emerging & future trends in ict
DESCRIPTION
Emerging & Future Trends in ICT: How can South Africa play a stronger role in creating them - delivered as opening Keynote at the SAFIPA conference in Pretoria, Oct 19, 2011.TRANSCRIPT
Emerging & Future Trends in ICT
Dr Derek W. KeatsdKeats Innovation
http://[email protected]
+27 82 787 0169
How can South Africaplay a stronger role in
creating them?
Not an academic paper
Opinion piece
Opinionpiece
Not an an academic
paper
ICT
is in
ev
e ry
thin
g
A few general and underpinning trends
More ubiquitous andaffordable bandwidthT
ren
d 1
The veins and arteries for the life blood of the knowledge economy
Broadbandavailability
Broadbandpenetration
Broadbandservices
Last milechallenge
Broadbandinnovation
More ubiquitous andaffordable bandwidthT
ren
d 1
http://www.africabandwidthmaps.com/
More ubiquitous andaffordable bandwidthT
ren
d 1
July 2010 – July 2011, 45,498-km
of new terrestrial
fibre in Africa
In 2011 Africa's
International Bandwidth
reached 500 Gbps Mark
Mobile broadband
prices dropping rapidly
Terrestrial fibre reaching
urban neighbourhoods
in SA
More diverseassemblage of
providers
Changes tothe regulatoryenvironment
in SA
More ubiquitous andaffordable bandwidthT
ren
d 1
Where are we in SouthAfrica?
Broadbandavailability
Broadbandpenetration
Broadbandservices
Last milechallenge
Broadbandinnovation
Tre
nd
2
Ubiquitous computing
Social everything
Tre
nd
3
MySpace
Greater freedom &opennessT
ren
d 4
Free Software(Open Source)
Licenses thatfoster sharing and re-usability
Platforms for sharing andremixingcontent
More open standards
Interconnectedworld of APIs
platforms
Greater freedom &opennessT
ren
d 4
platforms
http://arduino.cc
Greater freedom &opennessT
ren
d 4
platforms
http://arduino.cc
Greater freedom &opennessT
ren
d 4
platforms
http://arduino.cc
Less freedom &openness
Tre
nd
4b
Bigger patentminefields
Dangerous goodspackaged to look
fabulous
More emphasis on'intellectual property'
Extensionsto copyright
Subtle erosionof rights, erosion that accumulates
It's a data-drivenworld we live inT
ren
d 5
Lin k
ed d
a ta
Using the Web to connect related
data
Extends http and URIs
Data can beread automatically
by computers
Data fm different sources can be
connected & queried
You don't have to be human
to access anduse it
It's a data-drivenworld we live inT
ren
d 5
Lin k
ed
d
ata
It's a data-drivenworld we live inT
ren
d 5
“Linking Open Data cloud diagram, by Richard Cyganiak and Anja Jentzsch. http://lod-cloud.net/”
Lin k
ed
d
ata
It's a data-drivenworld we live inT
ren
d 5
OP
EN
“Linking Open Data cloud diagram, by Richard Cyganiak and Anja Jentzsch. http://lod-cloud.net/”
It's a data-drivenworld we live inT
ren
d 5
It's a data-drivenworld we live inT
ren
d 5
It's a data-drivenworld we live inT
ren
d 5
Location and context
Tre
nd
6
Location and context
Tre
nd
6
Lo
cati
on
an
d c
on
text
Tre
nd
6
Separation of computing from locationT
ren
d 7
Cloud computingparadigm
Devices canappear smarterthan they are
Virtualization
Utility computing
Software & hardware as services
APIs
Ambient intelligence
Tre
nd
8environments that are sensitive and responsive to the presence of people
Role of linked data
Ambient intelligence
Tre
nd
8
Smart cities
environments that are sensitive and responsive to the presence of people
Smart homes
Smarttransportation
Smartrobots
Smart energy
Ambient intelligence
Tre
nd
8
Augmentedreality
Scary trends
Scary trendsFacial recognition
Scary trendsPublic data mining
… for personal information
Further awaytrends
Human language
processing
Quantumcomputing
Nanocomputing
Ambientelectricity
Augmented human
How can South Africaplay a stronger role increating them?
Start taking the knowledge economyseriously
Nationally
Provincially
Cities
How can South Africaplay a stronger role increating them?
Scale
At least two orders of magni-tude
Wasting our youth
Key
cha l
len g
es
Get out of the maths and science hole– Stop thinking if you don't have maths you
can't do anything useful
Key
cha l
len g
es
680 000 wrote matricin 2010
230 000 qualify for university
130 000 found places at university 100 000
did not find places at university
77 000 will be unemployedafter graduation
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Tengeru_market.jpg
Universities in South Africa
A new type of institution
Innovation
Thank youThis presentation was made entirely using Free Software
[email protected]://www.dkeats.com
Derek Keats, PhD
http://facebook.com/dkeats