ford stock forecast for 2015 based on a predictive algorithm
Post on 14-Jul-2015
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Ford Stock Forecast For 2015 Based
On A Predictive Algorithm
© I Know First 2014. All rights reserved. www.iknowfirst.com
Summary
Ford Motor Company, an American multinational automaker that is
America’s second-largest in terms of size, and the world’s fifth-
largest in terms of sales, is well-known around the world
While Ford is generally well-regarded, recent events in Russia and
Venezuela have resulted in Ford’s Q4 profitability dropping, and
have prevented Ford’s European operations from breaking even in
2015
Though this may be interpreted as problematic, analysts still
recommend holding on to Ford; Ford’s fundamentals remain strong
I Know First algorithm predicts a strongly bullish forecast for Ford in
the one-month and three-month time frames
Reduced Q4 Profitability
Ford’s operations in Europe were expected to reach profitability in
2015, but they may well not do so
Russia was expected to become Europe’s largest automotive market,
but may slip to third due to its economy sinking
Ford’s sales in Russia fell 40% in November alone, as Russia is a
bloodbath for all automakers
The company’s Venezuelan subsidiary also faces reduced profitability
of around $700 million
Ford faced difficulties paying dividends as a result of the low exchange
rate between the Venezuelan bolivar and the US dollar
The company chose to record an $800 million pre-tax charge
This could result in Ford’s first net loss since the recession
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The Positive Attributes
The company is opening the Ford Research and Innovation Center to
explore the latest technologies and grant Ford the kind of technological
prominence integral to competing in the future
Taking advantage of the growing demand for “muscle cars”, two-door
sports cars that have powerful engines, which have seen global sales
increase 70% since 2009
Has announced it will be rolling out twelve performance cars from now
through 2020, merging its units to create Ford Performance
New senior leadership, including new CEO and Vice President of
Marketing, Sales, and Service, could dramatically alter Ford’s market-
share-securing strategies
Bad news in Europe is not as bad as it looks, as Ford still gained
market share and increased sales 7.3% over 2013, coming in as
Europe’s number-two best-selling brand
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Algorithmic Analysis
As of January 20th, 2015, the I Know First algorithm is bullish in the
one-month and three-month time horizons
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Conclusion
Ford had some rough patches in 2014, most especially due to its
operations in Venezuela and Europe
The company should still be positively considered for its novel market-
share and innovation-oriented leadership
The company’s reputation, focus on muscle car innovation, costumer
loyalty and safety ratings make Ford fundamentally strong
Combined with a bullish forecast from I Know First, these
developments make Ford a company worth holding on to, both in the
long and in the short run
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