nevada polling - realclearpolitics · gravis marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a...

Nevada Polling

Executive Summary

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 700 registered, likely voters in Nevada. The poll was conducted on September 11th

and the 12th, with a margin of error of ±3.7%. The totals may not round to 100% because of rounding. The survey was conducted using interactive voice

responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Gravis Marketing.

3) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance?

Q22: 2016VOTE Age group Gender

Didn't

Donald

Johnson

Hillary

Clinton

Stein 18-29 30-49 50-64

older Female Male

TRUMPPERFORMANCE

Somewhat Approve 45.2% 21.5% 5.7% 2.0% 0.0% 24.2% 20.4% 6.1% 6.2% 13.2% 13.4%

Somewhat

Disapprove 13.5% 2.2% 24.8% 9.0% 0.0% 16.3% 10.2% 3.1% 2.5% 9.7% 4.4%

Strongly Approve 1.6% 72.0% 3.8% 5.3% 31.4% 26.4% 21.8% 38.8% 42.8% 30.5% 34.8%

Strongly Disapprove 19.2% 2.4% 65.7% 81.1% 68.6% 23.5% 43.5% 50.4% 47.9% 41.4% 45.8%

Uncertain 20.5% 1.9% 0.0% 2.6% 0.0% 9.7% 4.2% 1.6% 0.7% 5.3% 1.6%

Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870

4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Heller’s job performance?

Didn't

Donald

Johnson

Hillary

Clinton

Stein 18-29 30-49 50-64

older Female Male

HELLERPERFORMANCE

Somewhat

Disapprove 0.7% 11.6% 28.0% 14.3% 2.5% 11.9% 18.0% 9.9% 9.6% 12.6% 12.6%

Uncertain 65.9% 9.2% 16.6% 6.7% 25.2% 35.4% 17.6% 3.9% 4.0% 19.1% 6.6%

5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Cortez Masto’s job performance?

Didn't

Donald

Johnson

Hillary

Clinton

Stein 18-29 30-49 50-64

older Female Male

CORTEZPERFORMANCE

Somewhat

Disapprove 7.0% 12.3% 19.7% 9.1% 77.9% 11.0% 19.6% 8.0% 9.1% 11.7% 12.7%

Uncertain 50.2% 18.5% 23.1% 16.5% 0.0% 23.3% 31.9% 13.2% 10.3% 25.5% 13.6%

6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Sandoval’s job performance?

Didn't

Donald

Johnson

Hillary

Clinton

Stein 18-29 30-49 50-64

older Female Male

SANDOVALPERFORMANCE

Somewhat

Disapprove 1.0% 12.2% 1.8% 18.1% 5.7% 2.2% 18.8% 16.4% 9.2% 10.1% 16.9%

Uncertain 51.9% 9.3% 0.0% 8.6% 0.0% 35.1% 12.5% 4.3% 3.7% 18.1% 4.4%

7) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Adam Laxalt and Democrat Steve Sisolak, who would you vote for?

Didn't vote Donald Trump Gary Johnson Hillary Clinton Jill Stein 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male

Q7: LAXALTVSSISOLAK Adam Laxalt 27.0% 77.4% 22.6% 8.2% 0.0% 25.0% 35.9% 40.2% 48.5% 37.1% 39.4%

Steve Sisolak 36.1% 10.9% 59.5% 85.6% 65.5% 52.9% 47.1% 52.3% 47.7% 48.3% 51.6%

Uncertain 36.9% 11.7% 17.9% 6.3% 34.5% 22.1% 17.0% 7.5% 3.8% 14.6% 9.0%

8) If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Jacky Rosen and Republican Dean Heller, who would you vote for?

Q8: ROSENVSHELLER Dean Heller 25.2% 84.5% 34.8% 11.4% 72.3% 43.7% 41.2% 44.9% 49.5% 41.6% 47.8%

Jacky Rosen 44.3% 8.7% 57.2% 82.3% 27.7% 43.8% 48.7% 47.6% 47.2% 44.9% 49.7%

Uncertain 30.5% 6.7% 8.0% 6.2% 0.0% 12.5% 10.2% 7.4% 3.4% 13.5% 2.5%

9) If the election for Lt. Governor were held today and the candidates were Democrat Kate Marshall and Republican Michael Roberson, who would

you vote for?

Didn't

Donald

Johnson

Hillary

Clinton

Stein 18-29 30-49 50-64

older Female Male

MARSHALLVSROBERSON

Kate Marshall 49.2% 6.3% 47.8% 77.6% 70.3% 43.3% 50.0% 43.5% 41.2% 43.5% 46.5%

Michael

Roberson 15.5% 70.3% 22.0% 7.5% 26.6% 29.2% 26.5% 40.9% 41.0% 32.4% 37.3%

Uncertain 35.3% 23.4% 30.2% 14.8% 3.1% 27.5% 23.5% 15.6% 17.8% 24.2% 16.2%

10) If the election for Secretary of State were held today and the candidates were Democrat Nelson Araujo and Republican Barbara Cegavske, who

would you vote for?

Q10: ARAUJOORCEGAVSKE Barbara Cegavske 8.9% 72.0% 19.8% 18.1% 61.0% 38.5% 33.3% 42.0% 48.8% 36.1% 44.8%

Nelson Araujo 45.4% 5.3% 40.3% 70.1% 33.3% 40.2% 41.3% 40.6% 35.6% 38.9% 40.5%

Uncertain 45.7% 22.7% 39.9% 11.8% 5.7% 21.2% 25.4% 17.3% 15.6% 24.9% 14.7%

11) Would you more or less likely support a candidate for Congress if you knew they would support Nancy Pelosi to be Speaker of the House?

Q11: PELOSISUPPORT Less Likely 20.0% 80.3% 31.5% 16.1% 30.5% 44.2% 41.1% 42.6% 48.0% 39.6% 47.8%

More Likely 9.6% 5.6% 23.6% 49.4% 67.2% 20.7% 24.2% 33.1% 29.7% 24.9% 30.8%

Uncertain 70.4% 14.1% 44.8% 34.4% 2.3% 35.1% 34.7% 24.3% 22.3% 35.5% 21.3%

12) Would you more or less likely support a candidate for Congress if you knew they would vote to impeach President Donald J. Trump?

Q12: IMPEACHMENTSUPPORT Less Likely 8.2% 83.4% 26.3% 11.6% 47.1% 47.3% 34.5% 42.9% 47.1% 41.1% 42.8%

More Likely 58.1% 5.8% 50.4% 76.0% 49.6% 32.1% 50.6% 44.6% 44.2% 42.0% 46.9%

Uncertain 33.8% 10.8% 23.3% 12.5% 3.3% 20.6% 14.9% 12.5% 8.7% 16.9% 10.3%

13) Do you currently approve or disapprove of the Tax Reform Bill that was signed into law recently?

Q13: TAXREFORMAPPROVAL Approve 3.2% 71.7% 18.8% 7.0% 10.9% 29.6% 22.1% 40.7% 42.0% 30.8% 36.7%

Disapprove 61.4% 6.0% 67.7% 78.0% 68.6% 44.5% 45.2% 49.2% 47.2% 43.5% 50.4%

Uncertain 35.4% 22.3% 13.5% 15.0% 20.5% 25.9% 32.7% 10.1% 10.8% 25.7% 12.9%

14) Do you support or oppose the legalization of same-sex marriage in the United States?

Q14: SAMESEXMARRIAGE Oppose 23.7% 48.6% 9.6% 14.3% 20.5% 16.3% 25.9% 35.4% 32.3% 25.1% 32.9%

Support 61.8% 36.4% 74.8% 76.7% 74.7% 76.7% 67.2% 50.4% 47.9% 61.9% 56.1%

Uncertain 14.5% 15.0% 15.6% 8.9% 4.7% 7.0% 6.9% 14.2% 19.8% 13.1% 10.9%

15) Do you support or oppose a ban on the ability to obtain an abortion in Nevada?

Q15: ABORTION1 Oppose 34.7% 31.4% 55.6% 59.9% 31.2% 42.7% 50.2% 48.5% 36.8% 43.3% 48.2%

Support 33.7% 38.8% 39.1% 31.0% 56.6% 42.1% 27.7% 35.7% 40.4% 36.4% 34.2%

Uncertain 31.7% 29.8% 5.3% 9.1% 12.3% 15.2% 22.1% 15.8% 22.7% 20.3% 17.7%

16) Do you support or oppose a ban on the ability to obtain an abortion after a pregnancy has lasted for 20 weeks in Nevada?

Q16: ABORTION2 Oppose 44.3% 46.9% 56.9% 52.9% 63.8% 55.5% 53.8% 47.5% 45.6% 52.3% 48.1%

Support 22.9% 35.8% 26.8% 21.5% 33.1% 29.0% 20.1% 32.3% 31.3% 28.8% 27.0%

Uncertain 32.8% 17.3% 16.3% 25.5% 3.1% 15.4% 26.1% 20.2% 23.1% 18.9% 24.9%

17) Do you support or oppose laws that would stop LGBTQ individuals from being discriminated against in regards to employment, housing, and

healthcare in Nevada?

Q17: LGBTQDISCRIMINATION Oppose 20.1% 25.7% 16.9% 19.0% 31.4% 21.6% 14.2% 28.8% 22.5% 19.6% 24.5%

Support 73.1% 47.3% 69.7% 65.7% 63.9% 76.2% 60.4% 51.8% 55.1% 62.2% 55.5%

Uncertain 6.9% 27.0% 13.4% 15.3% 4.7% 2.2% 25.4% 19.5% 22.4% 18.2% 20.0%

18) Do you support or oppose President Trump’s actions regarding removing the United States from the Iranian Nuclear Agreement?

Q18: NUCLEAR Oppose 23.0% 3.7% 48.2% 75.3% 68.6% 19.4% 39.7% 47.8% 47.9% 37.4% 44.6%

Support 8.2% 82.1% 8.4% 9.7% 31.4% 43.2% 32.8% 40.2% 44.5% 35.1% 44.0%

Uncertain 68.8% 14.2% 43.4% 14.9% 0.0% 37.4% 27.5% 12.0% 7.6% 27.6% 11.4%

19) As you may know there is an investigation into possible dealings with President Trump’s associates and Russia being led by Special Counsel Robert

Mueller. Do you believe the investigation is justified or do you believe it is politically motivated?

Didn't

Donald

Johnson

Hillary

Clinton

Stein 18-29 30-49 50-64

older Female Male

RUSSIAINVESTIGATION

Justified 41.4% 11.9% 68.1% 83.2% 89.1% 52.6% 48.3% 51.3% 50.8% 51.2% 49.8%

Politically

motivated 22.9% 82.2% 20.3% 13.7% 10.9% 33.3% 39.5% 45.8% 48.3% 39.4% 45.8%

Uncertain 35.6% 5.9% 11.5% 3.1% 0.0% 14.1% 12.2% 2.9% 0.9% 9.4% 4.5%

20) Would you approve or disapprove of a border wall built between the Mexican & Nevada border?

Q20: WALL Approve 22.3% 74.8% 21.3% 11.5% 41.4% 30.6% 39.6% 41.8% 40.9% 35.9% 42.7%

Disapprove 49.6% 10.2% 73.6% 83.4% 42.9% 49.8% 47.9% 51.4% 50.1% 51.8% 47.7%

Uncertain 28.1% 15.0% 5.1% 5.1% 15.7% 19.6% 12.6% 6.8% 9.0% 12.3% 9.7%

21) Do you support or oppose President Trump’s decision in revoking former CIA-Director John Brennan’s security clearance?

Q21: BRENNANCLEARANCE Oppose 12.5% 6.8% 55.8% 78.5% 68.6% 33.1% 42.6% 45.1% 48.3% 42.4% 43.9%

Support 7.7% 77.5% 9.5% 8.2% 31.4% 30.7% 30.0% 42.3% 42.8% 33.9% 40.0%

Uncertain 79.8% 15.7% 34.6% 13.3% 0.0% 36.3% 27.4% 12.6% 9.0% 23.7% 16.2%

22) In the 2016 Presidential election whom did you vote for?

Q22: 2016VOTE Didn't vote 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 27.6% 5.0% 3.7% 2.0% 11.8% 2.9%

Donald Trump 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 32.6% 38.7% 40.9% 48.8% 38.2% 43.1%

Gary Johnson 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 4.7% 7.5% 2.3% 4.6% 5.3%

Hillary Clinton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 36.3% 46.2% 47.3% 45.7% 42.9% 46.9%

Jill Stein 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5.4% 0.7% 1.2% 2.4% 1.7%

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

1) Are you registered to vote in Nevada?

2) How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Nevada Midterm Elections?

23) What is your party affiliation?

24) What is your political ideology?

25) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

26) What race do you identify yourself as?

27) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

28) What is the highest level of education you have completed?

29) How old are you?

30) What is your gender?

nevada polling - realclearpolitics · gravis marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a...

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