glacial melt and downstream impacts on indus-dependent water resources and energy.ppt
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7/28/2019 Glacial Melt and Downstream Impacts on Indus-Dependent Water Resources and Energy.ppt
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International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development
Kathmandu, Nepal
Glacial Melt and Downstream
Impacts on Indus-Dependent
Water Resources and Energy
Chaudhry Inayatullah
CONSULTATIVE WORKSHOP
May 2010
Islamabad
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Who are
most
vulnerable?
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River basins Indus
Ganges
Brahmaputra
Irrawaddy Salween
Mekong
Yangtze
Yellow
Tarim
Amu Darya
The River Basins
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Hydrological significance of
river basins
UNEP (in progress)
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Declining per Capita Availability
of Water in Pakistan
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
1981 1998 2003 2010 2025 2035 2050
(m3/capita/year)
Year
Satisfactory
Water StressWater Scarcity
Water Famine
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ADB TA 6420-REG: Promoting Climate
Change Impact & Adaptation in Asia and
the Pacific
Glacial Melt and Downstream Impact on Indus-
Dependent Water Resources and Energy
Partners: ICIMOD, IUCN and PMD
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Output 1
Gap analysis knowledge on impacts of climate change on theWestern Himalayas, and ADBs water and hydro-energyprojects and program area, and identification of priority riskmanagement and adaptation research activities
Activity 1: Compile & analyze existing scientific publications onclimate change impact
Activity 2: Conduct gap-analysis on the state of knowledge(modeling, impacts, risk & adaptation analysis, adaptation
plans, donor interventions, etc.)
Activity 3: Scoping of historical and GCM downscale modelingdata
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Output 2:
Medium and long term in-country and regional
partners secured
Activity 1: Organize national consultation workshops
Activity 2: Establish a Glacial Impact & Risk Management
Steering Committee
Activity 3: Identify possible regional partner institutions
and develop partnership agreements
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Output 3:
A practical Mountain Glacier and
Downstream Water Risk Management
Framework and Adaptation guide
Activity: Formulation of the practical Mountain
Glacier and Downstream Water RiskManagement Framework & Adaptation Guide for
hydropower and water sectors
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Output 4
Rapid desk-top and sample field risk screening of
ADBs project portfolio and pipeline in the water
and energy sectors
Activity 1: Undertake preliminary desk-top climate risk
screening of ADBs existing loans in the water and
hydropower sectors
Activity 2: Undertake sample field screening of loans in
Indus water and / or hydropower sectors
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Output 5
Scoping, costing of CCF adaptation priority
activities for ADB project portfolio
Activity 1: Compile option profile for CCF Phase IIfinancing
Activity 2: Develop consensus on priority activities to
be considered for financing
Activity 3: Determine core Phase II requirements
Activity 4: Prepare draft project proposal in the
appropriate format
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Outcome
ADB, IUCN, ICIMOD, PMD, MOE have
identified priority activities for knowledge
gap-filling research, policy, planning,
institutional strengthening and climate-proofing of ADBs project and program
activities in the water and energy sectors
and improved ADB / host countryoperations to adapt to climate change in
project / program areas
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Impact
ADB and host country loan operations are
better aligned to risk management and
adaptation requirements supporting the
water and hydro-energy sectors in theIndus basin given the anticipated impacts of
climate change and glacial melt in the
Western Himalayas
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Thank you
* Attabad landslide 4 Jan 2010
* Passu glacial lake burst out
on 17 May 2010
* Gulkin glacier lake burst out
anytime
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