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Public Procurement and Public Budgets – Management and Transparency 

Aleš MichlPortfolio Strategistales.michl@rb.czwww.rb.cz/modelove-portfolioSeptember 2011

Prague – Changchun7 653 km

80’s in Changchun

Now!

China was the biggest economy in the world for almost all of the past 2000 years

China failed to keep pace with the Europe/US in the Industrial Revolution

Source: Paul Kennedy/The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers, 1987.

CEO Marchionne: “Fiat would perform better without its loss-making Italian plants”

Advanced Economies: Central Government Public Debts (in % of GDP)

Source: Reinhart/Sbrancia: The Liquidation of Government Debt, Working Paper NBER, March 2011. http://www.nber.org/papers/w16893.pdf

World War 2

NOW

Czech republic Global Competitiveness Report 2011

Source: World Economic Forum, 2011

Czech republic Unit Labor Cost indicators by economic activity

Source: OECD

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

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125

Q2

-20

07

Q3

-20

07

Q4

-20

07

Q1

-20

08

Q2

-20

08

Q3

-20

08

Q4

-20

08

Q1

-20

09

Q2

-20

09

Q3

-20

09

Q4

-20

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Q1

-20

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Q2

-20

10

Q3

-20

10

Q4

-20

10

Unit Labor Cost - Total Economy (2005=100)

Unit Labor Cost - Industry (2005=100)

Unit Labor Cost - Construction (2005=100)

The UK government's new transparency intitiatives

A letter from PM David Cameron to Government departments on plans to open up Government data (31 May 2010):

“New items of central government spending over £25,000 to be published online from November 2010.”

“All new central government contracts to be published in

full from January 2011.”

“New items of local government spending over £500 to be published on a council-by-council basis from January 2011.”

Source: http://www.number10.gov.uk/news/letter-to-government-departments-on-opening-up-data/

If we fail to keep pace with China Industrial Revolution…

Disclaimer

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Raiffeisenbank elaborated this announcement with best professional care and in

good faith. However, it does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of its contents. Where the law permits, Raiffeisenbank and/or its employees may be engaged in any transaction or investment referred to in this announcement, as well as in any transaction or investment with the assets referred to in this announcement, or in related assets. Raiffeisenbank does not bear any liability for any damage or lost profit caused to any third parties through use of the information and data contained in this announcement.

The investment recommendations created by the Economic Research Team and

its employees, as well as the model portfolios, trading ideas, views, and forecasts, are only of a general character and intended for the public. They are not individualised or intended for specific parties in a specific financial situation, and they therefore do not constitute the service of investment consultancy as set forth in the Act 256/2004 Coll., on Capital Market Undertakings, as amended. For full information disclosure in accordance with the Decree 114/2006 Coll., on Fair Presentation of Investment Recommendations, see the Raiffeisenbank’s website, section Research – Disclosure, http://www.rb.cz/financni-trhy/analyzy/disclosure/

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