change has rapidly turned the
housing world upside down
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
% of jobs requiring a college degree
% of total US JOBS 2000-2020 (millions)
60%
40%
20 %
202020102000
Where are the workers?
% workforce with a college degree
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
Walk to win…scarce knowledge workers pursue lifestyles, not jobs
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
Preferred lifestyles are increasingly urban
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
• 1990…• Golf courses
• Large backyards
• Homogeneity
• Escape from work
• Convenient auto access
• 2012…• Main streets
• Transit
• Diversity
• Live near work
• Taking personal
responsibility for
sustainability
Translating demographics
into changing housing preferencesNew choices…people are voting with their
feet and dollars…new priories for living
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
…and working
Goody Clancy…David Dixon FAIA
• 1990…• Office parks
• Convenient auto access
• Convenient parking
• Escape to home
• Prestige address
• 2012…• Main Streets
• Transit
• Live near work
• Walkable environment
• Community
Translating demographicsinto changing housing preferences
…and working
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
LACKING CHOICES…
Exporting poverty to the suburbs
• US Census: 1982-2012 real incomes for households with less than a high school diploma fell by roughly one-third
• Chris Leinberger: as urban values rise…“many low-density suburbs and McMansionsubdivisions . . . may become what inner cities became in the 1960s and ‘70s—slums characterized by poverty, crime, and decay.”
US-level income
inequality slows
long-term economic
growth
New York Times
(10/17/12)
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
THE VIEW FROM THE SUBURBS
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
San Antonio “new urban neighborhood”
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
Dublin, OH “new downtown”
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
Rosslyn, Arlington, VA “making
an edge city walkable”
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
Sandy Springs, GA
“City Center”
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
New paradigms: real estate markets--1500 lofts and cool 2012-2022
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
New fiscal…and partnership…opportunities
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
New tools for creating economic value—density and proximity
• Less than 1/5 of retail
dollars spent in local
commercial districts
• 1,000 to 2,000 new
housing units within a
10- to 15-minute walk
needed to support a
block of new Main Street
(30-50 units per acre)
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
New paradigms…new thinking--community visioning charrette
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
Residential Architecture Reinvention in the age of walk score David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy October 18 ,2012
…including what change should look like
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
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>$2/SF
$1.50-2/SF
<$1.50-2/SF
Putting the market to work creating walkability
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
New street segment
New pedestrian segment
New streetscape improvement
Hammond
Roswell
Cliftwood
Boylston
Carpenter
Hilderbrand
Bluestone
Lake Forest
Near term
Investing in the infrastructure of walkability
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
30
First 10 years…City Center
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
1500 housing units over a decadeA lively mixed-use downtown…2-2.5million SF
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
1500 housing units over a decadeA lively mixed-use downtown1500 housing units over a decadeA lively mixed-use downtown…2-2.5million SF
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
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Civic center…city hall, performance center, public market…
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
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Civic center…city hall, performance center, public market…
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
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Expand green spaces: Destination parks, neighborhood links, city networkA City Green
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
Expand green spaces: Destination parks, neighborhood links,
city networkA City Green
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
A hierarchy of connected public spaces
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
A hierarchy of connected public spaces
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012
30 years…
PACE UNIVERSITY PLACES FOR PEOPLE RETHINKING SUBURBIA IN THE AGE OF WALK SCORE David Dixon FAIA, Goody Clancy 12/7/2012