false cause fallacy

Post on 15-Aug-2015

52 Views

Category:

Education

1 Downloads

Preview:

Click to see full reader

TRANSCRIPT

Terms might be similar to the said categorical fallacy:

• Questionable Cause/Irrelevant Cause

• Invalid reasons/Invalid reasoning

• No cause for a cause

(walang kasiguraduhan na ang sinasabing sanhi ay siyang totoong sanhi ng pangyayari)

This is often what women hate about men:

Girl: I was so disappointed about

him. He was in the news. It is said, that he was involved in

the so called “audio scandal” - that was now popular in the

social media.

Boy:It is not so much surprising actually because he’s just a man and nothing to argue

with that.

This is often what women hate about men:

Let’s ask the boys first:

Do you think the answer was reasonable in your own sense?

and let’s try to ask girls, too:

Do you like it as an answer to the question?

This is often what women hate about men:

when you’re just a man then you’re free of being involved

from such mistakes

To argue about it, without considering other causes and either showing such causes to be true or false, is to argue fallaciously.

It’s a Fa

llacy!

This is often what women hate about men: This example is different from

Fallacy of Argumentum ad Hominem (preference).

- the argument that attack the other person to divert the attention away from the real issues involved.

But here, the respondent uses or reasoned out the preference of a person as a cause of something that happen.

False Cause by using advertisement:

Share a Coke, Share Happiness.

The happiness that you’re experiencing this afternoon is not caused by a soft drink (Coca-Cola)

that you have been drinking last morning.

False Cause by using coincidence:

The rooster crows immediately before sunrise, therefore the rooster causes

the sun to rise.

It’s a

Fallacy!

Who among you herelove reading Horoscope?

Question: When?

Believers of Horoscope commits fallacy:

Question: When?

Boy: Will you marry me?

Girl: Yes! … I knew it; you’ll gonna proposed today.

Boy: Oh… so, you were not surprised. Who actually told you about it? Is it my cousin?

Girl: Well, I knew it from my horoscope that I will be the luckiest person today.

Believers of Horoscope commits fallacy:

Question: When?

Answer:

When you infer something happened today from

what you have read/heard last morning in the

horoscope. Because actually (scientifically

speaking), there’s no connection of it from what

had happen today.

Believers of Horoscope commits fallacy:

Question: Why is it fallacious?

Answer:

Is everything happen in our life follows words from

horoscope? The fallacy committed when you use

horoscope as a cause of something happen.

Believers of Horoscope commits fallacy:

Who among you herelove reading Horoscope?

Nothing will lost when you believe, but never blame it when believing about it leads to failure.

The horoscope is just a

prediction.

It doesn’t govern the day what ever

do prediction said about to what will happen.

“Lucky Number 9”

Your thing (e.g. Lucky

Charms) does not have

some sort of magical

quality that

makes you lucky.

How to be a good writer?

The bigger a child's shoe size, the better the child's handwriting. Therefore, having big feet makes it easier to write.

How to be a good speaker?

During election, most of the winning candidates come from Liberal Party. Yellow ribbon represents them. Therefore, if I’m going to wear yellow shirt I will achieve my dream to be a good speaker.

Fail to understand Déjà vu:(Some familiar events repetitively happened)

B1: Let’s continue this; I know we’ll win this game… (In the end, they won)

B2: Amazing! Isn’t it? How did you know that? Have you been in the future?

B1: Hmmm… you know what? I dreamed about it last night.

Ace: Yes! Myth says that when you’re having sleep dreams, you’re actually seeing the future.

Fail to understand Déjà vu:(Some familiar events repetitively happened)

Think about this;

As ice cream sales increase, the rate of drowning deaths increases

sharply. Therefore, ice cream consumption

causes drowning.

Related Example:

Fail to understand Déjà vu:(Some familiar events repetitively happened) The illustration is a correlation between ice cream consumption and crime,

but shows that the actual cause is temperature.

Fail to understand Déjà vu:(Some familiar events repetitively happened)

The cause of winning is not about the sleep dream. It is actually cause by continuing the game, because they don’t give up.

False Cause by analysis of psychologist:

Violent person is watching violent videos,

Therefore,

violent videos cause person’s violent behavior.

Mostly we commit this fallacy because of the occurrence of coincidence.

It is wrong because coincidently violence behavior occurs, not that it happen because the video consist violence.

Mostly we commit this fallacy because of ignoring underlying cause.

Violence behavior maybe caused genetically inherited underlying mental illness.

Mostly we commit this fallacy because of reversing causation.

violent behavior causes violent videos.x violent videos causes violent

behavior.

POST HOC ERGO PROTER HOC – after this therefore because of this

CUM HOC ERGO PROPTER HOC – with this therefore because of this

B 11

X Y X or YX Y

Possibly Happened

POST HOC ERGO PROTER HOC – after this therefore because of this

POST HOC ERGO PROTER HOC – after this therefore because of this

The fire was not huge, before the firemen came into the picture.

The example blames the firemen as the cause of huge fire.

Firemen

Huge Fire

More firemencauses fire

B

1

1

CUM HOC ERGO PROTER HOC – with this therefore because of this

(False Cause by suspecting)

You and your boyfriend are eating dinner together while a prostitute eating alone from the other table.

You left your boyfriend for less than an hour for you to go to the comfort room.

But when you came back your boyfriend is missing.

You try to look for the prostitute if it’s still there but you fail to find it.

You concluded that your boyfriend is with the prostitute.

CUM HOC ERGO PROTER HOC – with this therefore because of this

(False Cause by suspecting)

Example related to the previous:

You You You

Prostitute your enemy Cat

Boyfriend your wallet Fish

CUM HOC ERGO PROTER HOC – with this therefore because of this

(False Cause by suspecting)

Suggestive cause:

She doesn’t know maybe her boyfriend go for a comfort room, too.

She doesn’t know maybe her boyfriend just ordered some more food.

She doesn’t know maybe she found a wrong table.

I highly suggest that we must first test everything and hold on to what is good.

ACE S. MATILAC

top related