glacial melt and downstream impacts on indus-dependent water resources and energy.ppt

7/28/2019 Glacial Melt and Downstream Impacts on Indus-Dependent Water Resources and Energy.ppt

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International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development

Kathmandu, Nepal

Glacial Melt and Downstream

Impacts on Indus-Dependent

Water Resources and Energy

Chaudhry Inayatullah

CONSULTATIVE WORKSHOP

May 2010

Islamabad


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Who are

most

vulnerable?


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River basins Indus

Ganges

Brahmaputra

Irrawaddy Salween

Mekong

Yangtze

Yellow

Tarim

Amu Darya

The River Basins


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Hydrological significance of

river basins

UNEP (in progress)


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Declining per Capita Availability

of Water in Pakistan

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1981 1998 2003 2010 2025 2035 2050

(m3/capita/year)

Year

Satisfactory

Water StressWater Scarcity

Water Famine


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ADB TA 6420-REG: Promoting Climate

Change Impact & Adaptation in Asia and

the Pacific

Glacial Melt and Downstream Impact on Indus-

Dependent Water Resources and Energy

Partners: ICIMOD, IUCN and PMD


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Output 1

Gap analysis knowledge on impacts of climate change on theWestern Himalayas, and ADBs water and hydro-energyprojects and program area, and identification of priority riskmanagement and adaptation research activities

Activity 1: Compile & analyze existing scientific publications onclimate change impact

Activity 2: Conduct gap-analysis on the state of knowledge(modeling, impacts, risk & adaptation analysis, adaptation

plans, donor interventions, etc.)

Activity 3: Scoping of historical and GCM downscale modelingdata


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Output 2:

Medium and long term in-country and regional

partners secured

Activity 1: Organize national consultation workshops

Activity 2: Establish a Glacial Impact & Risk Management

Steering Committee

Activity 3: Identify possible regional partner institutions

and develop partnership agreements


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Output 3:

A practical Mountain Glacier and

Downstream Water Risk Management

Framework and Adaptation guide

Activity: Formulation of the practical Mountain

Glacier and Downstream Water RiskManagement Framework & Adaptation Guide for

hydropower and water sectors


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Output 4

Rapid desk-top and sample field risk screening of

ADBs project portfolio and pipeline in the water

and energy sectors

Activity 1: Undertake preliminary desk-top climate risk

screening of ADBs existing loans in the water and

hydropower sectors

Activity 2: Undertake sample field screening of loans in

Indus water and / or hydropower sectors


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Output 5

Scoping, costing of CCF adaptation priority

activities for ADB project portfolio

Activity 1: Compile option profile for CCF Phase IIfinancing

Activity 2: Develop consensus on priority activities to

be considered for financing

Activity 3: Determine core Phase II requirements

Activity 4: Prepare draft project proposal in the

appropriate format


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Outcome

ADB, IUCN, ICIMOD, PMD, MOE have

identified priority activities for knowledge

gap-filling research, policy, planning,

institutional strengthening and climate-proofing of ADBs project and program

activities in the water and energy sectors

and improved ADB / host countryoperations to adapt to climate change in

project / program areas


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Impact

ADB and host country loan operations are

better aligned to risk management and

adaptation requirements supporting the

water and hydro-energy sectors in theIndus basin given the anticipated impacts of

climate change and glacial melt in the

Western Himalayas


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Thank you

* Attabad landslide 4 Jan 2010

* Passu glacial lake burst out

on 17 May 2010

* Gulkin glacier lake burst out

anytime

glacial melt and downstream impacts on indus-dependent water resources and energy.ppt

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