prioritising adaptation actions in value chains:what we know about best bets for costs benefits and...

What we know about best bets for costs benefits and co-benefits

Peter LäderachSenior Climate Change SpecialistInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT)February 2016

Prioritising adaptation actions in value chains:

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: ASAP IFAD Value Chains

CCAFS/CIAT climate science for IFAD/ASAP projects

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The example of NICADAPTCCAFS/CIAT Climate Science used by policy makers by farmers

in climate policies and for climate finance (IFAD/ASAP)

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability

-

Changes in temperature (°C)

Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.

Changes in precipitation (mm)

Current Climatic suitability of crops

Sensitivity

Adaptive Capacity

Potential Impact

Vulnerability

Changes in Crop suitability (%)

Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions

Education

Economic well being

Health and nutrition

Commitment to R & D

Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)

Future Climatic suitability of crops - =

- Education expenditure as % of GDP- Expenditure on education as % of government spending

- GDP per capita- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)- Gini coefficient (income)…

- Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity)- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)- Price index of food …

- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability

-

Changes in temperature (°C)

Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.

Changes in precipitation (mm)

Current Climatic suitability of crops

Sensitivity

Adaptive Capacity

Potential Impact

Vulnerability

Changes in Crop suitability (%)

Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions

Education

Economic well being

Health and nutrition

Commitment to R & D

Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)

Future Climatic suitability of crops - =

- Education expenditure as % of GDP- Expenditure on education as % of government spending

- GDP per capita- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)- Gini coefficient (income)…

- Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity)- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)- Price index of food …

- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability

-

Changes in temperature (°C)

Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.

Changes in precipitation (mm)

Current Climatic suitability of crops

Sensitivity

Adaptive Capacity

Potential Impact

Vulnerability

Changes in Crop suitability (%)

Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions

Education

Economic well being

Health and nutrition

Commitment to R & D

Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)

Future Climatic suitability of crops - =

- Education expenditure as % of GDP- Expenditure on education as % of government spending

- GDP per capita- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)- Gini coefficient (income)…

- Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity)- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)- Price index of food …

- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability

-

Changes in temperature (°C)

Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.

Changes in precipitation (mm)

Current Climatic suitability of crops

Sensitivity

Adaptive Capacity

Potential Impact

Vulnerability

Changes in Crop suitability (%)

Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions

Education

Economic well being

Health and nutrition

Commitment to R & D

Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)

Future Climatic suitability of crops - =

- Education expenditure as % of GDP- Expenditure on education as % of government spending

- GDP per capita- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)- Gini coefficient (income)…

- Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity)- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)- Price index of food …

- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Feasibility of CSA practices

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Cost and benefit of CSA practice

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Best bets, co-benefits & trade-offs

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Best bets, co-benefits & trade-offs

Plot level functions Full sun monocrop

Shade tree monocrop

Banana / food intercrop

Polyculture system

Forest system

Yield quantity Yield quality

External input use Nutrient recycling Production risks Plantation life Food security CC adaptation Carbon stock

Ecological services light color = low → dark color = high

Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Scaling of CSA in supply chains

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THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

Peter Läderach p.laderach@cgiar.org