presentation by caitlin wiesen-antin of undp on “rise of the south: perspectives from asia and the...

• THE RISE OF THE SOUTH IS RESHAPING THE WORLD

- IS UNPRECEDENTED, TECTONIC SHIFTS HAVE TAKEN PLACE

- GLOBAL REBALANCING - LIVING CONDITIONS, EXPANSION OF HUMAN

CAPABILITIES AND CHOICES HAVE CHANGED FASTER THAN BEFORE

• THE SOUTH IS DRIVING GLOBAL ECONOMIC GROWTH AND SOCIETAL CHANGE

RAPID HUMAN DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE GLOBE

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.90

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

HDI 1990

HD

I 2

01

2

RwandaUganda

Bangladesh

IndiaGhana

Viet NamIndonesia

ChinaTunisia

Turkey

Brazil

MauritiusMalaysiaMexico

Chile

Especially rapid progress in 40 countries of the South

Korea, Rep.

Thailand

Lao PDR

• In Asia-Pacific rapid human development progress is helping drive a historic shift in global dynamics

Hundreds of millions of people have risen from poverty By 2030, the region will host 2/3 of the worlds middle

class Between 2000 and 2012, South Asia’s annual growth in

HDI value was the highest in the world, while the growth in HDI value was third highest in East Asia and the Pacific

• Countries with different political systems and economic profiles have succeeded

Assertive governments have tapped into global trade and smart home grown social programmes

Negotiating complex choices between collectivism/central management and unfettered liberalisation

PROGRESS IN ASIA-PACIFIC IS SHIFTING GLOBAL DYNAMICS

GLOBAL REBALANCING

A CHANGING WORLD

1820

1835

1850

1865

1880

1895

1910

1925

1940

1955

1970

1985

2000

2040

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Brazil, India, ChinaGermany, France, Italy, UK, US, Canada

% S

hare

of

worl

d o

utp

ut

(PP

P)

• Most of the world’s poor live in the region, especially South Asia.

In South Asia losses due to inequality are highest in education and health.

The sub-region has high levels of gender inequality

• East Asian countries face ageing populations, environmental risks, political pressures and inequality

The sub-region is second highest in the world with respect to overall loss to HDI value due to inequality. Losses due to inequality are highest in the income component.

YET HUMAN DEVELOPMENT DEFICITS REMAIN

COST OF INACTION: POTENTIAL ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ON POVERTY

Natural disasters which are increasing in frequency/intensity also set back economic growth and human capabilities

Why have some countries done better than others?

What can we learn from them?

What are the common drivers?

Nurturing

industrial capacities

DRIVER 1 : PROACTIVE DEVELOPMENTAL STATES

DRIVERS OF SUCCESS

Enhancing public investment in

health and education

Commitment to

long-term human development

Actively

promoting job creation1

43

2

1Investing in

infrastructure to facilitate market access

DRIVER 2:TAPPING GLOBAL MARKETS

DRIVERS

Investment in people to make the best of trade opportunities

23 Expanding into

non-traditional markets and piggybacking on niche products

1 Expanding education access by equalizing funds across regions and municipalities

DRIVER 3: SOCIAL POLICY INNOVATIONS

DRIVERS

Poverty reduction through innovative cash transfer programmes

Health care for all and targeting the poor

2

3

BRAZIL THAILAND

MEXICO

4 Extending development benefits to the broader society key to accelerating progress

INDIA

How can we sustain human development for the

generations to come?

PROMOTING EQUITY, VOICE AND ACCOUNTABILITY

SUSTAINING MOMENTUM

Countries with less inequality do better and improve more in human development

1 2

4

Women’s education is essential to reduce gender inequality

Participation and inclusion essential to stability

and social cohesion

3Educated, interconnected youth demand greater

accountability

1

To reap a demographic dividend and benefit from

youth bulge, job creation should have priority

MANAGING DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE

SUSTAININGMOMENTUM

Education is key to reduce fertility rates

23

Skills formation and productivity gains can help cope with a rapidly aging population

• Governance for a changed world

• Opportunities for new development partnerships

THE RISE OF THE SOUTH

1MORE SPACE FOR NON STATE ACTORSCitizen networks and social media can promote new norms to reinforce accountability of both state and private actors

REDESIGN FOR A NEW ERA

IMPLICATIONS

GLOBAL GOVERNANCEFor fair representation and shared responsibility, 20th century institutions must adapt to 21st century realities

COHERENT PLURALISMRise in regional institutions and finance mechanisms2

3

NEW INSTITUTIONS, NEW MECHANISMS

IMPLICATIONS

$3.36 trillion

$6.84 trillion

• Infrastructure development banks

• New institutions can facilitate regional integration and South-South relationships

• A new South Commission

• Countries in the North continue to play a critical role for advancing the global development agenda

• Global governance institutions need revisiting and a more balanced and equitable representation from countries from the South

• Development challenges call for the establishment of new global gov. institutions and appraisal of existing ones

• It is the interest of the North to ensure an enabling environment for the South to prosper

PRIORITIES FOR A NEW ERAPost 2015 implications