emerging & future trends in ict

Emerging & Future Trends in ICT

Dr Derek W. KeatsdKeats Innovation

http://www.dkeats.comderek@dkeats.com

+27 82 787 0169

How can South Africaplay a stronger role in

creating them?

Not an academic paper

Opinion piece

Opinionpiece

Not an an academic

paper

ICT

is in

ev

e ry

thin

g

A few general and underpinning trends

More ubiquitous andaffordable bandwidthT

ren

d 1

The veins and arteries for the life blood of the knowledge economy

Broadbandavailability

Broadbandpenetration

Broadbandservices

Last milechallenge

Broadbandinnovation

More ubiquitous andaffordable bandwidthT

ren

d 1

http://www.africabandwidthmaps.com/

More ubiquitous andaffordable bandwidthT

ren

d 1

July 2010 – July 2011, 45,498-km

of new terrestrial

fibre in Africa

In 2011 Africa's

International Bandwidth

reached 500 Gbps Mark

Mobile broadband

prices dropping rapidly

Terrestrial fibre reaching

urban neighbourhoods

in SA

More diverseassemblage of

providers

Changes tothe regulatoryenvironment

in SA

More ubiquitous andaffordable bandwidthT

ren

d 1

Where are we in SouthAfrica?

Broadbandavailability

Broadbandpenetration

Broadbandservices

Last milechallenge

Broadbandinnovation

Tre

nd

2

Ubiquitous computing

Social everything

Tre

nd

3

MySpace

Greater freedom &opennessT

ren

d 4

Free Software(Open Source)

Licenses thatfoster sharing and re-usability

Platforms for sharing andremixingcontent

More open standards

Interconnectedworld of APIs

platforms

Greater freedom &opennessT

ren

d 4

platforms

http://arduino.cc

Greater freedom &opennessT

ren

d 4

platforms

http://arduino.cc

Greater freedom &opennessT

ren

d 4

platforms

http://arduino.cc

Less freedom &openness

Tre

nd

4b

Bigger patentminefields

Dangerous goodspackaged to look

fabulous

More emphasis on'intellectual property'

Extensionsto copyright

Subtle erosionof rights, erosion that accumulates

It's a data-drivenworld we live inT

ren

d 5

Lin k

ed d

a ta

Using the Web to connect related

data

Extends http and URIs

Data can beread automatically

by computers

Data fm different sources can be

connected & queried

You don't have to be human

to access anduse it

It's a data-drivenworld we live inT

ren

d 5

Lin k

ed

d

ata

It's a data-drivenworld we live inT

ren

d 5

“Linking Open Data cloud diagram, by Richard Cyganiak and Anja Jentzsch. http://lod-cloud.net/”

Lin k

ed

d

ata

It's a data-drivenworld we live inT

ren

d 5

OP

EN

“Linking Open Data cloud diagram, by Richard Cyganiak and Anja Jentzsch. http://lod-cloud.net/”

It's a data-drivenworld we live inT

ren

d 5

It's a data-drivenworld we live inT

ren

d 5

It's a data-drivenworld we live inT

ren

d 5

Location and context

Tre

nd

6

Location and context

Tre

nd

6

Lo

cati

on

an

d c

on

text

Tre

nd

6

Separation of computing from locationT

ren

d 7

Cloud computingparadigm

Devices canappear smarterthan they are

Virtualization

Utility computing

Software & hardware as services

APIs

Ambient intelligence

Tre

nd

8environments that are sensitive and responsive to the presence of people

Role of linked data

Ambient intelligence

Tre

nd

8

Smart cities

environments that are sensitive and responsive to the presence of people

Smart homes

Smarttransportation

Smartrobots

Smart energy

Ambient intelligence

Tre

nd

8

Augmentedreality

Scary trends

Scary trendsFacial recognition

Scary trendsPublic data mining

… for personal information

Further awaytrends

Human language

processing

Quantumcomputing

Nanocomputing

Ambientelectricity

Augmented human

How can South Africaplay a stronger role increating them?

Start taking the knowledge economyseriously

Nationally

Provincially

Cities

How can South Africaplay a stronger role increating them?

Scale

At least two orders of magni-tude

Wasting our youth

Key  

cha l

len g

es

Get out of the maths and science hole– Stop thinking if you don't have maths you

can't do anything useful

Key  

cha l

len g

es

680 000 wrote matricin 2010

230 000 qualify for university

130 000 found places at university 100 000

did not find places at university

77 000 will be unemployedafter graduation

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Tengeru_market.jpg

Universities in South Africa

A new type of institution

Innovation

Thank youThis presentation was made entirely using Free Software

derek@dkeats.comhttp://www.dkeats.com

Derek Keats, PhD

http://facebook.com/dkeats